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J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman Chairman, President & CEO Norfolk Southern Corporation

J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

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Page 1: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense ConferenceMarch 24, 2011

Wick MoormanChairman, President & CEONorfolk Southern Corporation

Page 2: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Norfolk Southern Corporation

2

Page 3: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Agenda

NS Business Outlook

Resource Initiatives

Financial Objectives

Page 4: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

ChicagoJanuary 31, 2011

Page 5: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Railway VolumeFirst Quarter through Week 11 2011 vs. 2010

1QTD 2011 vs. 2010

Units Abs. % Chg.

Agriculture 134,522 (3,673) (3%)

Chemicals 81,309 (1,795) (2%)

MetCon 124,266 8,262 7%

Paper 68,960 1,259 2%

Automotive 66,313 5,266 9%

Merchandise 475,370 9,319 2%

Intermodal 641,750 57,019 10%

Coal 345,212 34,149 11%

Total 1,462,332 100,487 7%

Source: AAR carloadings, which are reported weekly and may not equal NS' reported volumes.

Page 6: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Responding to Growth

• Employees

• Equipment:– Locomotives and Freight Cars

6

Page 7: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

T&E Employment CountNet of Furloughs, Trainees, and Projected Attrition

10,000

10,500

11,000

11,500

12,000

12,500

Jan-

10

Feb-

10

Mar

-10

Apr-

10

May

-10

Jun-

10

Jul-1

0

Aug-

10

Sep-

10

Oct

-10

Nov

-10

Dec

-10

Jan-

11

Feb-

11

Mar

-11

Apr-

11

May

-11

Jun-

11

Jul-1

1

Aug-

11

Sep-

11

Oct

-11

Nov

-11

Dec

-11

Page 8: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Resource Initiatives - Locomotives

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Page 9: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Productivity ScorecardTwo Months 2011 vs. 2010

Carload Volume

Crew Starts

Railroad Employees

GTMs per Employee

GTMs per Gallon

GTMs per Train Hour

8%

5%

6%

3%

0%

2%

Page 10: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Railway VolumeFirst Quarter through Week 11 2011 vs. 2010

1QTD 2011 vs. 2010

Units Abs. % Chg.

Agriculture 134,522 (3,673) (3%)

Chemicals 81,309 (1,795) (2%)

MetCon 124,266 8,262 7%

Paper 68,960 1,259 2%

Automotive 66,313 5,266 9%

Merchandise 475,370 9,319 2%

Intermodal 641,750 57,019 10%

Coal 345,212 34,149 11%

Total 1,462,332 100,487 7%

Source: AAR carloadings, which are reported weekly and may not equal NS' reported volumes.

Page 11: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Outlook – Business PortfolioGeneral Merchandise

• Manufacturing recoveryChemicals

• Build out of ethanol network and export grain growthAgriculture

• New business, improved auto production and salesAutomotive

• Recovery in global steel productionSteel

• Uncertainty in housing, but improving paper marketsForest Products

Page 12: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Outlook – Business PortfolioIntermodal

• Truckload conversionsDomestic Intermodal

• Improving imports/exportsInternational Intermodal

• New business opportunityPremium

Page 13: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Within our service territory: 74% of the 2009 US

population 58% of total energy

consumption in U.S. 63% of U.S. manufacturing One study suggests that at

least 30 million truck shipments over 550 miles touch our service territory

U.S. Demographics

Page 14: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Truck Volume in 2007

Page 15: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Projected Truck Volume in 2040

Page 16: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Chicago

Cincinnati

Columbus

Pritchard Roanoke

Norfolk

Detroit

Philadelphia

Ayer

Atlanta

Charlotte

Lynchburg

Corinth

Shreveport

Meridian

New Orleans

Memphis

NY/NJ

Bethlehem

Titusville

Jacksonville

Corridor Volume Increases

2010 vs. 2009

Premier Route 18%

PanAm Southern 32%

Crescent Corridor 31%

Meridian Speedway

36%

Titusville 146%

NS Corridor Strategy

Greencastle

Mechanicville

Birmingham

Page 17: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Outlook – Business PortfolioCoal

• Falling stockpiles and increased electricity generationUtility Coal

• Improving exportsExport Coal

• Recovery in global steel productionDomestic Met Coal

Page 18: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Northern Appalachia2009-41.3 M2010-45.3 M

Central Appalachia2009-62.3 M2010-64.8 M

Illinois2009-10.8 M2010-11.1 M

Powder River Basin2009-30.1 M2010-32.8 M

2009-2010 NS Origin Coal Volume

(Tons)

Notes: Excludes coke and iron ore volume.

Page 19: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Lamberts Point Coal Docks

Page 20: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Outlook – Business Portfolio

• Manufacturing recoveryChemicals

• Build out of ethanol network and export grain growthAgriculture

• Truckload conversionsDomestic Intermodal

• Improving imports/exportsInternational Intermodal & Export Coal

• Recovery in global steel productionDomestic Met Coal & Steel

• Falling stockpiles and increased electricity generationUtility Coal

• New business, improved auto production and salesAutomotive

• Uncertainty in housing, but improving paper marketsForest Products

Page 21: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Financial Objectives

• Margin Expansion

• Operating Ratio Reductions

• Cash Flow Improvement

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Page 22: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Margin Expansion and Operating Ratio Improvement

• Operating Leverage

• Productivity

• Pricing

22

Page 23: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Margin Expansion and Operating Ratio Improvement

• Continued global demand for coal

• Price to the market

• Intermodal growth

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Page 24: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Balanced Cash Flow Utilization2006-2010

$6.8 Billion$6.3 Billion

Share Repurchases Capital ExpendituresDividends

$2.1 Billion

$4.2 Billion

Page 25: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

Total Shareholder DistributionsRelative to Free Cash Flow*2006-2010

*See reconciliation to GAAP posted on our website

Dividends Share Repurchases Free Cash Flow

$6.3 Billion

$5.0 Billion

•All of NS’ Free Cash Flow Returned to

Shareholders

$2.1 Billion

$4.2 Billion

Page 26: J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference · J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman. Chairman, President & CEO. Norfolk

One line, infinite possibilities

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