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Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY FarmSmart NutrientSmart Conference Dr. Christopher J. Winslow, Director Ohio Sea Grant and Ohio State University’s Stone Lab January 19 th , 2018

Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

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Page 1: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current

Research Efforts

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

FarmSmart NutrientSmart Conference

Dr. Christopher J. Winslow, Director

Ohio Sea Grant and Ohio State University’s Stone Lab

January 19th, 2018

Page 2: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

The Economic Impact of Tourism in the Lake Erie Region of Ohio

Tourism Sales ($)

Top quintile

Middle quintile

First quintile

119,491

Taxes $1.7 billion

Employment

$3.3 billion

Total Tourism Impact

Lake Region

Sales $12.9 billion

WagesOher economic factors to consider:

— Cost of removing toxins from drinking water— Cost to communities w/ drinking water advisory— Charter captain and marina industry— Jobs and revenue brought into state by agriculture

Page 3: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Setting the Stage for Lake Erie HABs

http://igotfish.com/great-lakes-depth-profile

Page 4: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

1st

1st

Least

10%

Page 5: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Maumee River Storm Runoff Statistics (1960-2010)

• Statistically significant increases in :

Number of storm runoff events per year (up 67%)

Number of spring runoff events (up 40%)

Annual storm discharge (up 53%)

Source: Drs. Laura Johnson and Peter Richards, Heidelberg University

70-90% of loading occurs 20% of time

Page 6: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

70-90% of Loading 20% of Time

Source: Drs. Laura Johnson, Heidelberg University

Page 7: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Microcystis at Stone Lab (8/10/10)

Page 8: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

September 11th, 2011

Page 9: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Microcystis near Marblehead

October 9th, 2011

Photo: Richard Kraus, United States Geological Survey

Page 10: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

September 24th, 2013

http://coastwatch.glerl.noaa.gov/gallery/jpg/a1.13267.1852.LakeErie.143.250m.jpg

Just Western Basin Problem?

Page 11: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Photo: NOAA Satellite Image

October 9, 2011

Just a Lake Erie Problem?

Page 12: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Buckeye LakePhoto: Columbus Dispatch

Lake HopePhoto: Ohio EPA

Muddy Creek

Ohio RiverPhoto: Ohio EPA

Caesar Creek LakePhoto: Ohio EPA

Burr OakPhoto: Ohio EPA

Photo: Ohio EPA

Grand Lake St. MarysPhoto: Ohio EPA

State, Country, and Global Problem

Page 13: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

57572828

121121

132132

137137

156156

241241

325325

2016

81475

4949

7979105105

202202

264264

279279

366452452

475

2,0402,0403,8123,812

179179

206206

1,105

3232

3535

37374141

41414545

2828

5959

5959

6464

80808383

120120

137137

189189

240240

502502

2828

40269

4242

4343

5858

107107

124124

136136

201201

396396

601601

637637

658658

3232

3434

5252

6767

6969

8686

9090

7474

6262

100100

195195

210210

239239

240240

506506

575575

2828

29294141

61617777

9898

Legend

Connecting Channel

Total Phosphorus: > 100 MTA

100

500

Total Phosphorus: < 100 MTA

Great Lakes Tributary Total Phosphorus Loads (MTA)

2008

24

26

22

152

235

61

57

22

Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement

(Annex IV) calling for 40% reduction in

phosphorous loading

Domestic Action Plan being developed

Page 14: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

What Might Phosphorus Reduction Do?

Dr. Rick Stumpf --- NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science

Page 15: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Page 16: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

A Diversified Portfolio• OSU CFAES, “F2F” Projects = 5 ($1,000,000) (Complete)

• Ohio Department of Higher Education I = 19 ($2 mil) (Complete)

• Ohio Department of Higher Education II = 14 ($2 mil) (Progress)

• Ohio Department of Higher Education III = 14 ($1.4 mil) (Progress)

− FY18 and FY19 (Still to come)

• Ohio Sea Grant Funded Projects = 18 ($1,821,000) (Progress)

Field Tributaries Lake Treatment Plant

Page 17: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Truly Collaborative

Page 18: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

• Provided new answers and practical guidance about

producing safe drinking

• Started to fill critical knowledge gaps about the risks that

algal toxins present for human health

• Identified how blooms behave and how to address

nutrient runoff into aquatic ecosystems

• Driven information sharing and priority setting between

universities and agencies, positioning Ohio to better

prevent and manage future crises

HABRI research has …….

Page 19: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Page 20: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

• Maumee and Sandusky Rivers largest Phosphorous loaders

o 87% of Phosphorous from nonpoint sources

o Agri. is dominant land use in these watersheds (>70%)

• Between 2002 and 2013, 70-90% of Phosphorous loads

occurred during highest 20% of flows

o i.e., most loading occurred during ~10 storm events/year

(Baker et al., 2014)

Nutrient Sources Today

Page 21: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

• >75% reduction in Phosphorous from WWTPs; contribute <9%

of Phosphorous today

• CSOs: Long Term Control Plans in place (i.e., by 2020, 40 of

62 communities will have addressed)

o 2013, CSOs in Maumee contributed <1% of Phosphorous

• In Maumee, septic systems contribute ~4% Phosphorous

o Recent state regulations will continue to reduce

• Scott’s Miracle-Gro removed Phosphorous from lawn care

products

o 95% market followed Scott’s lead

• Internal loading of Phosphorous ~3-7% of total load

Nutrient Sources Today

Page 22: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

• 70s to mid-1990s, Phosphoous applied at 10-40 lbs. P2O5

above crop removal rates, resulting in accumulation

• Since the mid-1990s, Phosphorous being applied:

o at ~5 lbs P2O5 below crop removal rates (Mullen 2013)

o on average, 5.5 lbs P2O5 above removal rates while 58%

of fields have Phosphorous applied at or below crop

removal rates (NRCS 2016)

• NRCS (2016) found that 42% of acres accounted for 78% of

Phosphorous runoff and 80% of sediment loss

Understanding Agricultural

Nutrient Loss

Page 23: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

• Avoiding frozen (fall/winter) application of fertilizer and manure (SB1)

• No fertilizer when rain is in forecast and saturated soils (SB1)

• 4R Nutrient Program (SB 150):

o Right fertilizer source (i.e., manure) ○ Right rate (i.e., amount)

o Right time (i.e., rain/frozen ground) ○ Right place (i.e., needed)

• Eliminate broadcast application and incorporate fertilizer (i.e., subsurface placement; band/inject)

• Soil testing of all fields to prevent application of too much Phosphorous

o Do not apply Phosphorous above agronomic need (Tri-state Reco.)

• Drainage water management:

o Disconnect hydrologic pathways; drain tiles vs. wetlands & blind inlets

o Good portion of Phosphorous leaving fields is going through tiles

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

We are Directionally Correct

Page 24: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

What Other Levers Can We Turn?

• Lawn Care Recommendations:

‐ Follow Scott’s lead.….all lawn care fertilizer sellers and lawn care applicators meet the zero P goal

• Reduce property runoff (e.g., rain barrels, terraces, porous surfaces, etc.)

• Sewage Treatment Plant Recommendations:

‐ Expedite actions to eliminate CSOs

‐ Reduce volume to treatment plants (“low-flow”)

• Water Treatment Plant Recommendations:

‐ Ortho-P as a corrosion reduction strategy

• More closely monitor septic tanks:

‐ Assure that all septic tanks are working properly

Immediate Needs:

– Arm water treatment plants with tools,

technology, and training to remove toxins

– Reduce load of P into Lake Erie by 40%

• Water management

• Soil testing (<30ppm)

Page 25: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Any [email protected]: 614-247-6469O2: 614-292-8949

Page 26: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Page 27: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

The Bottom Line:

• Event warnings (x2)

oGLOS

• Rock and Honey Creeks

• Fingerprinting

• Vertical movement

• Shifts between toxic and non-toxic blooms

• Central Basin blooms

• Multi-Model collaboration

• The winter piece

Page 28: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Toledo Blade

Page 29: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

The Bottom Line:

• Distribution system (fate of toxins)

• Biofilters and potassium permanganate

• Bioremediation (toxin eating and phages)

• PAC and algaecide; type and dose

• ELISA vs. LC-MS

• Ozone vs. UV

• Enzyme pathway for treatment

• Point-of-use reverse osmosis

Page 30: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Page 31: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

The Bottom Line:

• Fish flesh and fresh produce

• People who are predisposed to or already have liver damage may be more susceptible

• Detecting toxins in biological samples

Page 32: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

Page 33: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

The Bottom Line:• Social network analysis

• Stakeholder-Informed decision-making support system

• 56 on 80; BMPs to optimize agriculture outputs and water quality

Page 34: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

• Soil-test-informed application rates (??%, 60%, then 30%)

• Adopt subsurface placement (25%, 36%, then 29%)

• Cover crops (27%, 20%, then 38%)

• Other BMPs:

o Blind inlets (Phosphorous reduction by 60%)

o Water management (1% increase = .75” rain)

o Majority of farmers are concerned and know issue…but

are not convinced that proposed BMPs are effective

(either feasible or ability to reduce P loss)

Identify Effective BMPs

Page 35: Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts · 2018-02-18  · Lake Erie Algae, Nutrient Loading and Current Research Efforts OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY

What is Causing the Harmful Algal Blooms in Lake Erie?

Clean Air ActClimate changeCommodity pricesCropping systemsCrop uptakeEquipment sizeEthanolFertilizer placementFertilizer ratesFertilizer sourceFertilizer timingGlyphosateGMOsIncreased soil pH

Ignoring amounts of P lossLarger farm sizeLower levels of sediment in the waterManureMisconceptions about P by researchersConservation Tillage (No-till & reduced till)NitrogenRental agreementsProducts sold to increase P solubility in soilSoil biology alterationsSoil testing and analysisStratification of PTile drainageZebra mussels, “near-shore shunt”

Smith et al., 2014