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ICRA EQUITY RESEARCH SERVICE
KAVVERI TELECOM PRODUCTS LIMITED April 02, 2012 Industry: Telecom
Fundamental and Valuation Grades
ICRA Online has assigned the Fundamental Grade ‘3/5’ and the Valuation Grade ‘B’ to Kavveri Telecom Products Limited. The Fundamental Grade ‘3/5’ assigned to the company implies that it has “good fundamentals”. The Valuation Grade ‘B’ implies that the company is “moderately undervalued” on a relative basis (as on the date of the grading assigned).
Kavveri Telecom Products Limited, headquartered in Bangalore (India), was founded by Mr. Shivkumar Reddy in the year 1996. The company is mainly into design and development of Radio frequency (Rf) products and antennas. It has in-house research and development (R&D) facility driven by 60 member core team. Its key manufacturing facility is located in Bangalore (India). Besides growing organically, the company has followed the strategy of acquiring companies in order to expand its product basket and geographical reach. During the last six years, it has acquired five companies located in Canada, Spain and Mexico. The company also ventured into the In-Building Solution (IBS) business in September 2008, through its 51% owned subsidiary, Kavveri Telecom Infrastructure Limited (KTIL). Under this business model, KTIL provides the infrastructure required for enhancing the indoor coverage in malls, hospitals, hotels etc. on fixed rental to the telecom operators. Henceforth ‘Kavveri’ would refer to Kavveri Telecom Products Limited consolidated with its subsidiaries.
Grading Positives
(1) In-house R&D capabilities; well positioned to gain from the increased focus of the Government of India (GoI) towards indigenization of telecom equipments (2) Healthy operating profitability (3) Overseas expansion, newly started contract manufacturing activities and increased focus on defense sector offer significant diversification and growth opportunities (4) Fast ramp up of newly started In-Building Solution (IBS) business; once mature, the IBS business segment would generate steady free cash flows
Grading Sensitivities
(1) Intensely competitive nature of the industry marked by the presence of large multinational players, cost competitive Chinese players and local players (2) Reduction in demand from key customers could significantly impact the company particularly given its high customer concentration (3) Ability to effectively integrate operations with acquired companies and derive proposed synergies (4) Technology obsolescence risk (5) Unfavorable foreign exchange movement
ICRA Online Grading Matrix
Valuation Assessment
Fu
nd
am
en
tal
Ass
ess
me
nt
A B C D E
5
4
3 3B
2
1
Fundamental Grading of ‘3/5’ indicates “good
fundamentals”
Valuation Grading of ‘B’ indicates “moderately
undervalued” on a relative basis
Key Stock Statistics
Current Market Price* (Rs.): 172.7 Shares Outstanding (crore): 2 Market Cap (Rs. crore) 348 52-Week High (Rs.) 191 52-Week Low (Rs.) 118 Free Float (%) 37% Beta 0.9 P/E on 2012-13 EPS Estimate (x) 5.5
*As on April 02, 2012
Shareholding Pattern (December 31, 2011)
Share Price Movement (36 months)
Key Financials (Consolidated)
(Rs. crore) FY10A FY11A FY12E FY13E FY14E
Operating Income 240.4 308.7 430.4 548.1 646.1 EBITDA Margin (%) 23% 22% 20% 21% 22% PAT Margin (%) 11% 13% 12% 11% 12% EPS (Rs.) 25.6 35.7 30.1 31.3 39.1 EPS Growth (%) 184% 40% -16% 4% 25% RoE (%) 34% 25% 20% 18% 19% RoCE (%) 29% 22% 21% 20% 21% P/E (x) 6.8 4.8 5.7 5.5 4.4 P/BV (x) 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 EV/EBITDA (x) 9.1 7.3 6.0 4.4 3.5 Source: Company, ICRA Online Estimates
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
2
Summary
In-house capabilities for design and development of antennas and Rf products
Kavveri, founded in the year 1996, has been focused on the design and manufacturing of antennas and Rf products since its
inception. The products developed by the company find their application in wireless communication systems. Besides growing
organically, the company has acquired five overseas companies in the last six years to enhance its product base, technological
capability and geographical reach. Currently, together with its subsidiaries the company holds 45 patents and has nearly 1600
items in its product basket. It has a 60 member core R&D team with nearly 45 people located in India unit. The R&D unit in India is
also recognized by Department of Science and Industrial Research (DSIR), Ministry of Science & Technology, Govt. of India, since
1996. The in-house design and development capability of the company is also reflected in its healthy profit margins.
Endeavour to become global company with Indian operations; however, effective implementation of plans would be
challenging
Kavveri started its operation in India in 1996 and focused on domestic market in the initial stages. With an established track record
of over a decade, the company took acquisition route to broaden its geographical reach. During the last six years it has acquired five
companies located in Canada, Mexico and Spain. These acquisitions have given the company access to North America, Latin
America, and European markets. As a next step, Kavveri plans to shift the manufacturing operation of these overseas subsidiaries
to India in order to enhance its cost competitiveness and increase market share. During FY12, Kavveri has also started doing
contract manufacturing to expand its reach in overseas market. So far this strategy has worked well for the company with its
export sales from India operations increasing from less than Rs 1 crore in FY10 and FY11 to Rs 75-80 crore in 9mFY12. While the
above two strategies should help the company to increase its global footprint, effective implementation of the proposed plans
would be challenging. The company however plans to shift the manufacturing operation of the overseas units to India in phases in
order to mitigate the risk.
Current high customer and sectoral concentration; however diversification plans in place
Currently telecom sector contributes to more than 95% of the company’s total revenue, with the rest coming from the defense/
space sector. Considering the high growth opportunity and healthy profitability offered by defense/space orders, the company has
increased its focus in this sector and plans to increase its share to 15% of the total revenue by FY15. The customer concentration of
the company is also high with the top customer accounting for 42% of consolidated sales in 9m-FY12. However, the company’s
efforts to diversify sectorally and geographically should translate into moderation of customer concentration in the medium term.
Formidable competition and technology obsolescence poses threat
Global antennas and Rf products market is dominated by large multinational players like CommScope Inc., Kathrein, RFS and
Powerwave Technologies among others. The competitive intensity of the industry is further aggravated by the presence of low-cost
Chinese players and local players in respective markets. Additionally, the rapid technology changes associated with the wireless
communication infrastructure equipment industry exposes the market players to technology obsolescence risk. However, Kavveri
mitigates these risks to certain extent by competitively pricing its products, maintaining high quality standards and consistently
investing in R&D efforts.
Potential upside from increased focus of GoI towards indigenization of telecom equipments
The Ministry of Communication and Information Technology (India) released the draft National Telecom Policy (NTP) on 10
October 2011 for inviting comments. The draft policy sets a target of domestic production of telecom equipment to meet 80%
Indian telecom demand with a value addition of 65% by the year 2020. Among other benefits, the draft policy proposes to provide
preferential market access for domestically manufactured telecommunication equipment with special emphasis on Indian products
for which Intellectual Property (IP) rights reside in India. In case of effective implementation of the proposed policy, domestic
telecom product companies with in-house design and development capabilities would be significantly benefitted.
Fast ramp-up of In-Building solution business; however entry of new players could moderate growth
Kavveri ventured into the In-Building Solution business in September 2008, through its 51% owned subsidiary, Kavveri Telecom
Infrastructure Limited (KTIL)1. Under this business model, KTIL provides the infrastructure required for enhancing the indoor
coverage in malls, hospitals, hotels etc. on fixed rental to the telecom operators. Within a short span the company has installed its
1 Remaining 49% in KTIL is held by Mr Shivkumar Reddy and his family members
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
3
equipments in nearly 37 million sq ft of mall/ hotel/ office space and enjoys an average tenancy of almost 2.8 times. During 9m-
FY12, KTIL generated a net profit of almost Rs 2.4 crore on an operating income of Rs 11.6 crore. Although the competition in the
industry is not very intense currently, there is a possibility of entry of new players in the medium term which could moderate the
company’s future growth.
Valuations
The various valuation comparisons suggest that Kavveri is trading at a discount to indices (including Nifty, CNX 500, CNX Mid Cap,
and CNX Small Cap) and its peers (Astra Microwave Products Limited, Shyam Telecom Limited). The discount to the peers is
despite Kavveri demonstrating a significantly better financial performance. Additionally, ICRA Online observes that there is
significant diversification and growth opportunity for the company from overseas expansion, newly started contract
manufacturing activities and IBS business, and increased focus on defense sector. The company also has in-house R&D capabilities
and is well positioned to benefit from the increased focus of the GoI towards indigenization of telecom equipment products.
However, the high competitive intensity of the industry, technology obsolescence risk associated with the business, and the
company’s current high customer concentration poses threat to the growth plans. Considering the above aspects, ICRA Online has
assigned a valuation grade of ‘B’ to Kavveri on a grading scale of ‘A to E,’ which indicates that the company is “moderately
undervalued” on a relative basis.
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
4
Antennas and Rf products
Kavveri, established in the year 1996, has been focused on the design and manufacturing of antennas and Rf products since its
inception. The company started its operation in Bangalore (India) and focused on domestic market in the initial stages. With an
established track record of over a decade, the company acquired entities overseas in order to expand its product base and
geographical reach. Currently, while the company’s sales continue to be concentrated in India, it has gained access to key markets
like Europe, North America and Latin America through its various acquisitions. Its product basket consists of nearly 1600 items
which also includes products for next generation technologies.
Bangalore is the key manufacturing base of the company with a facility admeasuring nearly 1.5 lakh sq ft. The facility is equipped
with modern testing equipments and is adequate to accommodate next three year growth of the company. Kavveri’s customer base
comprises of telecom operators, Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), system integrators, and defence organizations.
Currently, the company’s top customer contributes to more than 40% its total sales.
Table 01: Antennas and Rf products snapshot
Products
Antennas: (Sector, Panel, Patch, Yagi, Omni, Parabolic)
Base Station Antennas for CDMA, GSM, UMTS, AWS, WIFI, WIMAX
In-building Antennas
Customer Premise Equipment (CPE) Antennas Broadband, WiFi, WiMAX
Public Safety Antennas
GPS and Portable Antennas
Air Traffic Control Antennas
Defense and Aerospace Antennas
DBS Antennas
Microwave Antennas RF Products:
Repeaters
BDAs, Power Amplifiers, LNAs
Tower Mount Amplifiers (TMAs), Tower Mount Boosters (TMBs)
Frequency Converters
Base Station and High Rejection Filters
Duplexers, Diplexers, Triplexers, Point of Interconnect
Couplers, Bias Tees, Splitters, Combiners
Isolators and Circulators
Lightning Arrestors
R&D Capability
60 member Core R&D Team with 45 people located in India unit
Plans to expand the team to 75 members
Headed by Director (R&D), Mr. L. Nicholas who has previously served with the R&D team at Indian Space Research Organization
R&D unit in India is also recognized by DSIR, Ministry of Science & Technology, GoI, since 1996
45 patents
Manufacturing facility
Key manufacturing unit in Bangalore (India) - 1.5 lakh sq ft; accredited with ISO 9001:2008 - Equipped with modern testing equipments including Anechoic chamber for antenna testing,
star labs for BS antenna testing, network analyzers, spectrum analyzers, environmental test equipments, power sensors, and digital psophometer among others
- Lead by 260 member operation team; Plans to expand to 350 in near term
Other manufacturing units: 16,000 sq ft and 6,000 sq ft in Canada, and 30,000 sq ft in Mexico & Spain
Key Markets Largest market: India; contributed to 60% of the total sales in 9mFY12
Gained market access to Europe, North America and Latin America through various acquisitions
Key customers Wide customer base including telecom operators, turnkey equipment suppliers, system integrators,
and defence organizations
The top customer currently accounted for ~42% of 9mFY12 consolidated sale
Source: Company
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
5
High sectoral, geographical and customer concentration; however, diversification plan in place Kavveri is currently concentrated in the telecom sector which accounted for to more than 95% of the total revenue in 9mFY12.
However, the concentration is expected to moderate going forward as the company has increased its focus on defence sector
considering the healthy profitability and high growth prospect of the segment2.
On the geographical front, India contributes to majority portion of the company’s revenue (~60% total revenue in 9mFY12).
However, considering the remunerative prices offered in the overseas markets, the company has been trying to increase its global
footprint through acquisitions. The company also plans to shift the manufacturing operation of the acquired entities to India to
become cost competitive and increase share in overseas markets. Besides, during FY12 Kavveri started doing contract
manufacturing which helped in moderating the geographical concentration to an extent.
The customer concentration of the company is high with the top customer accounting for 42% of consolidated sales in 9m-FY12.
However, the top customer concentration has reduced in the past two years. Going forward, the company efforts to diversify
sectorally and geographically should translate into further moderation of customer concentration.
Table 02: Diversification Plan
Current Status (9mFY12) Diversification plan/ efforts Desired result by FY15
Sectoral
Indian defence sector offers high growth opportunity considering the increased focus of the government towards indigenization of the defence products (defence offset clause)
Kavveri has several years of association with Indian defence organization
Profitability on defence order are typically good
Considering above points, the company has increased its focus on defence sector
Geographical
The company has adopted acquisition route to diversify geographically
In last six years it has acquired five entities which gave it market access to Europe, North America and Latin America
As a next step, Kavveri plans to shift the operation of overseas subsidiaries to India so that these subsidiaries become cost competitive and gain market share
Company also started contract manufacturing in FY12, which helped to increase the export sales from <Rs 1 crore in FY10 and FY11 to Rs 75-80 crore in 9mFY12
Customer
The customer concentration has reduced during last two years
The moderation during FY12 was on account of improvement in export sales driven by contract manufacturing revenue
Going forward, the company efforts to diversify sectorally and geographically should translate into moderation of customer concentration.
Source: Company
2 GoI introduced defence offset clause during 2008, which states that any defence contract with a value of more than Rs 300 crore when entered into with a foreign vendor, will have an industrial offset liability of 30-50% of the contract value.
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
6
Endeavour to become global company with Indian operations; however, effective implementation of the plans and
achieving the targeted goal would be challenging
Besides growing organically, Kavveri has followed the strategy of acquiring companies in order to expand its product basket and
geographical reach. During the last six years, the company has acquired five companies. The first four acquired companies, namely
Til-Tek Antennae Inc. (Til-tek), DCI Digital Communications (DCI), Spotwave Wireless Ltd. (Spotwave) and Trackcom Systems
International (Trackcom), are located in Canada and provide access to mainly North America market. In November 2011, the
company acquired the fifth entity, the telecom division of Radiacion Y Microondas S A (RYMSA), having its operations in Spain and
Mexico. This acquisition provides the company with access to Europe and Latin America markets. The various acquisitions have
also enhanced the company’s technological capability and product basket. The recent acquisition of RYMSA’s telecom division has
expanded the company’s product basket from nearly 1200 items to almost 1600 items. Besides acquiring above entities, the
company also acquired Intellectual Property (IP) rights for Base station antennas from PCTel Inc in Q3 of 2007.
Chart 01: Key acquisitions
Source: Company
Q2-2006
Til-Tek
• Acquired Til-tek; 100% holding • Based in Canada • Provided access to North America market • Provided technology for Broad-band base station antennas
Q1-2007
DCI
•Acquired DCI; 100% holding • Based in Canada • Provided access to North America market • Provided access to specialized high precision filters/ combiners
Q3-2007
IP from PCTel
• Acquired IP rights for Cellular base station antennas , Remote Electrical Tilt (RET) and azimuth beam steering technology
• Total 14 patents acquired
Q1-2008
Spotwave
•Acquired Spotwave; 100% holding • Based in Canada • Provided access to to North America market • Provided technology for In-building Wireless repeaters (Intelligent non-engineered adaptive); 27 patents
Q1-2009
Trackcom
•Acquired Trackcom; 67% holding; remaining 33% with promoter of Trackcom •Based in Canada •Provided access to to North America market •Provided technology forpassive and active Rf technology solutions for defence and space sectors
Q4-2011
•Acquired telecom division of RYMSA; ~100% holding; RYMSA brand name can be used for 30 months •Based in Spain and Mexico; Spain division renamed as Kaveri Telecom Espana; Mexico division named as Rymex •Provided access to Europe and Latin America markets; Provided technology for RET and Multipoort Antenna • During Nov'11-Feb'12, RYMSA telecom division generated Euro 4.5 million revenue (a Y-o-Y increase of 111%)
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
7
The revenue generated by various acquired entities is much lower in comparison to that generated by the company’s Indian
operation; during 9mFY12, all the overseas subsidiaries together generated nearly Rs 43.3 crore of revenue as compared to Rs
248.3 crore generated by Indian operations (excluding revenue from rental based In-building solution business). One of the
constraints in expanding the revenue base of these entities is their high cost of manufacturing due to which they are out-bid by the
low cost Chinese players in many orders. Therefore, the company intends to shift the manufacturing operation of its overseas
subsidiaries to India. As the labour cost in India is much lower than that in the respective locations of the subsidiaries, there is
significant scope of cost saving through the implementation of the plan. This should enhance the cost competitiveness of the
acquired entities which in turn should translate into increase in their market share and improvement in margins.
In order to capitalize on the low cost advantage provided by India and drive export revenue growth, Kavveri India also
started executing contract manufacturing orders during FY12. So far this strategy has worked well for the company with its export
sales from India operations increasing from less than Rs 1 crore in FY10 and FY11 to Rs 75-80 crore in 9mFY12. The company also
has nearly USD 19 million (~ Rs 95 crore) of contract manufacturing export orders which has to be executed in next 12 months.
Overall, the dual strategy of enhancing the market position of its overseas subsidiaries by making them cost competitive and
tapping the contract manufacturing market should help the company to realize its objective of becoming a global company with
Indian operations.
In order to implement the aforementioned plans, the company has to significantly ramp up its manufacturing capacity in India.
While the space and equipment available in the Bangalore manufacturing unit is adequate to accommodate the new activities, the
company would have to recruit additional skilled workers in order to increase its manufacturing capacity. Accordingly, the
company plans to increase the operation work force in India from 260 currently to almost 350 in the near term. Besides the
recruitment of competent staff, providing adequate level of training would be a key execution/ operational challenge for the
company. Failing to meet these challenges effectively, the company’s manufacturing efficiency and its products’ quality could be
adversely impacted. The company also faces other key risks like - risk of labour unrest at the various subsidiaries, and risk of
drying up of orders and idling of resources in India on account of increased competition from the Chinese players or due to weak
economic scenario. However, Kavveri plans to mitigate the risks by shifting the manufacturing operation of the overseas units to
India in phases. In Phase 1, the company would only bring those orders to India which are economically unviable to be executed in
the subsidiaries due to their high cost. Subsequently, higher volume orders would be shifted followed by medium volume orders.
The company would continue to manufacture low volume orders locally.
Formidable competition poses threat
In India as well as globally, antennas and Rf product market is dominated by large multinational players like CommScope Inc.,
Kathrein-Werke KG, Radio Frequency Systems (RFS, owned by Alcatel-Lucent), Powerwave Technologies Inc, and Tyco Electronics
among others. While the operating cost of the multinational players is much higher than Kavveri, they have competitive advantage
on account of their established brand names in global market, wider range of product offerings, global tie-ups with turnkey
equipment suppliers, and ability to invest heavily on R&D activities. Additionally Kavveri faces competition from low-cost Chinese
players and local players in respective markets. Kavveri however, maintains high quality standards and competitively prices its
products in order to compete in Indian and global market.
Technology obsolescence risk
The wireless communication infrastructure equipment industry is extremely competitive and characterized by rapid technology
changes, new product developments, rapid product obsolescence, evolving industry standards and significant price erosion over
the life of a product. The situation is further aggravated by the presence of strong multinational players in the industry which have
significant financial and technical capability to invest on R&D of new products. Therefore, Kavveri is exposed to the risk of the
competitors developing new technologies and introducing enhanced products in the market that would offer superior price or
performance feature. However comfort can be drawn from the fact that in the past Kavveri has consistently moved up the
technology curve through in-house R&D efforts and acquiring companies/ technologies. The company has also developed wide
range of product for next generation technologies.
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
8
Outlook for global wireless infrastructure equipment demand remains positive; however actual growth in various markets would depend on local factors Despite significant economic headwinds, the demand for higher data rates has compelled telecom operators worldwide to invest in
new equipment, driving growth in infrastructure gear sales in 2011. India was however an exception where various factors like –
price war among operators, slow pick-up in demand for 3G services and uncertainty in the sector on account of 2G scam –
contributed towards the moderation in investment by telecom operators.
Going forward, worldwide wireless infrastructure equipment market is projected to grow with a CAGR of almost 6% for the next
four years. Across the globe - from the developed economies of North America, Europe, and North Asia, to the developing regions of
Latin America, Africa, and South Asia - carriers are upgrading their wireless networks. The carriers in the developed nations are
focusing on investing in incremental network upgrades to 3.5G, 3.75G, and 3.9G technologies. But several operators have
commenced trials and are beginning to deploy and commercially operate 4G LTE networks. Service providers in many of the
emerging markets are also upgrading their 2.5G networks to 3.5G technologies and offering new data-centric services to customers.
However, actual growth in various markets would depend on local factors like changes in policy framework, rate of acceptance of
new technologies by customers, competitive intensity in the industry, availability of funds at competitive rate, and overall
economic environment among others. With respect to India specifically, while 3G/ 4G rollouts and rural expansion are expected to
be key demand drivers for wireless infrastructure equipments, policy related issues and uncertainties prevailing in the industry
could delay operators’ capital expenditure plan.
Potential upside from increased focus of GoI towards indigenization of telecom equipments
The Ministry of Communication and Information Technology (India) released the draft National Telecom Policy (NTP) on 10
October 2011 for inviting comments. The draft policy sets a target of domestic production of telecom equipment to meet 80%
Indian telecom demand with a value addition of 65% by the year 2020. It proposes to provide preferential market access for
domestically manufactured telecommunication equipment with special emphasis on Indian products for which Intellectual
Property Rights reside in India. The draft also proposes to provide soft credit to Indian product manufacturers for domestic
deployment and exports. In case of effective implementation of the proposed policy, domestic telecom product companies with in-
house design and development capabilities would be significantly benefitted. However, in our earnings estimate, we have not
factored in growth impact due to implementation of the policy.
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
9
In-Building Solution Business
Kavveri Telecom Products Limited ventured into the IBS business in September 2008, through its 51% owned subsidiary, Kavveri
Telecom Infrastructure Limited (KTIL)3.
IBS: the lease based business model
Considering relatively high loss of signals within enclosed areas, mobile service providers require IBS to provide coverage and
capacity to their subscribers inside building. Traditionally, in India mobile service providers have been handling the in-building
connectivity themselves. However, off-late the ‘neutral host’ model is gaining momentum, where a third party (Neutral Host
Provider, NHP) invests in the infrastructure and leases it out to various telecom operators. The NHP offers end-to-end solution
from acquiring the right of way for in-premise, to planning, deploying, and maintaining the telecom solutions infrastructure. The
operator is benefitted from this model as it does not have to incur the capex and can focus on its core competency of acquiring and
retaining customers. Additionally, the plug-and-play model significantly reduces the operator’s time to market and also reduces its
cost as the resources are shared by various operators.
The business model offers healthy returns for the NHPs. Assuming initial capital expenditure of Rs. 16/ sq ft, equipment life of 20
years, rental of 8 paisa/ tenant/ month for 2G service, and escalation of 5% after every 3 years, the business would generate almost
18% return on investment once the average occupancy ratio (indicating average number of tenants per mall) crosses 3 times. The
threat of a telecom operator terminating the lease term with the NHP is low, as the NHP typically enters into exclusive contract
with premise owners thereby creating its monopoly in the premise.
KTIL: Fast ramp-up of operation
KTIL has been focused in rental-based IBS business in India since its inception. In a short span of 3.5 years the company has
installed its equipments in nearly 37 million sq ft of mall/ hotel/ office space and enjoys an average tenancy of almost 2.8 times.
Additionally, around 13 million sq ft is space is under development for which tenants has been already tied up (average tenancy:
~2.7-2.8 times). The company has entered into long term service agreements with leading telecom operators like RCom, Airtel,
Vodafone, Idea, Aircel, TTSL etc. During 9m-FY12, KTIL generated a net profit of almost Rs 2.4 crore on an operating income of Rs
11.6 crore.
Chart 02: Key IBS projects
Source: Company
3 Remaining 49% in KTIL is held by Mr Shivkumar Reddy and his family members
Malls
• Mantri Square Mall,
Bangalore
• Express Avenue Mall,
Chennai
•Ampa Mall, Chennai
•Forum Mall, Kolkata
•Mani Square Mall, Kolkata
Hotels
• Hotel E-Inn, Bangalore
•Hotel Park, Mumbai &
Hyderabad
•Hotel Marriott, Bangalore
& Pune
•Hotel Hyatt, Pune &
Chennai
•Hotel Leela, Chennai
Hospital
•Seven Hills Hospital,
Mumbai
•Fortis Hospital, Bangalore
& Kolkata
•Jayadeva Hospital,
Bangalore
•AMRI Hospital, Kolkata
•Sarvodaya Hospital, Delhi
•Narayana Hrudayalaya,
Bangalore
Corporate Offices
•L&T Info city, Bangalore
•Salarpuria Info Zone,
Bangalore
•Ferns ICON, Bangalore
•IRIS Tech Park, Gurgaon
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
10
Kavveri’s vertically integrated operation provides competitive advantage
Kavveri’s antenna/ Rf product manufacturing operation complements the group’s IBS business. While KTIL focuses on installation
and maintenance of the infrastructure, most of the equipments required are procured from the parent company, Kavveri Telecom
Products Limited. The vertically integrated set-up helps in faster turnaround of sites and savings in operational cost. Additionally
there is frequent exchange of ideas between the product team and installation/ maintenance team which helps in continuous
product improvement and reduction in capital cost.
Future growth plans
Going forward, the rollout of 3G/ 4G services in India is expected to provide significant fillip to IBS business. This is on account of
three key reasons: (1) The expansion of data from 3G/ 4G services would require increasing amount of bandwidth (2) The high
end 3G/ 4G services is expected to increase the focus of the operators towards Quality of Service (QoS) (3) As the spectrum
allocated for 3G/ 4G services in India is in the higher frequency range, it would be difficult for signals to penetrate a building from
outside; therefore IBS would be critical to provide coverage and capacity to customers.
KTIL plans to invest nearly Rs 40 crore annually for the development of the sites during the next three years. Considering the
capital intensive nature of the business, the promoters’ ability to arrange for adequate funds at regular intervals would remain to
be a critical factor for a future liquidity profile of the group. The near to medium term funding risk is however mitigated to large
extent by the fresh equity funding of almost Rs 65 crore received by Kavveri during FY12, current low gearing level of the group,
and the fresh term loan sanction of almost Rs 45 crore recently received by KTIL.
Current low competitive intensity; however, threat of new entrant exists
Currently IBS business in India is not very competitive, marked by the presence of only few serious players like Ubico Networks,
GTL Infrastructure, Viom Networks and Kavveri. However, as the business offers healthy return on investment, there is a
possibility of new players entering the market in the medium term. The potential new entrants in the IBS business are telecom
tower infrastructure providers, system Integrators, wireless infrastructure equipment suppliers, real estate developers, hoteliers,
and mall management companies among others. However, there exist entry barriers, like high technical intensity and high capital
intensity of the business, which would provide certain degree of protection to the incumbents.
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
11
Financial Profile
Sales growth in the past mainly driven by India sales; going forward, growth expected to be broadbased
Chart 03: Sales growth trend (FY09–FY14E)
Source: Company; ICRA Online estimates
The consolidated revenue of Kavveri grew with a CAGR of 53% from FY07 to FY11. The growth has been mainly driven by growth
in India sales which in turn was on account of Kavveri’s broadened product portfolio and overall growth in demand of wireless
infrastructure equipment in India. Revenue growth during FY10 and FY11 was despite Kavveri reducing its focus on the trading of
cables, connectors and other low value added items.
The growth momentum continued during FY12, with the standalone company sales recording a Y-o-Y growth of almost 38% during
the first nine months of the year. The growth is largely backed by strong traction witnessed in the newly started contract
manufacturing activity.
Going forward, the growth momentum of the company is expected to continue. The future growth would be driven by
following factors (in decreasing order of priority):
1) Fresh acquisitions: RYMSA – telecom division, acquired in November’2011, would contribute significantly
towards FY13 growth as this would be the first full year operation of the entity under Kavveri management (only
5 months revenue of RYMSA – telecom would be accounted in FY12 consolidated revenue). RYMSA currently has
confirmed orders of Euro 12 million in its books. For our earnings estimate, we have not considered any new
acquisition during the next two years.
2) Shifting of manufacturing from overseas subsidiaries to India: This will allow the company to tap the markets
which were earlier impenetrable because of the low price points offered by Chinese competitors.
3) Contract manufacturing: The company currently has nearly USD 19 million contract manufacturing export orders
in hand which has to be executed in next 12 months.
4) India sales to be driven by defence order: The company has increased its focus in the defence/ space sector and
expects it to contribute to almost 15% of the total sales by FY15. This segment should drive India sales of the
company. In our earnings estimate, we have not factored in growth impact due to GoI increased focus towards
indigenization of telecom equipments.
5) IBS: This business segment is also expected to grow rapidly, considering the company’s plan to invest ~Rs 40
crore annually. However, as IBS is not a major top-line contributor by nature of the business, its share in the total
revenue would remain low going forward.
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
12
Operating margins expected to remain in the range of 20-22% in medium term; EPS growth impacted by equity dilution
Chart 04: OPBDITA and EPS growth trend (FY09–FY14E)
Source: Company; ICRA Online estimates
During FY10, the operating margin of the company improved significantly on account of change in its sales mix – the company
reduced its exposure in low margin traded items like cables, connectors etc after incurring losses in trading activity during FY09 .
Going forward, although the company intends to improve its profit margins by shifting the manufacturing operations of overseas
subsidiaries to India, we do not expect any significant improvement on margins due to this in the medium term. This is because we
expect the positive impact of higher economy of scale and lower cost of operation in India to be offset by the initial cost associated
with setting up of process. Additionally, the improvement in the margin would be gradual as the manufacturing operation from
abroad would be shifted in phases to India. We also believe that sustainable operating margin from contract manufacturing activity
would be lower than indigenous product sales. Therefore the company’s presence in contract manufacturing segment would drag
down its profitability to a certain extent. However, increasing proportion of IBS services income should have a positive impact on
the company’s operating profitability margin. Overall, we expect the OPBDITA margin of the company to remain in the range of 20-
22% in the medium term. The expected return on capital employed (ROCE) is also in the range of 20-21% for the forecasted
period.
The equity base of the company has expanded from 1.4 crore shares as on 31st March 2011 to nearly 2 crore shares as on 31st
December, 2011. Therefore despite an estimated increase of almost 25% in net profits during FY12, the EPS of the company is
expected to decline by almost 17% during the year. However, in the subsequent years the EPS growth should be back on track.
Exposed to foreign currency fluctuation risk
As export from India is expected to increase going forward, the company’s exposure on foreign currency exposure would also
increase. The company has a policy of not hedging its receivables. Any adverse movement in foreign currency movement can have
material impact on the company’s net earning level. We have however not factored any impact due to currency movements in our
projections.
Healthy capital structure; no significant funding/ liquidity concern in the medium term
The company has funded its working capital requirements and capital expenditure plan in the past through a mix of debt and
equity; net debt addition of nearly Rs 77.5 crore and fresh equity infusion of nearly Rs 95 crore during the period April’08 -
March’11. On account of adequate equity funds received in the past, the company’s gearing level is moderate at nearly 0.8 times as
on 31st March 2011. Further during FY2012, the company received Rs 65 crore of additional equity funds through successful
qualified institutions placement (QIP) of approximately ~Rs. 40 crore (shares issued at Rs 135/ share), and conversion of warrants
into equity (shares issued at Rs 113/ share). Therefore, the gearing level of the company is estimated to have further moderated to
almost 0.5 times as on 31st March 2012 (ICRA Online estimates).
As for the capex plans of the group, while IBS business would require to spend almost Rs 40 crore annually on infrastructure
development, the manufacturing operations of the company does not require any significant capex in the medium term as the
capacity was recently enhanced in FY09 and FY10. For the capital expenditure in IBS business, the company has already received
debt sanction of Rs 45 crore from bank. Additionally, considering the fresh equity funding of almost Rs 65 crore received by
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
13
Kavveri during the FY12 and current low gearing level of the group we do not foresee any significant funding or liquidity concern in
the medium term.
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
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Company Profile
Kavveri, founded by Mr. Shivkumar Reddy in the year 1996, is mainly into design, development and marketing of Rf products and
antennas. The company has in-house research and development facility driven by 60 member core R&D team. Its key
manufacturing facility is located in Bangalore, India. During FY12, the company also started contract manufacturing activity which
has helped in its export sales growth. During last six years, Kavveri has acquired five companies in order to broad base its product
portfolio and expand its geographical reach. The company has also ventured into the In-Building Solution business in September
2008, through its 51% owned subsidiary, KTIL. This is a capital intensive business model requiring significant upfront expenditure
by KTIL on infrastructure development. At consolidated level the company has generated a PAT of Rs 39 crore on an Operating
Income of Rs 309 crore during FY11.
Table 03: Company Fact Sheet
Name of the Company Kavveri Telecom Products Limited (Kavveri)
Year of Incorporation 1996
Corporate Status Public Limited Company
Registered Office Kavveri Telecom Products Limited, Kavveri Industrial Complex, Ist main, 2nd Stage, Arakere
Mico Layout, Banerghatta Road, Bangalore – 560076
Auditors S Janardhan & Associates
Board of Directors Director Name
C. Shivkumar Reddy
Mrs. R H Kasturi
Mr. L Nicholas
Mr. L. R. Venugopal
Mr. B. S. Shankarnarayanan
Mr. C. V. Jagadish
Designation
Chairman & Managing Director
Director (HR and Admin)
Director (R&D)
Independent Director
Independent Director
Independent Director
Key subsidiaries/ associate
companies
Subsidiaries
Eaicom India Private Limited [100% subsidiary]
Kavveri Technologies Inc. Canada [KTIC, 100% subsidiary]
Kavveri Telecom Infrastructure Limited [KTIL, 51% subsidiary]
Til-Tek, Canada [100% held by KTIC]
DCI Digital Communication, Canada [100% held by KTIC]
Spotwave Wireless Inc. [100% held by KTIC]
Trackcom Systems International Inc. [67% held by KTIC]
Kavveri Realty 5 Inc. [100% held by KTIC]
Kavveri Telecom Espana [KTE, 100% subsidiary]
Rymex [99.99% held by KTE]
Source: Company
Corporate Governance
Kavveri is managed by a 6-member Board, which includes 3 independent directors. While the promoter family is closely involved
in running the business, the company has a professional management structure. The promoter group holds 32.3% equity stake in
the company and the rest is widely held and includes institutional investors. The company has constituted various committees,
which include the Audit committee, the Remuneration Committee and the Investors’ Grievance Committee.
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
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Valuation Grading
In assessing a company's valuation, various parameters are looked at including
the company's earnings and growth prospects, its ability to generate free cash
flows, and its capacity to generate returns from the capital invested. The
valuation is also benchmarked against an appropriate peer set or index. The
opinion on a company's relative valuation is expressed using the five-point scale.
While assessing a company's relative valuation, the historical price volatility
exhibited by the stock, besides its liquidity, is also taken into account. The extent
of overvaluation or undervaluation is adjusted for the relative volatility
displayed by the stock.
Relative Valuation: Index Comparison
Chart 05: Comparison with Indices (Price movement) Chart 06: Comparison with Indices (Trailing PE)
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Table 04: Index Comparison
ICRA Online estimates
Nifty CNX 500 CNX Small Cap CNX Mid Cap Kavveri
FY12E FY13E FY12E FY13E FY12E FY13E FY12E FY13E FY12E FY13E
Price/Earnings 15.1 13.1 14.8 12.4 12.4 9.1 14.6 12.1 5.7 5.5
EV/EBITDA 10.1 8.9 10.4 8.8 8.3 6.8 11.9 10.0 6.0 4.4
Price /Sales 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6
Price /Book Value
2.4 2.1 2.2 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.9
Price/Cash Flow
10.7 9.1 10.5 8.7 6.7 5.6 11.5 8.7 4.8 4.6
Source: Bloomberg, ICRA Online estimates
*ICRA estimates based on share price as on April 02, 2012 NSE; # Bloomberg consensus estimates as on April 02, 2012
Kavveri has been trading at a discount to Nifty, CNX 500, CNX Small Cap, and CNX Mid Cap indices. While the discount to Nifty, CNX
500 and CNX Mid Cap can be partly justified considering the moderate scale of operation of the company, discount to CNX Small
Cap is untenable particularly given the strong growth and profitability demonstrated by the company in the past. Additionally, the
company has concrete plan in place to drive its future growth.
Valuation
Grade
Grade Implication
A Significantly undervalued
B Moderately undervalued
C Fairly valued
D Moderately overvalued
E Significantly overvalued
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
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Relative Valuation: Historical Comparison
Chart 07: Forward PE curve Vs 3 Year Forward PE Mean Chart 08: Forward PE Band
Source: Bloomberg, ICRA Online Estimates Source: Bloomberg, ICRA Online Estimates
The three year mean of the company’s forward PE is nearly 3.4 times. The company has been consistently trading above the
average PE band since Q2 of FY11. It should be noted that the forward PE graph of the company has shown consistent upward
trend during the last three years.
Relative Valuation: Peer Comparison
Chart 9: Comparison with Peers (Price Movement) Chart 10: Comparison with Peers (EPS trend)
Source: Bloomberg Source: Annual reports; www.moneycontrol.com
Table 05: Comparison with Peers (Financial)
Company Market Cap (Rs Cr.)
Operating Income (Rs Cr)
EBITDA (Rs Cr)
PAT (Rs Cr)
EBITDA% PAT% ROCE% RONW% EPS (Rs)
Astra 301 161 44 19 27% 12% 10% 13% 2.3
Shyam 32 677 10 4 2% 1% 8% 8% 3.4
Kavveri 348 309 69 39 22% 13% 22% 25% 35.7
Source: Annual reports; www.moneycontro.com Market cap as on April 2, 2012; Other data pertains to FY11
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
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Chart 11: Comparison with Peers (Trailing PE)
There are only two companies in the listed universe which can
be compared with Kavveri. These are Astra Microwave
Products Limited (Astra) and Shyam Telecom Limited (Shyam,
part of Shyam Group). As seen from Table 05, Astra is a closer
comparison with respect to market cap, scale of operation and
profitability indicators. The key difference between Kavveri
and Astra is that while Kavveri is concentrated in telecom
sector, Astra mainly caters to defense sector. Chart 10, 11 and
Table 05 together shows that Kavveri has been trading at a
significant discount to the listed peers despite demonstrating a
significantly better financial performance. Additionally from
Chart 9 we see that during the last 3 years Kavveri stock has
appreciated considerably as compared to its peers.
Source: Bloomberg
Valuation Grade
The various valuation comparisons shown above suggest that Kavveri is trading at a discount to various indices, and its peers. The
discount to the peers is despite Kavveri demonstrating a significantly better financial performance. Additionally, ICRA Online
observes that there is significant diversification and growth opportunity for the company from overseas expansion, newly started
contract manufacturing activities and IBS business, and increased focus on defense sector. The company also has in-house R&D
capabilities and is well positioned to benefit from the increased focus of GoI towards indigenization of telecom equipment
products. However, the high competitive intensity of the industry, technology obsolescence risk associated with the business, and
the company’s current high customer concentration poses threat to the growth plans. Considering the above aspects, ICRA Online
has assigned a valuation grade of ‘B’ to Kavveri on a grading scale of ‘A to E,’ which indicates that the company is “moderately
undervalued” on a relative basis.
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
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Annexure 1: P&L Estimates (Consolidated)
Rs Crore FY10A FY11A FY12E FY13E FY14E
Net Sales 237.1 301.7 430.4 548.1 646.1
Other Related Income 3.3 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Operating Income 240.4 308.7 430.4 548.1 646.1
EBITDA 55.8 69.2 85.1 115.5 142.9
Depreciation 6.0 7.2 9.6 12.0 14.4
EBIT 51.6 65.1 85.5 104.1 129.1
Interest Expenses 12.7 13.5 17.1 20.4 24.7
Other Income 3.0 5.9 10.0 0.6 0.6
PBT 38.8 51.5 68.4 83.7 104.4
PAT 25.8 39.3 51.3 62.8 78.3
Minority Interest 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
PAT (Concern Share) 25.8 38.7 51.3 62.8 78.3
No of shares (Cr) (basic) 1.0 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.0
DPS (basic) 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.5
EPS (basic) 25.6 35.7 30.1 31.3 39.1
CEPS (basic) 29.6 39.0 34.0 35.8 44.8
Source: ICRA Online Estimates
Note 1: Amounts are presented in Rs. Crore; EBITDA: Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization; EBIT: Earnings
Before Interest and Tax; PBT: Profit Before Tax; PAT: Profit After Tax; DPS: Dividend Per Share; EPS: Earnings Per Share; CEPS: Cash
Earnings Per Share
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
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Annexure 2: Balance Sheet Estimates (Consolidated)
Assets (Rs Crore) FY10A FY11A FY12E FY13E FY14E
Net Fixed Assets 111.4 153.2 188.6 221.6 252.2
Capital Work-in-Progress 38.4 24.0 24.0 24.0 24.0
Total Net Fixed Assets 149.8 177.2 212.6 245.7 276.2
Other Long-Term Investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash and Bank Balances 11.9 7.6 10.0 10.0 10.0
Receivables 111.6 100.3 139.9 178.1 209.9
Inventories 39.7 72.2 103.0 131.2 154.7
Loans & Advances 64.5 81.7 110.5 120.8 142.4
Other Current Assets 11.8 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Assets 389.4 452.2 576.1 685.7 793.2
Liabilities (Rs Crore) FY10A FY11A FY12E FY13E FY14E
Net Worth 108.4 203.6 316.8 376.5 451.8
Minority Interest 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Total Debt 173.0 157.5 169.6 213.2 240.3
Deferred Tax Liability 8.9 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1
Trade Creditors 33.2 17.1 24.6 30.8 35.9
Other Current Liabilities and
Prov. 65.5 63.8 55.0 55.0 55.0
Total Liabilities 389.4 452.2 576.1 685.7 793.2
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
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Annexure 3: Cash Flow Estimates (Consolidated)
Cash Flows (Rs Crore) FY10A FY11A FY12E FY13E FY14E
PBT 38.8 51.5 68.4 83.7 104.4
Taxes Paid 9.1 12.1 17.1 20.9 26.1
Depreciation 6.0 7.2 9.6 12.0 14.4
Change in net working capital (96.8) (57.8) (88.8) (70.4) (71.9)
Cash flow from operating activities (61.1) (11.2) (27.9) 4.4 20.8
Investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Capital Expenditure (79.5) (34.7) (43.8) (45.0) (45.0)
Cash flow from investing activities (79.5) (34.7) (43.8) (45.0) (45.0)
Equity Raised / (Buyback) 37.5 57.5 64.9 0.0 0.0
Loans Raised / (Repaid) 99.2 (15.4) 12.0 43.6 27.2
Others (Including Extra-ordinaries) 0.0 (0.7) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dividend (0.8) (2.0) (2.8) (3.0) (3.0)
Cash Flow from Financing activities 135.8 39.3 74.1 40.6 24.2
Cumulative cash flow (4.8) (6.6) 2.4 (0.0) 0.0
Opening Cash Balance 14.4 11.9 7.6 10.0 10.0
Closing Cash Balance 9.6 5.4 10.0 10.0 10.0
ICRA Equity Research Service Kavveri Telecom Private Limited
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Annexure 4: Key Financial Ratios (Consolidated)
Key Financial Ratios FY10A FY11A FY12E FY13E FY14E
Profitability Indicators
Sales Growth 16% 22% 43% 27% 18%
EBITDA Growth 89% 24% 23% 36% 24%
EPS Growth 184% 40% -16% 4% 25%
Cash EPS Growth 188% 32% -13% 5% 25%
Profitability Indicators
EBITDA Margin 23.2% 22.4% 19.8% 21.1% 22.1%
EBIT Margin 21.4% 21.1% 19.9% 19.0% 20.0%
PAT Margin 10.7% 12.7% 11.9% 11.5% 12.1%
RoE 33.9% 25.3% 19.7% 18.1% 18.9%
ROCE 28.8% 21.8% 20.9% 19.9% 20.6%
Liquidity Ratios
Debtor Days 165 121 119 119 119
Inventory Days 122 104 109 111 112
Net Working Capital/ Sales 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Capitalization Ratios
Total Debt/ Equity 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.5
Interest Coverage 4.4 5.1 5.0 5.7 5.8
Total Debt/EBITDA 3.1 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.7
Valuation Ratios
Price/Sales 0.73 0.65 0.68 0.63 0.54
Price/Earnings 6.8 4.8 5.7 5.5 4.4
Price/Book Value 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8
EV/EBITDA 9.1 7.3 6.0 4.4 3.5
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