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Laws of Motion in Capitalism CMS Stockholm Stockholm October 19, 2016 CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 1 / 23

Laws of Motion in Capitalism - School of Computing Sciencewpc/reports/laws_of_motion_2016.pdf · Laws of motion [I]t is the ultimate aim of this work, to lay bare theeconomic law

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Laws of Motion in Capitalism

CMS Stockholm

Stockholm

October 19, 2016

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 1 / 23

Laws of motion

[I]t is the ultimate aim of this work, to lay bare the economiclaw of motion of modern society

– K. Marx, 1867 Preface to Capital, vol. 1.

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 2 / 23

Laws of motion

[I]t is the ultimate aim of this work, to lay bare the economiclaw of motion of modern society

– K. Marx, 1867 Preface to Capital, vol. 1.

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 2 / 23

Laws of motion

[I]t is the ultimate aim of this work, to lay bare the economiclaw of motion of modern society

– K. Marx, 1867 Preface to Capital, vol. 1.

Concepts from classical physics in political economy

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 2 / 23

Signatures of capitalist market economy

1 Equivalence in exchange:

C→ C

2 Exchange with money:

C → M → C

3 Expanding money:

M → C → M ′

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 3 / 23

Signatures of capitalist market economy

1 Equivalence in exchange:

C→ C

2 Exchange with money:

C → M → C

3 Expanding money:

M → C → M ′

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 3 / 23

Signatures of capitalist market economy

1 Equivalence in exchange:

C→ C

2 Exchange with money:

C → M → C

3 Expanding money:

M → C → M ′

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 3 / 23

Symmetry and conservation in exchange

C C

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 4 / 23

Symmetry in exchange

Example from Volume 1:If 1 coat =̇ 20 yards of linen

then 20 yards of linen =̇ 1 coat

The exchange relation is symmetric:

C︸︷︷︸1 coat

C︸︷︷︸20 yards of linen

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 5 / 23

Symmetry in exchange

Example from Volume 1:If 1 coat =̇ 20 yards of linen

then 20 yards of linen =̇ 1 coat

The exchange relation is symmetric:

C︸︷︷︸1 coat

C︸︷︷︸20 yards of linen

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 5 / 23

Marx after Noether

Emmy Noether (1882 - 1935)

Symmetry and conservation

If a system has a symmetry property, thenit possesses a quantity that is unchanged

S S ′→

mm

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 6 / 23

Marx after Noether

Emmy Noether (1882 - 1935)

Symmetry and conservation

If a system has a symmetry property, thenit possesses a quantity that is unchanged

Marxian hypothesis

In a system of symmetric exchanges,

C C,

the conserved quantity is social labour time

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 6 / 23

Labour time as the conserved quantity

Social production system

corn

iron

labour

sugar

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 7 / 23

Labour time as the conserved quantity

Social production system

corn

iron

labour

sugar

Labour is a universal and redeployable resource

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 7 / 23

Labour time as the conserved quantity

Social production system

corn

iron

labour

sugar

Social labour is therefore an abstract quantity

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 7 / 23

Labour time as the conserved quantity, cont’d

O

Figure : An object O with a mass ...

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 8 / 23

Labour time as the conserved quantity, cont’d

O

Figure : ... has weight only interaction with gravitational field

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 8 / 23

Labour time as the conserved quantity, cont’d

C

Figure : A commodity C with a use value ...

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 8 / 23

Labour time as the conserved quantity, cont’d

labour

corn

iron sugar

C

Figure : ... has labour value only interaction with social production field

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 8 / 23

Labour time as the conserved quantity, cont’d

labour

sugar

corn

iron

C

C

Figure : Labour value is conserved under symmetric exchange

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 8 / 23

Labour content as conserved quantity, cont’d

Testable law

Market prices of a commodity-type C are statistically linked to itslabour value

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 9 / 23

Labour content as conserved quantity, cont’d

Testable law

Market prices of a commodity-type C are statistically linked to itslabour value

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 80

0.5

1

1.5

ratio

pd

f

Japan, 2000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 80

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

ratio

pd

f

Sweden, 1995

Figure : Proportion of commodities with different ratios P (C)/Λ(C)

Zachariah, D.: Labour value and equalisation of profit rates: a multi-country study. Indian

Development Review, vol. 4, June 2006.

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 9 / 23

Conservation laws of market exchange

C M C

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 10 / 23

Colliding agents of market exchange

Exchange with money commodity

CAgent A:

MAgent B:

M

C

Labour value of C + M is conserved

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 11 / 23

Colliding agents of market exchange

Exchange with financial asset

CAgent A:

FaAgent B:

Fa

C

Labour value of C is conserved

Asset Fa represents claim on value

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 11 / 23

Marx after Boltzmann

Ludwig Boltzmann (1844 - 1906)

Large systems with energy constraints

Uncoordinated interactions amongparticles produce stable distribution ofenergy

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 12 / 23

Marx after Boltzmann

Ludwig Boltzmann (1844 - 1906)

Large systems with energy constraints

Uncoordinated interactions amongparticles produce stable distribution ofenergy

Marxian hypothesis

Uncoordinated market exchange,

C Fa C,

will by itself produce stable distribution of money Fa

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 12 / 23

Marx after Boltzmann, cont’d

Testable law

The distribution of money across exchanging agents is Boltzmann

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 30000

1

2

3

4

5x 10

5

Money F a

#Agents

Figure : Proportion of agents with different amounts of money

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 13 / 23

Marx after Boltzmann, cont’d

Testable law

The distribution of money across exchanging agents is Boltzmann

Figure : Distribution of income in USA

Silva, A. C., and Yakovenko, V. M. Temporal evolution of the ‘thermal’ and ‘superthermal’ income

classes in the USA during 1983-2001. Europhysics Letters, v. 69, pp. 304-310, 2005.

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 13 / 23

Agents of exchange: credit and debt

Exchange using credit and debt

CAgent A:

oAgent B:

Fa

C+D

Labour value of C is conserved

Legal obligation o that creates D and Fa

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 14 / 23

Agents of exchange: credit and debt

Debt

Pay off debt

a b

Figure : Two agents with mutual debt obligations

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 15 / 23

Agents of exchange: credit and debt

Debt

a

b

Pay off debt

Figure : Repaying debt has symmetric effect on asset

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 15 / 23

Agents of exchange: credit and debt

Debt

a

b

Pay off debt

Figure : Increasing debt has symmetric effect on asset

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 15 / 23

Laws of credit and debt

Testable law

The financial surpluses of all economic sectors sum to 0

Testable law

In a credit system with interest, firms with different rates of profit willpolarize into rentiers and debtors

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 16 / 23

Laws of credit and debt

Testable law

The financial surpluses of all economic sectors sum to 0

Testable law

In a credit system with interest, firms with different rates of profit willpolarize into rentiers and debtors

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 16 / 23

Laws of credit and debt

Testable law

The financial surpluses of all economic sectors sum to 0

Testable law

In a credit system with interest, firms with different rates of profit willpolarize into rentiers and debtors

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 16 / 23

Non-conservation laws of capital accumulation

M→ C→M + ∆M

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 17 / 23

Breaking symmetry in production and consumption

Production

Exchange

Workers Capitalists

Cw ∆C∆MMw

Figure : Symmetry and conservation reigns in market exchange

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 18 / 23

Breaking symmetry in production and consumption

Production

Exchange

Workers Capitalists

∆C

L

Cw

Figure : Surplus labour and product extracted via market mechanism

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 18 / 23

Breaking symmetry in production and consumption

Production

Exchange

Workers Capitalists

Mw M′

∆MMw

M

Figure : Profit income is a symbolic claim on surplus product

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 18 / 23

Breaking symmetry in production and consumption

Production

Exchange

Workers Capitalists

Cw ∆C∆MMw

Testable law

Real profit income arises through the extraction of surplus labour

Testable law

Aggregate profit income is determined by capitalist expenditure

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 18 / 23

General signature of capital

The general signature of capital

M → → M′C

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 19 / 23

General signature of capital

hides its material basis

M → → M′C C+∆C⇒

L↑

C

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 19 / 23

Exponential growth through reinvestment

Exponential growth of claims on value

M→ C→M′ → C→M′′ → C→M′′′ → · · ·

must be backed by material expansion of

M → → M′C C+∆C⇒

L↑

C

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 20 / 23

Exponential growth through reinvestment

Exponential growth of claims on value

M→ C→M′ → C→M′′ → C→M′′′ → · · ·

must be backed by material expansion of

M → → M′C C+∆C⇒

L↑

C

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 20 / 23

Constraints on average profitability

Testable law

Average profit rate is determined by investment level and exponentialgrowth of labour and productivity

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 200510

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

% p

er

an

nu

m

USA

R

R*

R* (g

L=0)

R* (g

L=g

P=0)

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 200510

15

20

25

30

35

40

% p

er

an

nu

m

UK

R

R*

R* (g

L=0)

R* (g

L=g

P=0)

Figure : Trajectory of average profit rates in US and UK

Zachariah, D.: Determinants of the average profit rate and the trajectory of capitalist economies.

Bulletin of Political Economy, Vol.3, No.1, 2009

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 21 / 23

Constraints on average profitability

Testable law

Average profit rate is determined by investment level and exponentialgrowth of labour and productivity

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 200510

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

% p

er

an

nu

m

USA

R

R*

R* (g

L=0)

R* (g

L=g

P=0)

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 200510

15

20

25

30

35

40

% p

er

an

nu

m

UK

R

R*

R* (g

L=0)

R* (g

L=g

P=0)

Figure : Trajectory of average profit rates in US and UK

Zachariah, D.: Determinants of the average profit rate and the trajectory of capitalist economies.

Bulletin of Political Economy, Vol.3, No.1, 2009

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 21 / 23

Summary

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 22 / 23

Summary

By applying concepts from classical physics, the signatures

C → C C →M → C M → C →M ′,

can generate fruitful hypotheses and testable laws of capitalist marketeconomies

For more details:

Cockshott, P. and Zachariah, D.: Conservation laws, financialentropy and the Eurozone crisis. Economics, 8 (2014-5): 1-55.

Thank you for listening!

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 23 / 23

Summary

By applying concepts from classical physics, the signatures

C → C C →M → C M → C →M ′,

can generate fruitful hypotheses and testable laws of capitalist marketeconomies

For more details:

Cockshott, P. and Zachariah, D.: Conservation laws, financialentropy and the Eurozone crisis. Economics, 8 (2014-5): 1-55.

Thank you for listening!

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 23 / 23

Summary

By applying concepts from classical physics, the signatures

C → C C →M → C M → C →M ′,

can generate fruitful hypotheses and testable laws of capitalist marketeconomies

For more details:

Cockshott, P. and Zachariah, D.: Conservation laws, financialentropy and the Eurozone crisis. Economics, 8 (2014-5): 1-55.

Thank you for listening!

CMS Stockholm Laws of Motion in Capitalism October 19, 2016 23 / 23