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KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY Thursday 11 October 2012
Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute (UMTRI)
Sustainable mobility
• It is not enough to incrementally reduce the negative impacts of transport
• A new, open, multimodal system that will serve us for at least 50 years
• A vibrant transportation services economy • Intelligent systems that invite users to behave differently • Creating order-of-magnitude improvements across the triple
bottom line: economy, environment and society (relative to Transportation 1.0)
11 October 2012 3 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
Sustainable mobility must compete
• Business as usual is incremental at best • Safety is a high bar, well-entrenched • We are not accustomed to high rates of
change in transport - But change will now be rapid
• Other big goals, such as resilience, may take over the debate - With unfamiliar characteristics like modularity, diversity,
adaptive capacity, anticipation
11 October 2012 4 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
The new ITS is transformational
• Expanded boundaries - Service-oriented, revenue streams, big data and
analytics, consumer platforms for communication • Consumer-oriented - In-vehicle technologies lead growth
• Industry-government partnership - Platforms for entrepreneurs
11 October 2012 5 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
Where are we today?
11 October 2012 6 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
We are living in a connected world with new mobility choices
11 October 2012 7 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
Connectivity has changed the face of commercial vehicles as well
11 October 2012 8 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
Companies involved in transportation are changing
11 October 2012 9 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
Change driven by billions of consumer choices
• Whether travel is needed • What mode, or combination of modes? • What routes? • Smart parking • Access to additional services
• How open is the data? • Can the consumer own and control their data?
11 October 2012 10 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
There are 11699 people sharing 1443 cars in France
11 October 2012 11 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
The power of the ITS transaction
Strength of influence on user
Reliability of information
ESC
LDW
Traffic info
V2V, V2I
Car sharing Signal pre-emption for buses
Autonomous on call
V2V, V2I
Car sharingemption eSignal pre--
for buses
Autonomous on callAutonomAutonomAutonom
11 October 2012 12 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
Change driven by policy decisions
• Civil transport decisions based on accessibility - Connectivity and proximity are
alternatives to mobility • Open data and owned data • Platforms for connectivity and autonomy • Smart cities - Platforms for data, payments and information
11 October 2012 13 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
Policy creates innovation: vehicles that don’t crash
11 October 2012 14 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
Wall Street Journal September 24, 2012 Who's Behind the Wheel? Nobody. The driverless car is coming. And we all should be glad it is.
The Sunday Times (London) September 16, 2012 56MPH - I THINK I'LL HAVE A NAP; Ken Gibson gets a taste of the future in a 'road train' convoy of cars controlled by a single driver
telegraph.co.uk May 18, 2012 Self-driving cars 'not far off'; General Motors reckons most of the building blocks are already in place for a semi-autonomous self driving car, but that full autonomy is a way off.
New Scientist March 31, 2012 Hands off the wheel. If the going's tough, the car gets cover
11 October 2012 15 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
Raising the I.Q. of City Services - NYTimes
11 October 2012 16 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
• Sustainable cities • Intelligent traffic solutions, green buildings, wastewater
management, and smart grid infrastructure are just a few of the technologies helping to steer today’s urbanization toward sustainability.
11 October 2012 17 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
Change by an order of magnitude
• 1 in 7 vehicles in-use in peak hour • 7 people can share 1 car • Household expenditure on transport (individual car ownership) is
10x a shared/driverless system • Investment in vehicles is 10x investment in infrastructure
11 October 2012 18 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
E [email protected] I www.rli.nl T #EeacRli l ‘Group ‘EEAC-RLI Conference 2012 on sustainable mobility’
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