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KONE CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 2012 Sustainable growth in China William B. Johnson, Managing Director, KONE China June 8, 2012

KONE CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 2012 Sustainable growth …€¦ · KONE CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 2012 Sustainable growth in ... to be covered by the competitive KONE E MiniSpace elevator

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KONE CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 2012

Sustainable growth in ChinaWilliam B. Johnson, Managing Director, KONE ChinaJune 8, 2012

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson2

� Construction market trends

� E&E market development

� Improved competitiveness with new offering

� Maintenance and modernization in China

� Developing KONE China further

Agenda

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson3

Source: People's Bank of China, National Bureau of Statistics of China.

Macroeconomic indicators

Growth is slowing down in a controlled way

28.1

26.6

16.7

3.9

10.1

2004

19.8

26.0

16.4

1.8

10.4

2005

21.8

23.9

16.6

1.5

11.1

2006

30.2

24.8

18.5

4.8

11.4

2007

20.9

26.1

12.9

5.9

9.6

2008

16.1

30.5

10.3

-0.7

8.7

2009

33.2

24.5

15.7

3.3

10.3

2010

27.9

23.8

13.9

5.4

9.2

2011

23.5Real estate investment

20.9Fixed investments

11.6Industrial production

3.8CPI

8.1GDP

2012Q1y-o-y %-change

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson4

Real estate industry growth is slowing down

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Q1/2012

0%

2011

16%

2010

41%

2009

13%

2008

2%

2007

19%

2006

15%

Y-O-Y, rhs

New Construction area, lhs

10,000 m2

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

45 000

50 000

55 000

60 000

65 000

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Q1/2012201120102009200820072006

21%

28%

33%30%

16%

24%22%

Real Estate Investment, lhs

Y-O-Y, rhs

RMB100 mn% %

New construction area 2006-Q1/2012 Real estate investment 2006-Q1/2012

Source: China National Bureau of Statistics

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson5

Continued measures targeted to a controlled shift in the economic growth pattern – real estate sector implications

Real estate sector

� Limitations on buying 2nd and 3rd housing in 1st tier, 2nd tier as well as in some 3rd tier cities and tight requirements on down payment

� With a partial easing of financing restrictions, it has become easier for first-time apartment buyers to get mortgages at lower interest rates

� Corporate financing availability is still tough for smaller construction companies

Monetary policy

� Focus on the general price level –seeking to maintain balance between stability in the economy and relatively fast economic growth

� Reserve requirement ratio cut again in May 2012, the third cut after 12 increases in 2010-2011

� Further cuts of reserve requirement ratio expected during 2012

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson6

Real estate investment growth rates in 1st, 2nd and lower tier cities

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Other cities

Tier 2

Tier 1

20102009200820072006

4 cities:Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou

30 cities:E.g. Nanjing, Wuhan, Shenyang, Xi’an, Chengdu etc.*

Lower tier cities outside of tier 1/2 cities

Real estate investment growth, %

Source: Soufun DatabaseChina Index Academy

2011 2012Q1

30%

22%

7%

*Tier 2, 30 cities: Nanjing, Wuhan, Shenyang, Xi’an, Chengdu, Chongqing, Hangzhou, Qingdao, Dalian, Ningbo, Jinan, Harbin, Changchun, Xiamen, Zhengzhou, Changsha, Fuzhou, Urumqi, Kunming, Lanzhou, Suzhou, Wuxi, Nanchang, Guiyang, Nanning, Hefei, Shijiazhuang, Hohhot, Tianjin

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson7

34.2 %

Real estate investment is growing at a lower rate than in 2011 with strongest growth in in-land cities

Real estate investment growth rate, Q1/2011

Source: China Economic Information Network

Real estate investment growth rate, Q1/2012

23.5 %

>50%

40%~50%

30%~40%

20%~30%

0%~20%

<0%

>50%

40%~50%

30%~40%

20%~30%

0%~20%

<0%

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson8

� Construction market trends

� E&E market development

� Improved competitiveness with new offering

� Maintenance and modernization in China

� Developing KONE China further

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson9

Significant expansion in the new equipment market in 2011

390 000

310 000

235 000

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

400 000

450 000

’82’81’80 ’83 ’84 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11’00’99’98’97’96’95’94’93’92’91’90’89’88’87’86’85 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06

Source: China Elevator Association and KONE’s estimates on the market size

Market growth estimate 2010-2011: 26%

China new equipment market growth 1980– 2011, units

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson10

KONE and GiantKONE are well placed to capture growth opportunities

China new equipment market in 2011 and estimated growth in 2012, indicative

Affordable housing

Other residential

Commercial and infrastructure

20122011

390 000units

Single digit growth

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson11

Affordable housing remains the key growth driver in 2012

� Announced target to build 36 million affordable homes in 2011-2015– 2011: 10 million starts announced in line with target– 2012: at least 7 million starts targeted;

January-April 2.3 million starts announced

� The affordable housing market for elevators is expected to continue to grow in 2012– The affordable housing starts accelerated in the 2nd

half of 2011– Lag between construction start and elevator order

� KONE’s E MiniSpace offering for affordable housing has proved to be very competitive– KONE’s market share in affordable housing is still

slightly below KONE’s market share in the overall market

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson12

Competitive landscape remains diverse

� Focus on low-end of the market and lower tiers of cities

� Components from suppliers with large volumes

Global companies

JVs of global companies

Local companies

New equipment Maintenance

� Increasing focus

� Focus still on the new equipment business; equipment maintained by local independent maintenance companies

� Focus on mid-end and low-end of the market

� Focus on 2nd, 3rd and lower tiers of cities

� Focus on all segments from high-end to low-end and from big to small cities

� Strong, global brands as support

� At an early stage and typically facing challenges in building a maintenance business

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson13

� Construction market trends

� E&E market development

� Improved competitiveness with new offering

� Maintenance and modernization in China

� Developing KONE China further

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson14

New offering will further improve KONE’scompetitiveness in China

� New KONE N MonoSpace elevator further strengthens KONE’s leading position in machine-room-less elevators

� New KONE N MiniSpace elevator further improves competitiveness in mid-rise volume segment of small machine-room elevators

� The affordable housing segment will continue to be covered by the competitive KONE E MiniSpace elevator launched in early 2011

� GiantKONE will continue with its own product line; competitiveness developed continuously

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson15

� Construction market trends

� E&E market development

� Improved competitiveness with new offering

� Maintenance and modernization in China

� Developing KONE China further

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson16

Installed base is growing fast, maintenance market still very fragmented

400K

2011

2,0M

2010

1,6M

2000

Elevator and escalator units in operation in China

� Significant annual feed from new equipment installations

� Maintenance market still very fragmented– Share of OEMs approx. 25% of total– Share of self-maintenance still high

� Maintenance in the affordable housing segment still in a development phase – KONE has developed an optimized

cost competitive maintenance method for the segment

Source: China National Special Equipment Safety Supervision Bureau and KONE’s estimate

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson17

Maintenance regulation is becoming stricter

� The government and local authorities are tightening maintenance regulation

– Two-man maintenance required by local authorities in 12 provinces

– Central government considering tougher guidelines for maintenance to ensure safety and related product quality

– Some pilot initiatives to develop city level remote monitoring platform in big cities (e.g., Beijing, Hangzhou, Chengdu)

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson18

Strong focus on developing a market-leading maintenance business in China

� High conversion and retention rates

� Average annual growth rate of KONE’s maintenance base 2006-2011 (in units in service): 36%

� Continuous geographic expansion of maintenance network

� High focus on profitability through active development– Pricing development– Optimized maintenance method for affordable housing

� Regional technical training centers and technical school collaboration program to ensure availability of skilled people and to further develop maintenance technicians’ skills

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson19

Modernization represents an important future opportunity

2030

1 250 000

2020

240 000

2010

80 000

Units in operation in China at least 20 years old, estimated

� Focus on 1st and 2nd tier cities with biggest aging elevator/escalator base

� Continuous development of offeringcompetitiveness – Particular focus on further increasing

competitiveness of solutions for mid-end customers in commercial segments

� Continuous development of the skills of dedicated talent for modernization ahead of the growth wave

Source: Based on KONE’s estimate. Assuming full replacement of equipment after 30 years in operation.

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson20

� Construction market trends

� E&E market development

� Improved competitiveness with new offering

� Maintenance and modernization in China

� Developing KONE China further

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson21

KONE has grown clearly faster than the market in China

KONE Market

42%

21%

Note: The KONE figure includes GiantKONE for December 2011.

Market growth source: Based on KONE’s estimate.

� Very competitive product portfolio covering all segments

� Significant expansion in geographical coverage: over 87 branch offices, 34 sales offices and over 200 service stations spread around China

� Strong leadership and sales teams, skilled technical workforce

� Dual brand strategy: KONE and GiantKONE

KONE growth in orders received (units) vs. market growth, CAGR 2004-2011

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson22

We have a competitive product offering for all market segments in China

KONE

GiantKONE

Lower-end

Mid-range

Higher-end

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson23

GiantKONE to keep own brand and production, but processes are aligned and sourcing synergies sought

� GiantKONE continues with its own brand, differentiated offering and production

� Balanced portfolio of products covering volume residential and low-end of retail and commercial segments

� Synergies realized in areas, which do not impact differentiation, e.g. sourcing scale benefits and back office functions and processes

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson24

KONE Service Stations: 205

GiantKONE Branches: 41

KONE Branches: 46

GiantKONE Nanxun factory

KONE Kunshan factory

KONE Shanghai HQ

KONE Sales Offices: 34

We have continued to expand our geographical coverage in China

Note: Status at the end of May 2012

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson25

Motivated and highly capable employees are our key asset – talent management is a priority

� Attracting the best talent– Campus recruitment & employer branding– Collaboration with technical schools– Career opportunities with the fastest

growth company– Open and collaborative culture

� Improving employee engagement– Above market employee retention rates

� Developing leaders at all levels– KONE leadership programs – Mentoring and coaching: local, global and

cross-company– Promoting from within

KONE headcountin China, 2005-2011

20112005

7 450

5 400

2 020

2009

3 780

KONEGiantKONE

2 050

June 8, 2012 © KONE Corporation | Capital Markets Day | William B. Johnson26

Growing in China in a sustainable way

� KONE today no. 2 in China

� Objectives:– Continue to grow faster than the market– Build market-leading service business

– Continue to improve our profitability

� Key focus areas:– Offering performance and competitiveness– Pricing excellence– Productivity development in operations– Active talent management