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FAIRMODE, October 2019 FAIRMODE October 2019 CIEMAT-Madrid Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker, Matthew Williams, Charlotte Aves (CERC)

Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

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Page 1: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

FAIRMODE

October 2019

CIEMAT-Madrid

Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

Matthew Williams, Charlotte Aves (CERC)

Page 2: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Contents

Context

Monitoring Sites

Dispersion model (ADMS-Urban) inputs

Verification

DELTA Tool

Results

Contour plots

Pilot study progress summary

Page 3: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Monitoring Sites

Type:

4 roadside

2 suburban

5 urban background

25 diffusion tubes (2017 only)

Temporal data capture:

Mostly hourly

Some daily PM

Automatic Monitoring Sites and Diffusion Tubes in Dublin, 2015 & 2017

National Ambient Air

Quality Network

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³), 2017

No Data

< 18

18 - 28

Diffusion Tubes

0 2 4 61km

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³), 2017

No Data

< 18

18 - 28

Diffusion Tubes

0 2 4 61km

Page 4: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Monitoring Sites

Diffusion Tube Sites, 2017

EPA data

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³)

< 28

28 - 30

30 - 35

35 - 38

38 - 40

40 - 45

45 - 50

50 - 60

> 60

0 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³)

< 28

28 - 30

30 - 35

35 - 38

38 - 40

40 - 45

45 - 50

50 - 60

> 60

0 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

Page 5: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Emissions:

Road traffic emissions

Industrial emissions

National Emissions mapping model

Meteorological data

Background pollutant data

Dispersion model (ADMS-Urban): Inputs

DCC SCATS traffic

management system

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

0 1.5 3 4.50.75Kilometers

Industrial Sources

Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community

0 2 4 61Kilometers

Roads < 2500 AADT

Roads > 2500 AADT

AADT

2, 500 - 10, 000

10, 000 - 50, 000

50, 000 - 75, 000

> 75, 000

Modelled traffic (as used by noise model)

Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community

0 2 4 61km

Roads < 2500 AADT

Roads > 2500 AADT

AADT

2, 500 - 10, 000

10, 000 - 50, 000

50, 000 - 75, 000

> 75, 000

EPA

Diurnal profiles for road traffic emissions (data from Transport Infrastructure Ireland)

Explicitly modelled industrial sources

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

0 2 4 61Kilometers

Industrial Sources

Page 6: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Aarhus University - MapEIre: https://projects.au.dk/mapeire/

Dispersion model (ADMS-Urban): InputsMapEIre 1-km grids, Dublin

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

0 2 4 6 8 101Kilometers

Small Combustion Sectors

NOx (tonnes/yr)

< 2

2 - 5

5 - 10

10 - 20

> 20

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

0 2 4 6 8 101Kilometers

Small Combustion Sectors

NOx (tonnes/yr)

< 2

2 - 5

5 - 10

10 - 20

> 20

Emissions:

Road traffic emissions

Industrial emissions

National Emissions mapping model

Meteorological data

Background pollutant data

1 km data for all sectors (power, industry, other stationary combustion, solvents, road transport, off-road transport, fugitive emissions, waste, aviation, shipping, livestock, other agriculture, land use)

Page 7: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Dispersion model (ADMS-Urban): Inputs

0

0

3

1.5

6

3.1

10

5.1

16

8.2

(knots)

(m/s)

Wind speed

0° 10°20°

30°

40°

50°

60°

70°

80°

90°

100°

110°

120°

130°

140°

150°

160°170°180°190°

200°

210°

220°

230°

240°

250°

260°

270°

280°

290°

300°

310°

320°

330°

340°350°

300

600

900

1200

0

0

3

1.5

6

3.1

10

5.1

16

8.2

(knots)

(m/s)

Wind speed

0° 10°20°

30°

40°

50°

60°

70°

80°

90°

100°

110°

120°

130°

140°

150°

160°170°180°190°

200°

210°

220°

230°

240°

250°

260°

270°

280°

290°

300°

310°

320°

330°

340°350°

300

600

900

1200

Casement 2015 Dispersion Sites

Met Sites

5.1 m/s 4.0 m/s

Emissions

Meteorological data:

Casement Airport

Background pollutant data NOx

44 µg/m³

PM10 4.7 µg/m³

Page 8: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Model verification: Delta Tool

NO2PM10

Page 9: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Model verification: Delta Tool

Winetavern Street records the highest NO2 out of the reference monitors;

poor correlation likely related to diurnal traffic flow uncertainty

Page 10: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

EU Composite Map showing results

2015 NO2

Page 11: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

EU Composite Map showing results

2015 NO2

Page 12: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Model comparisons with diffusion tubes

2017 NO2: model and diffusion tubes

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

±

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³)

< 28

28 - 30

30 - 35

35 - 38

38 - 40

40 - 45

45 - 50

50 - 60

60 - 100

> 100

0 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

±

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³)

< 28

28 - 30

30 - 35

35 - 38

38 - 40

40 - 45

45 - 50

50 - 60

60 - 100

> 100

0 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

Page 13: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Modelled exceedance areas

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m3)

< 40

> 400 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m3)

< 40

> 400 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

2017 NO2: modelled areas of

exceedence

Page 14: Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Progress in relation to pilot exercise