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Key Consulting Skill #1 – Part 2
Framing Complex Problems SCQ Analysis [Situation-Complication-Question]
© K.E. Homa
Proprietary Material
Preliminary Discussion Draft Incomplete Without Extensive Oral Elaboration
Professor Ken Homa Georgetown University
5 Key Consulting Skills
1. Frame complex problems
2. Generate testable hypotheses
3. Gather and analyze facts efficiently
4. Craft creative, practical solutions
5. Syndicate support and mobilize
5 Key Consulting Skills
1. Frame complex problems
2. Generate testable hypotheses
3. Gather and analyze facts efficiently
4. Craft creative, practical solutions
5. Syndicate support and mobilize
5 Key Consulting Skills
1. Frame complex problems
• Grasp the context … quickly !
• Identify the key question
• Drill down to pivotal sub-issues
How to do it …
5 Key Consulting Skills
1. Frame complex problems
• Grasp the context … quickly !
• Identify the key question
• Drill down to pivotal sub-issues
How to do it …
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
“Some analysts go for the capillaries,
others go for the jugular.” Classic McKinsey diss
High praise …
“She’s like a laser cutting to the chase
and getting to the crux of the problem.” McKinsey high praise
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
“Some analysts go for the capillaries,
others go for the jugular.” Classic McKinsey diss
Einstein says …
“If I had one hour to solve a particularly
difficult problem, I would spend fifty-five
minutes defining the question and only five
minutes finding the solution.”
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
Peter Drucker says …
Albert Einstein
“The most serious mistakes are not being
made as a result of wrong answers.
The truly dangerous thing is asking the
wrong questions.”
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
Peter Drucker
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
So, how to determine the Key Question?
Start with the client …
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
Logical starting point is the client’s
statement of the core question …
But …
Issues “Funnel”
“Sometimes the question that is asked isn’t
the question that needs be answered.”
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
Said differently …
“Sometimes the question that is asked isn’t
the question that needs be answered.”
• Apparent issues … questions raised and thought to
be important … often they are only symptomatic
• Real issues …important questions that withstand
initial scrutiny … often diverse, scattered, unstructured,
redundant, secondary … need to be sorted, “cleaned”
and consolidated into big ideas
• Key (core) issues … the central questions from which
all other relevant questions emanate … they provide
analytical focus and efficiency
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
Issues “Funnel”
Biz managers …
Every consultant faces the temptation of taking the
client’s diagnosis of his problem at face value.
Resist this temptation.
Just as a patient is not always aware of the meaning of
his symptoms, so are managers sometimes incorrect
in their diagnoses of what ails their organizations.
“Sometimes the question that is asked isn’t
the question that needs be answered.”
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
McKinsey Mind
Why?
“Managers faced with a complex problem
typically end up solving the wrong problem.” Center for Creative Leadership
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
“Sometimes the question that is asked isn’t
the question that needs be answered.” Inverse to exam-taking
“Managers faced with a complex problem
typically end up solving the wrong problem.” Center for Creative Leadership
Remedies?
• Wandering in a foreign land
• “Tunnel vision” hides periphery
• “Noise” obscures the “signal”
• Unconscious biases take over
• Preference for simpler problems
Frequent Stumbling Blocks
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
“Managers faced with a complex problem
typically end up solving the wrong problem.” Center for Creative Leadership
• Draw from familiar analogies
• Expand horizon, diversify team
• Clear clutter, structure problem
• Stay focused and be objective
• Break into smaller problems
Comes with practice and experience …
• Wandering in a foreign land
• “Tunnel vision” hides periphery
• “Noise: obscures “signal”
• Unconscious biases take over
• Preference for simpler problems
Frequent Stumbling Blocks Some Remedies…
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
Start with a broad definition of the problem, then
narrow it down to a very specific problem with clear
phrasing of the question to be addressed, the data
to be applied to it, and the possible outcomes.
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
General Principle
Good News
Though variants abound, the number of
core business problems is not infinite.
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
Good News
More specifically …
Though variants abound, the number of
core business problems is not infinite.
The overarching conceptual structure of
most business problems is the same …
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
More Good News
PAR
Potential Action Results + =
The PAR Framework is one of the overarching
conceptual structures for business problems …
© K.E. Homa
• Profitability is the “R” in virtually all cases
Potential Action Results + =
The PAR Framework is one of the overarching
conceptual structures for business problems …
© K.E. Homa
• Profitability is the “R” in virtually all cases
• Entry point and analytical direction varies …
P > A > R P < A > R P < A < R
Potential Action Results + =
The PAR Framework is one of the overarching
conceptual structures for business problems …
© K.E. Homa
• Profitability is the “R” in virtually all cases
• Entry point and analytical direction varies …
P > A > R P < A > R P < A < R
Potential Action Results + =
Why are profits down?
The PAR Framework is one of the overarching
conceptual structures for business problems …
© K.E. Homa
• Profitability is the “R” in virtually all cases
• Entry point and analytical direction varies …
P > A > R P < A > R P < A < R
Potential Action Results + =
Why are profits down? How to respond?
The PAR Framework is one of the overarching
conceptual structures for business problems …
© K.E. Homa
• Profitability is the “R” in virtually all cases
• Entry point and analytical direction varies …
P > A > R P < A > R P < A < R
Potential Action Results + =
Why are profits down? How to respond? Worth the effort?
The PAR Framework is one of the overarching
conceptual structures for business problems …
© K.E. Homa
There’s a facilitating protocol that consultants
often use for defining the problem and for
determining the Key Question …
1. Frame complex problems – Key Question
Still More Good News
A facilitating tool for problem
definition is SCQ Analysis:
Situation, Complication, Question
• Sometimes pronounced “seek analysis”
• Derived from basic story writing method
• Popularized by Pyramid Principle author
Barbara Minto (McKinsey)
A facilitating tool for problem
definition is SCQ Analysis:
Situation, Complication, Question
Minto, Pyramid Principle
Typical Format
Details
• Contextual … sets the study’s backdrop
• Self-sufficient … a standalone summary
• Fact-based … multi-sourced, verified
• Incontrovertible … elicits broad agreement
• Non-problematic … sets-up the Complication
Situation Complication Question
• Completes the case’s context
(by adding a dose of tension)
• Summarizes the disruption to the
status quo or the need for change
• Isolates a single key factor or dynamic
(which is often a “Disturbing Event”)
Minto, Pyramid Principle
Situation Complication Question
“A Disturbing Event is what happens -- or what
could happen or what would be likely to happen --
in the near or far future -- to threaten the relatively
stable situation described in the Situation, and
thus, to potentially trigger an undesired result.”
Minto, Pyramid Principle
Situation Complication Question
A Disturbing Event can be …
• External: a change initiated elsewhere in the environment
within which the structure/process takes place, e.g.
– Emergence of a new competitor
– Conversion to a new technology
– Shift in government or customer policy
Minto, Pyramid Principle
A Disturbing Event can be …
• External: a change initiated elsewhere in the environment
within which the structure/process takes place, e.g.
– Emergence of a new competitor
– Conversion to a new technology
– Shift in government or customer policy
• Internal: a change initiated by the company, e.g.
– Revised a business process
– Expanded into a new market
– Repositioned the product line
Minto, Pyramid Principle
A Disturbing Event can be …
• External: a change initiated elsewhere in the environment
within which the structure/process takes place, e.g.
– Emergence of a new competitor
– Conversion to a new technology
– Shift in government or customer policy
• Internal: a change initiated by the company, e.g.
– Revised a business process
– Expanded into a new market
– Repositioned the product line
• Metrics-revealed: an evident need for change, e.g.
– Sub-par operating results
– Ineffective policy or process
– Shifting customer attitudes.
Minto, Pyramid Principle
• Captures the scope & essence of the case
• Logically follows from the context established
by the Situation and Complication
• Requires validation as the “right” question
… type, subject, scope, impact
• Subject to iterative restatement for clarification
or redirection … i.e. getting the question right
Situation Complication Question
Some generic questions often get asked:
• Why isn’t what we are doing working?
• In this situation, what should we do?
• Should we do what we’re considering?
• How should we do what we’re considering?
Situation Complication Question
Common pitfalls in defining problems
1. No focus -- definition is too vague or broad.
Example: What should we do about climate change?
2. Focus is misdirected -- definition is too narrow.
Example: How to improve battery life in hybrid cars?
Maybe the answer is hydrogen fueled vehicles.
3. Statement is assumption-driven.
Example: How to make potential customers more
aware of our products’ advantages?
Maybe they are aware and don’t value the benefits.
4. Statement is solution-driven.
Example: How to expand the parking lot to fit more cars?
Maybe the answer is to demotivate people from driving to work.
Adapted from Thinkers Toolkit
A question about the Question:
Is it the right one?
• Beware of common pitfalls
• Test the Question’s “integrity”
General Principles
Test: Have you framed the problem well?
1. Defined a specific problem or opportunity?
2. Stated in clear, unambiguous way?
3. Verified basic facts & assumptions?
4. Leveraged prior studies & findings?
5. Considered alternative formulations?
6. Corrected for cognitive biases?
7. Stress-tested with experts?
8. Validated resonance with stakeholders?
9. Drilled down to relevant sub-issues?
10. Confident that answering will make a difference?
Adapted from Davenport & Kim,
Keeping Up with the Quants:
HBR Press, 2013
A question about the Question:
Is it the right one?
• Beware of common pitfalls
• Test the Question’s “integrity”
• Keep restating the Question
until it is the right one!
General Principles
• Challenge pivotal assumptions
• Approach from different angles e.g. ops problem or marketing problem?
• Adopt alternative perspectives
e.g. customer view, investor view
• Zoom out …to see the bigger picture
• Zoom in … on specifics and details
• Reverse the Problem … how not to?
Restate the question by reframing the problem.
For more reframing ‘nudges’, see “Einstein’s Secrets”
A question about the Question:
Is it the right one?
• Beware of common pitfalls
• Test the Question’s “integrity”
• Keep restating the Question
until it is the right one!
General Principles
The pivotal case Question from the SCQ Analysis
is a direct linkage to, and the starting point for,
the Key Issues Analysis (KIA) …
The Key Issues Analysis (KIA) is often the
basis for clarifying or redirecting the SCQ’s
pivotal case question …
5 Key Consulting Skills
1. Frame complex problems
• Grasp the context … quickly !
• Identify the key question
• Drill down to pivotal sub-issues
How to do it …
Continued in Part 3 - Issues Analysis & Logic Trees