Latin American Analysis_GTT_Synd6_systems

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    Latin American Analysis

    Syndicate 6

    Systems and Finance

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    Overall economy of the regionOverall economy of the region

    From 2007, the region hasexperienced great economicdevelopment

    Agriculture and manufacturing arethe major economic activities

    Brazil, Mexico and Argentina the top3 economies by GDP (PPP) as of 2010

    Latin Americas economy grew 6.6%in 2010

    Paraguays economy grew by 9.7%,followed by Uruguay with 9%, Peruwith 8.6% and Argentina with 8.4% in2010

    Region increased exports by 29% in2010, reaching 853 billion USD,completely reverting the 23% drop in2009

    Source: http://peopledaily.com

    Source: http://oecd.com

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    Telecom ecosystem of Latin AmericaTelecom ecosystem of Latin America

    Top 5 markets by telecom service revenues

    are Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Venezuela

    and Colombia in 2010

    Current mobile penetration ~ 88-90%

    Brazil is the largest telecom market in Latin

    America with 41.5 million fixed subscribers,

    174.0 million mobile subscribers by Q4,2009

    Subscriber growth > 6.7% for Mexicos

    wireless market, reaching ~ 90%

    penetration in Q4, 2009

    Argentinas wireless telecom market grew

    by 10.2% with 48.2mn subscribers by Q4,

    2009

    Latin America has around 34.8% internet

    penetration with Brazil and Mexico leading

    the way

    Source: http://www.4gamericas.org/

    Source: http://www.internetworldstats.com/

    Latin America Top Internet countries (mn users)

    Technological share of the Latin American market (2009)

    Source: http://www.prlog.org

    http://www.lightreading.com

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    Key Players (Region wise)Key Players (Region wise)

    Major Latin American

    Telecom Players

    America Movil

    Telefonica

    Global Crossing

    Mexic

    C l mbia

    ArgentinaBrazil

    Vivo (Telefonica)

    Claro (America Movil)

    Tim (Telecom Italia)

    Oi (Telemar)

    Claro (America Movil)

    Movistar (Telefonica)

    Telecom Personal(Telecom Argentina)

    TASA

    Telfonos de Mxico (TelMex)

    Iusacell (Vodafone)

    TelCel (America Movil)

    Unefon

    Movilnet (CanTV)

    Movistar(Telefonica)

    Digitel

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    Major events in the last 2 decadesMajor events in the last 2 decadesOpening up of the telecom market in mid 1980s

    Moving from central monopolistic control to a market based

    economy in early 1990s

    Major telecom players from America entered the markets in

    mid 1990s

    Telecom equipment production got a boost post regulatory

    reforms from mid-end 1990s

    3G services launched amongst falling voice revenues in 2008

    across Latin American countries

    WiMAX deployed in 2008-09, MNP launched in 2009-10,

    LTE trials begin in early 2010 in Brazil and Mexico

    1980s-2010

    Latin American markets crossed half billion mark in mobile

    subscriber base in 2010

    Fixed line growth start declining in 2002-03, market for

    fixed line privatized and opened for competition

    Number of mobile subscribers surpass fixed-line subscribers

    in 2003

    Number of GSM subscribers overtake the number of CDMA

    subscribers in 2003-04

    Source: http://www.internetworldstats.comhttps://www.budde.com.au

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    Consumer Preferences in LatinConsumer Preferences in Latin

    American marketsAmerican markets

    3 out of 5 internet users in Latin America visit retailsites each month

    79% of males reported making an online purchase,

    while 88% of females reported doing so

    Brazil showed the highest percentage conversion of

    online e-commerce site visitors to purchasers

    94% of visitors in Brazil making an online purchase,

    Argentina followed at 89%, Colombia stood at 84%

    People in Latin American countries prefer socialnetworking sites to email

    They are more likely to post blogs, photos/videos or

    tweet online, they value Internet access far highlythan people in more developed countries

    Brazilians apparently have the most Facebookfriends, with an average of 231

    More than half of Brazilian and Mexican users areposting new content on a daily basis

    Instantly engaging music videos widely popular aspeople tend to only watch for a few minutes at a

    time

    Predominantly male users now, although womenare increasingly using mobile TV

    Demographic constantly becoming younger withhandset advancement

    Operators will need to combine the right services atthe right price containing the right content.

    Latin Americans have adopted text messaging astheir go-to form of communication with people

    sending roughly 250 billion SMSs in 2009, a number

    likely to increase to > 400 billion by 2014

    SMS based short codes creating new bonds between

    the consumers and brands

    Consumers are much more likely to respond to a

    short code campaign than an email campaign,

    indicating a clear preference for this medium

    SMS

    Mobile TV

    Social MediaeCommerce

    Source: http://www.newmediatrendwatch.com/

    http://www.comscore.com

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    Regulations in the Latin American regionRegulations in the Latin American region

    Country Regulating Body

    Privatized/

    Liberalized 3G WiMax

    Triple

    Play VOIP

    M-

    Commerce MVNO

    Number

    Portability

    Mobile

    TV

    Argentina Secretaria deComunicaciones

    1990 UMTS850/1900

    3.5GHz Yes Allowed2004

    No Full MVNO2009

    Allowed2010

    No

    Brazil ANATEL 1996 UMTS

    850/2100

    3.5GHz Yes Allowed

    as VAS

    services

    M-Cash Full MVNO

    2010

    Allowed

    2009

    2010

    Chile Subsecretaria de

    Telecommunicacai

    ones

    1988 UMTS

    850/1900

    3.5GHz Yes Allowed

    2004

    Yes Full MVNO

    2008

    Allowed

    2009

    2009

    Colombia Comisin de

    Regulacin de

    Telecomunicacion

    es

    2006 UMTS

    850/1900

    Not Yet

    Launch

    ed

    Yes Allowed,

    Need

    telecom

    license

    No Partial

    MVNO

    Allowed

    2008

    2010

    Mexico Coftel 1990 UMTS

    850

    3.5GHz Yes Allowed

    without a

    license

    Pag-Movil Full MVNO

    2010

    Allowed

    2010

    No

    Uruguay Unidad

    Reguladora de

    Servicios de

    Telecomunicacion

    es

    Yes UMTS

    850/1900

    /2100

    Not Yet

    Launch

    ed

    Yes Allowed

    without a

    license

    No Not

    Allowed

    Not

    Allowed

    2010

    Venezuela Comisin

    Nacional de

    Telecomunicacion

    es CONATEL

    1991 UMTS

    850

    2.5GHz Yes Allowed,

    Need

    telecom

    license

    No Not

    Allowed

    Not

    Allowed

    2010

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    Mergers and AcquisitionsMergers and AcquisitionsCountry Target Company Acquirer

    Deal Size (in $

    millions) Remarks

    Brazil

    Oi Telemar Norte Leste 1,607.70

    Oi (then known asTelemar) was formed as Tele Norte Leste to

    merge sixteen state-owned incumbent local exchange carriers

    (ILECs), during the privatization of Brazilian

    Brasil Telecom Oi NAIn 2008, Oi announced it would purchase Brasil Telecom, creatinga major Brazilian telecommunications company, already

    nicknamed "Supertele" or "SuperOi"

    BCP America Movil 625In 2003, America Movil announced the purchase of BCP for US$

    625 million

    Tele Centro Oeste Celular Telesp Celular Participacoes 438

    BSE Telecom Americas 180 The acquisition BSE, also known as BCP Nordeste, became part

    of America Movil's Brazilian subsidiary Telecom Americas

    Telpart ParticipacoesHighlake International

    Business70

    Canbras Participacoes Horizon Cablevision do Brasil 32.6

    MetroRED Telecomunicacoes Brasil Telecom 17

    Mexico

    Telmex America Movil TakeOver 2380

    In January 2010 America Movil the largest mobile phone compan

    in Latin America made an offer to buy Telmex and Telmex

    International in order to better compete against Spain's

    Telefonica, the acquisition was approved by the CFC (Comisin

    Federal de Competencia) Antitrust Office in Mexico on February

    11, 2010. America Movil was once the mobile arm ofTelmex, but

    since 2001 America Movil was split off and grew bigger than the

    former parent company.

    Telereunion Lambco Telecommunications 18.8Delta Comunicaciones

    DiginalesNII Holdings 39.3

    Televisa(NII Holdings) Nextel 1440

    In February 2010, NII Holdings and Grupo Televisa signed a

    definitive agreement under which Televisa acquired an equity

    stake in Nextel Mexico. Under the agreement, Televisa invested

    $1.44 billion in cash for an initial 30% equity stake in Nextel

    Mexico

    Motorola Chihuahua factory Hon Hai Precision Industry 18

    On Oct. 17 2003, Motorola sold a cell-phone factory in

    Chihuahua, Mexico, to Taiwan's Hon Hai Precision Industry Co.

    Ltd. Under the deal, Hon Hai was to continue to produce handsetfor Motorola at the Chihuahua factory under a multi-year

    manufacturing agreement.

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    Telecom Trends in the regionTelecom Trends in the region

    1

    Launch of 3G services is the region have seen a lot of success. Almost all countries have 3G serviceslaunched. Around 2009, in less than a year, 25 operators in 14 countries launched 3G in the region with211,000 Customers

    Launch of 3G services is the region have seen a lot of success. Almost all countries have 3G serviceslaunched. Around 2009, in less than a year, 25 operators in 14 countries launched 3G in the region with211,000 Customers

    2 Most of the countries have Wimax launched with a few having planned launches in 2011. Latin America

    recorded 35 WiMax deployments across 14 countries and 261,000 subscribers at the end of 1Q08 Most of the countries have Wimax launched with a few having planned launches in 2011. Latin America

    recorded 35 WiMax deployments across 14 countries and 261,000 subscribers at the end of 1Q08

    3 MNP has been launched, off late in 2009-10 in most of the countries, Brazil leading the pack with most ports MNP has been launched, off late in 2009-10 in most of the countries, Brazil leading the pack with most ports

    4 The industry seems ripe for consolidation and a lot M&A activity is on the cards. ne of the biggest deals

    being the consolidation of Am rica Mvil, Carso Global and Telmex Internacional, worth $23.8 billion The industry seems ripe for consolidation and a lot M&A activity is on the cards. ne of the biggest deals

    being the consolidation of Am rica Mvil, Carso Global and Telmex Internacional, worth $23.8 billion

    5 The growth of mobile broadband in Latin America has been nothing short of spectacular with a total of 15

    million connections till 2010 The growth of mobile broadband in Latin America has been nothing short of spectacular with a total of 15

    million connections till 2010

    6 Mobile TV has been launched in most of the countries with ISDB-T being the chosen technology Mobile TV has been launched in most of the countries with ISDB-T being the chosen technology

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    Telecom EcosystemTelecom Ecosystem

    Customer

    Network

    EquipmentVendors

    ZTE, NSN,Ericsson, Huawei

    NetworkProvider

    America Movil,Telefonica

    control almost62% of the

    market

    VAS ProvidersGemalto, IMI

    mobile

    ServiceProvider/MVNOs

    America Movil,Telefonica , Telecom

    Argentina

    Handset

    ManufacturersNokia,

    Motorola,Sony Ericsson

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    What Next for Latin American markets?What Next for Latin American markets?

    The launch andadoption of LTE

    networks

    The Launch of 4GHSDPA and Next

    Generation IPnetworks

    Launch of Videoon Demand bymost service

    providers

    Emergence ofInternet Based

    Mobile VAS andexplosive growth

    in app stores

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