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Engneering Ecnomics By Sir Engr. Ejaz Gul Aurakzai in Founadtion university Islamabad in 2010
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Cost Benefit Analysis, Ejaz Gul, FUIEMS, 2009
Engineering EconomicsEngineering Economics
Cost Benefit AnalysisCost Benefit Analysis
Cost Benefit Analysis, Ejaz Gul, FUIEMS, 2009
Methods of AnalysisMethods of Analysis• Present worthPresent worth
• Future worthFuture worth
• Annual Worth - Finding the annual equivalent Annual Worth - Finding the annual equivalent cost cost for each alternativefor each alternative
• Capitalized costCapitalized cost
• Study periodStudy period
• Pay back PeriodPay back Period
• Internal rate of return (IRR)Internal rate of return (IRR)
• Project balance (PB)Project balance (PB)
• Cost – benefit analysisCost – benefit analysis
Cost Benefit Analysis, Ejaz Gul, FUIEMS, 2009
Cost – Benefit Analysis Cost – Benefit Analysis (CBA) (CBA)
• A cost benefit analysis is done to determine how well, or A cost benefit analysis is done to determine how well, or
how poorly, a planned action will turn outhow poorly, a planned action will turn out
• Although a cost benefit analysis can be used for almost Although a cost benefit analysis can be used for almost
anything, it is most commonly done on financial aspectsanything, it is most commonly done on financial aspects
• Cost benefit analysis relies on the addition of positive Cost benefit analysis relies on the addition of positive
factors and the subtraction of negative ones to determine a factors and the subtraction of negative ones to determine a
net resultnet result
• A cost benefit analysis A cost benefit analysis
– finds, quantifies, and adds all the positive factors. These finds, quantifies, and adds all the positive factors. These
are the benefitsare the benefits
– Then it identifies, quantifies, and subtracts all the Then it identifies, quantifies, and subtracts all the
negatives, the costsnegatives, the costs
– The difference between the two indicates whether the The difference between the two indicates whether the
planned action is advisableplanned action is advisable
Cost Benefit Analysis, Ejaz Gul, FUIEMS, 2009
• Weighing the total expected costs against the total Weighing the total expected costs against the total
expected benefits in order to choose the best or most expected benefits in order to choose the best or most
profitable option. The formal process is often referred profitable option. The formal process is often referred
to as CBA (Cost-Benefit Analysis)to as CBA (Cost-Benefit Analysis)
• It is an analysis of the cost effectiveness of different It is an analysis of the cost effectiveness of different
alternatives in order to see whether the benefits alternatives in order to see whether the benefits
outweigh the costs outweigh the costs
• The process involves monetary value of initial and The process involves monetary value of initial and
ongoing expenses vs. expected return ongoing expenses vs. expected return
• A technique designed to determine the feasibility of a A technique designed to determine the feasibility of a
project or plan by quantifying its costs and benefitsproject or plan by quantifying its costs and benefits
Cost – Benefit Analysis Cost – Benefit Analysis (CBA)(CBA)
Cost Benefit Analysis, Ejaz Gul, FUIEMS, 2009
Application and History Application and History • The concept of CBA dates back to an 1848 article by The concept of CBA dates back to an 1848 article by
Dupuit and was formalized in subsequent works by Alfred Dupuit and was formalized in subsequent works by Alfred
Marshall Marshall
• The practical application of CBA was initiated in the US – The practical application of CBA was initiated in the US –
cost benefit analysis for proposed federal waterway cost benefit analysis for proposed federal waterway
infrastructure in 1936 infrastructure in 1936
• Subsequently, cost–benefit techniques were applied to the Subsequently, cost–benefit techniques were applied to the
development of highway and motorway investments in the development of highway and motorway investments in the
US and UK in the 1950s and 1960s US and UK in the 1950s and 1960s
• An early and often-quoted, more developed application of An early and often-quoted, more developed application of
the technique was made to the technique was made to London Underground Victoria Line
• Over the last 50 years, cost–benefit techniques have Over the last 50 years, cost–benefit techniques have
gradually developed gradually developed
Cost Benefit Analysis, Ejaz Gul, FUIEMS, 2009
Benefit Analysis - FormulaBenefit Analysis - Formula
• BCR (BCR (benefit cost ratio = PVB / PVC) this should this should
be equal to 1 for the project to be be equal to 1 for the project to be
economically feasibleeconomically feasible
• Net benefit = PVB – PVC = 0Net benefit = PVB – PVC = 0
Cost Benefit Analysis, Ejaz Gul, FUIEMS, 2009
PrinciplesPrinciples
1.1. There must be a common unit of measurementThere must be a common unit of measurement
2.2. CBA represents values by actual behavior CBA represents values by actual behavior
3.3. Benefits are usually measured by market choicesBenefits are usually measured by market choices
4.4. Measurements of intangibles & tangibles Measurements of intangibles & tangibles
5.5. Analysis involves comparison Analysis involves comparison
6.6. CBA involves a particular study area and time CBA involves a particular study area and time
Cost Benefit Analysis, Ejaz Gul, FUIEMS, 2009
Numerical Numerical A telecom system is expected to cost $43,250,000 to complete. The A telecom system is expected to cost $43,250,000 to complete. The
revenues generated by the new plant are expected to be $3,875,000 per revenues generated by the new plant are expected to be $3,875,000 per
year while operational expenses are estimated to $2,000,000 per year. If year while operational expenses are estimated to $2,000,000 per year. If
the system is expected to last forty years and the authority uses 3% as the system is expected to last forty years and the authority uses 3% as
interest, determine if the system should be built? (Use B/C ratio analysis)interest, determine if the system should be built? (Use B/C ratio analysis)
• We can find the present worth or the annual worth
• PW benefits = 3875000 = 89489051.1
• PW Costs = 43250000 + 2000000 =89437897.34
• B/C = 89489051.1 / 89437897.34 = 1 Build the plantBuild the plant
Cost Benefit Analysis, Ejaz Gul, FUIEMS, 2009
Cost Benefit Analysis, Ejaz Gul, FUIEMS, 2009
QuizQuiz
Cost Benefit Analysis, Ejaz Gul, FUIEMS, 2009
Advance greeting & Best Advance greeting & Best wishes to you all for Eidwishes to you all for Eid