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Smurfit Kappa Group | Full year 2019 results 5 February 2020 SKG: LN | SKG: ID Leading. Innovating. Delivering.

Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

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Page 1: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Smurfit Kappa Group | Full year 2019 results

5 February 2020

SKG: LN | SKG: ID

Leading.

Innovating.

Delivering.

Page 2: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including statements about the Company's intentions, beliefs and expectations. These statements are based on the Company's current plans, estimates and projections, as well as the Company's expectations of external conditions and events.

Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties and speak only as of the date they are made. The Company undertakes no duty to and will not necessarily update any such statements in light of new information or future events, except to the extent required by any applicable law or regulation.

Recipients of this presentation are therefore cautioned that a number of important factors could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements.

Please refer to the Principal Risks and Uncertainties contained in the FY’19 Press Release for details.

Disclaimer

2

Page 3: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

SKG at full year 2019

3

18.2%EBITDA margin of

Quality delivers

ROCE of

17.0%

2.1xNet debt/ EBITDA of

Total dividend growth of

11%

EBITDA of

€1,650Million

Free Cash Flow of

€547Million

Page 4: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

SKG at full year 2019

4

Quality delivers

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2007 2012 2019

EBITDA €M

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

2007 2012 2019

EBITDA Margin %

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

2007 2012 2019

ROCE %

0.1

0.6

1.1

1.6

2.1

2.6

3.1

3.6

2007 2012 2019

Net Debt / EBITDA

0.1

0.3

0.5

0.7

0.9

1.1

1.3

2007 2012 2019

Dividend (€)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2007 2012 2019

Free Cash Flow €M

Page 5: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

01Leading

5

Page 6: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Leading in Sustainability

6

-

500.0

1,000.0

1,500.0

2,000.0

2,500.0

3,000.0

3,500.0

4,000.0

4,500.0

2005 2019 EST

KTs CO2

Over 30% reduction on absoluteand relative C02 basis since 2005Delivering on our targets, setting new ones

Leading initiatives across the globe

Leading position in 3rd party ESG ratings

A company delivering increasingly strong ESG credentials

Page 7: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

7

Better Planet Packaging is a Smurfit Kappa initiative that seeks to reduce packaging waste and ultimately address the challenges of waste and litter that ends up in our oceans and in landfill right across the globe

Leading industry initiative

Page 8: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

16 000

90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

8

Leading in a long-term growth industry

*Source Numera Analytics January 2020, using global containerboard demand as a proxy for corrugated demand

Global box demand growth* ‘000s tonnes (Global Containerboard Demand)

Monthly shipments

With strong structural drivers

Sustainable

Packaging

e-Commerce

Private Label

Growth

Corrugated as a

Merchandising medium

Global growth forecast CAGR 1.5% (18-23)*

Page 9: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

SKG is uniquely positioned as a result of our…

9

3. World class asset base

1. Unrivalled Market offering

Eu

rop

e

#1Corrugated (boxes)

Containerboard

Kraftliner

Bag in Box

Am

eri

ca

s

2. Leading market positions

Colombia -Corrugated (boxes)

Only significant Pan-American

player

#1

#3 Mexico -Corrugated (boxes)

4. Our People

• Longevity of senior management

• Global training programmes

• Working with global business schools

5. Leadership in Sustainability

• Cross industry initiatives

• Helping address our customers needs

Page 10: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

02Innovating

10

Page 11: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

11

Supported by our 26 Global Experience Centres

Page 12: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Largest amount of

(Consumer) Insights

Innovation-led and data driven solutions

12

Unique

Innovation Approach

Widest

ProductPortfolio

End-to-end

CapabilitiesLeading

Market Positions

Scientific approach

Global infrastructure

Largest team of designers (>1,000)

26 Experience Centres worldwide

More than 80,000 supply chains

analysed across the world

Over 7,500 innovative packaging solutions

ready to be implemented

More than 90,000 consumer insights

worldwide

Unique ShelfSmart approach and User

Experience lab

Paper, Packaging, Solutions: from

forestry to recycling

Over 200 automation projects per year

>1000 designers> 80,000 supply chains analysedconsumer insights

>7,500 solutions >200 machine systems

solutions

>90,000consumer insights>1,000 designers

>7,500 solutions

>200 automation projects

>90,000 consumer insights

>80,000 supply chains analysed

Page 13: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Leading and growing positions in 5 of the worlds top FMCG companies

Company A*: +17%

Company B*: +11%

Company C*: +21%

Company D*: +171%

Company E*: +109%

*Smurfit Kappa volume growth in Europe over the last 5 years

CustomerValue

In partnership with our customersSKG is increasingly seen as the partner of choice in our sector

Page 14: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

03Delivering

14

Page 15: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

The awareness around sustainable packaging is growing

Climate change

Packaging waste

24% of consumers' biggest concern*

17% of consumers' biggest concern*

Responsibility48% of consumers' expect manufacturers to take the lead* *Source: Who cares, who does? Consumer response to

plastic waste, Kantar September 2019

Page 16: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

The environmental perception increases by 170%1

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Moving from single-use plastic to paper-based packaging increases the positive perception of a brand

1Smurfit Kappa research with 7,350 consumers in UK, NL, GE, SP, FR, USA

The likeability increases by 30%1

The quality perception increases by 25%1

Give your customers something to smile about

Page 17: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Delivering Sustainable Packaging Solutions today for tomorrow’s world

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FULL RANGE OF PAPER AND CARTON

TUBES BAG-IN-BOXHONEYCOMB AND

HD CORRUGATED

FULL RANGE OF CORRUGATED

Alternatives to

PLASTIC BOTTLES

Alternatives to

PLASTIC BAGS, WRAPS

Alternatives to

PLASTIC POUCHES

Alternatives to

POLYSTYRENE BUFFERS

Alternatives to

PLASTIC TRAYS,CLAMSHELLS

Page 18: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Replaces unsustainable stretch film

Lower carbon footprint compared to plastic wraps

Up to 30% less packaging material compared to common cardboard sleeves

100% recyclable and plastic free, no glue

Significant amount of recycled fibres used

Improves the environmental perception and reputation of the product producer

Convenient consumer handling and easy to remove cans

Source: Euromonitor 2019 data based on consumption: Poland, Russia, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom

EXAMPLE: A growing market of > 10 billion multipacks

| TopClipThe sustainable leader of the pack

Delivering new products to solve our customer’s challenges

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Page 19: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

2019 Full Year Results

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Continuing to deliver

Group revenue of €9,048 million

EBITDA up 7% to €1,650 million and EBITDA margin of 18.2%

ROCE of 17.0%

Strong free cash flow generation of €547 million for the year

Net debt to EBITDA of 2.1x

Proposed final dividend increase of 12% to 80.9 cent per share

Page 20: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Europe - 2019 Full Year Highlights

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EBITDA of €1,332 million for the year

EBITDA margin of 19%

Strong box price retention

Corrugated demand growth of over 4% supported by acquisitions, organic in line with expectations

Successful integration of recent acquisitions

Continuing to deliver

Page 21: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

The Americas - 2019 Full Year Highlights

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Continuing to deliver

EBITDA of €360 million for the year

EBITDA margin of 17.5%, significant year-on-year improvement

Continued corrugated demand growth of 2%

Continued ramp-up of Mexican and Colombian mill projects securing additional recycled containerboard tonnage for the region

Page 22: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Disciplined and Effective Capital Allocation

22

Capital Expenditure

Balance sheet strength

M&A Progressive Dividend

Using strong free cash flow to deliver secure and progressively superior returns

Strong free cash flow supports our capital allocation priorities

Page 23: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

23

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

0.00

20.00

40.00

60.00

80.00

100.00

120.00

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Net Debt to EBITDA (x)

Total Dividend (EUR cents)

Free Cash Flow (€M)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Cash Interest (€M)

Disciplined and Effective Capital Allocation

Page 24: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Technical guidance

Cash interest €135m

Cash tax payment €220m

Working capital as a % of sales 7-8%

Capital expenditure €615*

Effective tax rate 26%

Impact of US$1c move on EBITDA €3.3m

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*Includes impact of IFRS 16 of approximately €50-60 million

Page 25: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

04 Summary and Outlook

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Page 26: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Delivering on our Vision

To be a globally admired business, dynamically delivering secure and superior returns for all stakeholders

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Page 27: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Globally admired…..

27

Innovating on a global scale

63 awards from across our global operations

Leading positions in 3rd party ESG indices

New 3rd party ESG accreditations• Member of ISS Solactive “Beyond Plastic Waste Index”

• Awarded LSE Green Economy mark

Leading ESG initiatives across globe

Recognised by 3rd parties for ESG and Innovation actions

Page 28: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Dynamically delivering…..

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Delivering results for our customers and all our stakeholders

Customer focused, innovative products

Expansion to new geographies

Sustainability focus

Flexible and agile investment demonstrated by the Medium-Term Plan

Page 29: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

….Secure and superior returns

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0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

ROCE%

Page 30: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

What we said in February 2018…..

30

On a journey to secure and improved through the cycle returns

Page 31: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Outlook

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A Quality Company, Leading, Innovating and Delivering

1. A Quality Business | Consistently Delivering Strategically, Operationally & Financially

2. Disciplined and Effective Capital Allocation Delivering Progressively Superior Returns

3. Strong Free Cash flow Generation Delivering Secure Returns

4. Progressive Dividend Stream reflects confidence in the increased strength of SKG’s Operating Model and unique prospects

5. The Corrugated Industry Leader with Attractive Medium and Long-Term Growth prospects

Page 32: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

Follow us on Twitter at @smurfitkappa and on LinkedIn at ‘Smurfit Kappa’.

Leading.Innovating.Delivering .

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Page 33: Leading. Innovating. Delivering. - Smurfit Kappa · Market offering e #1 Corrugated (boxes) Containerboard Kraftliner Bag in Box s 2. Leading market positions Colombia - Corrugated

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