Upload
others
View
10
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
OVERCOMING INDUSTRY CHALLENGES AND ELEVATING CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE
Karsten Kildahl, Regional Chief Executive, Europe Region, Maersk Line
2016 – decisive year for container shipping was characterised by four factors
Financial pressures due to record low
freight rates
Subdued global trade levels – we
are in the “new normal”
More consolidation in the past two
years than the past twenty
An increased focus on the role of
technology and digital in supply
chains
The average operating margins of the13 main container carriers remained negative in the second half of 2016
Source: Alphaliner, Volume 2017, Issue 15
Triggered by low profitability, consolidation has picked up unprecedented pace – and we could potentially see more…
• Consolidation wave is rolling again – 8 top 20 players have disappeared in 2 years
• Top 5 market players accumulate higher collective market share than ever before
• Many carriers’ balance sheets are unhealthy, having been impacted by the rate war. Improvements are necessary to safeguard stability
Unless industry profitability is restored, we find it hard to imagine that further consolidation will not take place…
Maersk Line has participating in this consolidation trend by announcing our intention to acquire Hamburg Süd
Disclaimer: The proposed transaction is subject to regulatory approvals. None of the information provided in this presentation should be construed in any way as a representation or undertaking with regard to the position to be adopted by Maersk Line
Note: Illustrative networkSource: maerskline.com and hamburgsud.com
Less is more! Fewer, but larger alliances are forming a new shipping landscape for our customers – especially in Europe
Tighter partnership between carriers
and customers are necessary to unlock
mutual benefits –beyond zero-sum
items
Fewer networks prompt customers to be increasingly
deliberate about their carrier
portfolio
Consolidation as much needed
impulse for improving industry
profitability
For exporters from Europe there is another trend that needs to be considered – periods with space constraints
Latin America
North America
Intra Europe
AfricaWest-Central Asia
Oceania
Asia
3.5 3.2 5.0
-1.3
3.1
1.5 5.1
2016 y/y market growth in EUR Export (%)
Total Europe exports
2.3
XX
Source: CTS,
Exports to Asia from Europe are outgrowing imports from Asia, and we expect this trend to continue
Source: CTS, based on latest numbers until and including February 2017. Maersk Line forecast
• Between 2010 and 2016 the Eastbound trade has grown by 4.6% YoY on average while Westbound has grown 2.0%;
• The Eastbound trade is expected to significantly outgrow Westbound in 2017, partly driven by the strong start to the year;
• Future trend: Eastbound is expected to outgrow the Westbound trade across North Europe and Mediterranean.
95%
100%
105%
110%
115%
120%
125%
130%
135%
140%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
WB growth EB growth
Index (2010:100%)
CAGR: 2.0%
CAGR: 4.6%
2016 FFEs (mill.)
Similarly, total European exports are outgrowing imports
95%
100%
105%
110%
115%
120%
125%
130%
135%
140%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Imports Exports
Index (2010=100%)
Source: CTS, based on latest numbers until and including March 2017. Maersk Line forecast
CAGR: 2.5%
CAGR: 4.4%
13.5
15.3
The Europe Eastbound supply/demand gap has narrowed since October 2016
TEU/week
Source: CTS, based on latest numbers until and including February 2017. Maersk Line forecast
• Between October 2016 and February 2017 the Europe Eastbound supply/demand gap has narrowed, driving the significant Eastbound rate increase;
• The Europe Eastbound trade differs from Westbound via its nature of carrying a significant amount of empties and a generally higher cargo weight
• Over the past quarters we have seen a significant growth among multiple trades loading on the Europe Eastbound network
170,000
190,000
210,000
230,000
250,000
270,000
290,000
310,000
wk 1
wk 3
wk 5
wk 7
wk 9
wk 1
1
wk 1
3
wk 1
5
wk 1
7
wk 1
9
wk 2
1
wk 2
3
wk 2
5
wk 2
7
wk 2
9
wk 3
1
wk 3
3
wk 3
5
wk 3
7
wk 3
9
wk 4
1
wk 4
3
wk 4
5
wk 4
7
wk 4
9
wk 5
1
wk 1
wk 3
wk 5
wk 7
SupplyDemand
The supply/demand situation has sparked an Eastbound rate re-bound
Source: CTS, based on latest numbers until and including February 2017. Maersk Line forecast
55.0
60.0
65.0
70.0
75.0
80.0
85.0
90.0
2016-1 2016-2 2016-3 2016-4 2016-5 2016-6 2016-7 2016-8 2016-9 2016-10 2016-11 2016-12 2017-1 2017-2 2017-3 E 2017-4 E
Index (2008:100)
Europe Eastbound rate index
+24% points
Actuals Estimate
Rotterdam-Shanghai rate of USD 1,723/TEU
end-April
What do our customers expect?
Stability of the physical flow
A good customer service
Innovation
We need to keep up pace with the way customers want to do business in shipping
The customer expectation
• Ecommerce has changed how transactions and trades are done domestically and cross borders.
• Customers expect increased use of digital services
• Various shipping and logistic portals mushroomed in China and other markets
• Unpredictable and high booking no-shows in our industry
• The current pricing and booking practice in the industry is flawed
• Current carriers and shippers: trust level is low, transaction cost is high and customer experience is poor.
The industry pain points
Web-Only Product can become reality|15
INITIAL OFFERING ON 3RD PARTY PLATFORMS WITH A LIMITED SCALE
AE1: Ningbo - Shanghai - Yantian - Felixstowe - Rotterdam - Hamburg – Bremenhaven
AE5: Xingang (Tianjin) – Qingdao – Ningbo - Shanghai - Yantian - Bremenhaven - Hamburg
CHX: Qingdao – Xingang (Tianjin) - Shanghai - Nansha – Chennai – Krishnapatnam - Vizag
Product Feature
Price is locked when abooking is placed
(Price calculation date = booking date)
Down payment (*partial initially)
to secure booking and equipment
Charge occurs for not honouring the booking*
*Penalty applies to no-shows, COV, rollings or equipment unavailable.
There has been an exponential increase in technology solutions aimed at addressing evolving customer needs
|16
2012 2013 2014200720052003 20082001 20062002 2004 2009 2010 2011
Number of players1 operating in the digital space within shipping
Examples of latest developments
2015 2016
Maersk’s partnership with IBM and its block chain technology
|17
1
2
3
Shipping Information Pipeline
From Kenya to Europe, the travel of these documents looks like this:
1
6 7 8 9 10
2 3 4 5
With the Shipping Information Pipeline
it would look like this:
Farm fills out PhytosanitaryCertificate regarding cargo
Freight forwarder fills out Certificate of Origin
Courier brings them for approval to the Mombassa Port authorities
Courier brings them back to Nairobi for copying and archival
Original documents airfreighted to European Freight Forwarder
Courier transports them to a consulting company to prepare and package with other import related paperwork
Courier that transports them to Antwerp port terminal gate
If documents are in order, a truck driver picks up the container
Transports it to a Dutch customs controlled area for phytosanitary inspect
Documents in order? Container released to customer
Kenyan Farm fills out the Phytosanitary Certificate and gives it to a Freight Forwarder
Freight Forwarder fills out Certificate of Origin
Freight Forwarder uploads both documents into the cloud.
Consumer Forwarder Authorities Shipping company
Trader Grower
Greater cargo care visibility and enable our customers to focus on their business ambitions
|18
Remote Container Management
• Launching in Q3
• Unique to the market
• Maersk Line customers will have greater visibility of crucial data at no additional cost, and the option to access richer / upgraded functionalities for a subscription fee
Digitization - The industry's biggest challenge
MAERSK LINE VESSELSSend real-time data to the RCM team in the office
SATELLITE
EQUIPMENT MANAGEMENTREPAIR VENDORS
OFFICEAble to monitor data from 270,000 Maersk Linereefer containers
TERMINALS
Alarm notification sentif problems are encountered
VSATis a dome installedon each vessel which transmits data gathered from the reefers to the satellite
VSAT EQUIPPED VESSELS THE RCM SOLUTION CONSISTS OF:
~270 + ~130VESSELS OWNED
LONG-TERM CHARTER VESSELS
1 2 3GPSUNIT
GSMANTENNAE
Wi-Fi
We are building the required capabilities within digital technology and changing the way we work and the talent we foster
|19
Capabilities & people
Organisation
Culture
Infrastructure
Mixing a new breed of talent with our world class shipping people – hired numerous PhDs and Post docs in fields such as Machine Learning, Applied Mathematics, and Operational Research
Separate IT and Digital organisationsworking directly with business product owners to unlock value
Training and using Scrum methodology; created Design Centre for facilitating agile working methods
All digital product development will take place on one common platform
THANK YOU!