Kozhikode Monorail Project

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    Kozhikode Monorail Project Profile

    2012

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    Kozhikode Monorail Project Profile

    Introduction

    Kozhikode the traditional capital of Northern Kerala and the

    most important city of Malabar region of Kerala is the third

    biggest Municipal Corporation in Kerala. Kozhikode is fastemerging as a prominent educational, commercial and trade

    centre having well established national/international trade

    routes. Kozhikode city alone accounts for 40% of the urban

    population in the District and is experiencing a rapid growth in

    urban population. Like any other urban areas, it is also having

    a steady growth of motor vehicles and travel demand of people

    has been increasing tremendously. In order to improve the

    traffic situation, efforts were made to improve the road

    infrastructure. Unfortunately, such improvements are notable

    to catch up the increasing demand.

    Highest priority has been accorded by the Government in

    reducing the severe traffic congestion experienced in the city.

    As a result, Kerala Road Fund Board has

    undertaken the major initiative for Planning for a

    mass transport system which meets the mobility

    needs of the city and would reduce vehicular

    traffic on the roads

    Kozhikode Mono Rail Project

    A detailed feasibility study for a Mass Rapid

    Transit System for Kozhikode was done through

    M/s. Wilbur Smith Associates. The feasibility

    study considered various feasible transit options

    based on various field surveys.

    Out of the 540 Kms of study area, the majority are

    two lanes or with lower configuration. Four lane

    divided carriageway is only 10 kms. Many of the

    major traffic corridors in the city have journey

    speed lower than 20 KMPH. About 1.6 lakh

    vehicles of which 85% are passenger vehicles and

    14% are commercial vehicles are enter and exit

    through the major corridors of the city. The daily

    travel demand is observed as 15.4 lakh trips and

    the per capita trip rate for all modes together is

    1.14. The average trip length is about 7.1 kms out

    of which public transport trips have a maximum

    trip length of 10.4 kms.

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    After considering the above facts about the existing

    transit network, it has been advised to select an

    appropriate Mass Transport System. Choice on public

    transit options are choices about a citys future. Multiple

    choices exist in the mass transit industry. The type of

    public transit system will have a big impact on Traffic

    demand, Road geometrics, Transport affordability, Air

    and noise pollution, Service availability to all. The Mass

    Rapid Transit Systems (MRTS) can be broadly grouped

    into a Rail based system and a Bus based system

    classification. Within these rail and bus systems,

    different technologies have different performance

    characteristics and requirements to be implemented.

    Based on the survey the maximum PPHPD (people per

    hour per direction) is predicted on Mavoor Road (from

    Mofussil bus stand to medical college) and on airport

    corridor (from mofussil bus stand to airport). The

    estimated transit load qualifies for Bus Rapid Transit

    (BRT) and Monorail/ Light Rail Transit (LRT). Based on

    the survey a Monorail corridor medical college to

    Ramanattukara (23 Kms) in two phases and a dedicated

    bus service have been recommended. Corridor from

    Medical College to Meenchantha (14 Kms) is selected as

    Phase I for implementation and Phase II would be the

    extension of the monorail from Meenchantha to

    Ramanattukara.

    Feeder bus services are recommended from Meechantha

    to Ramanatukara till phase II monorail starts

    operational.

    The new transit system will provide direct access to the

    major hubs like Railway station, Mofussil and KSRTC

    Bus stands and major commercial centres such as SM

    street, Palayam, etc. The daily ridership estimated (2015)

    on this corridor is 1,43,200 which is maximum when

    compared with other alignments as the corridor passes

    through the main transportation and commercial

    centres of the city. There are 14 stations suggested the

    maximum distance is 2 Km between stations and the

    average distance is 0.90 Km.

    The depot is proposed near Medical College at the

    terminal point of the alignment at the sites proposed for

    developing bus stand by the Corporation. It is suggested

    to develop an intermodal station at Meenchantha on

    bypass road 200m away from NH-17, along with the

    proposed bus terminal by Kozhikode Corporation.

    Exclusive airport buses are also proposed to operate

    from this station.

    Cost Estimates

    The cost components of Mono rail are Rolling stock cost

    and guide ways

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    Rolling stock requirement

    Monorail (9 nos) 288.00

    Bus to airport (4 nos) 2.00

    Total 290.00

    Others

    Electrical, traction, signalling and 130.00

    R & R Cost 47.00

    Grand Total 968.00

    Summary of Cost

    Civil items(approximate)

    Rs. In Crores

    Civil and structural works 362.24

    Station building + depot 40.50Switching arrangement at both ends 20.00

    Restoration of pavement layers 54.34

    Miscellaneous 23.85

    Total 500.93

    ScenarioEIRR(%)

    ENPV (Rs. InCrores @ 12%discount rate)

    Normal scenario 18.1% 465.76

    Sensitivity I: 15% increase

    in cost

    16.4% 465.76

    Sensitivity II: 15% reductionin benefits

    16.4% 465.76

    Sensitivity III: 15% increasein cost and 15% reductionin benefits

    14.4% 185.83

    1) Rolling Stock: the vehicle/ train is assumed to be

    with 34 cars, each car is with a capacity of 100

    passengers2) Guide way cost includes:

    a. Civil structures including stations & depot

    b. Switching arrangements at both ends

    3) Others include:

    a. Electrical & traction system

    b. Signalling, telecommunications, testing &

    commissioning

    The unit rates of structural items were arrived at by

    considering tge basic rates, lead distances, moan power,machinery, and materials. The approximate cost of the

    has been estimated based on the above details and the

    cost summary is given in the below table.

    Economic Analysis

    The economic appraisal for various projects has been

    carried out within the broad frame work of Social Cost

    Benefit Analysis Technique. The result of the

    analysis is presented in the table given below. Theproject is found to be economically viable with 18.1%

    EIRR at normal scenario and 14.4% EIRR at worst

    scenario of sensitivity.

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    Financial

    year

    Approx Estimated

    cost (Excluding R&Rcost) (Rs.in Crore)

    Completion cost

    (duly escalated)

    Construction

    phasing (%)

    2011-12 275.68 289.464 30

    2012-13 275.68 303.937 30

    2013-14 367.57 425.512 40

    Total 918.93 1018.913 100

    Financial Analysis & Funding Options

    The project has two components i.e: major one is the development

    of monorail for 12.60 kms from Medical College to Meenchantha

    and a component of operating exclusive buses to airport. The

    analysis focuses on the financial viability of monorail component.

    Costs considered are the investment cost and O&M cost. The year

    wise investment requirement is as follows.

    Additional requirement of the rolling stock is assumed to be

    financed with cash flows in the year of incurring expenditure.

    Considering the heavy capital costs and low returns, usually the

    construction and operation of such systems are highly subsidised.

    Government involvement in funding of metro systems is normally

    expected in such projects. The financing options shall depend upon

    the project structure decided upon by the Government. The

    alternatives are:-

    1) Special purpose Vehicle (SPV) to implement the

    project by the Government

    2) Public Private Partnership (PPP) mpodel Design Build Finance Operate and

    Transfer (DBFOT) model

    Other PPP models

    Conclusion

    Monorail like any other forms of transport such as

    railways, metro, etc. performs a social function of

    providing affordable transport to the public. All

    these forms of transport are characterised by heavy

    capital investments with long gestation periods for

    earning returns, resulting in low financial rate of

    return. However, the economic benefits to the

    society due to these projects are quite significant.

    The proposed Mono Rail project will yield benefits

    due to equivalent reduction in road traffic and

    certain socio economic benefits. Tangible benefits

    are due to reduction in fuel consumption (Vehicle

    operating cost VoC) of vehicles and travel time of

    passengers. Non tangible benefits include

    reduction in accidents, pollution and maintenance

    costs due to the monorail project.

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