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Confidential and Proprietary Information
Q4 2017January 17, 2018
Confidential and Proprietary Information
➢ All attendees are in listen-only mode
➢ Please submit any questions via the panel on the right-hand side of your screen
➢ Materials and downloads can be found under the ‘handouts’ section of the webinar panel
➢ Sound issues? Participants can access audio via the telephone of computer mic & speakers
➢ Please email [email protected] if you are experiencing any issues
Webinar Information
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Chris ‘Coz’ Costello
➢ Senior Director of Marketing Research
➢ linkedin.com/in/notabbott
➢ @notabbott
Your Host
Agenda➢ Methodology
➢ Industry Insights
➢ Holiday 2017 Recap
➢ Market Trends
➢ Emerging Channels
➢ Q&A
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Methodology
For Q4 of 2017, we are introducing a change to our methodology.
• Advertisers must have 15 consecutive months above a minimum spending threshold to be included in the analysis
• Some advertisers that are managed by agencies will be held out based on aggregate behavior of the agency
• Some additional outliers will be removed
Benefits of the new methodology:
• More in line with “same store” industry standard
• Lessens impact of agency relationships
• Helps “tame the long tail” of advertisers, which was the goal of the previous methodology as well
Confidential and Proprietary Information
About the Data
Search data included Google, Bing, Yahoo!, Yahoo Japan, Baidu, Yandex, Pinterest. Social data: Facebook, Instagram.
October 2016 through December 2017
Sample contains over 500 billion impressions, 14 billion clicks and $6.5 billion in advertiser spend
For charts showing spend and impressions/clicks, volume metrics have been normalized to a factor of one based on the initial volume for the first quarter of data. Data points from subsequent quarters are based on a multiplier from the first quarter. For example, 1.6 Means that volume is 60% greater than volume on the initial quarter measured.
Ad spending and CPC are measured using Ex-FX or “Constant Currency” adjustments, where results are based on native currency and only translated to common currency after aggregation.
Industry Insights
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Sp
en
din
g G
row
th (i
nd
exe
d)
Pe
rce
nt
of
So
cia
l Sp
en
din
g
Share Indexed Growth
Spending on Social Video Ads:
• Grew 57% compared to last quarter
• Grew 93% year-over-year
• Matched its high point of 25% of total social spending.
Video Share and Growth
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Vo
lum
e G
row
th (i
nd
exe
d)
Clicks Spending
Instagram spending grew 183% year-over year
Clicks grew nearly 4X in the same period
Instagram Growth
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Desktop Smartphone
Search Shopping Campaigns grew 34% YoY overall
Mobile search shopping campaign spending grew by approximately $3 for every one dollar of growth on the desktop.
Search Shopping Campaigns by Device
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Cli
ck-t
hro
ug
h R
ate
Sh
are
of
Ke
yw
ord
Tex
t A
d C
lick
s
ETA share of KW clicks ETA CTR Legacy CTR
80% of total search clicks have been migrated to the new format.
Expanded Text Ads continue to show higher click-through rate (CTR) than legacy text ads
Some of this can be attributed to a “more clickable” format/layout
Some of this can also be attributed to the best practice of migrating better-performing campaigns first
• Average CPCs for ETA vs. Legacy keywords are consistent with this pattern as well
Expanded Text Ad Migration
Confidential and Proprietary Information
The Common ThreadWhat do Social Video, Instagram and Mobile Search Shopping Campaigns have in common? Visuals.
For example, mobile shopping results—and mobile shopping images in particular—take up a larger percentage of the user’s overall screen.
This facilitates a more “immersive” ad experience that can encourage interaction and engagement.
Holiday 2017 Recap
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Cyber Five Post-Thanksgiving Week Before Christmas Total Holiday Season
Sp
en
din
g G
row
th Y
OY
E-Commerce Advertisers Only
Social Search
Social ad spending for e-commerce advertisers grew fastest during the "Cyber 5" between Thanksgiving and Cyber Monday
Search ad spending rallied the week before Christmas.
In both cases, spending increases focused on peak periods at either end of the holiday season
Retail Spending Growth by Holiday Period
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Black Friday Cyber Monday
Pe
rce
nt
of
tota
l “C
yb
er
5”
spe
nd
ing
E-Commerce Advertisers Only
Social Keyword Search Search Shopping Campaigns
Cyber Monday is still the biggest day overall for online e-commerce ad
spending, but:
• Social spending peaked on Black Friday
• Search shopping campaigns ended level between the two days.
Black Friday vs. Cyber Monday
Market TrendsSocial
Q4 2018
Social Highlights
The drop in Social impressions was once again fueled by a sharp decrease in low-CPM, low-CTR desktop ad units.
Removing low-CTR ads, coupled with increasing adoption of high-engagement Carousel ads, helped drive both click volume and click-through rate to their highest levels over the last five quarters.
The decrease in low-cost impressions is a big influence on the YOY change in CPM, which would only increase by a more modest 13% if that desktop inventory was left out.
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Social Trends
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Ind
exe
d V
olu
me
(Q4
20
16
=1
.00
)
Social Volume Growth
Impressions Clicks Spending
Impressions
+ 20% QoQ
- 5% YoY
Clicks
+39% QoQ
+73% YoY
Spending
+38% QoQ
+39% YoY
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Click-through Rate
+15% QoQ
+83% YoY
CPM
+15% QoQ
+47% YoY
Both of these metrics are affected by 2017 structural changes in
Facebook ad inventory
Social Trends
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Click-through Rate
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Average Cost per Thousand Impressions (CPM)
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
2016 Q4 2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4
Vo
lum
e G
row
th (i
nd
exe
d t
o Q
4 2
01
6=
1.0
0)
Social Impressions by Placement
Desktop Right Hand Column Desktop Feed Instagram Mobile Feed Mobile Other
Desktop Right Hand Column Ads have been phasing out since early 2016
These ads are low-CTR and low-CPM, so their removal will increase those metrics in aggregate, even in the absence of other trends
Those increases are not because the remaining ads got more expensive or more engaging, or at least not solely for that reason
A Refresher on Social Desktop Impressions
Confidential and Proprietary Information
$0.00
$2.00
$4.00
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$12.00
$14.00
$16.00
2016 Q4 2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4
Vo
lum
e G
row
th (i
nd
exe
d t
o Q
4 2
01
6=
1.0
0)
Desktop Right Hand Column Desktop Feed Instagram Mobile Feed Mobile Other
The Mobile Feed—the largest segment of social ads—has demonstrated fairly stable CPM trends
Desktop RHC ads were also masking the premium pricing of Desktop Newsfeed ads
Social CPM by Placement
Confidential and Proprietary Information
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Social Cost Per Thousand Impressions
All Placements Excluding Desktop Right Hand Column
Removing Desktop Right Hand Column ads gives a much flatter CPM trend
Much more stable over time
CPM increased 9% QoQ
Only a 13% increase YoY, compared to 47% when all placements are included
Adjusting Social CPM for Layout Changes
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Social Click-through Rate
All Placements Excluding Desktop Right Hand Column
Even without Desktop Right Hand Column Ads, social ad engagement is increasing
Up 10% compared to last quarter and 40% compared to last year
Much of this increase is due to the high level of interaction with Carousel format ads
Adjusting Social CTR for Layout Changes
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Impact of Impression Inventory Changes
The drop in Desktop Right Hand Column ads is apparent, but the full impact isn’t quite clear from this chart.
-100% -50% 0% +50% +100% +150% +200% +250%
Desktop Right Hand Column
Desktop Feed
Mobile Feed
Mobile Other
YoY Change
CTR
CPM
Impression SHARE
Impression VOLUME
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Impact of Impression Inventory Changes
The size of the bubble is the total volume of impressions. The decline in Desktop Right Hand Column impressions lessens it’s “gravitational pull” on overall CPM and CTR.
Desktop Feed
Desktop Right Hand Column
Mobile Feed
Mobile Other
TOTAL
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
$0.00 $5.00 $10.00 $15.00
Cli
ck-t
hro
ug
h R
ate
Cost per Thousand Impressions (CPM)
Q4 2016 Q4 2017
Desktop Feed
Desktop Right Hand Column
Mobile Feed
Mobile Other TOTAL
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
$0.00 $5.00 $10.00 $15.00
Cli
ck-t
hro
ug
h R
ate
Cost per Thousand Impressions (CPM)
Q4 2016 Q4 2017
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Key Segment Analysis
We can apply this type of visualization to the key segments in the channel.
The categories do not need to be mutually exclusive
For example, mobile ads can be video ads, but we still want to consider them as separate segments, even if they overlap
This will allow for a single view of spending volume, pricing and engagement changes
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Key Social Segments
In the last year, mobile and overall social have almost converged into the same thing. Dynamic Ads for Products have increased CTR with only modest CPM increases.
MobileDynamic Ads for Products
Video
Mobile App Install
TOTAL
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
$0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00 $9.00 $10.00
Cli
ck-t
hro
ug
h R
ate
Cost per Thousand Impressions (CPM)
Q4 2016 Q4 2017 (Bubble size = Spending Volume)
Mobile
Dynamic Ads for Products
Video
Mobile App Install
TOTAL
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
$0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00 $9.00 $10.00
Cli
ck-t
hro
ug
h R
ate
Cost per Thousand Impressions (CPM)
Q4 2016 Q4 2017 (Bubble size = Spending Volume)
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Nu
mb
er
of
acc
ou
nts
(in
dex
ed
to
Q4
20
16
=1
.00
)
Number of Accounts using DPA
Number of Accounts
The number of Kenshoo social accounts using DPA in our sample increased 44% since Q4 of last year
Since these are all advertisers who have had consistent spend, these are advertisers who spend on social, but only just started on DPA
23% of the overall YoY spending increase on DPA came from these accounts
Dynamic Ad adoption
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Other
Media & Entertainment
Finance
Travel
Gaming
E-Commerce
Video Spending Share by Industry YoY
Q4 2017 Q4 2016
Video ads not just for branding anymore
• Traditional direct response verticals like E-Commerce, Travel and Finance have invested much more heavily in video this year compared to last year.
• In the case of Finance, total video ad investment increased YoY by a factor of 7, while E-Commerce and Travel nearly tripled.
Video by Industry
Market TrendsSearch
Q4 2018
Search Highlights
Mobile Shopping Campaigns were the biggest driver of both impression and click growth, and now make up the largest share of impressions across all of paid search.
Desktop keyword search CPCs grew by 5% compared to last year, bucking the overall CPC trend and leading to a 1% increase in YoY spend for the venerable search format.
While mobile shopping campaigns were the fastest-growing segment across search, they also have relatively low CPCs compared to other devices and ad types, driving the overall downward trend on search pricing.
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Search Trends
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Ind
exe
d V
olu
me
(Q4
20
16
=1
.00
)
Search Volume Growth
Impressions Clicks Spending
Impressions
+26% QoQ
+19% YoY
Clicks
+16% QoQ
+21% YoY
Spending
+17% QoQ
+12% YoY
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Click-through Rate
-7% QoQ
+2% YoY
Average CPC
0% QoQ
-8% YoY
Search Trends
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Click-through Rate
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Average Cost per Click (CPC)
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Key Drivers for Search Growth
Mobile Search and Shopping Campaigns have consistently driven search growth, and combined, they are the fastest growing segment.
+12%
+1%
+17%
+13%
+47%
+0% +5% +10% +15% +20% +25% +30% +35% +40% +45% +50%
OVERALL SEARCH
Desktop Keywords
Desktop Product Ads
Mobile Keywords
Mobile Product Ads
Search Spending YOY Growth by Segment
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Key Search Segments
Smartphone keywords saw in increase in click-through rate, while desktop keywords were the only key segment to increase in cost-per-click
Desktop Keyword
Shopping Campaigns
Smartphone Keyword
Smartphone Shopping
Mobile
TOTAL
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
$0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.60 $0.70 $0.80 $0.90 $1.00
Cli
ck-t
hro
ug
h R
ate
Average Cost per Click (CPC)
Q4 2016 Q4 2017 (Bubble size = Spending volume)
Desktop Keyword
Shopping Campaigns
Smartphone Keyword
Smartphone Shopping
Mobile
TOTAL
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
$0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.60 $0.70 $0.80 $0.90 $1.00
Cli
ck-t
hro
ug
h R
ate
Average Cost-per-click (CPC)
Q4 2016 Q4 2017 (Bubble size = Spending volume)
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Mobile Share of Total Volume
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Impressions Clicks Spending
Mobile search continues to drive a higher share of clicks than either impressions or spending, indicating higher levels of engagement for customers and good value for marketers.
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Spending Volume using Automated Bidding
Spending Volume (indexed)
Kenshoo gives advertisers multiple ways to automate the bidding strategies of their search campaigns
This is a separate functionality from publisher-based automation, such as Google Smart Bids.
Search spending under auto bid management has grown 35% YoY, while manually-controlled spend has shrunk by 2%
Automated Bidding
Emerging Channels
Confidential and Proprietary Information
E-Commerce Channel Advertising Growth
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Goals on Amazon
• Drive increased brand awareness
• Optimize keywords and campaigns at scale
• Promote product sales
Client Success with Kenshoo E-Commerce
APPROACH:• Group By ASIN• 1-, 7-, & 14-Day Conversion Windows• Budget Pacing• Product Eligibility Insights
+28%ROI
-32%CPA
+13%CVR
-23%CPC
Confidential and Proprietary Information
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Ind
exe
d S
pe
nd
ing
Vo
lum
e (Q
1 2
01
7=
1.0
0)
Advertiser investment in Pinterest showed momentum going into the holiday season
Spending grew 51% over the previous quarter, and has increased threefold since the beginning of the year
Pinterest Growth
Confidential and Proprietary Information
Goals on Pinterest
• Scale Pinterest advertising
• Reduce manual effort for advertising their 500,000+ products
Client Success with Pinterest
APPROACH:• Automated Campaign Building• Enhanced Reporting• Bulk Bid & Budget Optimization
+784%Click
Revenue
+98%ROAS
+144%Traffic
100sHours Saved
Q&A
Marketing Research and Analysis @ Kenshoo
Q4 2017 Search and Social Snapshot
kenshoo.com/digital-marketing-snapshot
Other insights are posted regularly to
kenshoo.com/blog
THANK YOU!