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    November, 2012 Examination series

    Level 5 Unit 02 Risk Management & Supply Chain Vulnerability

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    November, 2012 Examination series

    Level 5 Unit 02 Risk Management & Supply Chain Vulnerability

    L5-02/SA report/November, 2012 Series/  2

    INFORMATION FOR CANDIDATES

    The senior assessor’s report is written in order to provide candidates with feedback relating

    to the examination. It is designed as a tool for candidates - both those who have sat the

    examination and those who wish to use as part of their revision for future examinations.

    Candidates are advised to refer to the Examination Techniques Guide (see the following link:

    (http://www.cips.documents/ExaminationtechniqueguideNovember2012.pdf ) as well as this

    senior assessor’s report. 

    The senior assessor’s report aims to provide the following information: 

    An indication of how to approach the examination question

    An indication of the points the answer should include

    An indication of candidate performance for the examination question

    Each question has a syllabus reference which highlights the learning objectives of the

    syllabus unit content that the question is testing. The unit content guides are available to

    download at the following link:

    http://www.cips.org/studyqualify/cipsqualifications/syllabuses/ 

    ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION

    The Supply Management magazine is a useful source of information and candidates areadvised to include it in their reading during their study. Please see the following link to the

    Supply Management website: http:/www.supplymanagement.com/ 

    http://www.cips.documents/ExaminationtechniqueguideNovember2012.pdfhttp://www.cips.documents/ExaminationtechniqueguideNovember2012.pdfhttp://www.cips.documents/ExaminationtechniqueguideNovember2012.pdfhttp://www.cips.org/studyqualify/cipsqualifications/syllabuses/http://www.cips.org/studyqualify/cipsqualifications/syllabuses/http://www.supplymanagement.com/http://www.supplymanagement.com/http://www.supplymanagement.com/http://www.supplymanagement.com/http://www.cips.org/studyqualify/cipsqualifications/syllabuses/http://www.cips.documents/ExaminationtechniqueguideNovember2012.pdf

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    SECTION A

    Q1 (a) Outline the importance of analysing key supply chain risks and

    vulnerabilities before Globe-Span Energy establishes any long

    term alliance.

    (10 marks)

    Q1 (b) Prepare high level guidelines, which, if followed, could mitigaterisk of contract failure for Globe-Span Energy when entering an

    alliance.

    (15 marks)

    Candidates were required to answer TWO mandatory section (A) questions related

    specifically to the case study.

    Question 1

    This was a two part mandatory question worth 25 Marks in total.

    Analysis of the Question

    This mandatory two part question sought to test candidate knowledge of the importance ofanalysing key supply chain risks and exposures before establishing any long term alliance.

    Additionally, candidate ability was tested with regard to preparation of high level guideline

    advice on mitigating actions which if followed would help reduce the risk of contract failure.

    Syllabus reference 3.4 refers. 

    Analysis of the Answer

    For part a)

    Candidates were expected to discuss the importance of analysing key supply chain risk and

    exposures prior to entering into a long term alliance contract. Without proper analysis of the

    contractor landscape and market intelligence there is a risk of misunderstanding the

    circumstances when it is appropriate to have a contractual alliance relationship. If ananalysis reveals that competition amongst customers is fierce to secure the services of a

    particular contractor that is in short supply, then that is an indicator of a longer term alliance

    deal being more appropriate.

    The converse would apply if there was no shortage of possible suppliers in a competitive

    market. Under such circumstances routine short term contracts would be appropriate,

    where the market could be regularly tested. From the client perspective, where he is heavily

    reliant upon a contractor to support his business then that contractor should be regarded as

    a critical contractor, even more so, if high amounts are being spent. Again, these are

    analytical indicators pointing to the formation of an alliance to secure the services of a

    critical contractor. An alliance will give added security to secure the services of the

    contractor thereby reducing that exposure. It is important to also recognise the need to

    analyse things from the contractor’s perspective. Contractors are interested in longer term

    relationships with clients that are more attractive or easy to work with and that give more

    revenue to the contractor through greater volumes of work commitment. The converse is

    true where clients are a nuisance or problematic (i.e. don’t pay on time or don’t spend

    much). This type of relationship would likely only be short term. There are therefore risks

    and exposures to be managed by both client and contractor - which implies that any long

    term alliance must carry benefits to both parties before being meaningful to enter into.

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    For part b)

    Candidates were expected to articulate high level guideline points such as: establishing the

    client’s most desirable outcome from the alliance in terms of contractor performance,

    acknowledging the likely need for trade off or compromise. Similarly, establishing what the

    contractor considers is a reasonable level of service provision. Early alignment between the

    two parties is prior to executing a contract is key to the success of any alliance. To achievethis there needs to be a means by which to capture and compare any potentially serious

    areas of misalignment. By so doing, the risk of contractual disputes are reduced because

    there has been time and effort expended up front by both parties to align on what they

    want out of the alliance. This may need all parties to an alliance to be prepared to share risk

    and manage it together. Equally this can extend to include sharing upside reward. For this

    reason many alliance contracts are based on incentivised risk/reward sharing agreements.

    There also has to be trust and more openness between the parties to make an alliance work

    properly. That it not to say there can’t be disagreement from time to time, however there

    has to be a mechanism to resolve any conflict. This can usually be achieved by means of an

    alliance improvement steering group comprising senior representatives from both parties

    with clear terms of reference, governance and decision making authority.

    Exam Question Summary For part a)

    Most candidates were able to give a reasonable pass answer to this mandatory question. In

    the main, candidates provided clear statements about the importance of conducting risk

    management in general with better candidates analysing the specifics of the organisations in

    the case study as demanded by the question. Many candidates grasped words or phrases

    from the question and wrote all they know about those things. By doing so, this was at the

    expense of properly answering the question and in some instances resulted in failure to

    achieve a pass. Some candidate answers mentioned the need for alignment of objectives,

    avoiding issues that will cause reputational or financial damage. Those answers were a veryreasonable interpretation of the question and were marked as a pass. Those candidates who

    simply reproduced the listed issues from the case study and figure tended to score less.

    For part b)

    Again most candidates were able to produce a satisfactory pass answer. However many

    failed to appreciate the need for, or the meaning of the high-level guidelines called for by

    the. For example some candidates simply listed out the 4 T’s with no substance and no

    reference to the context of the case study. There was also a lack of appreciation of the need

    to work in harmony in an alliance. Additionally, many candidates focussed on contract terms

    and conditions without considering higher level issues

    A common issue noted was the tendency for some candidates to write a lot more for part a)

    (which was worth just 10 marks) by comparison to par b) (which was worth 15 marks). The

    mark weighting is a useful indicator to candidates on the amount they should put into each

    component of a multiple part question. Too few candidates focussed on the context of the

    case study and answered the questions in general terms, and not “in the context of the

    information provided” as is clearly stated on the exam paper.

    Question 2 

    This was a single mandatory question worth 25 marks.

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    Q2 Propose and justify a risk management strategy differentiating

    between approaches for critical (15 marks) and non-

    critical (10 marks)contractor services for Globe-Span

    Energy.

    (25 marks)

    Analysis of the Question This mandatory question sought to test candidate knowledge of risk management strategy

    development in the context of the GSE case study and also the ability to articulate different

    approaches depending on whether the contractors’ services are critical or non-critical.

    Syllabus reference: 2.1 refers.

    Analysis of the Answer 

    Candidates were expected to recognise that GSE’s risk management strategy will stem from

    a high level vision or overview to a policy and procedure which can be utilised. There will

    likely be different risk management strategy options for critical and non-critical services,

    however both can be generically shaped by using the 4T’s concept (namely Treat, Transfer,

    Tolerate and Terminate). Risk strategy comprises treating, transferring, tolerating or

    terminating risks so that Globe-Span Energy can benefit from recognition of potential

    vulnerabilities or opportunities. Additionally, candidates were expected to capture the

    rationale behind when it is appropriate and under what circumstances companies should

    considering entering into a long or short term contract building on their answers to

    mandatory Q1). This rationale can be illustrated simply by use of adapted Kraljic matrix.

    The risk management approach for GSE towards its critical contractor services should

    comprise: Treating the risk by entering into a long term relationship with the contractor to

    reduce the exposure to GSE of not having access to a contractor that is in great demand .

    Tolerating the long term lock-in by having managed GSE’s risk down to an acceptable level.Transferred  part of the risk to the Contractor under a long term risk/reward incentivised

    contract. The risk management approach for GSE towards its non-critical services should

    comprise: Treating  the risk of not taking advantage of a competitive market by routinely

    tendering short term needs to the marketplace where there is apparently high levels of

    competition and no shortage of suppliers. Short term contracts are indicated in such a

    business environment. Tolerating  the uncertainty of different suppliers because of the

    ability to frequently change our suppliers due to the competitive nature of the market. This

    is an acceptable level of risk to take. Transferred  some part of the risk to the Contractor,

    albeit short term.

    Exam Question Summary Answers to this mandatory question varied in quality. Although most managed to achieve a

    pass, others could have achieved more marks. For example - some candidates mentioned

    the 4T’s but seemed to have no recognition that each of the 4T’s could be used to address

    risks for both critical and non-critical suppliers but in different ways. Better answers which

    scored higher marks, did so through the application of a proper strategy often detailing the

    stages of identification, assessment etc. Many candidates failed to differentiate between

    strategies for critical and non-critical contractor management and there were many

    instances where answers only focussed on an explanation of Kraljic’s portfolio management

    matrix and mentioned nothing but the creation of an alliance as their strategy.

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    SECTION B 

    Candidates were required to answer TWO from a choice of FOUR optional Section B

    questions of a more general nature across the L5-02 Risk Management & Supply Chain

    Vulnerability syllabus.

    Question 3This was an optional single part question worth 25 marks.

    Q3 Analyse and explain the use of FIVE key performance indicators

    (KPIs) as a business tool to help reduce supply chain risk

    and vulnerability.

    (25 marks)

    Analysis of the Question This optional question sought to test candidate knowledge and understanding of FIVE

    different key performance indicators (KPIs) and evaluate their relevance as a business tool in

    helping to reduce supply chain risk and vulnerability. Syllabus reference: 1.4 refers.

    Analysis of the Answer 

    Candidates were afforded great flexibility and choice in terms of being able to choose from a

    wide range of KPI’s such as - parameters around Service & Product quality, Health, Safety &

    Environment, Sub contract management performance, On time delivery performance,

    Interface management performance, Quality assurance performance, Financial capability

    performance, Available capacity and resources, Organisational & facility capabilities etc - the

    list not being exhaustive. Ideally, candidates should be able to refer to the need to ensure

    strong reliable performance linkage down and across a critical supply chain as being an

    inherent success measure of cascading KPI’s.

    Exam Question Summary This was the least popular of the optional question answered by candidates.

    Answers to this optional question varied in quality with a mixture of pass and fails. The

    common observation by the assessment team was that some candidates were unable to

    give an adequate explanation of how a set of KPI’s can assist in the management of risk,

    albeit that most answers managed to identify 5 different KPI’s (and sometimes more

    which was not indicated and attracted no additional marks) and areas of performance

    that can be measured. Most were at least able to recognise the use of KPI’s even if their

    relevance to risk management was poorly explained.

    Question 4

    This was an optional single part question worth 25 marks.

    Q4 (a) Discuss the rationale behind the development of CSR policies and

    procedures by larger organisations (either public or

    private) to mitigate supply chain risk.

    (25 marks)

    Analysis of the Question This optional question sought to test candidate ability to explain the rationale behind the

    development of CSR policies and procedures by public and large private sector organisations

    to mitigate inherent supply chain risk. Syllabus reference: 3.1 refers.

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    Analysis of the Answer 

    What was indicated here was answers which articulated what CSR means in the context of

    a public or private sector purchasers business environment (e.g. a possible description

    might make reference to Corporate & Social Responsibility having a wide ranging agenda

    which involves businesses looking at how to improve their social, environmental and local

    economic impact, their influence on society, social cohesion and human rights).Additionally, candidates were expected to recognise the importance for companies to have

    a CSR policy covering their visible operations. This policy must demonstrate organisational

    capability in terms of having plans, procedures and the necessary corporate infrastructure

    to deal with issues such as:

    o  Responsible behaviour of its management and employees which if not adhered to

    Might impact on the company’s reputation in the public eye. 

    o  Health, Safety & Environment - duty of care to workers & the wider community.

    o  Emergency response to an incident (having in place systems & resources that will

    be effective.

    The CSR policy should also be interested in the manner in which the supply chain

    approaches corporate governance and ethical issues as it might well impact on the

    company if there is CSR failure down its supply chain.

    Exam Question Summary This was a reasonably popular optional question amongst candidates. The quality of answers

    for those that did attempt it was good with most showing a clear understanding of the

    constituents of CSR and its contribution to the management of risks in the supply chain.

    Sometimes there was not always a clear discussion that considered the disadvantages, but

    overall the assessment team were generally pleased with the quality of these answers.

    More marks were achieved by candidates that recognised that irresponsible behaviours and

    poor organisational CSR procedures (or lack of them) can ultimately result in a high cost to

    the organisation (e.g. public reputation, bankruptcy, loss of shareholder value, criminal and

    or civil prosecutions, loss of credit rating and of course loss of reputation and confidence in

    the company). Loss of reputation is one of the greatest threats to any organisation - public

    or private!

    Question 5

    This was an optional single part question worth 25 marks.

    Q5 Evaluate how effective management of stakeholders can help

    reduce organisational risk to business.

    (25 marks)

    Analysis of the Question This optional question sought to test candidate understanding of a ‘wider stakeholder

    community’ and ability to identify and discuss the groups which may be part of this

    community and how they might be impacted if poorly managed. Syllabus reference: 1.6

    refers.

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    Analysis of the Answer 

    What was indicated here was a discussion which identified the different organisational

    stakeholder types and subsequent evaluation of how effective management of them can

    reduce exposure to uncertainty. Candidates were afforded great flexibility in choice of

    stakeholders - examples might include but not necessarily be limited to:

    Shareholders: who expect improvement in share value coupled with reasonable return

    on investment. Effective risk management benefits shareholders by decreasing the

    probability of lower returns.

    Employees: Effective risk management has obvious benefits to employees because if their

    employing company fails to perform employees could be out of a job.

    3rd 

     Pty suppliers and contractors: Suppliers and contractors benefit from effective risk

    management because late or irregular payments to suppliers might result if an

    organisation has cash flow difficulties; hence effective risk management should increase

    the likelihood of on time payments.

    Customers: There are obvious benefits of risk management to users of an organisation’sgoods or services that want quality and continuity of supply or service and the company

    wants to retain customer loyalty. Good risk management reduces the likelihood of an

    organisation failing to provide its goods/services

    Government: Both local and central Government benefit from effective risk management

    when we consider that for example: lack of profits will affect organisation’s tax returns

    and local business rates might suffer if the organisation goes out of business.

    Neighbours: will also benefit from effective risk management in that local organisations

    which obtain a significant part of their income from the spending of an organisation’s

    employees might feel the effect if, as a result of unnecessary exposure to risk.

    Exam Question Summary 

    This was a popular optional question amongst candidates. Almost all of the candidates were

    able to identify a number of internal (connected) and external stakeholders and most were

    able to state clearly how they could be managed in such a way as to mitigate risks. Not all of

    candidates mentioned ‘Mendelow’, but they still gave sufficient evidence of understanding

    to gain pass marks. Although a handful of answers were a bit thin, most candidates were

    able to cover at least three pages with a good discussion and with appropriate approaches

    to the different segments, often giving pertinent examples and relating the approach to the

    mitigation of risk.

    Stronger answers acknowledged the importance of supply chain interdependencies - up,down and across the supply chain as part of a stakeholder network. Many companies are

    critically reliant upon such networks.

    Question 6

    This was an optional two part question worth 9 marks for part a) and 16 marks for part b)

    bringing out 25 marks in total.

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    Q6 (a) Outline the key stages of a typical risk management process for

    an organisation. 

    (9 marks)

    Q6 (b) Discuss TWO different methods for identifying, assessing and

    quantifying risks in the context of an organisations

    external environment. 

    (16 marks)

    Analysis of the Question This optional question sought to test candidate knowledge of the key stages of a typical risk

    management process for an organisation and also different methods for identifying,

    assessing and quantifying risks in the context of an organisations external environment.

    Syllabus reference: 2.2 refers for both parts a) and b).

    Analysis of the Answer 

    For part a)

    What was indicated was for candidates to capture a risk management process framework

    around: risk identification, risk analysis/evaluation and risk

    treatment/reporting/monitoring. Effectively looking at: How risks are identified, Howinformation about probability and impact is obtained, How risks are quantified, How

    options to deal with them are identified, How decisions on risk management are made,

    How these decisions are implemented, How actions are evaluated for their effectiveness,

    How effective communication mechanisms are established and supported and How

    stakeholders are engaged on an on-going basis. 

    For part b)

    Candidates were afforded a degree of flexibility in that they can choose any 2 methods

    from: Use of risk registers to assess & review risks pertaining to the external environment;

    Appraisal systems like SWOT analysis to identify strengths, weaknesses, opportunities &

    threats and appropriate positioning in the context of an organisations external

    environment; Statistical process control - on-going data collection on external environment

    (SPC); Control & risk self- assessment (CRSA); PESTLE / PERT / 3 Ts; Brainstorming; Scenario

    analysis; Business studies/External research/market intelligence etc… 

    There are so many methods to choose from, however candidates were expected to expand

    on their choices by articulating the method of capture, assessment and comment on on-

    going monitoring & related organisational positioning. 

    Exam Question Summary 

    This was the most popular optional question amongst candidates. 

    For part a)

    Most candidates were able to give a very good outline of a proper risk management

    approach, either listing the key headings or, in some cases, giving a fuller explanation of at

    least three stages. The majority of candidates scored between 5 and 7 out of 9, meaning

    that almost all candidates gained a pass for this part of the question..

    For part b)

    More marks could have been achieved by many candidates in their answer to this relatively

    straightforward 2nd  part question. PESTLE and SWOT were the most commonly explained

    methods, though without much discussion or reference to their use in risk management.

    Some candidates opted for Benchmarking or Ishikawa’s fishbone. A few candidates gave six

    or more suggested tools which simply wasted time and diverted effort and marks from twodecent suggestions.

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    For many candidates - this turned out to be the ‘rescue’ questions the answers to which

    enabled them to squeeze past the overall pass mark.

    General observations

    A large number of candidates were presented for the November, 2012 core L5-02 unit in

    Risk Management & Supply Chain Vulnerability. Returns from examination centres revealedsome candidate absenteeism at the actual examination. On-going monitoring of this is

    indicated for centres where this is higher.

    Overall, the centre cohorts for this series showed a reasonable understanding of the unit

    topic. In the main, the majority of candidates passed at ‘normal pass’ level and to a lesser

    extent at ‘credit pass’ level. The level of fails was consistent with previous series for this unit.

    There were very few distinction passes.

    Consistent with findings for this unit from previous examination series, there were general

    areas where many candidates could have achieved more marks - for example if they had:

    Written in response to the specifics of the question, instead choosing to write about

    what they generally knew about the topic.

    Not repeated answers on topics across several questions. Such overlap between

    answers to different questions is evidence that some candidates did not study the

    questions properly.

    Not included lengthy preambles before getting into the answering the specifics of the

    question. Not only does this not attract marks, its also wastes valuable time in answering

    the overall paper.

    Included more content relevant to the unit being tested. Some answers were light in

    content on risk management and supply chain vulnerability. This core L5-02 unit requires

    a demonstration of knowledge and understanding in the areas of risk management and

    supply chain vulnerability. Answers that were more generic achieved fewer marks.

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    APPENDIX

    The matrix indicating the learning objectives of the new revised syllabus unit content for L5-

    02 that each of the questions in the paper tested is summarised in the following appendix

    table:

    L5-02

    Paper Ref 

    Question No.Learning

    Objectivea b c a b c a b c a b c a b c a b c

    1

    1.1

    1.2

    1.3

    1.4 x

    1.5

    1.6 x

    1.7

    1.8

    2

    2.1 x

    2.2 x x

    2.3

    2.4

    2.5

    2.6

    2.7

    2.8

    3

    3.1 x

    3.2

    3.3

    3.4 x x

    Total marks

    allocated to

    question

    CTLL

    4

    0

    RISK MANAGEMENT AND SUPPLY CHAIN VULNERABILITY

    Marks

    distribution

    by section1

    62

    SYLLABUS MATRIX

    Nov-12

    0 0

    0

    Managing risk and vulnerability

    0 0 0 0

    Author

    Instructions: Complete a matrix grid for each question paper by i nserting marks value agai nst the appropriate learning objective for each pa rt of the question.

    For example, if question 1 pa rt (a) is worth 5 marks and corresponds to l earning objective 1.3, place 5 in the appropriate box. Each question total should be 25

    marks, as calcul ated by the row at the foot of this page. Please submit to CIPS electronically a s a MS Excel document with the question paper and marking

    scheme.

    0

    Understanding the nature of risk in purchasing and supply

    Risk management processes and structures

    SECTION BSECTION A

    53