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8/9/2019 Lead.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/leadpdf 1/4
For private circulation only
INTRODUCTION
APPLICATIONS
= Lead (chemical symbol - Pb) is very corrosion-resistant, ductile, and malleable blue-grey metal that hasbeen in use for at least 5,000 years.
= It is usually found in association with zinc, silver, as well as copper ores.
= It is one of the most sustainable and recyclable commodities. It can be recycled indefinitely, without lossof its physical or chemical properties. Recycled lead accounts for more than 60% of the total leadproduction.
= The lead production process consumes less energy as compared to the production of any other metal.
Lead is principally used for manufacturing batteries, especially the ones used in automobiles, motorcycles,electric cars and bicycles. Its incredible density provides unrivalled protection from radiation and is used inhospitals, dental surgeries, laboratories and nuclear installations. Lead acid batteries are vital as a back-upemergency power supply in case of power failure in computer installations, banks, telephone exchanges andaircraft control towers amongst others. In the ongoing quest for clean energy, people have been turning toalternative sources such as wind power and solar cells, whose storage and distribution systems rely on lead-acid batteries. In earthquake prone regions such as Japan and California, the buildings are mounted on leadshock absorbers that help minimise damage during tremors or earthquakes.
DEMAND & SUPPLY
= In 2012, the global lead mine production increased by 11.5%, over that of 2011.= Global refined lead production increased by 0.22% from 10.594 million metric tonnes (MMT) in 2011 to
10.617 MMT in 2012 .= The world’s refined lead consumption rose to 10.553 MMT in 2012, up from 10.418 MMT in 2011.= India and the Republic of Korea saw an increase in production of 8.9% and 8.2%, respectively, while India
and Japan saw an increase in consumption of 15.6% and 12.2%, respectively.
Lead-usage
Source: ILZSG
80%
6%
5%
3%3% 2% 1%
Batteries
Rolled and extruded products
Pigments and other compounds
Shot ammunition
Miscellaneous
Alloys
Cable sheathing
The Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) is a India-based state-of-the-art electronic
commodity futures exchange that facilitates online trading, and clearing and settlement of commodityfutures transactions, providing a platform for risk management. MCX offers trading in more than 40
commodity futures contracts across segments including bullion, ferrous and non-ferrous metals, energy,
and agricultural and agri-based commodities.
World Refined Lead Production(in thousand MT)
Others
Australia
Rep. Korea
Japan
India
China
United States
Mexico
Canada
Europe
Source: ILZSG
( i n t h o u s a n d t o n s )
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
World Refined Lead Consumption(in thousand MT)
Others
India
Rep. Korea
Japan
China
United States
Europe0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
2008 2009 2010 2011 20122008 2009 2010 2011 2012
MCX is a
leading
commodityexchange in
India, with a
market share of
87%*(Q3 FY 2012-13)
*In terms of the value of commodity
futures contracts traded
(Source: Data maintained by FMC)
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www.mcxindia.com
INDIAN SCENARIO
GLOBAL SCENARIO
FACTORS INFLUENCING THE MARKET
= In 2012, refined lead production was around 169,301 MT.= The main producers of lead are Hindustan Zinc Limited (HZL) and Indian Lead Limited (ILL).
= In 2012, the global lead mine production was higher in a number of countries including Mexico, Peru, theRussian Federation and Turkey, however, the increase was principally due to a reported 20.4% rise inChina.
= Increased output of refined lead metal in India, the Republic of Korea, the United Kingdom and the UnitedStates were largely balanced by reductions in Australia, Kazakhstan, Morocco, New Zealand and Spain.
= In 2012, despite a further decline in Europe’s demand for refined lead metal by 2.4%, the global usageincreased by 1.3%, over the previous year. This was primarily a consequence of higher demand in India,Japan, Mexico and the United States. Apparent demand in China was unchanged from 2011.
= China’s import lead concentrates rose by 26.3% in 2012 over the previous year, to reach a record of justover 1 MMT.
= In 2011, the leading refined lead exporting countries were Australia, Canada and Germany, whereas theleading refined lead importing countries were USA, UK and India.
= Lead prices in India are fixed on the basis of the rates in the international spot market, and Indian Rupeeand US Dollar exchange rates.
= Economic events such as national industrial growth, global financial crisis, recession, and inflation affectthe metal prices.
= Commodity-specific events such as the construction of new production facilities or processes, new uses orthe discontinuance of historical uses, unexpected mine or plant closures (natural disaster, supplydisruption, accident, strike, and so forth), or industry restructuring, all affect metal prices.
= Trade policies set by the Government (implementation or suspension of taxes, penalties, and quotas)affect supply as they regulate (restricting or encouraging) material flow.
= Geopolitical events involving governments or economic paradigms and armed conflict can cause majorchanges.
= As societies develop, their demand for metal increases based on their current economic position, whichcould also be referred as ‘National Economic Growth Factor’.
Exchange Product Lot Size IST
LME Lead 25 MT 6:30 to 00:30 *Lead Mini 5 MT 17:10 to 22:40 **
Shanghai Futures Lead 25 MT 6.30 to 9.00
Exchange (SHFE) 11:30 to 13:30#
MCX Lead 5 MT 10:00 to 23:30 (Monday-Friday)Lead Mini 1 MT 10:00 to 14:00 (Saturday)
IMPORTANT GLOBAL EXCHANGES
* LME select ** LME Ring timing (Start time:- Ring session, End time - Kerb Trading) #: Day light timing 10:00 to 23:55 (Winter)
Source: UN Comtrade - Year book 2012
Leading Exporters - 2011Refined Lead
13.4%
10.2%
9.2%
6.4%
6.1%5.2%4.5%
4.4%3.0%
2.6%2.6%
2.2%
30.2%
AustraliaCanadaGermany
UK
Rep. Korea
KazakhstanMexico
BelgiumRussian FederationIndiaBulgaria
ChinaOther Countries
Leading Importers - 2011Refined Lead
10.2%
8.6%
6.5%
6.3%
5.8%
4.9%4.4%4.1%3.9%
3.8%
41.5%
USAUK IndiaRep. KoreaGermanyViet Nam
SpainItalyMalaysiaOther Asia, nesOther Countries
Globally, MCX isNo.1 in gold
and silver,
No.2 in
natural gas,
and No.3 in
crude oil**In terms of the commodity futures
contracts traded during CY 2011
(Source: Websites of exchanges
and FIA data)
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Source: Bloomberg
MCX Lead Volume & Open Interest
Source: MCX R&D
LME Lead 3 MTs Prices Vs LME Stocks
Source: Bloomberg LME Stock LME Price
MCX Correlation - 99.61%Lead Near Month vs LME Cash
$ / M T
`
/ k g
42504000375035003250300027502500225020001750150012501000
750500
2500
1701601501401301201101009080706050403020
100
J a n - 0 7
A p r - 0 7
J u l - 0 7
O c t - 0 7
J a n - 0 8
A p r - 0 8
J u l - 0 8
O c t - 0 8
J a n - 0 9
A p r - 0 9
J u l - 0 9
O c t - 0 9
J a n - 1 0
A p r - 1 0
J u l - 1 0
O c t - 1 0
J a n - 1 1
A p r - 1 1
J u l - 1 1
O c t - 1 1
J a n - 1 2
A p r - 1 2
J u l - 1 2
O c t - 1 2
J a n - 1 3
LME MCX
Open Interest PriceVolume
O I & V o l i n M T
P r i c e i n
/ k g
`
-30000
20000
70000
120000
170000
220000
270000
320000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
A p r - 0 8
J u n - 0 8
A u g - 0 8
O c t - 0 8
D e c - 0 8
F e b - 0 9
A p r - 0 9
J u n - 0 9
A u g - 0 9
O c t - 0 9
D e c - 0 9
F e b - 1 0
A p r - 1 0
J u n - 1 0
A u g - 1 0
O c t - 1 0
D e c - 1 0
F e b - 1 1
A p r - 1 1
J u n - 1 1
A u g - 1 1
O c t - 1 1
D e c - 1 1
F e b - 1 2
A p r - 1 2
J u n - 1 2
A u g - 1 2
O c t - 1 2
D e c - 1 2
F e b - 1 3
S t o c k s I n M T
P r i c e i n $ / M T
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
J a n - 0 8
M a r - 0 8
M a y - 0 8
J u l - 0 8
S e p - 0 8
N o v - 0 8
J a n - 0 9
M a r - 0 9
M a y - 0 9
J u l - 0 9
S e p - 0 9
N o v - 0 9
J a n - 1 0
M a r - 1 0
M a y - 1 0
J u l - 1 0
S e p - 1 0
N o v - 1 0
J a n - 1 1
M a r - 1 1
M a y - 1 1
J u l - 1 1
S e p - 1 1
N o v - 1 1
J a n - 1 2
M a r - 1 2
M a y - 1 2
J u l - 1 2
S e p - 1 2
N o v - 1 2
J a n - 1 3
M a r - 1 3
MCX reaches
out to over
1,770 cities and
towns in India
through
3,46,000+
trading
terminals(including CTCL)
(as of Q3 FY 2012-13)
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www.ilzsg.org | www.ilzro.org | www.metalbulletin.com | www.basemetals.com | www.futuresource.com |www.gfms-metalsconsulting.com | www.world-bureau.com | http://minerals.usgs.gov | www.brookhunt.com |www.metalsmarket.net | http://metalsplace.com | http://metalprices.com
CONTRACT SPECIFICATIONS LEAD & LEADMINI
SYMBOL LEAD LEADMINI
Description LEADMMMYY LEADMINIMMMYY
Trading period Monday through Saturday# Trading session Monday to Friday: 10:00 am to 11:30 pm
Saturday: 10:00 am to 2:00 pm
Contract month Monthly contracts
Expiry date Last day of the contract
Trading unit 5 MT 1 MT
Quotation/base value ̀/ kg
Tick size 5 paise / kg
Maximum order size 100 MT
Daily price limit 4%
Initial margin Minimum 5% or based on SPAN, whichever is higher
Special margin In case of additional volatility, an additional margin (on both buy & sell
side) and/ or special margin (on either buy or sell side) at such percentage,as deemed fit; will be imposed in respect of all outstanding positions.
Maximum allowable For Individual clients: 1,800 MT
For a member: 9,000 MT or not more than 15% of the market-wide openposition, whichever is higher.
Delivery logic Both options
Delivery unit 10 MT with tolerance limit of +/– 1% (100 kg)
Delivery center(s) Within 20 kilometers outside Mumbai octroi limit
Due date rate (DDR) Due date rate is calculated on the last day of the contract expiry, by takinginternational spot price of Lead and it would be multiplied by Rupee-US$rate as notified by the Reserve Bank of India.
IMPORTANT WEB SITES
www.mcxindia.com
Note: Please refer to the exchange circulars for the latest contract specifications and delivery and settlement
procedures.
open position
calculation
#: Day light timing 10:00 am to 11:55 pm (Winter)
MCX is the first
commodity
exchange in
India to launch
mini futures
contracts in
variouscommodities
0 9 0 4 1 3
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited
Exchange Square, Suren Road, Chakala, Andheri (East), Mumbai 400 093 | Tel. no.: +91-22-6731 8888 | Email: [email protected] | Website: www.mcxindia.com
Customer Support: +91-22-6649 4040 | To get the latest futures prices on mobile: visit http://m.mcxindia.com or sms “MCX <Commodity name>” to 58888