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KBC GroupCompany presentationFY 2016 / 4Q 2016
KBC Group - Investor Relations Office – E-mail:
More information: www.kbc.com
2
This presentation is provided for information purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation to buy anysecurity issued by the KBC Group.
KBC believes that this presentation is reliable, although some information is condensed and therefore incomplete. KBC cannot beheld liable for any loss or damage resulting from the use of the information.
This presentation contains non-IFRS information and forward-looking statements with respect to the strategy, earnings and capitaltrends of KBC, involving numerous assumptions and uncertainties. There is a risk that these statements may not be fulfilled andthat future developments differ materially. Moreover, KBC does not undertake any obligation to update the presentation in linewith new developments.
By reading this presentation, each investor is deemed to represent that it possesses sufficient expertise to understand the risksinvolved.
Important information for investors
3
4Q 2016 key takeaways for KBC Group
STRONG BUSINESS PERFORMANCE IN 4Q16Good net result of 685m EUR in 4Q16 and 2,427m EUR in FY16, leading to ROE of 18% in 2016o Good performance of the commercial bank-insurance franchises in our core markets and core activitieso Q-o-q increase in customer loan volumes and customer deposits in most of our core countrieso Slightly lower net interest income due entirely to dealing room and insurance, while NII banking increased (net interest margin stabilised q-o-q) o Higher net fee and commission income q-o-qo Higher net gains from financial instruments at fair value, lower realised AFS gains and higher net other income o Combined ratio of 93% in FY16. Excellent sales of non-life and life insurance productso Strict cost management resulted in a cost/income ratio of 57% in FY16 adjusted for specific items o Seasonally higher level of impairment charges. Net loan provision release in Ireland of 12m EUR in 4Q16 and 45m EUR in FY16, fully in line with
our guidance. We are guiding a net loan loss provision release for Ireland within the range of 25m-75m EUR for FY17
SOLID CAPITAL AND ROBUST LIQUIDITY POSITIONSo The B3 common equity ratio based on the Danish Compromise at end 2016 amounted to 16.2% phased-in and 15.8% fully loaded, which
clearly exceeds the minimum capital requirements set by the ECB / NBB of respectively 8.65% and 10.40% for 2017o On top of the above mentioned capital requirements, the ECB expects KBC to hold a pillar 2 guidance (P2G) of 1.0% CET1o Fully loaded B3 leverage ratio, based on current CRR legislation, amounted to 6.1% at KBC Groupo Continued strong liquidity position (NSFR at 125% and LCR at 139%) at end 2016
DIVIDEND PROPOSAL1
o On top of the interim dividend of 1 EUR per share paid in November 2016, a final dividend of 1.80 EUR per share will be proposed to the AGMfor the 2016 accounting year (i.e. a pay-out ratio of 50% including the AT1 coupon)
o The pay-out ratio policy (i.e. dividend + AT1 coupon) of at least 50% of consolidated profit is reconfirmed for the future
IRELAND: RE-POSITION AS A CORE COUNTRY…o By building a fully-fledged client-centric retail bank in line with our omni-channel distribution model, underpinned by a ‘digital first’ strategy and
by further developing the bank-insurance modelo We will organize an onsite visit at KBC Ireland in Dublin on Wednesday 21 June 2017
1. Any dividend payment will be subject to the usual approval of the regulator
4
Contents
1
4
Strong solvency and solid liquidity
4Q 2016 wrap up
Annex 2: Company profile
2
4Q 2016 performance of KBC Group
3
4Q 2016 performance of business units
Annex 3: Other items
5 FY 2016 key takeaways
Annex 1: FY 2016 performance of KBC Group
5
KBC Group
Section 1
4Q 2016 performance of KBC Group
6
Net result at KBC Group
* Difference between net result at KBC Group and the sum of the banking and insurancecontribution is accounted for by the holding-company/group items
CONTRIBUTION OF BANKING ACTIVITIES TO KBC GROUP NET RESULT*
685629721
392
600666
510
441
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q15
862
765
-344
3Q152Q151Q15
NET RESULT AT KBC GROUP*
613552
644
358
524564
412
448
-310
3Q152Q151Q15 4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q15
903
765
-41
8959 48 44
83 72
73
6250 44
31
22 5856
-35-30-21-19 -9 -21
2761
3Q16
95
2Q16
75
1Q16
48
4Q15
33
-34
3Q15
79
2Q15
121
1
1Q15
121
4Q16
96
CONTRIBUTION OF INSURANCE ACTIVITIES TO KBC GROUP NET RESULT*
Amounts in m EUR
Net resultImpact KBC FHGW impairments
Net resultImpact KBC FHGW impairments
GW impairments
Non-technical & taxes
Life result
Non-Life result
7
Higher NII banking and stable net interest marginLower NII dealing room and insurance
Net interest income• Down by 1% both q-o-q and y-o-y, due entirely to the lower contribution of
dealing room and insurance• NII banking increased q-o-q, driven primarily by:
o lower funding costso additional rate cuts on savings accountso continued good volume growth in current accounts and loanso further positive effect of enhanced ALM managementpartly offset by:o lower reinvestment yieldso pressure on commercial loan margins in most core countrieso slightly lower upfront prepayment fees
Net interest margin (1.90%)• Stable q-o-q, but down by 5 bps y-o-y• Q-o-q stabilisation is due to lower funding costs, rate cuts on savings
accounts and the further positive effect of enhanced ALM management,fully offset by lower reinvestment yields, decreased net interest incomefrom the dealing room and pressure on commercial loan margins in mostcore countries
NIM
NII
906 898 903 898900
162
888
154 156
914
157
925
1474142
154157163252810192231
1,057
-17
3Q16 4Q16
1,064
1Q15
-2
3Q152Q15
-3
1,0621,091
4Q15 1Q16
1,0701,0671,066
2Q16
-1
1,092
1.99%1.90%
1.95%
2.10%
1.96%
2Q15 2Q161Q16
2.06%
1Q15
1.90%
3Q164Q153Q15
1.94%
4Q16
Amounts in m EUR
NII - Holding-company/group
NII - dealing room
NII - Banking
NII - Insurance
* Non-annualised ** Loans to customers, excluding reverse repos (and bonds)*** Customer deposits, including debt certificates but excluding repos
VOLUME TRENDExcluding FX effect Total loans ** Of which mortgages Customer deposits*** AuM Life reserves
Volume 133bn 57bn 177bn 213bn 29bn
Growth q-o-q* +1% +1% +6% +2% 0%
Growth y-o-y +4% +4% +10% +2% 1%
Customer deposit volumes excluding debtcertificates & repos +1% q-o-q and +4% y-o-y
8
Higher net fee and commission income
Net fee and commission income• Up by 2% q-o-q and by 1% y-o-y
• Q-o-q increase was the result chiefly of:o higher management fees from mutual funds & unit-
linked life insurance products (thanks to reset date CPPIand a good equity market performance)
o higher fees from credit files and bank guarantees(specific event fees in Belgium)
partly offset by:o higher commissions paid on insurance saleso lower securities-related feeso slightly lower fees from payment services in Belgium and
Slovakia due to timing differences
• Y-o-y increase occurred entirely in the Belgium BusinessUnit due to higher management fees from mutual funds andunit-linked life insurance products and higher fees fromcredit files and bank guarantees
Assets under management (213bn EUR)• Went up by 2% q-o-q owing almost entirely to a positive
price effect
• Rose by 2% y-o-y owing to net outflows (-1%) and a positiveprice effect (+3%)
F&C
Amounts in m EUR
518 530453 445 422 432 443
-74-71-76-70-69-64-59 -80-1-4-1-1
455
4Q16
376
3Q16
368
2Q16
360
1Q16
346
4Q15
371
3Q15
383
2Q15
465
1Q15
459
F&C - contribution of holding-company/group
F&C - banking contribution
F&C - insurance contribution
Amounts in bn EUR
AuM
213209207207209200204208
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
9
Insurance premium income (gross earned premium) at 776m EUR• Non-life premium income (363m) increased by 7%
y-o-y
• Life premium income (413m) up by 23% q-o-q(partly seasonal effect) and down by 7% y-o-y
The non-life combined ratio at FY16 amounted to93%, an improvement compared with 94% in9M16 due to low claims in 4Q16
Amounts in m EUR
Insurance premium income sharply up and excellent combined ratio
COMBINED RATIO (NON-LIFE)
PREMIUM INCOME (GROSS EARNED PREMIUM)
93%
FY
91%
9M
94%89%
1H
95%86%
1Q
91%82%
20162015
320 326 335 338 341 349 357
302 265 289445 426 402 336
363
413
4Q16
776
3Q16
693
2Q16
751
1Q16
767
4Q15
783
3Q15
624
2Q15
591
1Q15
622
Non-Life premium incomeLife premium income
10
Non-life sales up y-o-y, life sales up q-o-q and down y-o-y
Sales of non-life insurance products• Up by 6% y-o-y thanks to a good commercial
performance in all major product lines in our coremarkets and tariff increases
Sales of life insurance products• Increased by 17% q-o-q and decreased by 2% y-o-y
• The q-o-q increase was driven mainly by higher sales ofguaranteed interest products in Belgium (attributablechiefly to traditionally higher volumes in tax-incentivised pension saving products in 4Q16) andhigher sales of unit-linked products in the CzechRepublic
• The y-o-y decrease can be explained chiefly by lowersales of guaranteed interest products in Belgium (drivenby reduced guaranteed interest offered)
• Sales of unit-linked products accounted for 39% of totallife insurance sales
LIFE SALES
NON-LIFE SALES (GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM)
189 181 170 182 235 209 173
275 231 212
353353 349
275
204
318
4Q163Q16
447
2Q16
558
1Q16
587
4Q15
535
3Q15
382
2Q15
412
1Q15
464522
Unit-linked productsGuaranteed interest products
Amounts in m EUR
321327336
445
302308314
418
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
11
Higher FV gains and other net income, lower gains realisedon AFS assets
The higher q-o-q figures for net gains fromfinancial instruments at fair value wereattributable to:• a positive change in ALM derivatives (59m EUR in
4Q16 compared with -4m EUR in 3Q16) due to anincrease q-o-q in IRS rates
• a positive change in market, credit and fair valueadjustments (mainly as a result of model changes in3Q16)
• better dealing room income
Lower gains realised on AFS assets (q-o-qdecrease both on bonds and shares)
Other net income amounted to 101m EUR,substantially higher than the normal run rate ofaround 50m EUR due to some one-offtransactions (of which 25m EUR was offset inthe technical result of life insurance)
FV GAINS
Amounts in m EUR
89
76 73141
-4
-156
-3
5990 734560
165
224
3Q16
69
2Q16
154
13
1Q16
93
4Q163Q15
179
1Q15
12
2Q15 4Q15
2
4757
20
8
26
128
273044
36
80
2Q16 4Q163Q15 4Q15 3Q162Q151Q15 1Q16
GAINS REALISED ON AFS ASSETS
101
59475147
96105
49
2Q161Q16 4Q162Q15 3Q161Q15 3Q15 4Q15
OTHER NET INCOME
M2M ALM derivativesOther FV gains Liquidation KBC FH
-68
12
Operating expenses up, but good cost/income ratio
Cost/income ratio (banking) adjusted for specificitems* at 57% in 4Q16 and in FY16. Excludingbank tax, C/I ratio amounted to 50% in FY16• Operating expenses excluding bank tax increased by 7%
q-o-q due mainly to:o 33m one-off expenses for early retirement (20m EUR
in the Belgium Business Unit and 13m EUR in theGroup Centre
o seasonal effects such as traditionally higher ICT,marketing and professional fee expenses
• Operating expenses without bank tax increased by 2%y-o-y due entirely to one-off expenses for earlyretirement, despite lower facilities expenses and lowerpension costs
• Operating expenses excluding bank tax and excludingthe 33m one-off expenses for early retirement roughlystabilised y-o-y in FY16
• Pursuant to IFRIC 21, certain levies (such ascontributions to the European Single Resolution Fund)have to be recognised in advance, and this adverselyimpacted the results for 1Q16. In 2Q16, the Belgiangovernment replaced the 4 existing taxes by 1, whichled to 38m EUR additional bank taxes in Belgium, partlyoffset by the ability to book 6m EUR of the ESRFcontribution as a non-P&L item
• Total bank taxes (including ESRF contribution) increasedfrom 417m EUR in FY15 to 437m EUR in FY16
OPERATING EXPENSES
264
8349
335
51
962
858
1Q15
1,125
861 851
4Q15
914
895
871
24
3Q15
862
841
21
2Q15
941
2Q16
904
853
1Q16
1,186
935
27
3Q16 4Q16
963
Bank tax Operating expenses
* See glossary (slide 98) for the exact definitionAmounts in m EUR
TOTAL Upfront Spread out over the year
4Q16 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
BU BE 0 241 32 0 0 0 0 0 0
BU CZ 0 28 -1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hungary 21 31 0 0 0 17 19 20 21
Slovakia 4 6 -2 0 0 3 3 3 4
Bulgaria 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
Ireland 3 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 3
GC 0 5 -3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL 27 314 27 0 0 22 24 24 27
BANK TAX SPREAD IN 2016
13
Overview of bank taxes*
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS BUCZECH REPUBLIC BU
BELGIUM BUKBC GROUP
2724232550
26
71
23
11
8
4Q163Q162Q16
22
-1
1Q16
61
4Q15
282
3Q152Q151Q15
79
Common bank taxesESRF contribution
18449118
0013
0 38
57
42
4Q163Q162Q16
32
-6
1Q16
241
4Q153Q152Q151Q15
160
Common bank taxesESRF contribution
11
9
22
-1
710
6
-12
900
4Q163Q162Q161Q16
28
4Q153Q15
-3
2Q151Q15
20
Common bank taxesESRF contribution
62
92
592724
-12
83243
34
202
3215
4Q163Q162Q16
51
-8
1Q16
335
4Q15
49
3Q15
21
2Q151Q15
264
Common bank taxes
European Single Resolution Fund contribution
* This refers solely to the bank taxes recognised in opex, and as such it does not take account of income tax expenses, non-recoverable VAT, etc.** The C/I ratio adjusted for specific items of 57% in FY16 amounts to roughly 50% excluding these bank taxes
Bank taxes of 437m EUR YTD, representing 11.1% of FY16 opex at KBC Group**
Bank taxes of 273m EUR YTD, representing 11.2% of FY16 opex at the Belgium BU
Bank taxes of 27m EUR YTD, representing 4.4% of FY16 opex at the CZ BU
Bank taxes of 135m EUR YTD, representing 18.0% of FY16 opex at the IM BU
14
Seasonally higher asset impairments, excellent credit cost ratio and decreased impaired loans ratio
Higher impairment charges q-o-q• The seasonal q-o-q increase in loan loss provisions from the
unsustainable low level in 3Q16 was attributable mainly to:o higher but still low impairments in retail, partly due to
impairments as a result of IBNR parameter changes inBelgium
o higher but still low impairments on SMEs, corporates &leasing in the Czech Republic and Slovakia
o net loan loss provision releases in Ireland of 12m EUR(compared with 28m in 3Q16), despite the negative impact ofparameter changes in 4Q16
• Impairment ofo 4m EUR on AFS shares (entirely in Belgium, partly offset by a
release in the Czech Republic)o 15m EUR on other (IT)
The credit cost ratio only amounted to 0.09% in FY16 dueto low gross impairments and several releases
The impaired loans ratio dropped further to 7.2%
ASSET IMPAIRMENT
73
138
7850
50
21
1834 5425 10
194
1Q15
77
3Q162Q16 4Q16
73
28
71
1Q16
4
28
4Q15
472
344
3Q15
4915
2Q15
14911
IMPAIRED LOANS RATIO
1Q164Q15
4.8%
9.6%
4.4%
8.2%
4.7%
2Q16
8.6%
3Q15
9.0%
5.2%
2Q15
7.8%
1Q15
5.3%
9.3%
5.5%
3Q16
7.6%
4.2%
4Q16
3.9%
7.2%
CREDIT COST RATIO
FY15FY14
1.21%
0.09%
0.42%
FY16
0.23%
FY13FY12FY09
0.91%
FY11
0.71%
FY10
0.82%
1.11%
of which over 90 days past dueImpaired loan ratio
GW impairments Impairments on L&ROther impairments
15
KBC Group
Section 2
4Q 2016 performance of business units
16
BELGIUM BUSINESS UNIT
CFO SERVICES
CRO SERVICES
CORPORATE STAFF
BELGIUMCZECH
REPUBLICINTERNATIONAL
MARKETS
17
Belgium BU (1): net result of 439m EUR
Net result at the Belgium Business Unitamounted to 439m EUR• The quarter under review was characterised by lower
net interest income, an increase in net fee andcommission income, higher dividend income,increased trading and fair value income, a decreasein realised gains on AFS assets, higher other netincome, an excellent combined ratio, higher sales oflife insurance products, seasonally higher operatingexpenses (including one-off for early retirement) andimpairment charges q-o-q
• Loan volumes rose by 1% q-o-q. Customer depositsexcluding debt certificates & repos stabilized q-o-q
* Non-annualised ** Loans to customers, excluding reverse repos (and bonds)*** Customer deposits, including debt certificates but excluding repos
VOLUME TREND
Total loans ** Of which mortgages Customer deposits*** AuM Life reserves
Volume 92bn 34bn 125bn 199bn 27bn
Growth q-o-q* +1% +1% +7% +2% 0%
Growth y-o-y +4% +3% +13% +3% +1%
439414
371
209
348358
528
330
4Q153Q151Q15 4Q161Q16 3Q162Q162Q15
NET RESULT
Amounts in m EUR
Customer deposit volumes excluding debtcertificates & repos flat q-o-q and +2% y-o-y
18
Belgium BU (2): lower NII and NIM
Net interest income (651m EUR)• Down by 4% q-o-q and by 6% y-o-y due entirely to the lower
contribution of dealing room and insurance
• NII banking slightly increased q-o-q, driven primarily by:o lower funding costs on term depositso continued good volume growth in current accounts & loanso further positive effect of enhanced ALM managementpartly offset by:o lower reinvestment yieldso slightly lower upfront prepayment fees (13m EUR in 4Q16
compared with 16m EUR in 3Q16)
• NII banking roughly stabilised y-o-y as:o sharply lower funding costs on term depositso increase in volumes on current and savings accountso higher net interest income on lending activitieso further positive effect of enhanced ALM managemento slightly higher prepayment fees (13m EUR in 4Q16 compared
with 11m EUR in 4Q15)was entirely offset by:o lower reinvestment yieldso increased hedging losses on previously refinanced mortgages
• Customer deposits excluding debt certificates and repos rose by2% y-o-y, while customer loans rose by 4% y-o-y
Net interest margin (1.72%)• Fell by 6 bps q-o-q and by 13 bps y-o-y due to the negative
impact of lower reinvestment yields, decreased net interestincome from the dealing room and some pressure oncommercial loan margins. Y-o-y, net interest margin was alsoimpacted by increased hedging losses on refinanced mortgages
NIM
NII
Amounts in m EUR
540 549 531 534 536 541 530
151 152 147 145 145 141 145
533
135
691720
3Q15 2Q161Q162Q15
19688
1Q15 4Q15
68212
714
1623694
57
-17
3Q16 4Q16
680651
2Q16
1.85%
3Q15
1.86%
4Q16
1.72%
1Q15
1.78%
4Q15
1.86%
2Q15
1.96%1.84%
1Q16 3Q16
1.96%
NII - dealing room income NII - contribution of banking
NII - contribution of insurance
19
Credit margins in Belgium
PRODUCT SPREAD ON CUSTOMER LOAN BOOK, OUTSTANDING
PRODUCT SPREAD ON NEW PRODUCTION
1.0
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
1.2
1.4
0.8
1Q13 3Q13 3Q144Q12 3Q161Q162Q151Q154Q141Q144Q13 4Q162Q162Q13 4Q153Q152Q141Q122Q11 3Q11 4Q11 3Q121Q11 2Q12
Customer loans
1.4
1.2
0.6
1.0
1.8
0.2
0.4
0.8
1.6
2Q164Q153Q14 2Q15 3Q15 1Q16 3Q162Q14 4Q164Q13 1Q153Q13 4Q142Q131Q134Q123Q122Q12 1Q141Q121Q11 3Q11 4Q112Q11
Mortgage loansSME and corporate loans
20
Belgium BU (3): higher net F&C income
Net fee and commission income (279m EUR)• Increased by 3% q-o-q, due mainly to the combination
of higher management fees from mutual funds andunit-linked life insurance products (thanks to resetdate CPPI and a good equity market performance) andhigher fees from credit files & bank guarantees(specific event fees), which were only partly offset bylower fees from payment transactions (partly timingeffect) & other banking services and highercommissions paid on insurance sales
• Rose by 3% y-o-y driven chiefly by highermanagement fees from mutual funds and unit-linkedlife insurance products (thanks to reset date CPPI anda good equity market performance) and higher feesfrom credit files & bank guarantees, which were onlypartly offset by lower fees from securitiestransactions, higher commissions paid on insurancesales and slightly lower fees from paymenttransactions & other banking services
Assets under management (199bn EUR)• Rose by 2% q-o-q owing almost entirely to a positive
price effect
• Went up by 3% y-o-y entirely as a result of a positiveprice effect
AuM*
F&C
Amounts in bn EUR
400 406
335 318 307 312 324
-52-47-52-48-48-43-40 -54
333
4Q16
279
3Q16
272
2Q16
264
1Q16
255
4Q15
270
3Q15
287
2Q15
363
1Q15
360
194193192194185189193 199
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
Amounts in m EUR
* The breakdown across the BUs is based on the ‘Assets under Distribution’ in each BU
F&C - contribution of bankingF&C - contribution of insurance
21
Sales of non-life insurance products• Increased by 4% y-o-y driven mainly by a good
commercial performance and some tariff increases.Premium growth was mainly situated in ‘motor casco’,‘property’ and ‘legal assistance’
Combined ratio amounted to 92% in FY16 (90%in FY15). There were much lower major claims in4Q16 compared with 4Q15
Belgium BU (4): higher y-o-y non-life sales and excellent combined ratio
COMBINED RATIO (NON-LIFE)
92%
FY
90%
9M
92%87%
1H
96%
84%
1Q
92%
79%
20162015
NON-LIFE SALES (GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM)
220234
249
314
211222
238
328
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
22
Belgium BU (5): higher life sales and good cross-sellingratios
Sales of life insurance products• Rose by 11% q-o-q driven entirely by higher sales of
guaranteed interest products, attributable mainly totraditionally higher volumes in tax-incentivisedpension saving products in 4Q16
• Decreased by 2% y-o-y driven mainly by lower sales ofguaranteed interest products
• As a result, guaranteed interest products and unit-linked products accounted for 73% and 27%,respectively, of life insurance sales in 4Q16
Mortgage-related cross-selling ratios• 89.0% for fire insurance
• 77.6% for life insurance
LIFE SALES
Amounts in m EUR
149 13885 82
163 140 108
248205
184
327
327322
252
106
294
4Q163Q16
361
2Q16
462
1Q16
490
4Q15
409
3Q15
269
2Q15
343
1Q15
397 399
Guaranteed interest products Unit-linked products
MORTGAGE-RELATED CROSS-SELLING RATIOS
89.0%
77.6%
49,5
63,7
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
Fire insurance Life insurance
23
The higher q-o-q figures for net gains fromfinancial instruments at fair value were theresult mainly of:• better dealing room income
• a positive q-o-q change in ALM derivatives (56mEUR in 3Q16 compared with 16m EUR in 3Q16)due to an increase q-o-q in IRS rates
• a positive q-o-q change in market, credit and fairvalue adjustments (mainly as a result of modelchanges)
Gains realised on AFS assets came to 6m EUR(q-o-q decrease entirely on shares)
Other net income amounted to 66m EUR in4Q16, somewhat above the normal run ratedue to a one-off transaction (with theopposite, negative effect of 25m EUR in thetechnical result of life insurance)
FV GAINS
Amounts in m EUR
91
45
38 57 53
-31-10
563
-1
118
4Q16
66
2Q15
20
2Q16
13
3Q15
-32
51
136
4Q151Q15
7
17
1Q16
917
3Q16
174
69
16
612
49
2326
3338
52
4Q161Q15 2Q164Q153Q152Q15 3Q161Q16
GAINS REALISED ON AFS ASSETS
66
53
444641
55
67
45
1Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15 4Q163Q162Q16
OTHER NET INCOME
Belgium BU (6): higher FV gains and higher other net income, but lower gains realised on AFS assets
Other FV gains M2M ALM derivatives
24
Belgium BU (7): seasonally higher operating expenses andimpairments, excellent credit cost ratio
Operating expenses: +5% q-o-q and flat y-o-y• Operating expenses (without bank tax) rose by 5% q-o-q
due mainly to 20m EUR one-off expenses for earlyretirement and seasonal effects such as traditionally higherICT, marketing and professional fee expenses, partly offsetby lower variable remuneration
• Operating expenses without bank tax increased by 3% y-o-ydriven chiefly by 20m EUR one-off expenses for earlyretirement and higher ICT, facilities and professional feeexpenses, partly offset by lower pension expenses andlower general administrative expenses
• Cost/income ratio: 45% in 4Q16 and 54% in FY16, distortedpartly by the bank taxes. Adjusted for specific items, the C/Iratio amounted to 54% in 4Q16 and 55% in FY16
Loan loss provisions amounted to 46m EUR in 4Q16(compared with 33m EUR in 3Q16). The q-o-qincrease was due largely to impairments in retail as aresult of IBNR parameter changes. Gross impairmentsremained low in all other segments. Credit cost ratioamounted to 12 bps in FY16 (19 bps in FY15). Totalother impairments increased q-o-q due to 7m EURimpairments on IT software. Impairments on AFSshares stabilised q-o-q at 7m EUR
Impaired loans ratio dropped to 3.3%, 1.7% of whichover 90 days past due
ASSET IMPAIRMENT
OPERATING EXPENSES
Amounts in m EUR
535 534 541 533 541
556540 529
241160
4Q163Q162Q16
57332
1Q16
774
4Q15
55413
3Q152Q15
584
49
1Q15
695
6267
13
3428 33
10
15
18
24
20 8
6
46
14
4Q16
60
3Q16
41
2Q16
48
1Q16
30
4Q15
52
3Q15
28
2Q15
77
1Q15
653
Operating expensesBank tax
Impairments on L&ROther impairments
25
Net result at the Belgium BU
* Difference between net profit at the Belgium Business Unit and the sum of the banking and insurance contribution is accounted for by the rounding up or down of figures
CONTRIBUTION OF BANKING ACTIVITIES TO NET RESULT OF THE BELGIUM BU *
NET RESULT AT THE BELGIUM BU *
Amounts in m EUR
439414
371
209
348358
528
330
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
371330
303
176
288300
429
212
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
-25 -29
8049 37 38
74 61
62
50
33 24
19
5240
-15-12 -5 -20
1948
3Q16
68
84
2Q16
688
1Q16
33
4Q15
60
-2
3Q15
58
2Q15
99
0
1Q15
117
4Q16
Non-Life result Non-technical & taxesLife result
CONTRIBUTION OF INSURANCE ACTIVITIES TO NET RESULT OF THE BELGIUM BU *
26
CZECH REPUBLIC BUSINESS UNIT
CFO SERVICES
CRO SERVICES
CORPORATE STAFF
BELGIUMCZECH
REPUBLICINTERNATIONAL
MARKETS
27
Czech Republic BU (1): net result of 131m EUR
Net result at the Czech Republic Business Unit of131m EUR• Q-o-q results were characterised by higher net
interest income, higher net fee and commissionincome, higher net results from financial instrumentsat fair value, a decrease in net other income, animproved combined ratio, substantially higher sales oflife insurance products, seasonally higher operatingexpenses and impairment charges q-o-q
• Profit contribution from the insurance businessremained limited in comparison to the bankingbusiness
* Non-annualised ** Loans to customers, excluding reverse repos (and bonds)*** Customer deposits, including debt certificates but excluding repos
VOLUME TREND
Excluding FX effect Total loans ** Of which mortgages Customer deposits*** AuM Life reserves
Volume 20bn 9bn 26bn 8.5bn 1.0bn
Growth q-o-q* +1% +3% +3% -1% +7%
Growth y-o-y +9% +12% +9% -3% +4%
NET RESULT
Amounts in m EUR
131
145
191
129119
153
127
143
3Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15 4Q16
28
Czech Republic BU (2): higher NII and NIM
Net interest income (215m EUR)• Up by 1% q-o-q and by 2% y-o-y to 215m EUR (also
corrected for FX effects)
• The q-o-q increase was the result primarily of growth inloan volumes (especially in mortgages and consumerfinance), a reduction of the average offered rate onsavings accounts and a positive effect of enhanced ALMmanagement, which were partly offset by lowerreinvestment yields and pressure on lending margins inmortgages and consumer finance
• Loan volumes up by 9% y-o-y, driven mainly by growthin mortgages, corporate loans, consumer finance and,to a lesser extent, in SME loans
• Customer deposit volumes up by 9% y-o-y
Net interest margin (2.96%)• Up by 5bps q-o-q and by 1 bp y-o-y to 2.96%
• The q-o-q increase was attributable mainly to areduction of the average offered rate on savingsaccounts and a positive effect of enhanced ALMmanagement, fully offset by a lower reinvestment yieldand pressure on lending margins in mortgages andconsumer finance
NIM
NII
Amounts in m EUR
215213210211210215208212
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
2.96%
4Q163Q16
2.91%
2Q16
2.91%
1Q16
3.00%
4Q15
2.95%
3Q15
3.01%
2Q15
3.00%
1Q15
3.16%
29
Czech Republic BU (3): higher net F&C income
Net fee and commission income (50m EUR)• Increased by 9% q-o-q and down by 3% y-o-y (or +9%
q-o-q and -4% y-o-y pro forma, adjusted to takeaccount of FX effect)
• The q-o-q increase was mainly the result of higherfees from payment services (seasonal effect ofChristmas and slightly higher fees for cardsmaintenance) and higher management & entry fees
• The y-o-y decrease was attributable chiefly to lowersecurities-related & other fees and higher fees paid toCzech Post, partly offset by higher management &entry fees and slightly higher fees from paymentservices
Assets under management (8.5bn EUR)• Decreased by 1.5% q-o-q owing to small net inflows
(+1.3%) and a negative price effect (-2.8%)
• Y-o-y, assets under management fell by 3.3%, drivenby net outflows (-3.7%) and a positive price effect(+0.4%)
AuM*
F&C
Amounts in bn EUR
Amounts in m EUR
5046
4946
52495050
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
1Q15
8.38.2
2Q15 4Q16
8.5
3Q16
8.6 8.6
2Q161Q16
8.7
4Q15
8.8
3Q15
8.5
* The breakdown across the BUs is based on the ‘Assets under Distribution’ in each BU
30
Czech Republic BU (4): higher premium income andimproved q-o-q combined ratio
Insurance premium income (gross earnedpremium) stood at 144m EUR• Non-life premium income (50m) rose by 8% y-o-y
excluding FX effect, due mainly to growth in allproducts
• Life premium income (94m) went up by 59% q-o-q andfell by 2% y-o-y, excluding FX effect. Q-o-q increaseentirely in unit-linked single premiums
Combined ratio: 96% in FY16 (compared with 94%in FY15) impacted by storms and large fire claimsin 2Q16 and 3Q16
Cross-selling ratios: increased commercial focusand sales activities helped to improve demand forproperty insurance combined with a mortgage
COMBINED RATIO (NON-LIFE)
PREMIUM INCOME (GROSS EARNED PREMIUM)
41 44 45 47 45 46 49
3041
7695
67 51 59
50
94
4Q16
144
3Q16
108
2Q16
97
1Q16
112
4Q15
142
3Q15
121
2Q15
85
1Q15
71
96%
FY
94%
9M
97%94%
1H
98%95%
1Q
95%96%
20162015
Non-Life premium incomeLife premium income
CROSS-SELLING RATIOS
Mortg. & prop. Mortg. & life risk Cons. Fin. & life risk
2016
63%
2015
68%
2016
47%
2015
50%
2016
65%
2015
57%
31
Czech Republic BU (5): seasonally higher operating expenses and impairments, excellent credit cost ratio
Operating expenses (152m EUR)• Rose by 5% q-o-q and fell by 9% y-o-y, excluding FX
effect
• Excluding FX effect and bank tax, operating expensesincreased by 5% q-o-q, but decreased by 5% y-o-y
• The q-o-q increase excluding FX effect and bank taxwas due mainly to traditionally higher marketingexpenses and professional fees
• The y-o-y decrease excluding FX effect and bank taxwas attributable primarily to lower generaladministrative expenses in 4Q16 and restructuringcharges in 4Q15
• Cost/income ratio at 47% in 4Q16 and 45% in FY16.Adjusted for specific items, the C/I ratio amounted toroughly 48% in 4Q16 and 46% in FY16
Impairments on L&R were extremely low in 3Q16due to several reversals, while the increase in4Q16 was driven by SME and corporates, despitereleases in retail. Overall, impairments remainedlow
Credit cost ratio amounted to 0.11% in FY16
Impaired loans ratio amounted to 2.8%, 1.9% of which over 90 days past due
ASSET IMPAIRMENT
OPERATING EXPENSES
141 140159
141
20
142
28
144
152144
4Q163Q162Q16
143
-1
1Q16
170
4Q15
1667
3Q15
140
-2
2Q15
150
10
1Q15
161
11
2
10
1
20
4
15
2
3Q162Q16 4Q161Q163Q152Q151Q15 4Q15
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CCR 0.31% 0.26% 0.18% 0.18% 0.11%
Operating expensesBank tax
32
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS BUSINESS UNIT
CFO SERVICES
CRO SERVICES
CORPORATE STAFF
BELGIUMCZECH
REPUBLICINTERNATIONAL
MARKETS
33
International Markets BU (1): net result of 139m EUR
* Non-annualised ** Loans to customers, excluding reverse repos (and bonds)*** Customer deposits, including debt certificates but excluding repos
VOLUME TREND
Total loans ** Of which mortgages Customer deposits*** AuM Life reserves
Volume 21bn 14bn 18bn 5.7bn 0.6bn
Growth q-o-q* +1% +1% +2% -3% +1%
Growth y-o-y +2% +2% +7% -9% +8%
NET RESULT
Amounts in m EUR
139
106
123
6061
92
68
24
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
Net result: 139m EUR, despite 27m EUR bank taxes• Profit breakdown for International Markets: 16m EUR for
Slovakia, 23m EUR for Hungary, 5m EUR for Bulgaria and95m EUR for Ireland
• Q-o-q results were characterised by higher net interestincome, lower net fee and commission income, higherresult from financial instruments at fair value, higherrealised gains on AFS assets, higher net other income,roughly stable life insurance sales, higher costs, lower netimpairment releases and DTA increases in Ireland
34
International Markets BU (2): organic growth
The total loan book increased by 1% q-o-q and by 2% y-o-y• On a y-o-y basis, the 5% decrease in Ireland (matured and impaired mortgage loans surpassed new production + deleveraging of the
corporate loan portfolio) was more than offset by the increases of 12% in Slovakia (amongst other things due to the continuouslyincreasing mortgage portfolio), 15% in Bulgaria and 5% in Hungary
Total deposits were up by 2% q-o-q and by 7% y-o-y• The 2% q-o-q increase was accounted for chiefly by an increase of 12% in Hungary and 6% in Bulgaria, despite a decrease of 6% in Ireland
(primarily in corporates, replaced by intragroup TLTRO funding)
• The y-o-y rise of 7% was due mainly to Hungary (both in retail and corporates), Slovakia (strong growth in current accounts andcorporates) and Bulgaria
* Organic growth excluding FX impact; q-o-q figures are non-annualised. Loan and mortgage figures after impairment charges** Mortgages in Bulgaria: new business +7% q-o-q and +23% y-o-y, while legacy -12% q-o-q and -33% y-o-y
ORGANIC GROWTH*
TOTAL LOANS MORTGAGES DEPOSITS
q-o-q y-o-y q-o-q y-o-y q-o-q y-o-y
IRL -1% -5% 0% -3% -6% -5%
SK +3% +12% +5% +26% -2% +9%
HU +2% +5% +1% +4% +12% +14%
BG +8% +15% -1%** -3%** +6% +15%
TOTAL +1% +2% +1% +2% +2% +7%
35
International Markets BU (3): higher NII and NIM
Net interest income (198m EUR)• Rose by 7% q-o-q and by 9% y-o-y
• The q-o-q increase was driven by Ireland (reservedinterest releases mainly related to the settlement of acorporate non-performing loan, lower allocatedliquidity and funding costs), Slovakia (growth in loanvolumes, a favorable business mix and lower fundingcosts) and Hungary (mainly due to higher lendingmargins in retail and higher loan volumes)
• The y-o-y rise was attributable almost entirely toIreland (reserved interest releases mainly related tothe settlement of a corporate non-performing loan,lower allocated liquidity and funding costs)
Net interest margin (2.70%)• Up by 18 bps q-o-q and by 20 bps y-o-y
• The q-o-q increase was driven almost entirely byIreland
• The y-o-y increase was accounted for entirely byIreland
NIM
NII
Amounts in m EUR
198184179178181180178172
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
4Q16
2.70%
3Q16
2.52%
2Q16
2.48%
1Q16
2.47%
4Q15
2.50%
3Q15
2.56%
2Q15
2.60%
1Q15
2.53%
36
International Markets BU (4): lower net F&C income
Net fee and commission income (50m EUR)• Down by 4% q-o-q and by 3% y-o-y
• The q-o-q decrease was driven primarily by:o lower fees from payment services and from
credit files & bank guarantees in Slovakiao higher commissions paid on insurance sales in
Bulgaria
Assets under management (5.7bn EUR)• Decreased by 3% q-o-q owing to net outflows (-4%)
and a positive price effect (+1%)
• Y-o-y, assets under management fell by 9%, due tonet outflows (-14%) and a positive price effect(+5%)
AuM*
F&C
Amounts in bn EUR
Amounts in m EUR
50525148
51515350
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
3Q16 4Q16
5.8 5.7
2Q16
5.6
1Q16
6.1
4Q15
6.2
3Q15
6.4
2Q15
6.7
1Q15
6.8
* The breakdown across the BUs is based on the ‘Assets under Distribution’ in each BU
37
International Markets BU (5): higher premium incomeand excellent combined ratio
Insurance premium income (gross earnedpremium) stood at 73m EUR• Non-life premium income (52m) rose by 13% y-o-y as
a result of:o good performance in MTPL, casco and household +
growing average tariff in motor retail in Hungaryo good performance in casco in Bulgariao Good performance in MTPL, casco and household
insurance in Slovakia
• Life premium income (21m)o rose by 7% q-o-q entirely due to the seasonally
successful sales of a new interest guaranteedproduct in Bulgaria
o increased by 2% y-o-y driven mainly by higher salesof unit-linked life insurance products in Bulgaria
Combined ratio at an excellent 94% in FY16 (95%in FY15). The combined ratio for FY16 breaksdown into 93% for Hungary, 89% for Slovakia and97% for Bulgaria
COMBINED RATIO (NON-LIFE)
PREMIUM INCOME(GROSS EARNED PREMIUM)
Amounts in m EUR
39 41 43 46 46 49 50
23 1927 21 24
24 20
52
21
4Q16
60
1Q15
62
70
4Q15
67
2Q16
73
1Q16
73
3Q16
70
3Q15
70
2Q15
95%
1H
90%95%
1Q
88%88%92%
FY
95%
9M
94%
20162015
Life premium income Non-Life premium income
38
International Markets BU (6): higher operating expenses, impairment releases, excellent credit cost ratio
Operating expenses (189m EUR)• Rose by 4% q-o-q and by 2% y-o-y
• Opex without bank tax rose by 3% q-o-q driven by:o higher staff, marketing and ICT expenses in Slovakiao higher staff expenses and depreciations in Hungaryo higher staff, marketing and professional expenses in Bulgariapartly offset by:o lower staff, consultancy and ICT expenses in Ireland
• C/I ratio stood at 61% in 4Q16 and 64% in FY16. Adjusted for specificitems, the C/I ratio amounted to 67% in 4Q16 and 66% in FY16
Impairments on L&R (-8m EUR)• Net loan loss provision releases due mainly to Ireland (-12m EUR in
4Q16 compared with -28m EUR in 3Q16 and 16m EUR in 4Q15),driven by:o an increase in the 9-month average House Price Index and
improved non-performing portfolio performance for retailo lower provisions on existing non-performing loans, a release of
specific provisions as a result of deleveraging and improvedmacro-economic conditions for corporates
Credit cost ratio of -0.16% in FY16
Impaired loans ratio dropped to 25.4%, of which 13.4% over 90 days past due
ASSET IMPAIRMENT(Negative figures indicate net releases, hence positive profit impact)
OPERATING EXPENSES
Amounts in m EUR
148 145 148 156 147 150 157
79
25 2328 61
2224
161
27
189
4Q163Q16
180
2Q16
172
1Q16
208
4Q15
184
3Q15
171
2Q15
170
1Q15
226
-35
6
-2
28
12
28
16
-3
4Q163Q162Q161Q164Q153Q152Q151Q15
Loan book
2012CCR
2013CCR
2014CCR
2015CCR
2016CCR
IM BU 25bn 2.26% 4.48% 1.06% 0.32% -0.16%
- Ireland- Hungary- Slovakia- Bulgaria
13bn5bn7bn1bn
3.34%0.78%0.25%0.94%
6.72%1.50%0.60%1.19%
1.33%0.94%0.36%1.30%
0.34%0.12%0.32%1.21%
-0.33%-0.33%0.24%0.32%
Operating expensesBank tax
39
Ireland (1): why an attractive market for KBC?
Strong demographics, solid macroeconomic fundamentals and growth prospects
• Ireland is least correlated to the German economy, so provides diversification to ouroperations in Western and Central/Eastern Europe
• Youngest population in Europe, with 40% under 25 years of age.
• Consumers are digitally savvy and open to new ways of banking
• Strong educational profile and high percentage of population working in IT with third-leveldegrees
• Ireland has been Europe’s fastest growing economy for the last two years and demonstrateda remarkable capability to recover from the financial crisis:o The performance of export sectors has remained robusto The upswing in domestic demand is even more striking. Consumer spending has picked up notably and
construction activity begun to increaseo Unemployment rate continues to decline to 7.2% in December 2016 (11.8% in 4Q13)o Outlook for lending is positive with annual mortgage lending forecast to double over the next 3-5 years as
supply catches up with demand
40
Ireland (2): recent performance of KBC Bank Ireland
KBC Bank Ireland is completing a transformation from a mortgage and corporate lender to afully-fledged customer-centric retail bank. KBC Bank Ireland returned to profitability in 2015
• After 5 years of loss making (2010 to 2014), KBCI returned to profitability since 2015:o Net profit of 13m in 2015o Net profit of 184m in 2016 partly due to a net release of loan loss provisions and the one-off
benefit of the recognition of a DTA
Omni Channel Distribution Model
HubsDirect Sales and Contact Centre
Online and Mobile Sales and Service Channel
Over 1,000 Employees
Growing Customer Base with Deepening Relationships
239,000 customers33,000 new customers in 2016
7% of adult population bank with KBCProduct range complete to meet
broader customer needs
Increasing Market Relevance
Best Retail Banking Reputation 2012-…- 2016
41
Ireland (3): core market of KBC group with clear strategy and ambitions
Confirmation of KBC’s long standing commitment of 40 years to the Irish market
• KBC Group: a reliable committed strategic long-term shareholder and partner for KBC BankIreland committed to support a sustainable growth strategy
• KBC Bank Ireland: part of a well-capitalised, resilient international financial group with accessto innovations and learnings from all KBC Group entities
• Ireland core market alongside Belgium, Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Slovakia, Hungary. Anambition to achieve at least 10% market share in retail and micro SME segments and plan todevelop bank-insurance similar to other core markets of KBC Group
42
Ireland (4): core market of KBC group with clear strategy and ambitions
KBC Bank Ireland: customer-centric challenger bank with a ‘Digital First’ approach supportedby a focused physical distribution presence through hubs and straightforward product /solutions offering
• KBC Bank Ireland will pursue a fully-fledged sustainable growth strategy based on theimplementation of a ‘Digital First’ customer-centric strategy for retail and micro SMEsegments
• For the foreseeable future, Insurance products continue to be distributed throughpartnerships and collaboration
• Intensified collaboration with KBC Group entities will facilitate KBC Bank Ireland to copyproven innovations and learnings from other KBC core markets
• KBC Bank Ireland will be given the support to innovate. Moreover, the bank’s new corebanking system will allow KBC Bank Ireland to tap into opportunities offered by the fintechcommunity, to digitalise and innovate faster and thus be a frontrunner in the digitaltransformation of the KBC Group.
43
Ireland (5): net result of 184m EUR in 2016
The Irish economy posted a strong performance in 2016, with a pick-up indomestic spending compensating for slower export growth. On this basis,we estimate GDP growth at around 4% for 2016
Central to improving domestic activity was a further strengthening of thejobs market which prompted a marked decline in unemployment.Increased numbers at work also underpinned stronger consumer spendingand demand for housing
New housing supply fell short of continued strong demand, resulting in anincrease in residential property price inflation in the second half of 2016
Customer deposits (retail & corporate) of 5.0bn EUR (compared with 5.1bnEUR at end 2015). Retail deposits have shown a 1% increase y-o-y, with areduction in corporate deposits (partly replacement with intragroupfunding)
Net loan loss provision release of 12m EUR in 4Q16 (compared with 28mEUR release in 3Q16), despite the negative impact of parameter changes in4Q16. Coverage ratio stabilised at 43% at 4Q16
Looking forward, we are guiding a net loan loss provision release forIreland within the range of 25m-75m EUR for FY17
LOAN PORTFOLIO €
OUT-STANDING
€
IMPAIRED LOANS
€
IMPAIRED LOANS PD
10-12
SPECIFIC PROVISIONS
€
IMPAIRED LOANS
PD 10-12 COVERAGE
Owner occupied mortgages
9.0bn 2.8bn 30.9% 0.9bn 34%
Buy to let mortgages
2.4bn 1.6bn 67.9% 0.7bn 43%
SME /corporate 0.9bn 0.6bn 65.8% 0.4bn 60%
Real estate- Investment- Development
0.7n0.2bn
0.5bn0.2bn
75.0%100.0%
0.3bn0.2bn
52%86%
Total 13.1bn 5.7bn 43.3% 2.4bn 43%
PROPORTION OF HIGH RISK AND IMPAIRED LOANS
High Risk Performing (PD 8-9 probability of Default >6.4%)
Impaired Loan (PD 10-12)
52.6%
4.7%8.2%
52.0%51.3% 50.3%
8.4%8.2% 9.2%
48.7%
9.5%
47.3% 46.4%
9.9%
45.3%
10.3%
44.7%
9.7%
43.3%
10.2%
44
Retail portfolio Impaired portfolio fell by roughly 140m EUR q-o-q due to a
combination of property sales and improvement in the portfolioperformance (reduction of 0.5bn EUR y-o-y)
Coverage ratio for impaired loans has increased to 37.2% in 4Q16(from 36.4% in 3Q16)
Overall exposure has decreased due to a reduction of the impairedbook and loan amortisations, partly offset by new mortgageproduction
Ireland (6): portfolio analysis
Corporate loan portfolio Impaired portfolio has reduced by roughly 150m EUR q-o-q.
Reduction driven mainly by continued deleverage of theportfolio (reduction of roughly 0.4bn EUR y-o-y)
Coverage ratio for impaired loans has decreased to 61.2% in4Q16 (from 64.7% in 3Q16)
Overall exposure has dropped by 0.4bn EUR y-o-y
- Forborne’ loans (in line with EBA Technical Standards) comprise loans on a live restructure or continuing
to serve a probation period post-restructure/cure to Performing
- Retail PD12 balances include roughly 110m EUR of fully provided loan balances, which have been
contracted for sale. Sale will be completed 1Q17
4Q16 Retail Portfolio
PD Exposure Impairment Cover %
PD 1-8 6,028 25 0.4%
Of which non Forborne 5,968
Of which Forborne 60
PD 9 943 46 4.9%
Of which non Forborne 162
Of which Forborne 781
PD 10 2,502 639 25.5%
PD 11 1,111 379 34.1%
PD 12 768 611 79.6%
TOTAL PD1-12 11,352 1,700
Specific Impairment/(PD 10-12) 37.2%
Perf
orm
ing
Impa
ired
4Q16 Corporate Loan Portfolio
PD Exposure Impairment Cover %
PD 1-8 423 1 0.1%
PD 9 54 2 3.0%
PD 10 406 162 39.9%
PD 11 314 164 52.3%
PD 12 580 470 81.0%
TOTAL PD1-12 1,779 799
Specific Impairment/(PD 10-12) 61.2%
Imp
air
ed
Pe
rf.
45
GROUP CENTRE
CFO SERVICES
CRO SERVICES
CORPORATE STAFF
BELGIUMCZECH
REPUBLICINTERNATIONAL
MARKETS
46
Group Centre: net result of -24m EUR
Net result: -24m EUR
The net result for the Group Centre comprises the results coming
from activities and/or decisions specifically made for grouppurposes (see table below for components)
The q-o-q improvement was attributable mainly to:
o a positive change in the contribution of Group Re
o a positive effect of enhanced ALM management
o a positive change in market, credit and fair value adjustments(mainly as a result of model changes in 3Q16)
o a positive change in M2M own credit risk
NET RESULT
Amounts in m EUR
-24-36
-6-2
-57
-90
3713
334
4Q163Q161Q164Q15 2Q16
-341
2Q15
765
3Q151Q15
BREAKDOWN OF NET RESULT AT GROUP CENTRE
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Group item (ongoing business) 11 -36 -18 -422 2 27 -53 -38
- Operating expenses of group activities -19 -15 0 -62 -18 -7 -21 -39
- Capital and treasury management 5 7 0 0 1 1 -4 4
o/w net subordinated debt cost -9 -10 -9 -9 -9 -9 -10 -10
- Holding of participations -17 -26 -18 -15 -17 -9 -13 -14
o/w net funding cost of participations -7 -7 -7 -6 -5 -5 -6 -4
- Group Re* - - - - 3 2 -3 13
- Other 41 -2 0 -346 33 39 -11 -2
Ongoing results of divestments and companies in run-down 2 -22 16 756 -8 10 17 14
Total net result at GC 13 -57 -2 334 -6 37 -36 -24
GW impairmentsImpact KBC FH Group Centre
* Group Re was shifted from the Belgium Business Unit to Group Centre as of 2016
47
NET PROFIT – BELGIUM NET PROFIT – CZECH REPUBLIC
296
377 414348
439
993
2013
1,570
1,193
2012
1,360
1,064
2016
1,432
2015
1,564
1,216
2014
1,515
1,102
FY16 ROAC: 24%
Amounts in m EUR
467 435 408 423 465
114119 121 119
131
2016
596
2015
542
2014
528
2013
554
2012
581
FY16 ROAC: 41%
NET PROFIT –INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
-731
289
-242
-122
139
184
-7-175
-853
2012
-260
-18
2016
428
2015
24561
2014
-182
2013
FY16 ROAC: 22%
105
174
49 34
5844
200
-41
95
38
2016
244
2015
232
2014
-3
2013
139
2012
144
NET PROFIT – INTERNATIONAL MARKETS EXCL. IRELAND
Overview of results based on business units
9M4Q 4Q 9M
4Q 9M 4Q 9M
FY16 ROAC: 20%
48
Balance sheet (1/2):Loans and deposits continue to grow in most core countries
Deposits***
10%
4% 4%
MortgagesLoans**
* Volume growth making abstraction of FX effects and divestments/acquisitions** Loans to customers, excluding reverse repos (and bonds)*** Customer deposits, including debt certificates but excluding repos
Y-O-Y ORGANIC* VOLUME GROWTH FOR KBC GROUP
49
Balance sheet (2/2):Loans and deposits continue to grow in most core countries
Deposits***
13%
Mortgages
3%
Loans**
4%
Deposits***
9%
Mortgages
12%
Loans**
9%
Deposits***
-5%
Mortgages
-3%
Loans**
-5%
Deposits***
9%
Mortgages
26%
Loans**
12%
4%
5%
MortgagesLoans**
14%
Deposits***
-3%
Loans** Deposits***
15% 15%
Mortgages
BE
CZ
Y-O-Y ORGANIC* VOLUME GROWTH FOR MAIN ENTITIES
* Volume growth making abstraction of FX effects and divestments/acquisitions** Loans to customers, excluding reverse repos (and bonds)*** Customer deposits, including debt certificates but excluding repos
50
KBC Group
Section 3
Strong solvency andsolid liquidity
51
Strong capital position
Phased-in Basel 3 CET1 ratio at KBC Group (Danish Compromise)
8.65% regulatoryminimum for 2017
FY16
16.2%
9M16
15.1%
1H16
14.9%
1Q16
14.6%
13.7%
2.4%
1.2%
1H15
16.9%
13.3%
2.4%
1.2%
1Q15
14.7%
11.4%
2.2%
1.1%
9M15
15.2%
17.2%
FY15
Phased-in B3 CET1 ratio w/o YES and penalty on YESYESPenalty on YES
Common equity ratio (B3 phased-in) of 16.2%based on the Danish Compromise at end 2016,which clearly exceeds the minimum capitalrequirements set by the ECB / NBB* of 8.65%for 2017
• Systemic buffer announced by the ECB: CET1 phased-in of 1.0% in 2017 under the Danish Compromise
Fully loaded Basel 3 CET1 ratio at KBC Group (Danish Compromise)
10.40% pro forma regulatory minimum
FY16
15.8%
9M16
15.3%
1H16
14.9%
1Q16
14.6%
FY15
14.9%
9M15
17.4%
14.0%
2.3%
1.2%
1H15
16.7%
13.2%
2.3%
1.2%
1Q15
14.9%
11.7%
2.2%
1.1%
A pro forma fully loaded common equity ratioof 15.8%* based on the Danish Compromise atend 2016, which clearly exceeds the minimumcapital requirements set by the ECB / NBB of10.40%**
* The acquisition of UBB & Interlease in Bulgaria (expected to beclosed in 2Q17) will have a very limited impact of -54bps onfully loaded B3 CET1 ratio
** Excludes a pillar 2 guidance (P2G) of 1.0% CET1
Penalty on YES YES Fully loaded B3 CET1 ratio w/o YES and penalty on YES
52
Fully loaded Basel 3 leverage ratio
Fully loaded B3 leverage ratio, based on thecurrent CRR legislation (which was adaptedduring 4Q14):• 5.1% at KBC Bank consolidated level
• 6.1% at KBC Group level
FY16
5.1%
9M16
5.3%
1H16
5.1%
1Q16
5.0%
FY15
5.4%
9M15
4.8%
1H15
4.8%
1Q15
4.9%
Fully loaded Basel 3 leverage ratio at KBC Bank
Fully loaded Basel 3 leverage ratio at KBC Group
FY16
6.1%
9M16
6.2%
6.2%
1H16
6.0%
6.0%
1Q16
5.9%
5.9%
FY15
6.3%
6.3%
9M15
6.9%
5.6%
0.8%
0.4%
1H15
6.7%
5.4%
0.8%
0.4%
1Q15
6.4%
5.2%
0.9%
0.4%
6.1%
FL B3 leverage ratio excl. YES and penalty on YESYESPenalty on YES
53
KBC maintains a minimum total capital ratio of 17%*
• Minimum CET1 target of10.40% fully loaded
• AT1 of 1.5%
• Minimum T2 target of 2%
• Minimum total capital ratio of 17.0%
Total capital ratioof 20.6% phased-in
2017 fully loaded
10.40%
1.50% AT1
2.00% T2
3.10% additionalcapital
2016 fully loaded
15.82%
1.59%
2.60%
2016 phased-in
16.15% CET1
1.66% AT1
2.78% T2
Total capital ratioof no less than 17.0%
fully loaded
Will be filled up with T2, depending on the actual CET1
position
* Basel 3, Danish Compromise
Total capital ratioof 20.0% fully loaded
54
Solid liquidity position (1)
KBC Bank continues to have a strong retail/mid-cap deposit base in its core markets – resulting in a stablefunding mix with a significant portion of the funding attracted from core customer segments & markets
Although there is a relative decrease in the funding mix, customer funding has further increased in 2016. Theincrease in CDs and short-term wholesale is related to short-term trading opportunities
64%70% 69% 73% 75% 73% 73%
8%
8%9%
9% 8% 9% 8%
8%
10% 8% 8%
8%
5%
5%9%
4% 5% 8%
69%
7%
7%
8%7%
7%
8%
2%2%2%0%
8%
6%3%8%
100%
FY16
-1%
3%2%
3%
FY14FY12 FY13
3%
FY15FY10FY09
3%3%
FY11
3%
Certificates of deposit
Total equityNet unsecured interbank funding
Funding from customersDebt issues placed with institutional investors
Net secured funding
1%7%
21%
71%
Mid-cap
Government and PSE
Debt issues in retail network
Retail and SME
69% customer
driven
129.555 131.914 132.862 133.766
139.560 143.690
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Funding from customers (m EUR)
55
Short-term unsecured funding KBC Bank vs liquid assets as of end September 2016 (bn EUR)
* Graphs are based on Note 18 of KBC’s quarterly report, except for the ‘available liquid assets’ and‘liquid assets coverage’, which are based on the KBC Group Treasury Management Report
(*)
NSFR is at 125% and LCR is at 139% by the end of FY16
• Both ratios were well above the minimum target of at least105%, in compliance with the implementation of Basel 3liquidity requirements
Solid liquidity position (2)
Ratios FY15 FY16 Target
NSFR1 121% 125% >105%
LCR1 127% 139% >105%
1 Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) is based on the Delegated Act requirements, while the NetStable Funding Ratio (NSFR) is based on KBC’s interpretation of current Basel Committeeguidance
KBC maintains a solid liquidity position, given that:
• Available liquid assets are more than 3 times the amountof the net recourse on short-term wholesale funding
• Funding from non-wholesale markets is stable fundingfrom core-customer segments in core markets
15,619,04
24,70
17,53 19,37
58,5 58,3
68,6
59,0 59,7
376%
306%
278%
337%308%
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Net Short Term Funding Available Liquid Assets Liquid Assets Coverage
56
KBC Group
Section 4
4Q 2016 wrap up
57
4Q 2016 wrap up
Strong commercial bank-insurance results in our core countries
Successful underlying earnings track record
Solid capital and robust liquidity position
58
KBC Group
Section 5
FY 2016 key takeaways
59
FY 2016 key takeaways for KBC Group
STRONG BUSINESS PERFORMANCE IN FY16Excellent net result of 2,427m EUR in FY16, positively impacted by unsustainably low loan loss provisions and high net gains from financialinstruments at fair value. ROE amounted to 18% in 2016o Good performance of the commercial bank-insurance franchises in our core markets and core activitieso Y-o-y increase in customer loan and deposit volumes in most of our core countries o Lower NII due entirely to dealing room and insurance, while higher NII banking (despite lower net interest margin)o Net fee and commission income decreased by 14% y-o-y; AuM increased by 2% y-o-yo Sharply higher net gains from financial instruments at fair value, flat realised AFS gains and lower net other incomeo Excellent combined ratio (93% in FY16). Increase in sales of non-life and life insurance productso Cost/income ratio (57% in FY16) adjusted for specific items o Excellent, but unsustainable low level of loan loss provisions. Net loan loss provision release in Ireland amounted to 45m EUR in FY16, fully in
line with guidance. We are guiding a net loan loss provision release for Ireland within the 25m-75m EUR range for FY17
SOLID CAPITAL AND ROBUST LIQUIDITY POSITIONSo The B3 common equity ratio based on the Danish Compromise at end 2016 amounted to 16.2% phased-in and 15.8% fully loaded, which
clearly exceeds the minimum capital requirements set by the ECB / NBB of respectively 8.65% and 10.40% for 2017o On top of the above mentioned capital requirements, the ECB expects KBC to hold a pillar 2 guidance (P2G) of 1.0% CET1o Fully loaded B3 leverage ratio, based on current CRR legislation, amounted to 6.1% at KBC Groupo Continued strong liquidity position (NSFR at 125% and LCR at 139%) at end 2016
DIVIDEND PROPOSAL1
o On top of the interim dividend of 1 EUR per share paid in November 2016, a final dividend of 1.80 EUR per share will be proposed to the AGMfor the 2016 accounting year (i.e. a pay-out ratio of 50% including the AT1 coupon)
o The pay-out ratio policy (i.e. dividend + AT1 coupon) of at least 50% of consolidated profit is reconfirmed for the future
IRELAND: RE-POSITION AS A CORE COUNTRY…o By building a fully-fledged client-centric retail bank in line with our omni-channel distribution model, underpinned by a ‘digital first’ strategy
and by further developing the bank-insurance modelo We will organize an onsite visit at KBC Ireland in Dublin on Wednesday 21 June 2017
1. Any dividend payment will be subject to the usual approval of the regulator
60
Looking forward to 2017
We expect 2017 to be a year of sustained economic growth in both the Euro area and the US. Themost important risks for the Euro area stem from the political side with several elections upcomingand the Brexit negotiations that will be initiated
Management guides for:• solid returns for all Business Units
• loan impairments for Ireland towards a release of a 25m-75m EUR range for FY17
Next to the Belgium and the Czech Republic Business Units, the International Markets Business Unitwill also become a strong contributor to the net result of KBC Group thanks to:• Ireland: re-positioning as a core country with a sustainable profit contribution• Bulgaria: after the acquisition of UBB and Interlease, UBB-CIBank and DZI will become the largest bank-
insurance group in Bulgaria with a substantial increase in profit contribution. The transaction is expected to beclosed in 2Q17
61
KBC Group
Annex 1
FY 2016 performance of KBC Group
62Amounts in m EUR
NET RESULT
765
-344
2,639
2,218
2,427
2015 2016
Net result amounted to 2,427m EUR in 2016
• Net result of 2015 was positively impacted by a one-off P&L gainof 765m EUR as a result of the liquidation of KBC FinancialHolding, partly offset by 344m EUR goodwill impairments
• Excluding these items as mentioned above in 2015, net result in2016 increased by 9% y-o-y to 2.4bn EUR, mainly as a result of:
o Revenues slightly decreased (-1% y-o-y) mainly due to lowernet fee & commission income, slightly lower net interestincome and net other income, largely offset by sharply highernet result from FIFV, and higher result from life and non-lifeinsurance after reinsurance
o Strict cost control excluding bank taxes: +1% y-o-y. Higher banktaxes (+5% y-o-y), almost fully due to Belgium (partly as theBelgian government replaced the 4 existing taxes by 1, whichled to 38m EUR additional bank taxes). Operating expensesexcluding bank tax and excluding the 33m one-off expenses forearly retirement roughly stabilised y-o-y in FY16
o Excellent, but unsustainably low level of loan loss provisionsthanks chiefly to:o a net loan loss provision release in Ireland (45m EUR) and
Hungary (15m EUR)o low gross impairments in all segments in Belgium and the
Czech Republic
Impact KBC FHGW impairments
-8%
FY 2016 net result amounted to 2,427m EUR
+9%
63
Net interest income• Net interest income fell by 1% y-o-y due entirely to the lower
contribution of dealing room and insurance• Net interest income banking rose by 1% y-o-y due to lower
funding costs, continued good volume growth in currentaccounts and loans, the positive effect of enhanced ALMmanagement and additional rate cuts on savings accounts,which were partly offset by to lower reinvestment yields,increased hedging losses on previously refinanced mortgages,lower upfront prepayments fees and pressure on commercialloan margins in most core countries
• On a comparable basis, loan volumes increased by 4% y-o-y,driven by an increase of 9% y-o-y in the Czech Republic BU and4% y-o-y in the Belgium BU
• Deposit volumes even rose by 10% y-o-y on a comparablebasis: the y-o-y increases in the Belgium BU (+13%), in theCzech Republic BU (+9%) and in the International Markets BU(+7%) were partly offset by a 15% decrease in the Group Centre
Net interest margin (1.92%)• Decreased by 10 bps y-o-y due mainly to lower reinvestment
yields, increased hedging losses on previously refinancedmortgages, decreased net interest income from the dealingroom and pressure on commercial margins in most countries
NIM
NII
2016
1.92%
2015
2.02%
Amounts in m EUR
635 61477
2016
4,258
3,639
10
-5
2015
4,311
3,597
2
-1%
-10bps
NII - insurance contribution
NII - contribution of holding-company /group
NII - dealing room
NII - banking contribution
+1%
-3%
VOLUME TRENDExcluding FX effect Total loans * Of which mortgages Customer deposits** AuM Life reserves
Volume 133bn 57bn 177bn 213bn 29bn
Growth y/y +4% +4% +10% +2% +1%
Customer deposit volumes excludingdebt certificates & repos +4% y-o-y
Net interest income slightly down, net interest margin under pressure
* Loans to customers, excluding reverse repos (and bonds)** Customer deposits, including debt certificates but excluding repos
64
Lower net fee and commission income, but higher AUM
Net fee and commission income• Decreased by 14% y-o-y
• This decrease was driven mainly by the BelgiumBusiness Unit (-16% y-o-y) owing to lower entry &management fees on mutual funds & unit-linkedlife insurance products and decreased securitiesrelated fees
Assets under management (213bn EUR)• Rose by 2% y-o-y owing to net outflows (-1%) and a
positive price effect (+3%)
Amounts in m EUR
AUM
F&C
-262 -301
2015
1,678
1,945
-5
2016
1,450
1,753
-2
-14%
213209
20162015
+2%
F&C - banking contributionF&C - contribution of holding-company/group
F&C - insurance contribution
65
Higher non-life insurance sales and excellent combined ratio
Sales of non-life insurance products• Up by 7% y-o-y mainly thanks to a good
commercial performance in all major product linesin our core markets and tariff increases
The non-life combined ratio at FY16 stood atan excellent 93%. Nevertheless, this is adeterioration compared to FY15 as FY16 wasnegatively impacted by:• one-off charges due to terrorist attacks in Belgium
• storms & floods in Belgium
• storms & large fire claims in the Czech Republic
Amounts in m EUR
NON-LIFE SALES (GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM)
2016
1,430
2015
1,342 +7%
COMBINED RATIO (NON-LIFE)
93%91%82%
94%
9M
89%
FY
91%
1H
95%
1Q
86%
20152015
66
Higher life insurance sales, but lower VNB
Sales of life insurance products• Up by 18% y-o-y
• The increase in sales of guaranteed interest productssignificantly increased in Belgium thanks to salesefforts and supported by a fallback in clients’ riskappetite, despite the low rate of guaranteed interest.The increase in sales of unit-linked products wasattributable fully to Belgium and the Czech Republic
• Sales of unit-linked products accounted for 39% oftotal life insurance sales
VNB• Fell by 18% y-o-y to 96m EUR due to:
o methodological changes (related to the interestrate curve) in 2016
o the impact of the low interest rate environmentdespiteo the increase in sales of unit-linked and risk products
with higher profitability margin
• Disregarding the methodological changes in 2016, VNBrose 3% y-o-y to 120m EUR
LIFE SALES
Amounts in m EUR
722 820
1,295
2015
1,793
1,071
2016
2,114
Unit-linked productsGuaranteed interest products
VNB (Life)*
0
20
40
60
80
100
120 30
25
20%
15
10
5
0%2016
95.9
3.5%
2015
116.4
6.1%
VNB/PVNBP (%)VNB (m EUR)
• VNB = Value of New Business = present value of all future profits attributable to the shareholders from the new life insurance policies written during the year• The VNB of KBC Group includes the expected future income generated by KBC Insurance and CSOB P CZ arising from other parties within KBC Group. In 2016, this income amounted to 64.3m EUR• VNB/PVNBP = VNB at point of sale compared with the Present Value of New Business Premiums. This ratio reflects the margin earned on total premiums
+18%
67
Higher FV gains, stable gains realised on AFS assets and lower other net income
The higher y-o-y figure for net gains fromfinancial instruments at fair value wasattributable to:• good dealing room results (especially in Belgium)
• a positive y-o-y change in market, credit and fairvalue adjustments (both in Belgium and the CzechRepublic)
partly offset by
• a negative change in ALM derivatives (88m EUR inFY16 compared with 101m EUR in FY15)
Gains realised on AFS assets stabilised at189m EUR (mainly on AFS shares)
Other net income amounted to a high 258mEUR in FY16, higher than the normal run rateof roughly 200m EUR due to, among otherthings, gains on real estate sales and someone-off transactions
FV GAINS
Amounts in m EUR
GAINS REALISED ON AFS ASSETS
OTHER NET INCOME
-156
452
269
88
101
2016
540
2015
214
189190
2015 2016
258
297
20162015
+46% excl. liquidationKBC FH
0%
-13%
Liquidation KBC FH Other FV gainsM2M ALM derivatives
68
Operating expenses up, but good cost/income ratio
Cost/income ratio (banking) at 57% in FY16adjusted for specific items. Excluding bank tax, C/Iratio amounted to 50% in FY16
• Operating expenses increased by 1% y-o-y due mainlyto:o higher bank tax (+5% y-o-y to 437m EUR, almost fully
due to Belgium, partly as the Belgian governmentreplaced the 4 existing taxes by 1, which led to 38mEUR additional bank taxes)
o higher operating expenses (+1% y-o-y to 3,511mEUR), which is fully in line with our implicit guidance.The increase was attributable mainly to the 33m one-off expenses for early retirement, higher ICT expensesin Belgium and higher staff expenses in Hungary
• Operating expenses excluding bank tax and excludingthe 33m one-off expenses for early retirement roughlystabilised y-o-y in FY16
OPERATING EXPENSES
Amounts in m EUR
417 437
3,511
2016
3,948
2015
3,890
3,473
Bank tax Opex
+5%
+1%
+1%
69
Excellent, but unsustainably low impairment charges, excellent credit cost and improved impaired loans ratio
Significantly lower impairment charges• Total impairments fell by 50% y-o-y excluding the 344m
EUR goodwill impairments in FY15
• Loan loss provisions decreased by 61% y-o-y to 126mEUR, thanks chiefly to:o a net loan loss provision release in Ireland (45m EUR)
and Hungary (15m EUR)o low gross impairments in all segments in Belgium and
the Czech Republic
The credit cost ratio sharply improved from 0.23%in FY15 to 0.09% in FY16. The credit cost ratioimproved in each business unit, except for theGroup Centre
The impaired loans ratio dropped to 7.2%, of which3.9% over 90 days past due
ASSET IMPAIRMENT
IMPAIRED LOANS RATIO
CCR RATIO
FY16
0.09%
FY15
0.23%
FY14
0.42%
FY13
1.21%
FY12
0.71%
FY11
0.82%
FY10
0.91%
323
126
2016
201
5520
2015
747
45
344
34
FY16
7.2%
3.9%
3.3%
FY15
8.6%
4.8%
3.8%
FY14
9.9%
5.5%
4.4%
FY13
10.2%
6.0%
4.2%
-50% excl. the GW impairments in FY15
of which over 90 days past dueImpaired loans ratio
Impairment on AFS assets
Impairment on goodwill
Impairment on other
Impairment on L&R
-61%
70
KBC Group
Annex 2
Company profile
71
Business profile
KBC is a leading player (retail and SME bank-insurance, private banking, commercial and local investment banking) in Belgium and its 4 core countries in CEE
BREAKDOWN OF ALLOCATED CAPITAL BY BUSINESS UNIT AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2016
Group Centre
4%
International Markets19%
Czech Republic
15%
Belgium 61%
72
BE CZ SK HU BG IRL
Loans and deposits
Investment funds
Life insurance
Non-life insurance
Well-defined core markets provide access to ‘new growth’ in Europe
1. Source: KBC data, February 2017
MARKET SHARE (END 2016)
10%11%20%21%
7%3%
15%7%23%
33%
11%4%4%7%
13%
9% 10%6%3%
7%
BE CZ SK HU BG IRL
% of Assets
2016
2017e
2018e
5%1%3%3%15%
70%
2.0%3.3%
2.4%1.2%
4.0%3.3%
3.0%3.2%2.6%3.0%2.3%1.3%
3.0%3.4%2.5%3.0%2.0%1.5%
REAL GDP GROWTH OUTLOOK FOR CORE MARKETS2
Macroeconomic outlookBased on GDP, CPI and unemployment trendsInspired by the Financial Times
IRELAND UK
BELGIUM
NETHERLANDS
GERMANY
CZECH REP
SLOVAKIA
HUNGARY
BULGARIA
GREECE
ITALY
PORTUGAL
SPAIN
FRANCE
KBC Group’s core markets *
* Only for retail segment
73
Loan loss experience at KBC
FY16CREDIT COST RATIO
FY15CREDIT COST RATIO
FY14CREDIT COST RATIO
FY13CREDIT COST RATIO
FY 2012CREDIT COST RATIO
AVERAGE ‘99 –’15
Belgium 0.12% 0.19% 0.23% 0.37% 0.28% n/a
Czech Republic
0.11% 0.18% 0.18% 0.26% 0.31% n/a
International Markets
-0.16% 0.32% 1.06% 4.48%* 2.26% n/a
Group Centre 0.67% 0.54% 1.17% 1.85% 0.99% n/a
Total 0.09% 0.23% 0.42% 1.21%** 0.71% 0.52%
Credit cost ratio: amount of losses incurred on troubled loans as a % of total average outstanding loan portfolio
* The high credit cost ratio at the International Markets Business Unit is due in full to KBC Bank Ireland. Excluding Ireland, the CCR at this business unit amounted to 108 bps in FY13
** Credit cost ratio amounted to 1.21% in FY13 due to the reassessment of the loan books in Ireland and Hungary
74
Key strengths
Well-developed bank-insurance strategy and strong cross-selling capabilities
Strong commercial bank-insurance franchises in Belgium and the Czech Republic with stable and solid returns
Turnaround achieved in the International Markets Business Unit
Successful underlying earnings track record
Solid capital and robust liquidity position
75
Shareholder structure
Roughly 40% of KBC shares are owned by a syndicate of core shareholders, providing continuity to pursue long-termstrategic goals. Committed shareholders include the Cera/KBC Ancora Group (co-operative investment company),the Belgian farmers’ association (MRBB) and a group of industrialist families
The free float is held mainly by a large variety of international institutional investors
SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE AT END 2016
18.5%
Free float
59.8%
Other core
7.6%MRBB
11.5%Cera
2.7%
KBC Ancora
76
KBC Group going forward:To be among the best performing retail-focused institutions in Europe
KBC wants to build on its strengths and be among Europe’s best performing retail-focused financial institutions. This will be achieved by:
• Strengthening our bank-insurance business model for retail, SME and mid-cap clients in our core markets, in a highly cost-efficient way
• Focusing on sustainable and profitable growth within the framework of solid risk, capital and liquidity management
• Creating superior client satisfaction via a seamless, multi-channel, client-centric distribution approach
By achieving this, KBC wants to become the reference in bank-insurance in its core markets
77
KBC Group going forward:The bank-insurance business model, different countries, different stages of implementation
Bank branches selling insurance products from intra-group insurance company as
additional source of fee income
Bank branches selling insurance products of third party insurers as
additional source of fee income
Acting as a single operational company: bank and insurance operations working under unified governance and achieving commercial and non-
commercial synergies
Acting as a single commercial company: bank and insurance operations working under unified governance and achieving
commercial synergies
Level 4: Integrated distribution and operation
Level 3: Integrated distribution
Level 2: Exclusive distribution
Level 1: Non-exclusive distribution
KBC targets to reach at least level 3 in every country, adapted to the local market structure and KBC’s market position in banking and insurance.
Belgium
Target for Central Europe
78
Summary of the financial targets at KBC Group levelas announced at our Investor Day in June 2014
Based on adjusted figures
1. Excluding marked-to-market valuations of ALM derivatives2. Is excluding additional pillar 2 guidance (P2G) of 1.0% CET1
Targets… by…
CAGR total income (‘13-’17)1 ≥ 2.25% 2017
CAGR bank-insurance gross income (‘13-’17) ≥ 5% 2017
C/I ratio ≤ 53% 2017
Combined ratio ≤ 94% 2017
Common equity ratio (fully loaded, Danish Compromise)
≥ 10.40%2 2019
Total capital ratio(fully loaded, Danish Compromise)
≥ 17% 2017
NSFR ≥ 105% 2014
LCR ≥ 105% 2014
Dividend payout ratio ≥ 50% 2016
79
KBC Group going forward: An optimised geographic footprint
Strengthen current geographic footprint
• Optimise business portfolio by strengthening current bank-insurance presence through organic growth or through acquisitions if possible
• Strive for market leadership (top 3 bank/top 4 insurance) in core countries by 2020
No further plans to expand beyond current geographic footprint
KBC Group will consider acquisition options, if any, to strengthen current geographic bank-insurance footprint
Clear financial criteria for investment decision-making, based on:
Solid capital position of KBC GroupInvestment returns in the short and mid termsNew investment contributing positively to group ROE
80
KBC Group going forward: An optimised geographic footprint
Become a reference in bank-insurance in each core country
Through a locally embedded bank-insurance business model and a strong corporate culture, creating superior client satisfaction
With a clear focus on sustainable and profitable growth
81
KBC Group
Annex 3
Other items
82
Sectorial breakdown of outstanding loan portfolio (1)(148bn EUR*) of KBC Bank Consolidated
Private Persons42%
Automotive2%
Agriculture, farming, fishing
3%
Authorities
3%
Building & construction
4%Finance & insurance
6%Real estate
7%
Rest14%
Distribution8%
Services
12%
1.6%
Oil, gas & other fuels
0.7%Hotels, bars & restaurants
0.9%Shipping
1.2%
Machinery & heavy equipment 1.1%
Chemicals1.1%
Metals
1.4%Other sectors
4.3%
Food producers1.4%
Electricity
* It includes all payment credit, guarantee credit (except for confirmations of letters of credit and similar export-/import-related commercial credit), standby credit and credit derivatives, granted by KBC to private persons, companies, governments and banks. Bonds held in the investment portfolio are included if they are corporate or bank issued, hence government bonds and trading book exposure are not included* Outstanding amount includes all on-balance sheet commitments and off-balance sheet guarantees
83
Geographical breakdown of the outstanding loan portfolio (2)(148bn EUR*) of KBC Bank Consolidated
Slovakia4.8%
Ireland 8.9%
Czech Rep.
Bulgaria
0.6%
Hungary
3.1%
Rest
1.6%
Asia
0.8%
North America
1.6%
Other CEE
0.5%Other W-Eur
7.3%
14.0%
Belgium
56.8%
* It includes all payment credit, guarantee credit (except for confirmations of letters of credit and similar export/import related commercial credit), standby credit and credit derivatives, granted by KBC to private persons, companies, governments and banks. Bonds held in the investment portfolio are included if they are corporate or bank issued, hence government bonds and trading book exposure are not included* Outstanding amount includes all on-balance sheet commitments and off-balance sheet guarantees
84
Impaired loans ratios, of which over 90 days past due
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS BUCZECH REPUBLIC BU
4Q16
7.2%
3.9%
3Q16
7.6%
2Q16
7.8%
4.4%
1Q16
8.2%
4.7%
4Q15
8.6%
4.8%
3Q15
9.0%
5.2%
2Q15
9.3%
5.3%
1Q15
9.6%
5.5%4.2%
Of which over 90 days past due **
Impaired loans ratio *
4Q16
2.8%
1.9%
3Q16
2.7%
2.1%
2Q16
2.8%
1Q16
3.2%
2.4%
4Q15
3.4%
2.5%
3Q15
3.4%
2.5%
2Q15
3.5%
2.6%2.2%
1Q15
3.7%
2.7%
32.9%
17.9%
1Q15
33.4%
3Q16
26.9%
14.3%
2Q16
27.8%
14.8%
1Q16
28.9%
15.4%
4Q15
29.8%
16.0%
3Q15
31.4%
17.0%
2Q15 4Q16
25.4%
13.4%18.4%
BELGIUM BU
4Q16
3.3%
1.7%
3Q16
3.5%
1.9%
2Q16
3.6%
2.0%
1Q16
3.7%
2.2%
4Q15
3.8%
2.2%
3Q15
4.0%
2.4%
2Q15
4.1%
2.4%
1Q15
4.2%
2.5%
KBC GROUP
* Impaired loans ratio: total outstanding impaired loans (PD 10-12)/total outstanding loans** Of which total outstanding loans with over 90 days past due (PD 11-12)/total outstanding loans
85
Cover ratios
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS BUCZECH REPUBLIC BU
BELGIUM BUKBC GROUP
* Impaired loans cover ratio: total impairments (specific) for impaired loans / total outstanding impaired loans (PD10-12)** Cover ratio for loans with over 90 days past due: total impairments (specific) for loans with over 90 days past due / total outstanding PD11-12 loans
46.1%
63.1%
4Q163Q16
62.0%
45.6%
2Q16
61.5%
45.5%
1Q16
60.8%
45.4%
4Q15
60.3%
44.8%
3Q15
57.9%
43.9%
2Q15
57.8%
42.9%
1Q15
57.6%
42.4%
Cover ratio for loans with over 90 days past due **
Impaired loans cover ratio *
4Q16
54.7%
68.9%
3Q16
63.6%
56.7%
2Q16
62.6%
56.1%
1Q16
63.2%
54.2%
4Q15
65.1%
53.6%
3Q15
67.1%
54.2%
2Q15
66.6%
53.4%
1Q15
67.1%
52.9%
4Q163Q16
60.1%
42.7%
2Q16
59.7%
42.5%
1Q16
60.0%
44.8%
4Q15
60.4%
44.7%
3Q15
56.5%
44.0%
2Q15
57.6%
43.6%
1Q15
58.3%
43.4%
64.9%
44.9%
44.4%
59.3%
4Q163Q16
60.6%
44.8%
2Q16
60.0%
44.7%
1Q16
59.4%
44.0%
4Q15
58.1%
43.0%
3Q15
55.6%
41.7%
2Q15
55.2%
40.4%
1Q15
54.5%
39.8%
86
Fully loaded B3 CET1 based on the Danish Compromise (DC)from 3Q16 to 4Q16
Jan 2012 Dec 2012 2014-2020
4Q16 (B3 DC)
87.8
4Q16 impact
-1.2
3Q16 (B3 DC**)
89.0
DELTA AT NUMERATOR LEVEL (BN EUR)
DELTA ON RWA (BN EUR)
* Includes the q-o-q delta in remeasurement of defined benefit obligations, IRB provision shortfall, deduction re. financing provided to shareholders, translation differences, etc.
** Includes the RWA equivalent for KBC Insurance based on DC, calculated as the book value of KBC Insurance multiplied by 370%
Fully loaded B3common equity ratio ofapprox. 15.8% at end4Q16 based on theDanish Compromise(DC)
A pro forma fullyloaded common equityratio translation to10.40% was clearlyexceeded
B3 CET1 at end 4Q16 (DC)
13.9
Other*
0.1
Dividend payment KBC Ins
to KBC Group
0.2
Delta in AFS revaluation
reserves
-0.1
Delta in DTAs on losses
carried forward
-0.2
Pro-rata accrual dividend
-0.3
4Q16 net result (excl. KBC Ins. due to Danish Compr.)
0.6
B3 CET1 at end 3Q16 (DC)
13.6
87
Overview of B3 CET1 ratios at KBC Group
Method Numerator Denominator B3 CET1 ratio
FICOD*, phased-in 14,794 100,136 14.8%
FICOD, fully loaded 14,647 101,039 14.5%
DC**, phased-in 14,033 86,878 16.2%
DC, fully loaded 13,886 87,782 15.8%
DM***, fully loaded 12,806 82,120 15.6%
* FICOD: Financial Conglomerate Directive** DC: Danish Compromise*** DM: Deduction Method
88
Solvency II ratio
Solvency II ratio
3Q16 4Q16
Solvency II ratio without cap of the NBB(ratio comparable with European peers)
198% 214%
Solvency II ratio with cap of the NBB* 170% 203%
* On 25 April 2016, the NBB published a circular determining the treatment of the loss absorbing capacity of deferred taxes in the Solvency II calculation. This caps theloss absorbing capacity of deferred taxes for Belgian insurance companies to the net deferred tax liability recognised on the economic balance sheet
On 25 April 2016, the NBB decided to impose a capon the loss absorbing capacity of deferred taxes inthe calculation of the required capital with retro-active application from 1 January 2016 onwards*.The introduction of such absolute cap deviatesboth from the European Solvency II regulation andthe practice of most other European regulatorsand increases the required capital
As a result of this gold-plating by the NBB, theformal Solvency II ratio came down from 214% to203% for 4Q16
The increase (+16%-points) in the Solvency II ratiowithout this cap was mainly the result of higherinterest rates and parameter updates. Thestronger improvement of the Solvency II ratio withthe application of the cap (+33%-points) is due to ahigher cap as a result of the increase of theavailable Deferred Tax Liabilities on the economicbalance sheet for 4Q16
89
Resolution strategy for KBC
During 2016, an extensive dialogue took place between SRB and KBC regarding the resolution strategy. KBC hasproposed a Single Point of Entry approach at the level of KBC Group with bail-in as primary resolution tool. SRB hasnot communicated any formal decision to KBC so far
SRB has not formally communicated any MREL target at this point in time. However, an indicative figure is put forwardbased on the mechanical approach as published by SRB on November 28th, 2016
Source: SRB, 4th Industry Dialogue 28/11/2016
Applied on KBC (on a fully loaded basis):
2 x P1 2 x 8%+ 2 x P2R 2 x 1,75%+ 2 x CBR 2 x (2,5%+1,5%) (*)- 1,25% -1,25%
Indicative target = 26,25% as % of RWA
(*) excluding countercyclical buffers that will be introduced in 2017
Given the SPE approach at KBC Group level, the target needs to be satisfied with instruments issued by KBC Group NV
90
Available MREL based on KBC resolution strategy(instruments issued by KBC group only)
1.9%
14.9%
19.6%
1Q16 3Q16 4Q16
18.3%
1.6%
18.0%
14.6%
1.6%
0.8%
1.9%
14.9%
1.9%
1.6%
2Q16
19.2%
4Q15
15.3%
1.6%
1.9%
0.8%
21.0%
15.8%
1.6%
1.9%
1.7%
MREL ratio as a % RWA (fully loaded)
T2 CET1Holdco Senior AT1
91
P&L volatility from ALM derivatives
ALM derivatives (swaps and options) are used to hedge the interest rate risk of the loan & deposit portfolios. This creates an accounting mismatch between derivatives (at market value) and hedged products (at amortised cost)• Options are used to hedge the caps/floors that KBC is obliged by law to include in Belgian mortgages
Most of this mismatch is removed with IFRS hedge accounting
A part of the ALM derivatives has not been included in any hedge accounting structure for different reasons:• Option hedging for mortgage loans: no hedge accounting possible given the dynamic hedging strategy used
• Part of the ALM interest rate derivatives has not been included in a hedge accounting structure, due to the offsetting effect with AFS bonds impact on capital ratios (which is not the case with valuation changes of cash flow hedges due to the applied regulatory capital filter)
92
Open ALM swap positionProtecting stability of capital ratio
Keeping part of the ALM swaps outside of hedge accounting reduces the volatility of the capital ratios as shown below (Basel III fully loaded + Danish Compromise insurance deconsolidation)
Drawback is more volatility in P&L as revaluation of swaps recorded in P&L, whereas the revaluation of the AFS bonds is recognised in capital
AFS BondsOptions
AFS Bonds
Options
Open ALM Swaps Position
No Open ALM Swap Position Current Status
93
Government bond portfolio – Notional value
Notional investment of 50.5bn EUR in government bonds (excl. trading book) at end of 2016, primarily as aresult of a significant excess liquidity position and the reinvestment of insurance reserves in fixed-incomeinstruments
Notional value of GIIPS exposure amounted to 5.8bn EUR at end of 2016
Portugal *Ireland **
Netherlands *Austria *
Germany **Spain
5%Other
8%
France 12%
Italy4%
Slovakia
5%
Hungary
4%
Poland**
3%
Czech Rep.
14%
Belgium
38%
END 2016(Notional value of 50.5bn EUR)
(*) 1%, (**) 2%
Slovakia
5%
Hungary
4%
Poland**
2%
Czech Rep.
14%
Belgium
41%
Portugal *Ireland **
Netherlands *Austria **
Germany **Spain
5%Other
8%
France 10%
Italy5%
END 2015(Notional value of 48.8bn EUR)
(*) 1%, (**) 2%
94
Government bond portfolio – Carrying value
Carrying value of 55.2bn EUR in government bonds (excl. trading book) at end of 2016, primarily as a result of a significant excess liquidity position and the reinvestment of insurance reserves in fixed-income instruments
Carrying value of GIIPS exposure amounted to 6.8bn EUR at end of 2016
* Carrying value is the amount at which an asset [or liability] is recognised: for those not valued at fair value this is after deducting any accumulated depreciation (amortisation) and accumulated impairment losses thereon, while carrying amount is equal to fair value when recognised at fair value
END 2016(Carrying value of 55.2bn EUR)
(*) 1%, (**) 2%
Portugal *Ireland **
Netherlands *Austria *
Germany *Spain
5%Other
8%
France 12%
Italy4%
Slovakia
5%
Hungary
4%
Poland **
3%Czech Rep.
13%
Belgium
38%
END 2015(Carrying value of 53.4bn EUR)
(*) 1%, (**) 2%
Portugal *Ireland **
Netherlands *Austria **
Germany **Spain
6%Other
Belgium
41%
7%
France 10%
Italy5%
Slovakia
5%
Hungary
4%
Poland **
2%
Czech Rep.
13%
95
Upcoming mid-term funding maturities
KBC Group has successfully issued a 750m EUR senior unsecuredbond with 7-year maturity in October 2016
KBC’s credit spreads have widened towards the end of 4Q16
KBC Bank has 6 solid sources of long-term funding:
• Retail term deposits
• Retail EMTN
• Public benchmark transactions
• Covered bonds
• Structured notes and covered bonds using the private placementformat
• Senior unsecured, T1 and T2 capital instruments issued at KBCGroup level and down-streamed to KBC Bank
7%
15%
7%
10%
4%36%
21%
1.1%
0.7%
1.1%
2.0%
0.7%
1.1%
0.6%
0.1% 0.04%0.1%
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 >= 2026
m E
UR
Breakdown Funding Maturity Buckets
Senior Unsecured - Holdco Senior Unsecured - Opco Subordinated T1
Subordinated T2 Contingent Convertible Covered Bond
TLTRO
Total outstanding =
20.5bn EUR
(Including % of KBC Group’s balance sheet)
96
-10
40
90
140
190
240
-15
5
25
45
65
85
105
125
145
Dec-13 Apr-14 Aug-14 Dec-14 Apr-15 Aug-15 Dec-15 Apr-16 Aug-16 Dec-16
Credit Spreads Evolution
1,5Y Senior Debt Opco Interpolated 5Y Covered Bond Interpolated 5Y Senior Debt Holdco 10NC5 Subordinated Tier 2
Credit spreads evolution
1 10NC5 Subordinated Tier 2 spread is depicted based on the right hand axis.
1
97
Analysts’ coverage
Bank/broker Analyst Contact details Rating Target Price Upside
Situation as of 2 February 2017, based on a share price of 60.26 EUR
ABN Amro Cor Kluis [email protected] + 66.00 10%
Alpha Value Farahad Moshiri [email protected] + 65.70 9%
Autonomous Farquhar Murray [email protected] + 64.40 7%
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Tarik El Mejjad [email protected] + 66.60 11%
Barclays Capital Kiri Vijayarajah [email protected] = 56.00 -7%
Berenberg Andrew Lowe [email protected] + 60.00 0%
Citi Investment Research Stefan Nedialkov [email protected] + 68.00 13%
Degroof Petercam Bart Jooris [email protected] = 58.00 -4%
Deutsche Bank Flora Benhakoun [email protected] + 66.00 10%
Exane BNP Paribas Guillaume Tiberghien [email protected] + 57.00 -5%
Goldman Sachs Pawel Dziedzic [email protected] + 75.00 24%
HSBC Johannes Thormann [email protected] = 61.00 1%
ING Albert Ploegh [email protected] + 60.00 0%
JP Morgan Securities Paul Formanko [email protected] + 68.00 13%
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Jean-Pierre Lambert [email protected] + 70.70 17%
Kempen & Co Bart Horsten [email protected] + 70.00 16%
KeplerCheuvreux Benoit Petrarque [email protected] + 63.80 6%
Macquarie Jain Vardhman [email protected] + 65.00 8%
Mediobanca Robin van den Broek [email protected] + 61.00 1%
Morgan Stanley Bruce Hamilton [email protected] + 63.60 6%
Natixis Securities Alex Koagne [email protected] + 60.50 0%
Oddo Jean Sassus [email protected] + 69.00 15%
Santander Patrick Lee [email protected] = 58.00 -4%
Societe Generale Phelbe Pace [email protected] + 68.50 14%
UBS Anton Kryachok [email protected] = 50.00 -17%
98
Glossary (1)
AQR Asset Quality Review
B3 Basel III
CBI Central Bank of Ireland
Combined ratio (non-life insurance)[technical insurance charges, including the internal cost of settling claims / earned premiums] + [operating expenses / written premiums] (after reinsurance in each case)
Common equity ratio [common equity tier-1 capital] / [total weighted risks]
Cost/income ratio (banking) [operating expenses of the banking activities of the group] / [total income of the banking activities of the group]
Cost/income ratio adjusted for specific items
The numerator and denominator are adjusted for (exceptional) items which distort the P&L during a particular period in order to provide a better insight into the underlying business trends. Adjustments include: • MtM ALM derivatives (fully excluded)• bank taxes (including contributions to European Single Resolution Fund) are included pro rata and hence spread over all quarters of the year instead of
being recognised for the most part upfront (as required by IFRIC21)• up to the end of 2014, also Legacy & OCR was an important correction• one-off items (such as the impact of the liquidation of KBC FH)
Credit cost ratio (CCR)[net changes in individual and portfolio-based impairment for credit risks] / [average outstanding loan portfolio]. Note that, inter alia, government bonds are not included in this formula
EBA European Banking Authority
ESMA European Securities and Markets Authority
ESFR European Single Resolution Fund
FICOD Financial Conglomerates Directive
Impaired loans cover ratio [total impairments (specific) for impaired loans] / [total outstanding impaired loans]. For a definition of ‘impaired’, see ‘Impaired loans ratio’
Impaired loans ratio [total outstanding impaired loans (PD 10-11-12)] / [total outstanding loans]
Leverage ratio[regulatory available tier-1 capital] / [total exposure measures]. The exposure measure is the total of non-risk-weighted on and off-balance sheet items, based on accounting data. The risk reducing effect of collateral, guarantees or netting is not taken into account, except for repos and derivatives. This ratio supplements the risk-based requirements (CAD) with a simple, non-risk-based backstop measure
Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) [stock of high quality liquid assets] / [total net cash outflow over the next 30 calendar days].
Net interest margin (NIM) of the group [net interest income of the banking activities] / [average interest-bearing assets of the banking activities]
Net stable funding ratio (NSFR) [available amount of stable funding] / [required amount of stable funding]
99
Glossary (2)
MARS Mortgage Arrears Resolution Strategy
MREL Minimum requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities
PD Probability of default
Return on allocated capital (ROAC) for a particular business unit
[result after tax, including minority interests, of a business unit, adjusted for income on allocated capital instead of real capital] / [average capital allocated to the business unit]. The capital allocated to a business unit is based on risk-weighted assets for banking and risk-weighted asset equivalents for insurance
Return on equity[result after tax, attributable to equity holders of the parent] / [average parent shareholders’ equity, excluding the revaluation reserve for available-for-sale assets]. If a coupon is expected to be paid on the core-capital securities sold to the Belgian Federal and Flemish Regional governments, it will be deducted from the numerator (pro rata)
TLAC Total loss-absorbing capacity
100
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