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KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY Thursday 11 October 2012

KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

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Page 1: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY Thursday 11 October 2012

Page 2: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute (UMTRI)

Page 3: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Sustainable mobility

•  It is not enough to incrementally reduce the negative impacts of transport

•  A new, open, multimodal system that will serve us for at least 50 years

•  A vibrant transportation services economy •  Intelligent systems that invite users to behave differently •  Creating order-of-magnitude improvements across the triple

bottom line: economy, environment and society (relative to Transportation 1.0)

11 October 2012 3 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 4: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Sustainable mobility must compete

•  Business as usual is incremental at best •  Safety is a high bar, well-entrenched •  We are not accustomed to high rates of

change in transport -  But change will now be rapid

•  Other big goals, such as resilience, may take over the debate -  With unfamiliar characteristics like modularity, diversity,

adaptive capacity, anticipation

11 October 2012 4 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 5: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

The new ITS is transformational

•  Expanded boundaries -  Service-oriented, revenue streams, big data and

analytics, consumer platforms for communication •  Consumer-oriented -  In-vehicle technologies lead growth

•  Industry-government partnership -  Platforms for entrepreneurs

11 October 2012 5 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 6: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Where are we today?

11 October 2012 6 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 7: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

We are living in a connected world with new mobility choices

11 October 2012 7 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 8: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Connectivity has changed the face of commercial vehicles as well

11 October 2012 8 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 9: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Companies involved in transportation are changing

11 October 2012 9 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 10: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Change driven by billions of consumer choices

•  Whether travel is needed •  What mode, or combination of modes? •  What routes? •  Smart parking •  Access to additional services

•  How open is the data? •  Can the consumer own and control their data?

11 October 2012 10 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 11: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

There are 11699 people sharing 1443 cars in France

11 October 2012 11 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 12: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

The power of the ITS transaction

Strength of influence on user

Reliability of information

ESC

LDW

Traffic info

V2V, V2I

Car sharing Signal pre-emption for buses

Autonomous on call

V2V, V2I

Car sharingemption eSignal pre--

for buses

Autonomous on callAutonomAutonomAutonom

11 October 2012 12 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 13: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Change driven by policy decisions

•  Civil transport decisions based on accessibility -  Connectivity and proximity are

alternatives to mobility •  Open data and owned data •  Platforms for connectivity and autonomy •  Smart cities -  Platforms for data, payments and information

11 October 2012 13 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 14: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Policy creates innovation: vehicles that don’t crash

11 October 2012 14 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 15: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Wall Street Journal September 24, 2012 Who's Behind the Wheel? Nobody. The driverless car is coming. And we all should be glad it is.

The Sunday Times (London) September 16, 2012 56MPH - I THINK I'LL HAVE A NAP; Ken Gibson gets a taste of the future in a 'road train' convoy of cars controlled by a single driver

telegraph.co.uk May 18, 2012 Self-driving cars 'not far off'; General Motors reckons most of the building blocks are already in place for a semi-autonomous self driving car, but that full autonomy is a way off.

New Scientist March 31, 2012 Hands off the wheel. If the going's tough, the car gets cover

11 October 2012 15 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 16: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Raising the I.Q. of City Services - NYTimes

11 October 2012 16 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 17: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

•  Sustainable cities •  Intelligent traffic solutions, green buildings, wastewater

management, and smart grid infrastructure are just a few of the technologies helping to steer today’s urbanization toward sustainability.

11 October 2012 17 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 18: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

Change by an order of magnitude

•  1 in 7 vehicles in-use in peak hour •  7 people can share 1 car •  Household expenditure on transport (individual car ownership) is

10x a shared/driverless system •  Investment in vehicles is 10x investment in infrastructure

11 October 2012 18 © 2012 KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

Page 19: KEEP MOVING, TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY · Thursday 11 October 2012 . Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Unleashed Peter F. Sweatman Director University of Michigan

E [email protected] I www.rli.nl T #EeacRli l ‘Group ‘EEAC-RLI Conference 2012 on sustainable mobility’

11 October 2012 19