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Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

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Page 2: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

Kirpes,

1998

.

.

1992Kijko and Sellevoll

1997; Zamani and Masson, 2014

(Berberain,

Page 3: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

Mirzaei et al, 1998

Page 4: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

SPOT-5

.

.

.

)Maggi et al., 2002

Page 5: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

.

.

.

.

Page 6: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

.

.

-

Gardner and Knopoff, 1974

.

1992Kijko and Sellevoll

A. KijkoM.

A. Sellevoll

bMmax

)

(

Mmax

.

Page 7: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

(Mmax)

(b-value)

.

:

mb

)

Page 8: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

(Mmax)

1.58 +- 0.08 (b = 0.68 +- 0.0 ) Beta(for Mmax=8.00) .48 +- 0.08 (b 0.64 +- 0.04) Beta(for Mmax=5.50)

4.12 +- 0.28 (for Mmin = 2.49)Lambda5.50 +-0.54 (for SIG(Xmax) = 0.20)Mmax8.00 +- 3.00 (for SIG(Xmax) = 0.10)Mmax

Page 9: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

Beta

(Mmax)

1.74 +- 0.13

(b = 0.76 +- 0.06)1.59 +- 0.09

(b = 0.69 +- 0.04)1.59 +- 0.09

(b = 0.69 +- 0.04)Beta

0.66 +- 0.9 (for Mmin =2.49)

2.50 +- 0.23 (for Mmin = 2.49)

2.50 +- 0.23 (for Mmin = 2.49)

Lambda

8.00 +- 3.00 for SIG(Xmax) = 0.1

8.00 +- 3.10for SIG(Xmax) = 0.1

8.00 +- 3.10for SIG(Xmax) = 0.1

Mmax

Page 10: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236
Page 11: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

M:

.(Hessami et al., 2003)

Page 12: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

- Ambraseys, N.N. and Melville.C.P, 1982. A History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236. - Berberian, M., 1997. Seismic sources of the Transcaucasian historical earthquakes. In: Giardini, D., and Balassanian, S. (Eds.), Historical and Prehistorical Earthquakes in the Caucasus. Kluwer Academic Publishing, Dordrecht, Netherlands, pp. 233 311

- Berberian, M. and Yeats, R. S., 1999. Pattern of historical earthquake rupture in the Iranian Plateau. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 89, 120-139 - Gardaner and Knopoff, of earthquake in southern California,with

the seismological society of America., 64, 1363-1367. - Hessami, K., Pantosti, D., Tabasi, H., Shabanian, E., Abbasi, M.R., Feghhi, K. and Soleymani, S., 2003 Paleoearthquakes and slip rates of the North Tabriz Fault, NW Iran: preliminary results. Annals of Geophysics, 46, 903-915. - Kijko, A. and Sellevoll, M. A., 1992. Estimation of earthquake hazard parameters from incomplete data files, part II, incorporation of magnitude heterogeneity, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 82, 120-134. - Kirpes, M 1998. Bring Environmental Justic To Natural Hazards, book, Michigan University. - Maggi, A., Priestley, K. and Jackson, J. 2002. Focal Depth of Moderate and Large Size Earthquake in Iran. Journal of Seismology and Earthquake Engineering. 4, 1-10 - Mirzaei, N., Gao, M. and Chen, Y. T., 1998, Seismic source regionalization for seismic zoning of Iran: Major seismotectonic provinces, Journal of Earthquak- e Prediction Research, 7, 465-495. Zamani,B. and Masson,F. ,2013, Recent Tectonics of East (Iranian) Azerbaijan from stress state reconstructions, Tectonophysics, 10, 630-660.

Page 13: Kijko - University of Birjandtectonics.birjand.ac.ir/article_400_c6604d0874ebbb9966cb... · 2020-06-15 · History of Persian Earthquakes (Cambridge University Press,Cambridge), 236

Tectonics

Vol:3, Nov 20151 13

Birjand University

Study of seismicity of major segments of north Tabriz fault by Kijko

method

Sajjad Rostami1*1 , Behzad Zamani2 , Lily Izadikian3

1. MSc. of Tectonics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Bu Ali Sina, Hamadan, Iran. 2. Ph.D of Tectonics and head of Centre of monitoring of Earthquake Precursors, Faculty of Sciences, University of

Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran. 3. Ph.D of Tectonics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Bu Ali Sina, Hamadan, Iran.

Abstract In this study 3 major segments of the North Tabriz fault, northern, central and southern parts, were selected to analyze the seismic potential of the fault. For this purpose earthquake data since 1900 to 2014 from the Institute of Geophysics of University of Tehran and its local station, Tabriz seismological centre, Was prepared. Therefore data bank including 2850 earthquakes, for fault zone was obtained. Then, by method of Knopoff, foreshocks and aftershocks in data catalogue were omitted to have single and independent events. Then Seismic parameters include, rate annual event, activity and probability return period of earthquakes for period of 50,100 and 475 years in terms of magnitude for 3 major segments of North Tabriz fault by Kijko method were analyzed. Finally results for three segments were compared in probability return period of earthquakes for central, northern and southern segments to obtain differences. Analyses results of this research have shown return period for destructive earthquakes of Tabriz fault (for magnitudes 6 to 6.5 in Richter scale) is 475 years. Keywords: Seismicity, Segment, Tabriz fault, return period, earthquake

. Correspondent author Email: [email protected]