1. Census 2011, Interpretation ofData and Trends for West Cork.Lisa Noonan and Justin Doran School of EconomicsUniversity College Cork 1

2. Structure of Presentation Introduction The Census and Small Area PopulationStatistics Overview of Ireland West Cork Statistical Snapshot (Censussupplemented with additional sources) Key Findings 2 3. The Census and Small Area Population Statistics3 4. Information on the Census Census of Population carried out on 10th April2011 Figures relate to the de facto population: Visitors present in an area on Census nightincluded Residents temporarily absent from the areaexcluded 4 5. About the Census Different geographic divisions of the countryin Census 2011: Small Areas Electoral Divisions Town and Rural Districts Counties and Cities Dil Constituencies Regional Authorities5 6. About the Census SAPS 2011 published by CSO on 1st July 2012 15 themes covered including: Demography Employment Housing PC and Internet Access6 7. Overview of Ireland7 8. Overview of Ireland Actual GDP versus Counterfactual 8 9. 1,000.001,500.00 2,000.002,500.00500.000.00 1998Q1 1998Q4 1999Q3 2000Q2 2001Q1 2001Q4 2002Q3 2003Q2 2004Q1 2004Q4 2005Q3 Employed 2006Q2 2007Q1 2007Q4 2008Q3 2009Q2 2010Q1 2010Q4 2011Q3 2012Q2 100 150200 250 300350400 50 01998Q1Ireland1998Q41999Q32000Q22001Q12001Q42002Q32003Q22004Q12004Q42005Q32006Q2 Unemployed2007Q12007Q42008Q32009Q2Employment and Unemployment in2010Q12010Q492011Q32012Q2 10. Net MigrationNet Migration - State and Munster250,000200,000150,000100,000 50,0000State -50,000Munster-100,000-150,000-200,000-250,000 1926 - 1936 - 1946 - 1951 - 1956 - 1961 1966 1971 1979 1981 1986 - 1991 - 1996 - 2002 - 2006 -1936 1946 1951 1956 1961 - 1966 - 1971 - 1979 - 1981 - 1986 1991 1996 2002 2006 201110 11. Statistical Snapshot of West Cork11 12. Population by DED 2011 Census (1387,36057] (620,1387] (347,620] [73,347] 12 13. Population by DED 2011 Census(1319,20397](665,1319](388,665][88,388]13 14. Population by DED Growth 2006 to 2011 (12.8189,112.048] (6.79279,12.8189] (1.9397,6.79279] [-15.8228,1.9397] No data14 15. Population Density by DED 2011Census(217.2281,11176.03](32.42989,217.2281](19.24175,32.42989][3.905219,19.24175] 15 16. Population aged 15 and over byPrincipal Status in Ireland 2011 0%4%13%At workLooking for first regular job10% Unemployed having lost or givenup previous job50% StudentLooking after home/family11%RetiredUnable to work due to permanent11% sickness or disabilityOther 1%16 17. Population aged 15 and over byPrincipal Status in Co. Cork 20110% 4%At work 12% Looking for first regular job Unemployed having lost or given up previous job10%Student Looking after home/family 53% Retired 11% Unable to work due to permanent sickness or disability 9% Other1% 17 18. Principal Economic Status of Persons aged 15and over in County Cork 2006 and 2011 20062011 % of% of % of% of% of% ofPrincipal Economic StatusPersons MalesFemales Persons Males FemalesAt work59.0469.43 48.55 53.43 58.8048.21Looking for first regular job 0.65 0.700.600.650.70 0.61Unemployed, having lost or givenup previous job 3.05 3.572.548.64 11.57 5.80Student 9.90 9.39 10.42 10.60 10.6010.59Looking after home/family12.67 0.98 24.46 10.090.9718.95Retired10.6911.999.37 12.22 13.0711.39Unable to work due to permanentsickness or disability3.66 3.693.634.034.05 4.00Other 0.34 0.250.420.350.25 0.44 18 19. 10 EDs with the highest and lowest percentage difference in Population at Work in Co. Cork 2006-20111510 5Percent 0 -5-10-1519 20. 10 EDs with the highest and lowest percentage difference in Population at Work in West Cork 2006-201110 5 0Percent -5-10-1520 21. Persons Not at Work by DED Census2011 (.208333,.563025] (.161702,.208333] (.12549,.161702] [0,.12549]21 22. Persons Not at Work by DED Census2011 (.165254,.410501] (.130596,.165254] (.102564,.130596] [.04142,.102564]22 23. Map of DEDs showing growth in Unemployment(325,1200](217.265,325](154.91,217.265][0,154.91]No data 23 24. 10 EDs with the Highest and Lowest Percentage Difference in Unemployed in Co. Cork from 2006-20111210 8 6Percent 4 2 0-2 24 25. 10 EDs with the Highest and Lowest Percentage Difference in Unemployed in West Cork from 2006-20111210 8 6Percent 4 2 025 26. Housing Supply Vacancy Rate by DED(.2151899,.7222222](.1449631,.2151899](.097032,.1449631][0,.097032] 26 27. Vacant Dwellings as a % of TotalHousing Stock 27 28. % Increase in the Number of Vacant Dwellings 28 29. Households with Computer By DED (.6358382,.8034782] (.5535859,.6358382] (.4915254,.5535859] [.1666667,.4915254]29 30. Households with Broadband By DED (2616.963,70333.11] (994.8634,2616.963] (426.25,994.8634] [63.69231,426.25] 30 31. Four Elements of Regional Resilience 31 32. Resilience to 2007 Recession: Irish Regions0.60.40.20-0.2-0.4-0.6 Border Midland West Dublin Mid-East Mid-West South-East South-West32 33. Resilience to 2007 Recession: Cork Social Welfare Office Areas0.40.20-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.8 -133 34. South-West Regional Resilience by Sector 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8-10-12 34 35. Summary Ireland showing a slowed rate of populationgrowth and higher rates of unemployment. West Cork following national trends forperipheral areas Higher rates of unemployment with all West Cork EDs showing increases Housing vacancy/oversupply appears as an issuein coastal areas in West Cork (follows the trend ofIreland as a whole). 35 36. Summary Housing oversupply can lead to prolongeddepressed prices. Availability of broadband becoming anincreasing issue. Obvious dichotomy between proportion ofhouseholds in urban and rural with broadband. Obvious implications for business.36 37. Thank youQuestions Welcome37