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LBD3300 Advanced Real Estate002 Real Estate Case Studies
Prepared for: LearnByDoing.caBy: @ProfBruce
Date: September 2012
Create the Future
Professor Bruce Murray FirestoneB. Eng. (Civil), M. Eng.-Sci., Ph.D.
Founder Ottawa Senators, Ottawa Senators Foundation and Scotiabank Place Entrepreneurship Ambassador, Telfer School of Management, University of OttawaExecutive Director, Exploriem.org Novelist, Quantum Entity TrilogyWriter, Entrepreneurs Handbook IIColumnist, Ottawa Business JournalBroker, Century 21 Explorer Realty
•Follow him on Twitter at @ProfBruce •Read his blogs at www.EQJournal.org and www.DramatisPersonae.org •Current motto: “Making Each Day Count”
Residual income from yr PB4L? Minimal work? Low management intensity? Not really, unless you have several million dollars
in GICs or T-bills Every biz, even PB4Ls, require some level of care
and attention And it takes time to develop a great biz (7 to 12
years according to Sir Terence Matthews)
Terrace Investments Ltd (An Example of Bootstrap Capital)
Bought from group set to retire Asking price: $350k First offer (October 1982): full price offer, rejected Second offer (February 1983): full price offer (coldest day of the
year), accepted $10k down, STB 5 years, 0 interest w/ principal pmts every yr Fully paid off < 2 yrs “Why should we sell to you, Bruce?” “Because I’ll actually pay you and you trust me.” “Where did you get to $10k?” “I borrowed it!”
1025 Merivale Road (An Example of Trading Behaviour)
Plaza part of the TIL package of assets, valued at $185,000 End of 25 year lease with IGA at $1.87 per s.f. Seen as a huge problem—plaza soon to be100% vacant Actually huge opportunity to BUY LOW/SELL HIGH (trade!) Lipstick renovation with architect Barry Hobin: $120,000 Sub-divide space: $14.00 (Beckers), $6.85 (Active Components),
$5.00 (Martial Arts) Sell for $1.1 million 18 months later
1025 Merivale Road
(An Example of
Trading Behaviour)
Bob Campeau (An Example of Stand Your Ground)
TIL partner Admiralty Enterprises goes bankrupt Campeau Corp buys 80 properties from Receiver including 5
TIL/Admiralty warehouses TIL had right of 1st Refusal clause Invoke rights Campeau invokes “Principal of the Greater Good”
Bob Campeau (An Example of Stand Your Ground)
Andrew Jacob: “What do you want for your half, Bruce?” “$2.1 million.” “But we’re getting Admiralty’s half for $400k!” “Why don’t you want to be partners with the great Bob
Campeau?” Larger, better capitalized partner can kill you
“He (or She) who has the Gold, rules,” Anon
Bob Campeau (An Example of Stand Your Ground)
They can make $$$ by leasing space to tenants in bldgs they own 100%
Empty out 50/50 buildings Then come to weaker partner and do them a ‘favour’ TIL might lose their ½ share for 0 or even negative dollars < 2 to
3 yrs out Hard to argue for the ‘greater good’ when you are still getting your
interest for 43% than FMV 10 minutes < court hearing, “How much do you really want?” “$2.1 million.” 5 minutes before: settlement for $2 million, cash
Brookstreet Resort and the Marshes Golf Club (An Example of Trading Behaviour and Bootstrap Capital)
Bought 62 acres of industrial land in 1994 for $365k Tough recession Industrial land in Kanata had gone down by 90% + Actually huge opportunity to BUY LOW/SELL HIGH (trade!) Two investors put up 100% of capital Loaned Bruce the $$$ for his 1/3 interest at 8%, capitalized Sold in 1997 to Sir Terence Matthews for $2.2 million Investors each get $725k Their IRR is 57% p.a.
Brookstreet Resort and the Marshes Golf Club (An Example of Trading Behaviour and Bootstrap Capital)
Bruce’s IRR? Infinite Sell for $1.1 million 18 months later Why wld investors loan Bruce the $$$ to co-invest? Asymmetric information + operational and sales experience
(Use IRR to calculate yr real returns: Cap rates are simply a ‘rule of thumb’. www.dramatispersonae.org/IRR/IRR
PowerOfLeverageGoalSetting.htm)
Stittsville Bungalow (An Example of Asymmetric Information)
REALTOR puts Seller and Buyer clients together Not on MLS Seller wants to sell with 0 showings Seller wants to sell/lease back so his elderly parents-in-law can
remain in situ for up to 3 yrs Sale is ‘handicapped ‘ as a result Buyer is investor with limited budget Buyer requires co-investors to complete Co-investors want in on project because: purchase of home for
$40k < FMV, 3 yr leaseback at rent > FMV, Tenant pays all utilities, stable/predictable cashflow, paydown of mortgage by Tenant, increase in value over time, bungalows in increasing demand
Stittsville Bungalow (An Example of Asymmetric Information)
2 x Dentists co-invest They have money but no time Managing partner has time but no money Managing partner brings connections with REALTOR, property
management skills, the opportunity to buy below market and to rent above market
Investor ROE: 6% cash-on-cash + 7% pay down of mortgage by Tenant + 1.5% r.e. inflation (~4.5% on equity) + $40k from below mkt purchase
Much better return that GICs (3.15% to 3.85%) Managing partner gets 20% of the deal for ‘nothing’
Robertson Mews
Bought 11 acres for $55k per acre Purchased adjacent 1.7 acres for $225k Bought 1.2 acres for $35k from Ontario Put in sewers and water mains and services
for $850,000 Sold lands for singles, condos, towns and
high rise retirement home
Robertson Mews
Traded off four Barry Hobin towns ‘Calling card’ for Robertson Mews
Robertson MewsSpreadsheet: http://learnbydoing.ca/robertson-mews.xls
Sep-12 Robertson Mews
Parcel A 11 acres $65,000 per acre $715,000
Parcel B 1.7 acres $161,764.71 per acre $275,000
Parcel C 1.2 acres $29,166.67 per acre $35,000
Total 13.9 acres $73,741.01 per acre $1,025,000
Robertson Mews
Planning and Legal Costs $125,000
Servicing Costs $850,000
Misc $85,000
Total $1,060,000
Sub-Total $2,085,000
Financing 9% 2 years $375,300
Grand Total $2,460,300
Robertson Mews
Serviced Land Sales 13.9 acres $315,000 per acre $4,378,500
Gross Profit $1,918,200
Robertson Mews
Project IRR
0 ($1,025,000)
1 ($1,060,000)
2 $1,751,400 40%
3 $2,627,100 60%
IRR 42.6% p.a.
Target 100% p.a.
Industrial Industrial
Condo’sCondo’s
Investment Opportunity
Investment Opportunity
Brought to you by:Brought to you by:
Thurston Drive/Auriga Drive Industrial Condos (An Example of Build and Hold + Differentiated Value)
Too many investors chasing ‘shopping plazas’ or ‘res duplexes, triplexes, quads’
Buy product that others overlook/avoid the behemoths like Banks/Pen Funds/Insurance Cos et al
Can purchase industrial condos in Ottawa from $165k to $350k+ Create some DV (Differentiated Value): e.g., add a mezzanine
with separate entrance Can rent upper level separately from ground floor or both together
Thurston Drive/Auriga Drive Industrial Condos (An Example of Build and Hold + Differentiated Value)
Compare industrial condos with residential rentals:
INDUSTRIAL RESIDENTIAL5 yr leases (typ) 1 yr lease (typ)net/net/net leases gross or semi grosslittle investor competition everyone wants inlow vacancy rates low vacancy ratesnot too management intensive medium amt of mgt requ’dfew debt collection problems many debt collection probsno RTA– simple distrain RTA– evictions difficultnormal wear and tear mega damage possibleTenants self reliant Tenants needy
Thurston Drive/Auriga Drive Industrial Condos (An Example of Build and Hold + Differentiated Value)
Investors inevitably ‘chicken out’ due to unfamiliarity with product category
Only want to buy when 1st class tenants are in place on long term leases and with 0 risk
But remember: buy whenever everyone else is selling and sell whenever everyone else is buying/you make money in r.e. when you buy not when you sell
Units become available because they are vacant– great opportunity for you!
Buy in a recession– great fortunes are made in recessions
(Baron Rothschild in 1871): “Buy (real estate) when there’s blood in the streets.”
What
W
hat
is
it?
is it?
Industrial Condominiums are
Industrial Condominiums are
typically smaller 800 square
typically smaller 800 square
foot to 3,500 square foot
foot to 3,500 square foot
Warehouse Units.
Warehouse Units.Usually consist of 7-14 Units
Usually consist of 7-14 Units
per Building.
per Building.Rent from $10.00-$14.00 per
Rent from $10.00-$14.00 per
sq. ft. triple net
sq. ft. triple netAre in high demand in the
Are in high demand in the
Ottawa areaOttawa area
Wher
e W
her
e ar
e ar
e th
ey?
they
?
There are two projects
There are two projects currently being offered:
currently being offered:South South (Hawthorne & Rideau Rd)
(Hawthorne & Rideau Rd)::West West (190 Michael Cowpland Drive)
(190 Michael Cowpland Drive)::
What
W
hat
is
the
is t
he
cost
?co
st?
Hawthorne Industrial Condo’s:
Hawthorne Industrial Condo’s:
-Start at $229,000.00
Start at $229,000.00
-Additional parking spaces at
Additional parking spaces at
$15,000.00$15,000.00-1,250 square feet
1,250 square feet-32’ Ceilings32’ Ceilings-$10,000 Fit up allowance
$10,000 Fit up allowance
-$175/sf$175/sfMichael Cowpland Industrial
Michael Cowpland Industrial
Condo’s:Condo’s:-Start at $181,500
Start at $181,500 -860 square feet
860 square feet-26’ Ceilings26’ Ceilings-$10,000 Fit up allowance
$10,000 Fit up allowance
-$199/sf$199/sf
What
do t
hey
ren
t
What
do t
hey
ren
t fo
r?fo
r?Typical Rent is $10.00 to
Typical Rent is $10.00 to
$14.00/square foot
$14.00/square foot-190 Michael Cowpland Drive:
190 Michael Cowpland Drive:
$14.00/Square Foot
$14.00/Square Foot-$10,320/year ($860/Month)
$10,320/year ($860/Month)
-Hawthrone Rd:
Hawthrone Rd: $12.00/Square Foot
$12.00/Square Foot-$15,000/year ($1,250/Month)
$15,000/year ($1,250/Month)
What
are
W
hat
are
m
y m
y C
arry
ing
Car
ryin
g
Cost
s?C
ost
s?
- Carrying costs are the costs
Carrying costs are the costs
associated with Real Estate
associated with Real Estate
Ownership. Ownership. - With Industrial Rentals,
With Industrial Rentals,
Tenants pay all Common
Tenants pay all Common
Area Maintenance, Condo
Area Maintenance, Condo
Fee’s, Property Taxes,
Fee’s, Property Taxes,
Insurance, Operating Costs
Insurance, Operating Costs
and Utilities.and Utilities.- What does that mean for
What does that mean for
you? Your only Carrying
you? Your only Carrying
Cost is your Mortgage!
Cost is your Mortgage!
So W
hat
’s
So W
hat
’s
My
My
Mort
gag
e M
ort
gag
e T
hen
?T
hen
?
190 Michael Cowpland
190 Michael Cowpland
Drive:Drive:
-Assume a Purchase Price of $171,500
Assume a Purchase Price of $171,500
netnet-Assume a Interest Rate of 4.5%
Assume a Interest Rate of 4.5%
-Assume a 25 year Amortization
Assume a 25 year Amortization
-LTV: 70% ($51,450 down)
LTV: 70% ($51,450 down)
-Mortgage: $664/Month
Mortgage: $664/Month5000 Hawthorne Road:
5000 Hawthorne Road:
-Assume a Purchase Price of $219,000
Assume a Purchase Price of $219,000
netnet-Assume a Interest Rate of 4.5%
Assume a Interest Rate of 4.5%
-Assume a 25 year Amortization
Assume a 25 year Amortization
-LTV: 70% ($65,700 down)
LTV: 70% ($65,700 down)
-Mortgage: $848
Mortgage: $848
What
’s t
he
What
’s t
he
Cas
h F
low
C
ash F
low
L
ook L
ike?
Look L
ike?
190 Michael Cowpland
190 Michael Cowpland
Drive:Drive:
-Mortgage: $706/Month
Mortgage: $706/Month-Rent: $1,003/Month
Rent: $1,003/Month-Cash Flow: $297/Month
Cash Flow: $297/Month5000 Hawthorne Road:
5000 Hawthorne Road:
-Mortgage: $907/Month
Mortgage: $907/Month-Rent: $1,250/Month
Rent: $1,250/Month-Cash Flow: $343/Month
Cash Flow: $343/Month
So w
hat
my
So w
hat
my
retu
rn o
ver
5
retu
rn o
ver
5
year
s?ye
ars?
190 Michael Cowpland
190 Michael Cowpland
Drive:Drive:-Mortgage Pay down: $14,576
Mortgage Pay down: $14,576
-Cash on Cash: $20,312
Cash on Cash: $20,312
-Inflation (1.25% P.A.): $13,851
Inflation (1.25% P.A.): $13,851
-IRR: 16.2% p.a.
IRR: 16.2% p.a.5000 Hawthorne Road:
5000 Hawthorne Road:
-Mortgage Pay down: $18,613
Mortgage Pay down: $18,613
-Cash on Cash: $24,065
Cash on Cash: $24,065
-Inflation (1.25% P.A.): $14,674
Inflation (1.25% P.A.): $14,674
-IRR: 14.7% p.a.
IRR: 14.7% p.a.
What
do
What
do
thes
e C
ondos
thes
e C
ondos
look lik
e?lo
ok lik
e?
Site Plans?Site Plans?
Haw
thorn
e:
Site Plans?Site Plans?
Mic
hael C
ow
pla
nd D
rive
Flo
or
Flo
or
Pla
ns
Pla
ns
Oth
er
Oth
er
Rea
sons
to
Rea
sons
to
Inve
st in
Inve
st in
Indust
rial
In
dust
rial
C
ondo’s
Condo’s
1.1.Owning your own real estate gives you
Owning your own real estate gives you
financial flexibility
financial flexibility2.2.
Buildings don’t run out on you
Buildings don’t run out on you
3.3.Get Rich Slow
Get Rich Slow4.4.
No Residential Tenancy Act
No Residential Tenancy Act
5.5.Real Estate tends to appreciate in value
Real Estate tends to appreciate in value
6.6.Not as volatile as stocks
Not as volatile as stocks
7.7.Tenant pays your mortgage– you get
Tenant pays your mortgage– you get
wealthywealthy8.8.Long Term Tenancies (Typically 3-5
Long Term Tenancies (Typically 3-5
years)years)9.9.No Over Holding Provision for Tenants
No Over Holding Provision for Tenants
10.10. Security of tenure
Security of tenure11.11. Demised exactly the way you want
Demised exactly the way you want
12.12. Branded, distinctive designs
Branded, distinctive designs
13.13. Gateway real estate
Gateway real estate
14.14. Highly visible signage
Highly visible signage
15.15. Low vacancy rates
Low vacancy rates
16.16. Excellent glazing
Excellent glazing17.17. Tax advantages from real estate
Tax advantages from real estate
ownershipownership
Haw
thorn
Haw
thorn
e e
Des
crip
tio
Des
crip
tio
nn
These high design industrial condos are situated on
These high design industrial condos are situated on
Hawthorne Road close to the heartland of industrial
Hawthorne Road close to the heartland of industrial
property in Ottawa. This is an opportunity to own your
property in Ottawa. This is an opportunity to own your
own real estate or to invest in commercial real
own real estate or to invest in commercial real
estate affordably. These industrial condos have 32
estate affordably. These industrial condos have 32
ft clear height with a floor plan area of 1,250 sq. ft. You
ft clear height with a floor plan area of 1,250 sq. ft. You
can combine units to form larger spaces. There is
can combine units to form larger spaces. There is
sufficient clear height for a mezzanine to be added later
sufficient clear height for a mezzanine to be added later
or on first construction—it is your choice. For the first
or on first construction—it is your choice. For the first
seven industrial condos sold there is a $10,000 fit up
seven industrial condos sold there is a $10,000 fit up
allowance available to help you customize your unit. Each
allowance available to help you customize your unit. Each
unit comes with fully glazed front exposure with excellent
unit comes with fully glazed front exposure with excellent
signage and double doors. Rear elevation
signage and double doors. Rear elevation
includes an over–sized overhead door for easy access for
includes an over–sized overhead door for easy access for
equipment, shipping and receiving. Warehousing of 7-foot
equipment, shipping and receiving. Warehousing of 7-foot
containers stacked four high is possible. The electrical
containers stacked four high is possible. The electrical
panel is installed ready for distribution. Each unit comes
panel is installed ready for distribution. Each unit comes
with a w/c and its own HVAC systems ready for
with a w/c and its own HVAC systems ready for
distribution. One parking spot is included with each unit
distribution. One parking spot is included with each unit
and additional ones can be purchased. Truck access is
and additional ones can be purchased. Truck access is
excellent and zoning allows a wide range of uses.
excellent and zoning allows a wide range of uses.
Occupancy is scheduled for February 2013.
Occupancy is scheduled for February 2013.
Mic
hae
l M
ichae
l C
ow
pla
nd
Cow
pla
nd
Des
crip
tion
Des
crip
tion
These industrial condos are designed in a traditional
These industrial condos are designed in a traditional
manner to suit the environment in the Kanata South
manner to suit the environment in the Kanata South
Business Park. This is an opportunity to own your
Business Park. This is an opportunity to own your
own real estate or to invest in commercial real
own real estate or to invest in commercial real
estate affordably. These industrial condos have 26
estate affordably. These industrial condos have 26
foot clear height with a floor plan area of 860 sq. ft.
foot clear height with a floor plan area of 860 sq. ft.
You can combine units to form larger spaces. There
You can combine units to form larger spaces. There
is sufficient clear height for a mezzanine to be added
is sufficient clear height for a mezzanine to be added
later or on first construction—it is your choice. For the
later or on first construction—it is your choice. For the
first six industrial condos sold there is a $10,000 fit up
first six industrial condos sold there is a $10,000 fit up
allowance available to help you customize your unit.
allowance available to help you customize your unit.
Each unit comes with fully glazed front exposure with
Each unit comes with fully glazed front exposure with
excellent signage and double doors. Rear elevation
excellent signage and double doors. Rear elevation
includes an over–sized overhead door for easy
includes an over–sized overhead door for easy
access for equipment, shipping and receiving.
access for equipment, shipping and receiving.
Warehousing of 7-foot containers stacked three high
Warehousing of 7-foot containers stacked three high
is possible. The electrical panel is installed ready
is possible. The electrical panel is installed ready
for distribution. Each unit comes with a w/c and its
for distribution. Each unit comes with a w/c and its
own HVAC systems ready for distribution. High speed
own HVAC systems ready for distribution. High speed
fibre optic cable already installed on street. One
fibre optic cable already installed on street. One
parking spot is included with each unit and additional
parking spot is included with each unit and additional
ones can be purchased. Truck access is
ones can be purchased. Truck access is
excellent and zoning allows a wide range of uses.
excellent and zoning allows a wide range of uses.
Occupancy is scheduled for February 2013.
Occupancy is scheduled for February 2013.
Sch
edule
Sch
edule
1. Refundable Deposit for each
1. Refundable Deposit for each
unit: $2,500unit: $2,5002. Due upon signing Reservation
2. Due upon signing Reservation
AgreementAgreement3. Review of APS by Buyer’s
3. Review of APS by Buyer’s
lawyerlawyer4. Second deposit: 5% of
4. Second deposit: 5% of
Purchase Price less $2,500 upon
Purchase Price less $2,500 upon
signing of Agreement of
signing of Agreement of
Purchase and Sale
Purchase and Sale5. Third deposit of 5% of
5. Third deposit of 5% of
Purchase Price due upon close-
Purchase Price due upon close-
in of buildingin of building6. Occupancy: Feb 2013 (est)
6. Occupancy: Feb 2013 (est)
7. Completion April 2013–
7. Completion April 2013–
balance due
balance due
Hawthorne Spreadsheet: http://learnbydoing.ca/investment-break-down-lease-20-aug-2012-res-vs-industrial-2.xlsx
Hawthorne Industrial Condo's
Purchase Price $ 240,000.00
Down Payment $ 60,000.00 25.00%
Legal Fees $ 850.00
Land Transfer Tax $ 2,400.00 1.00%
Closing Costs $ 3,600.00 1.50%
Total Costs on Closing $ 66,850.00
Hawthorne Spreadsheet
Mortgage $ 180,000.00
Interest Rate 5.00% p.a.
Amortization 25 years
Payment ($1,052.26)
Hawthorne Spreadsheet
Rental Rate $ 12.00 /SF
Size 1250 SF
Total Rent $ 15,000.00
Hawthorne Spreadsheet
Estimated Operating Costs
Condo Fees $ 1.50
Operating Costs $ 4.00
Total $ 5.50
Administration Fee $ 0.83 15%
Property Management Fee $ 0.72 6%
Total Fees $ 1.55
Total Yearly Fees $ 1,931.25
Hawthorne Spreadsheet
Total Mortgage $ (12,627.14) /annum
Vacancy Allowance $ (900.00) 6.00%
Cash Flow $ 3,404.11 /annum
Hawthorne Spreadsheet
Mortgage Paydown (5years) $ 20,555.66
Real Estate Inflation $ 31,537.97 2.50% p.a.
Equity $ 60,000.00
Cash Flow $ 3,404.11
Sub-Total $ 115,497.74
Commissions $ 14,934.59 5.50%
Closing Costs $ 4,073.07 1.50%
Total On Sale (5years) $ 96,490.08
Hawthorne Spreadsheet
IRR `
0 $ (66,850.00)
1 $ 3,404.11 $ 3,404.11
2 $ 3,404.11 $ 6,808.21
3 $ 3,404.11 $ 10,212.32
4 $ 3,404.11 $ 13,616.42
5 $ 96,490.08 $ 110,106.50
IRR 11.35%
Maple Leaf Design and Construction (An Example of Bootstrapping)
Bootstrapped their way to success Source of capital (essentially supplier credit) Friendly landowner provides options on land, basically at no cost Owner gets paid by home buyer not Maple Leaf
Self Capitalize
-why?-VC-funding is hard to get and takes a lot of time-also, you may end up losing control of your business-VC funded biz are just large biz w/ 0 revenues-power comes from having real clients/real cashflow-if you do go for financing and you do it at the mezzanine stage,
you’ll have more leverage-Maple Leaf Design and ConstructionBrain Saumure, B. Arch (CU and SOA)Fred Carmosino, B. Com (Sprott)
-No serfdom for Brian: wanted to be his own boss because he could create more interesting work for himself than others could create for him-Started with $0
Maple Leaf Design and Construction
Option on lots Sweat equity: summer in a trailer with plans, signs and
Agreements of Purchase and Sale Pre-sell Collected deposits Now have $$$ in their bank account– impressed with a trust Used homeowners credit scores to get construction financing
What is cheaper? Debt or Equity?
Debt.
What is cheaper than debt?
Bootstrap Capital (e.g.: Trade Credit, Deposits,…)
They’re FREE!
Reverse out the work
-the Internet is the most important new invention of the last 50 years-it is where electrification was at same stage, 20 yrs in-create custom outputs from standard inputs (e.g. new age virtual home
builder)-reverse out the work to customers and suppliers -match making -mass communicate at ~ no cost (Twitter, FB, blog, Skype, email, IM,
messaging,…)-Crowd sourcing (voting on designs)-user generated content by customers (and suppliers) e.g.: YouTube,
Twitter, FB, Reddit, Digg & Threadless (suppliers: artist community submit t-shirt designs voted on by customers)
Virtual home builder:
-tried in 2000 to get home builders to do this
-very conservative industry
-put lots available and designs online in a physics engine together w/ all options/finishes
-allow everyone to use physics engine
-go online: choose lot, design, fit-up, finishes (carpet, tile, kitchen cabinets, lighting package, plumbing fixtures, etc.)
-put cash register online too
-consumer can see what granite or concrete counter tops add to cost
-can fool around for 30+ hours
-then hit “submit” button
Homebuilders fear putting prices online – their competitors might find out!
Ever heard of “Secret Shoppers?”
-Put CPM (schedules) online: let customers see where their home is at and let suppliers see too when they’re needed for Footing and Foundation, framing, roofing, windows, electrical, plumbing, insulation, dry wall, paint, carpet, cabinets,…
-As more options are available, more users will visit the site, as more users visit the site, more suppliers come onboard and you have a virtuous cycle
-Now “Best Homes 4 U” is enjoying network effects-Suddenly, the flow of cash could reverse direction w/ suppliers
becoming advertisers and sponsors
More about Best Homes 4 U:-Allow lawyers access for e-closings-Allow lenders access for e-funding-Now if your WS attracts 10,000s of visitors,
you can get your suppliers and your suppliers’ suppliers to pay for ads so more people will buy higher-end products (chandeliers, beveled mirrors, granite, counter tops, home theatre,…)
-more options => more people => more options => more people…
-In a virtuous, self-reinforcing cycle (Google is also an example of Network Effects)
-30+ hours in Design Centre with clients can become just 60 minutes
-Imagine the productivity increase for homebuilder sales staff, lawyers, mortgage lenders, the GC, the foreman (Worst problem? Homebuyer questions about when this or that happens..), suppliers, trades, subs, …
Also, customer satisfaction increases since:
a) they get EXACTLY what they want,
b) they feel they had a hand-in its creation (like Aunt Jemima Pancake Mix: just add eggs and milk).
The folks who bring you this pancake mix famously had an erroneous insight years ago—they thought that by adding powdered eggs and milk to their mix and eliminating the instructions “Just add eggs and milk”, they could save the busy consumer time and sell more product
It turned out that homemakers liked adding ‘real’ eggs and milk: first, they thought it was healthier that powdered eggs and milk and, second, they wanted to be involved in ‘making’ their kids’ breakfasts
For most kids, you are what you do for them By taking this away, sales went down not up Best Homes 4 U, by involving the consumer in the
design of their own home are catering to a deep seated need in humans to ‘buy-in’
This is a powerful lesson for tech—giving consumers the power to customize products and services is big business. For example, Dell is currently using Threadless.com’s platform to allow artists to submit and prospective customers to select winning designs for laptop covers
Triole Street (An Example of BUY LOW/SELL HIGH)
Streetscape is a mess Crappy tenants/crappy building
stock But… baseball home run
distance from St. Laurent Shopping Centre
Visibility from Queensway Bought 9 acres at $1 per s.f. One yr later– offer for 50 cents! “Oh, oh, I made a mistake!” OJ reminds me: “BUY
LOW/SELL HIGH” Why so hard to do?
Triole Street (An Example of BUY LOW/SELL HIGH)
People can be sheep “Is this dress/suit popular/in-style?” Banks only lend when u don’t need the funds– i.e., they only lend to people
who don’t need the money! Banks lend when everyone else is lending and when the press is good The reverse is also true Investors invest when everyone else does and when the press is good The reverse is also true
Pittsburgh investor buys 300 homes in 2008 for $350 each; everyone tells him he’s crazy. Now makes his original investment back every 3 weeks.
Three victims of the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks meet in a stairwell & head down. Then they run into another larger group who are heading up to await ‘helicopter rescue’. 2 join up because everyone else is going up. 1 defies conventional wisdom & goes down thru the smoke and heat because he figured it out (wld take 2 days (!) to evacuate everybody by helicopter) and he didn’t panic. He was the only 1 to survive. He made it out w/ < 5 mins to spare.
Triole Street (An Example of BUY LOW/SELL HIGH)
Two years later sold 4 acres to Car Dealership for $8 per sq. ft. And 5 acres to Roofing Company for $12 per sq. ft.
Mont Cascade and Pro Slide Rick Hunter, former Canadian Ski Team
Member Retires after injury Buys a ski hill Mostly on credit and a bit of savings Loses an atrocious amount year 1 Sitting on the hill in Spring of that year– what
to do?
Mont Cascade and Pro Slide Family to support Debt to repay Bankruptcy facing him Looks at hill/looks at lake/looks at hill again Eureka!
Mont Cascade and Pro Slide Buy two straight plastic tubes from
manufacturer in Rigaud, Québec on (yet more) credit
Buys a couple of pumps on (still more) credit One shack for women’s change room/another
for men’s Reuse parking and food services and toilets
from ski hill 30,000 people show up that summer and give
Rick $13 to use his waterslides
Mont Cascade and Pro Slide Saved! Asks Rigaud manufacturer: “How about a
tube with a bend in it?” “No we don’t do that.” “Why not?” “We do it that way because that’s the way it’s
always been done.” Rick hires first engineer to design a
waterslide with a curve in it Non trivial problem of g-force calculations
Mont Cascade and Pro Slide One day a Disney
executive hears about this
Rick gets the contract for Splash Mountain
Pro Slide is born World leader in custom
design, engineering and manufacturing of fiberglass water rides
Wilderness Tours and Mount Pakenham
Joe Kowalski from Philly falls in love with Algonquin Park
Decides to be an outfitter– taking visitors on canoe trips
First summer is a disaster– turns out no one wants a guide
But he learns that there are force 4 rapids on the Ottawa River that no one had traversed in over a century
Wilderness Tours and Mount Pakenham Joe and his pal Robbie Rosenberger scout
out the territory Joe sees BIG OPPORTUNITY Less than 90 minutes away is a market of
800,000 outdoorsy people with lots of disposable income
Next Spring, he and Robbie ask a farmer for permission to set in to the river on his property
They launch Wilderness Tours with two rafts– Robbie in one and Joe in the other
Wilderness Tours and Mount Pakenham 100s then 1,000s of people show up Problem– while the rapids are terrific, the ride
is short Joe embraces programming: swimming the
rapids/one channel for adventurous paddlers/another for families who want to bring kids/bungee jumping/kayaking/ mountain biking/rock climbing/volleyball/ horseshoes/paddle tennis/basketball/ soccer/ball hockey/lawn chess/softball
Joe starts to buy land Joe starts to build a town
Wilderness Tours and Mount Pakenham 4,000+ acres owned
by WT Both sides of River
(Québec and Ontario)
No development permitted (other than WT)
Problem– how to keep good staff in seasonal biz?
Wilderness Tours and Mount Pakenham Buy Mount Pakenham– winter time staff
reallocation Another problem– smallest vertical anywhere
in the region Turn Mount Pakenham into largest ski school
anywhere– safety becomes their competitive advantage
Schools show up what ever the weather More programming? Add snow board park Add tubing for non-skiers/boarders
Wilderness Tours and Mount Pakenham Further expansions– jet boat business in
Lachine and Niagara Falls Another problem– smallest vertical anywhere
in the region Turn Mount Pakenham into largest ski school
anywhere– safety becomes their competitive advantage
Schools show up what ever the weather More programming—snow board park/tubing
for non-skiers/boarders Now selling fractional ownership for Presqu’ile
Wilderness Tours and Mount Pakenham– Lessons Learned? Entrepreneurs would rather ask for
forgiveness than beg for permission Start with nothing/bootstrap your way to
success/make a profit/cash is King See and seize opportunities where others fail
to go Outcompete your competitors Be innovative and creative Turn problems into opportunities– your
biggest weakness becomes your greatest strength
Villager Home Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
Villager Home Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
Villager Home Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
Villager Home Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
Santa Cruz, California, circa 1969 Big house/little house—1011 and ½ Seabright Avenue (Bruce and
his girlfriend) “Old” Lady—wants company, security + the little house provides
her with extra income Carry plans with me for 25+ yrs Steve Silver et al lobby Ottawa to legalize in-home suites Mayor Chiarelli does this (< he loses election) Legal everywhere in Ottawa (except for Rockcliffe Park!) Fast solution to homeless problem/affordable housing/keeping
seniors in neighborhood instead of in vertical warehouses Extra income for homeowner
Villager Home Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
CMHC provides up to $25k for conversions (forgivable loan) Bring gray market apartments up to bldg code. Fire separated/sound separated and smell separated units Flexible housing stock: 2 families, 1 family with extended family,
kids returning with kids, student housing, elder housing, 1 single family home
Add one door (or remove it) to make these changes Half level down/half level up (like Scotiabank Place!)
Villager Home Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
Tax advantages: interest on mortgage for rental portion now tax deductible
Principal residence still not subject to capital gains tax provided renovations are within existing building envelope
Forced savings from paying off mortgage People with less capital can afford a home Live in your own home for less than $600 per month Renters pay part of your mortgage for you—wealth effect All increase in value goes to equity holder
Villager Home Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
ABSOLUTE FAILURE! People don’t want to be Landlords People can afford (or think they can afford) more housing on their
own* Low interest rate environment– means why should people hassle
w/ Tenants Construction risk—cost overruns and delays are killers YOU ARE NOT THE MARKET! THE MARKET IS RIGHT EVEN WHEN IT’S WRONG!
(* Imagine the average home price in Vancouver is now > $1 million. Now imagine being able to ‘rent’ $1 million from a Bank on a variable rate mortgage for, say, 2.15% p.a. or just $1,791.67 per month!)
Blue Heron Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
Blue Heron Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
CO and CC biz—overrun by large scale players Their cost of capital: less than 1.5% (Banks, Pen Funds,
Insurance Cos, REITS, Publicly traded r.e. firms) Our COC: 8 to 12% That’s like competing in the 100 metre dash but giving up a lead
of 80 metres at the start line! Go under the market (and over the market– Ottawa Sens + SBP) Mini-offices (Terrace Corporate Centres & Exploriem.org) + mini-
storage
Blue Heron Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
15 acres of industrial land in Kanata North Cost to construct sheds: $35 per s.f. Rents are $12 per s.f. per year gross +/- Not too management intensive Lots of competition Our competitive advantage—built a duplex on site where
Manager lives + month-to-month leases Retired person Provides security/leases units Free rent and other benefits
Blue Heron Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
Kanata wanted BHSC to fence and gate with razor wire entire site Part of Village We never fenced it but did put in a gate Gate never closed! Zero vandalism/theft (so far!)
Blue Heron Corporation (An Example of Build and Hold)
92% to 96% occupancy (can never actually get to 100%) Bought lands for $92,500 Rezoned ‘Old fashioned’ rural development: mom/dad/family in front with
the factory/warehouse/workshop/farm/barns/storage in back Sold for $1.1 million
Presidential Executive Travel Apartments (An Example of Build and Hold)
16 condos—Holland Cross and Robertson Mews Ground floor access Lockboxes—self admittance at all hours Furnished units Telephone, cable, basic kitchen foodstuffs, etc ready to go Cleaning service—extra charge/profit centre Apartment rents: $1,200 monthly (1990s) PETA rents $3,000 monthly (1990s) Used for Sens players/trades
Presidential Executive Travel Apartments (An Example of Build and Hold)
Not too management intensive High quality tenants—paid by tech cos/few problems with
collections Limited competition Developed long term relationships with HR managers at local
firms Simple exit strategy– MLS.ca Leases were 30 days to 90 days—more sales required than
typical one year res leases No significant damage to units
Ottawa Senators (An Example of Bootstrap Finance)
Terrace gets $18 per s.f. for its office space/five years later it’s $6
What to do? What does Toronto have that
Ottawa doesn’t have? A zoo/Princess of Wales
Theatre/ Wonderland/NHL Team Conversation w/ Cyril Leeder
and Randy Sexton Bring Back the Senators
Ottawa Senators (An Example of Bootstrap Finance)
Cyril asks how much will it cost? $35 million (est. based on NBA) Actual NHL ask? $50 million USD Randy says let’s go for it Cyril asks how will we pay for it? Bootstrap capital, that’s how
Ottawa Senators (An Example of Bootstrap Finance)
Buy 600 acres at $12,500 per acre Put a NHL team and NHL-calibre building in the middle of it Drive up the value of the land to $112,500 per acre Keep 100 acres for Scotiabank Place and parking lot Sell extra 500 acres for a profit of $100k per acre or $50 million! NHL franchise cost = ZERO!
Ottawa Senators (An Example of Bootstrap Finance)
Also get 32 Original Corporate Sponsors at $15k each And 500 Corporate Sponsors at $500 each Sell 15,000 PRNs at $25 each Raise $1,105,000 to help with bid As Al Davis once said: “Just win, baby.”
If u want a short, pleasant annual meeting w/ yr Bank, make a profit every year, no excuses.
Terrace Investments Ltd St. Laurent Blvd and the Queensway Bank Street and the Queensway Moodie Drive and the Queensway Eagleson Road and the Queensway Palladium Drive and the Queensway March Road and the Queensway
Is there a pattern here?
Conclusion Part 1
When something isn’t working, do something new Learn from your competitors Commitment is important: “YOU’LL NEVER, EVER GET A
FRANCHISE IN … OTTAWA” You can bootstrap big projects Even Fortune 50 companies do that (Disney and the Anaheim
Ducks 4 example) Sponsorship can apply to many industries and is a form of
Bootstrap Capital Keep your core competencies in house– outsource the rest If you are profitable, you will get financing not the other way round Entrepreneurs make their own rules
Conclusion Part 2
Entrepreneurship takes guts Sweat equity is important Creativity and innovation are key Sometimes you need to trade to get ‘table stakes’ Avoid competing directly with behemoths Try to add some differentiated value to your PB4L Be trustworthy Surround yourself with a competent, trusted team–
REALTOR/MORTGAGE BROKER/LAWYER/MENTOR/ETC. The harder u work, the luckier u get Let 100 opportunities go by but when the right one comes along,
strike! MAKE A PROFIT!