16
Journal of Consumer Research Inc. No Pain, No Gain? How Fluency and Construal Level Affect Consumer Confidence Author(s): Claire I. Tsai and Ann L. McGill Source: Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 37, No. 5 (February 2011), pp. 807-821 Published by: The University of Chicago Press Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/10.1086/655855 . Accessed: 14/07/2011 17:29 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at . http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=ucpress. . Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. The University of Chicago Press and Journal of Consumer Research Inc. are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Journal of Consumer Research. http://www.jstor.org

Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

Journal of Consumer Research Inc.

No Pain, No Gain? How Fluency and Construal Level Affect Consumer ConfidenceAuthor(s): Claire I. Tsai and Ann L. McGillSource: Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 37, No. 5 (February 2011), pp. 807-821Published by: The University of Chicago PressStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/10.1086/655855 .Accessed: 14/07/2011 17:29

Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at .http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unlessyou have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and youmay use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use.

Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at .http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=ucpress. .

Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printedpage of such transmission.

JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range ofcontent in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new formsof scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected].

The University of Chicago Press and Journal of Consumer Research Inc. are collaborating with JSTOR todigitize, preserve and extend access to Journal of Consumer Research.

http://www.jstor.org

Page 2: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

807

� 2010 by JOURNAL OF CONSUMER RESEARCH, Inc. ● Vol. 37 ● February 2011All rights reserved. 0093-5301/2011/3705-0001$10.00. DOI: 10.1086/655855

No Pain, No Gain? How Fluency andConstrual Level Affect ConsumerConfidence

CLAIRE I. TSAIANN L. MCGILL

Choice confidence is affected by fluency and moderated by construal levels thatevoke different theories to interpret the feelings of fluency. At lower construal levels,fluency informs the feasibility of completing the concrete steps of the decisionprocess to choose well, but at higher construal levels, fluency informs (insufficient)effort invested for the desirability of the outcome. We manipulated fluency byvarying the font of product descriptions or the number of thoughts we asked par-ticipants to recall. Our studies showed that fluency increased confidence for peopleprocessing at lower construal levels but decreased confidence for those processingat higher construal levels. Construal level does not affect the persuasiveness ofconsumers’ thoughts, supporting the hypothesis that it is the interpretation of flu-ency experienced during judgment, not the thought content, that leads to the mod-erating effects of construal level.

Prior research suggests that people’s behavior is influ-enced by not just what they think they like or what they

believe but also how confident they are in their likes andbeliefs. Confidence refers to consumers’ impression of thequality of their judgments and is largely a function of theperceived clarity or correctness of consumers’ preferences

Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School ofManagement, University of Toronto, 105 St. George Street, Toronto, ONM5S 3E6, Canada ([email protected]). Ann L. McGill is SearsRoebuck Professor of General Management, Marketing and BehavioralScience, Booth School of Business, University of Chicago, 5807 SouthWoodlawn Avenue, Chicago, IL 60637 ([email protected]). Thisarticle is based on the first author’s doctoral dissertation. The first authorthanks dissertation committee members Reid Hastie, Joshua Klayman, andSuresh Ramanathan. The authors also thank Aparna Labroo, NorbertSchwarz, Manoj Thomas, and members of the Marketing Brown Bag Series(especially Andy Mitchell and Min Zhao) at Rotman School of Manage-ment, University of Toronto, for valuable feedback on earlier versions ofthe manuscript. The authors acknowledge the generous research supportof the Desautels Centre for Integrative Thinking at Rotman School ofManagement, University of Toronto.

John Deighton served as editor and Stijn van Osselaer served as associateeditor for this article.

Electronically published August 2, 2010

and beliefs. Confidence judgments are highly consequential.For example, researchers have demonstrated that confidencecan affect delays in purchasing (Greenleaf and Lehmann1995), estimation of amount of spending (Ulkumen, Thomas,and Morwitz 2008), willingness to pay (Thomas and Menon2007), amount of money bet on sports teams (Simmons andNelson 2006; Tsai, Klayman, and Hastie 2008), price expec-tations (Mazumdar and Jun 1993; Urbany and Dickson 1991),and attitude toward an advertisement message (Brinol, Petty,and Tormala 2004; Luce, Jia, and Fischer 2003). Further,confidence is a reliable predictor of attitudes and actual be-havior (Bizer et al. 2006; Rucker and Petty 2004; Tormalaand Petty 2002, 2004).

Although prior research has demonstrated consequencesof confidence judgments, relatively little research has ex-amined the antecedents of this important psychological state.The present research is intended to augment this area ofinquiry by exploring the influence of metacognitive expe-riences on consumers’ confidence judgments. In particular,this research examines the effect of fluency on consumers’confidence in their choices. More important, this work pro-poses construal level (Trope and Liberman 2003) as an im-portant moderator for the effect of fluency on choice con-fidence. We find that when consumers adopt a low-levelconstrual, which highlights the feasibility of a target event,

Page 3: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

808 JOURNAL OF CONSUMER RESEARCH

such as the how aspects involved in making a choice, fluencyincreases confidence. However, when consumers adopt ahigh-level construal, which highlights the desirability of thesame target event, such as the why aspects or the benefitsof purchasing a product, fluency decreases confidence. Wetrace this latter effect, a reversal of prior findings regardingthe role of fluency, to lay theories that consumers apply tointerpret their metacognitive experiences and make infer-ences about desirability.

CONFIDENCE AND FLUENCYPrior research suggests that two forms of metacognitiveexperiences—accessibility experiences and processingfluency—are highly influential on preference and choice (Al-ter and Oppenheimer 2009; Novemsky et al. 2007). Acces-sibility experiences pertain to the subjective ease or difficultywith which people can retrieve information from memory orgenerate relevant arguments (i.e., retrieval fluency; Schwarz2004). By contrast, processing fluency pertains to the easeor difficulty with which external information can be pro-cessed (Winkielman et al. 2003). The degree of processingfluency arises from perceptual variables such as figure-ground contrast (i.e., perceptual fluency; Jacoby, Kelley, andDywan 1989) or from semantic variables such as the iden-tification of stimulus meaning (i.e., conceptual fluency;Whittlesea 1993). We realize that the distinction among ac-cessibility experiences, perceptual processing fluency, andconceptual processing fluency is relevant to some theoreticalissues (Kelley and Rhodes 2002; Schwarz 2004). However,they have parallel effects for the issues of interest to thepresent research (Winkielman et al. 2003), and thus we willrefer to these forms as fluency, being more specific abouttype only as needed for clarity of exposition in reviewingprior work or in describing stimuli.

Confidence judgments are highly malleable and can varyas a function of the context in which the primary judgmentis provided because individuals typically do not have ready-made assessments of confidence in their judgments (Bassili1996a, 1996b; Haddock et al. 1999). For example, it hasbeen shown that confidence is greater when people are askedto generate few thoughts (i.e., when thought generation feelseasy) than when they are asked to generate many thoughts(i.e., when thought generation feels hard). This retrieval flu-ency effect has been demonstrated in contexts includingthought confidence in one’s attitude toward a new exam pol-icy (Petty, Brinol, and Tormala 2002), attitude certainty inpublic policies (Haddock et al. 1999), and confidence inpredicting the self-reported sexual behavior of others (Gill,Swann, and Silvera 1998). Similarly, it has been shown thatprocessing fluency can increase people’s confidence in, forexample, predictions about the social behavior of others(Gill et al. 1998) or a face-recognition task (“Do you recallseeing this face earlier?”; Busey et al. 2000). In this article,we seek to document and extend the findings on attitudesand cognitive tasks to choice confidence. Further, and morecritically, we examine a potential moderator of this effectin the following section.

MODERATING EFFECT OFCONSTRUAL LEVEL

Does fluency (feelings of ease) always have a positive effecton the underlying judgment, and does disfluency (feelingsof effort) always have a negative effect? Recent researchsuggests that the effects of fluency may be quite flexibleand varied. For example, it has been shown that fluencyeffects can disappear or reverse depending on the perceiveddiagnosticity of metacognitive experiences (Schwarz et al.1991) and processing motivation or expertise (Chen andChaiken 1999; Rothman and Hardin 1997; Rothman andSchwarz 1998). However, this line of research has not dem-onstrated a negative effect of fluency itself but has insteadinvestigated conditions in which metacognitive experiencesare discounted or rendered less meaningful to judgments whilealternative inputs for judgments—thought content—are per-ceived as more valid. The underlying rationale for theseeffects is that when people are processing more carefully,the actual content of their thoughts, not the ease of gener-ating them, holds greater sway in the decision. Brinol, Petty,and Tormala (2006), however, demonstrated a reversal ofthe fluency effect when they provided information sug-gesting that feelings of ease should be interpreted negatively,for example, because ease suggests lower intelligence. Fur-ther, very recent work in the goal-pursuit literature has doc-umented a reversal of the familiar, positive effect of fluency(Labroo and Kim 2009). These findings are based on therecognition that an easy-to-read advertisement facilitates flu-ent processing and so might increase liking, or ease signalsinsufficient effort invested in a goal and so leads to a neg-ative interpretation.

It is interesting that this opposite interpretation of me-tacognitive experiences has been relatively neglected in thefluency literature, but, in fact, the notion that subjectivefeelings of difficulty imply the amount of effort put forthand that difficulty, rather than ease, can positively influencejudgment is an old and important one in social psychologyand decision making. Some of the earlier work in cognitivedissonance and self-perception paradigms, for instance, dem-onstrated that the more effort individuals invest—whether inthe form of time, physical exertion, pain, or money—the morepositively they evaluate the product of that effort (Aronsonand Mills 1959; Bem 1972; Festinger 1957; Gerrard andMathewson 1966; Wicklund and Brehm 1976). Similarly,the sunk-cost fallacy implies that effort enhances evaluation(Arkes and Blumer 1985). Further, recent work on the effortheuristic suggests that even effort generated by others, ratherthan the self, can increase perceived quality (e.g., studentsliked a poem more when they were told it took a long timeto compose rather than a short time; Kruger et al. 2004).

The present research draws on this prior literature to ad-vance our understanding of the role of fluency in confidencejudgments. We propose that fluency can increase or decreaseconfidence depending on the applicable naive theory thatserves as an inference rule. For example, processing diffi-culty experienced in studying for an exam could lead to a

Page 4: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE 809

FIGURE 1

CONFIDENCE JUDGMENT PROCESS BY CONSTRUAL LEVEL AND FLUENCY

feeling of high confidence, providing this difficulty is in-terpreted as effort put forth to ensure a good grade (“SinceI expended so much effort, I will do well on the exam”).On the other hand, the same subjective experience couldlead to feeling very low confidence about the grade if pro-cessing difficulty is interpreted as inability to process thestudy materials (“Since I had to work so hard, I am probablynot very good at this subject”).

As foreshadowed by this example, we posit that construallevel determines the naive theory that serves as the inferencerule for the interpretation of metacognitive experiences. Ac-cording to construal level theory (Trope and Liberman 2003),higher-level construals highlight the end and the desirabilityassociated with an event, whereas lower-level construalshighlight the means and the feasibility of the event. Thisdifferential emphasis being placed on the high-level end orthe low-level means in turn leads to the central componentof our theory, specifically, that subjective fluency experi-ences are interpreted in terms of effort or ability dependingon whether consumers are focused, respectively, on the de-sirability or the feasibility of the event. As depicted in figure1, we hypothesize that feelings of difficulty signal greaterconfidence in desirability (e.g., effort required for a goodgrade) but lower confidence in feasibility (e.g., lack of abil-ity to get a good grade), and these arguments reverse forthe experience of processing ease. Consequently, fluencycan lead to opposite effects on confidence depending onconstrual level. We elaborate this argument and describe its

implications for consumers’ choice confidence, using a cam-era purchase example as follows.

At higher construal levels, choosing a camera is construedat an abstract level, and confidence assessments center onthe desirability of the choice outcome (e.g., finding a wayto take high-quality pictures). When people assess their con-fidence in obtaining a desirable outcome, they often intuitthat their chances should increase with effort put forth orlevel of investment in the outcome. This positive associationof effort and confidence in outcome desirability aligns withconventional wisdom reflected in idioms such as “Goodthings don’t come easy,” “The early bird catches the worm,”“No pain, no gain,” and so forth. Hence, we propose thatat higher construal levels, ease is interpreted in terms ofeffort or, more specifically, in terms of the relationship be-tween effort and outcome desirability. For a consumer fo-cused on the desirability of the chosen camera, confidencetherefore results from feeling as if she did or did not put inenough effort to ensure a desirable outcome. For example,experiencing difficulty while reading product informationabout a camera would be interpreted as thinking carefully,and we hypothesize that the consumer would feel more con-fident in the choice, believing she had worked hard at thetask. By contrast, subjective feelings of ease might leavethe consumer with misgivings, as in “I did not put mucheffort into this decision, so I am not so confident this is adesirable alternative.”

At lower construal levels, however, choosing a camera is

Page 5: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

810 JOURNAL OF CONSUMER RESEARCH

construed as a concrete task, and confidence is based on thefeasibility of completing the task (e.g., “Do I have the abilityto make the right choice?”). In this case, subjective feelingsof ease indicate that the choice task is going smoothly with-out hindrance. This sense that the choice task is “comingoff without a hitch” signals that it is feasible to make theright choice, thereby fostering confidence in the chosen cam-era. However, subjective feelings of difficulty signal that theconsumer is running into rough spots in the process or islacking the ability to make the right choice, and so indicatelower feasibility of completing the choice task, thereby re-ducing confidence. For example, experiencing difficulty inreading product information might be interpreted as a hin-drance to the decision and a signal of low ability to figureout the right choice. It is as if the consumer thinks, “Thatwas a breeze, so I must have gotten it right,” or “That washard every step of the way, so now I am not so sure if Ihave the right one.”

In short, our argument rests on the recognition that pro-cessing difficulty can be interpreted in two ways, one pos-itive (“effort as investment”) and one negative (“difficultyas hindrance”). Of course, these arguments reverse for theexperience of processing ease, which can be interpreted asinsufficient effort (a negative indication) or greater ability(a positive indication). Therefore,

H1a: At higher construal levels, subjective feelings ofdifficulty are interpreted as effort put forth inensuring outcome desirability and thus increasechoice confidence.

H1b: At lower construal levels, subjective feelings ofdifficulty are interpreted as an indicator of de-creased feasibility of making a good choice andthus decrease choice confidence.

The key premise for hypotheses 1a and 1b is that whenit is unclear which option dominates, choice is ambiguous,and consumers infer confidence from metacognitive expe-riences. However, when choice is transparent, consumersare likely to base their choice on primary cognitive decisioninputs (e.g., desirability or value of the product) and relyless heavily or not at all on such secondary decision inputsas metacognitive experiences (Bassili 1996a, 1996b; Had-dock et al. 1999). We address this boundary condition in alater section of this article and show in a follow-up studythat when the decision is a “no-brainer,” construal level andfluency will have little effect on confidence.

We should note that construal level influences the rep-resentation of judgment tasks, which in turn leads to dif-ferent interpretations of metacognitive experiences. As aresult, these hypotheses are expected to hold under condi-tions in which the diagnosticity of the metacognitive ex-periences is not called into question. Schwarz et al. (1991,study 3), for instance, observed that participants did not relyon their accessibility experience when it was attributed toan external source irrelevant to the target event. We thereforeexpected our participants to draw on their thought content,

rather than metacognitive experiences, when these experi-ences were rendered nondiagnostic. More formally,

H2: When subjective feelings of ease are perceived tobe nondiagnostic, they have no effect on choiceconfidence. However, when subjective feelings ofease are perceived to be diagnostic, we expectsubjective experiences to influence choice confi-dence differently depending on the level of con-strual, as in hypotheses 1a and 1b.

We tested our proposition in two ways. In studies 1 and3, we manipulated retrieval fluency by asking participantsto generate either a few (easy) or many (difficult) reasonsfor their choice. In study 2, we manipulated processing flu-ency by presenting a choice set that used either an easy- ora difficult-to-read typeface. We purposely used a construallevel priming task that appeared to be unrelated to the choicetask to avoid confounding variables such as goal activationand/or goal pursuit (Labroo and Kim 2009). Throughout ourpresentation, we investigate the underlying mechanism (study3) and rule out a number of alternative accounts, includingthe persuasiveness of the thought content (study 1), processingmotivation (study 2), and mood (study 3). In closing, weaddress the connections between our results, goal pursuits,and confidence malleability. We also discuss the moderatingeffect of construal level in other domains that involve sunkcost or dissonance.

STUDY 1: CHOOSING A CAMERA(RETRIEVAL FLUENCY)

Method

Participants, Design, and Procedure. Undergraduatebusiness students from the University of Toronto were askedto make a hypothetical choice between two digital cameras(n p 89) as part of a long questionnaire completed for acourse credit.

Study 1 used a 2 (construal level: high vs. low) # 2(retrieval fluency: two vs. 10 reasons) between-subjects de-sign. Participants read that they were taking part in twounrelated studies. The “first study” involved a task that ma-nipulated construal level, and the “second study” involveda task that measured choice confidence.

The first task induced either higher or lower construallevels. Depending on the experimental condition, partici-pants wrote a detailed description of how or why to studyfor an important final exam. In the lower construal level(LCL) condition, participants were asked to describe a veryimportant class and construct a study plan for excelling inthe final exam of this class. Specifically, participants weretold, “Write down your detailed step-by-step plan for theclass you just described in the space provided below. Be asthorough as possible.” In the higher construal level (HCL)condition, participants were asked to describe a very im-portant class and list the benefits of excelling in its final

Page 6: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE 811

exam. They were told, “List as many benefits as you canfor doing well in the final exam of the class you just de-scribed. Be as thorough as possible.” All participants weregiven an entire page for this task; this technique has beenused successfully to prime individuals with a process- versusoutcome-focused mind-set (Taylor et al. 1998).

To verify whether our construal level manipulation wouldindeed affect construal level as intended, a separate groupof participants (n p 43) completed the same priming task(how vs. why to study for an important exam). Next, pretestparticipants completed a shorter version of the BehavioralIdentification Form (BIF; Vallacher and Wegner 1989), whichmeasures construal level. The BIF is a 25-item dichotomousquestionnaire that assesses the level at which individualsconstrue certain behaviors. The shorter BIF form consistsof 10 items randomly selected from the 25-item form. Re-sults confirmed the effectiveness of our mind-set primingmanipulation. BIF scores showed that the why mind-set ma-nipulation led to significantly higher levels of construal thanthe how mind-set manipulation did (MHCL vs. MLCL p .60vs. .41; F(1, 42) p 6.92, p p .01).

After the first task, participants in the main study thenmoved on to another supposedly unrelated task that mea-sured choice confidence. As shown in appendix A, partic-ipants were presented descriptions of two digital camerascommonly seen in major electronics stores (Novemsky etal. 2007). Depending on the experimental condition, theywere asked to generate either two reasons or 10 reasons forpreferring one camera over the other. Next, they chose acamera and assessed their confidence in their choice by in-dicating the chance that they would actually like the chosenalternative better during consumption (50% p not at allconfident, torn between two options; 100% p extremelyconfident, almost certain). Finally, using a 7-point scale (1p not at all, 7 p very), participants rated how difficult itwas to generate two or 10 reasons, as a manipulation check.

The choice set was carefully constructed so that any dif-ferences in confidence cannot be attributed to the differencesin the concrete versus abstract benefits between two cameras.For example, camera A is cheaper but has a smaller LCDscreen, whereas camera B has more features but is a lesserbrand. In other words, none of these cameras dominated inconcrete or abstract benefits, and so we expected (and con-firmed) that participants would be torn between the twocameras and their choice would not be affected by construallevel.

Results

Manipulation Checks and Protocol Analysis. As ex-pected, participants in the main study rated the task of gen-erating 10 reasons for their choice as more difficult thangenerating two reasons (M p 5.88 vs. 3.89; F(1, 86) p18.74, p ! .001). Only two participants failed to completethe thought-listing task, but excluding these participantsfrom the analyses did not alter the effects on choice confid-ence.

In the protocol analysis, we examined participants’thought content by asking two independent judges, whowere unaware of our hypotheses, to rate the reasons listedby each participant. Using 7-point scales (1 p very lowlevel, concrete; 7 p very high level, abstract), the judgesrated the extent to which the thoughts were construed atlower or higher construal levels for each thought listed andthen gave an overall evaluation for all the thoughts listed.For example, “Item X is more expensive than item Y” isconsidered a lower-level thought, whereas “I like higher-quality products in general, so I would choose item X” isconsidered a higher-level thought. In addition, on a 7-pointscale (1 p not at all, 7 p very), these same judges codedthe overall quality of the reasons in terms of persuasiveness.This rating was taken to ensure that the priming task didnot change the persuasiveness of the reasons listed. Theratings from the two judges were highly correlated—a p.79 for the construal level rating and a p .81 for the per-suasiveness rating. Thus, we took the average of their ratingsto form a measure of construal level and a measure of per-suasiveness. Consistent with our intended manipulation, theHCL reasons were rated as more abstract than the LCLreasons (MHCL vs. MLCL p 4.71 vs. 3.54; F(1, 85) p 10.15,p p .002). Furthermore, we subtracted the number of LCLreasons from the number of HCL reasons for each partici-pant to form another measure of construal level (greaternumber indicates higher level of construal). As expected, atwo-way ANOVA revealed that HCL participants indeed gen-erated more HCL reasons than did LCL participants (MHCL

vs. MLCL p �.41 vs. �3.03; F(1, 84) p 20.37, p ! .001).The results suggest that participants generated both HCLand LCL reasons, but depending on their construal level,they generated either more or fewer HCL reasons. Althoughit is not of theoretical interest here, the ANOVA also re-vealed a significant main effect of retrieval fluency on thedifference between the number of HCL reasons and thenumber of LCL reasons (M2R vs. M8R p �.25 vs. �3.15;F(1, 84) p 16.34, p ! .001). This is mainly because whenparticipants generated only two reasons, the difference inthe number of their HCL and LCL reasons was bound tobe smaller than that of those who generated 10 reasons. Inaddition, we found that the persuasiveness of the thoughtcontent did not differ across conditions (M p 5.33, 5.56,5.67, 5.23; F ! 1), suggesting that any effects on choiceconfidence would be attributable to ease of generating thethoughts rather than quality of thought content.

Choice Confidence. A 2 # 2 ANOVA revealed a sig-nificant interaction on confidence between construal leveland retrieval fluency (F(1, 85) p 11.43, p p .001), con-firming hypotheses 1a and 1b. The simple effects were alsosignificant. LCL participants reported greater confidencewhen generating thoughts was easy than when it was hard(M p 87.0% vs. 76.7%; F(1, 85) p 8.53, p p .01), whereasHCL participants reported lower confidence when process-ing was easy than when it was hard (M p 82.1% vs. 87.8%;F(1, 85) p 3.72, p p .05). Choice did not differ across

Page 7: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

812 JOURNAL OF CONSUMER RESEARCH

conditions, and confidence did not vary by choice either (p1 .10, NS).

Mediation Analysis. To test the process underlying themoderating effect of construal levels on the fluency effect,we conducted a mediated moderation analysis following theprocedure described in Muller, Judd, and Yzerbyt (2005),using ease (of listing thoughts) as the mediator. Regressionanalyses revealed a significant interactive effect of construallevel and fluency on choice confidence, consistent with ear-lier ANOVA results (b p 3.63, SE p 1.17, t(85) p 3.08,p p .003); a significant interactive effect of ease and con-strual level (HCLR � LCLR; measured by subtracting thenumber of LCL reasons [LCLR] from the number of HCLreasons [HCLR], a measure derived from the protocol anal-ysis; b p .134, SE p .058, t(85) p 2.322, p p .02); anda significant effect of fluency on ease (b p .877, SE p .233,t(85) p 3.76, p ! .001), suggesting that regardless of con-strual level, generating two reasons was easier than gener-ating 10 reasons. When we included ease and its interactionwith construal level (HCLR � LCLR) as covariates in theregression measuring the effect of fluency, construal level,and fluency # construal level on choice confidence, theinteractive effect of fluency # construal level was reducedin significance (b p 2.93, SE p 1.31, t(82) p 2.53, p p.07). These analyses show that the mediating role of pro-cessing ease on choice confidence was qualified by construallevel (Sobel z p 1.98, p p .03), confirming hypotheses 1aand 1b.

Discussion

Results of study 1 supported our hypotheses and ad-dressed the issue related to the differences in the persua-siveness of the reasons generated due to construal level. Instudy 1, ease of retrieval increased choice confidence forLCL participants but decreased choice confidence for HCLparticipants. These results aligned with our prediction thatLCL participants would equate ease with soundness of judg-ment process and would thus feel more confident in theirchoice when thought generation felt easy. In contrast, HCLparticipants reported greater choice confidence when theyhad generated many rather than few reasons—even thoughHCL participants also rated generating many reasons asmore difficult than generating few reasons. This result isconsistent with our assertion that HCL individuals interpretlower fluency as reflecting effort exerted in making a goodchoice: “I thought hard, so I am sure of myself.”

While the pretest, manipulation checks, and protocol anal-ysis showed no effect of our manipulations on the persua-siveness of the reasons generated, it is possible that HCLreasons might become more persuasive than LCL reasonswhen people actually base their decision on these reasons.We therefore conducted a poststudy to delve more deeplyinto possible differences in the quality of participants’thoughts across conditions by using a yoked design. Morespecifically, we provided the reasons from the main test in

study 1 to new participants, so that each participant (writer)of the main test was matched with a participant (reader) inthe poststudy. The readers would have access to the thoughtcontent but would not experience the ease or difficulty ofthought generation. Their choice confidence should there-fore reflect only the effect of the accessible content. Wepredicted that construal level would not have any effect onchoice confidence in the follow-up study. We expected, how-ever, that 10 reasons would result in greater choice confi-dence than two reasons would, on the basis of prior researchthat many arguments generally have stronger persuasivepower than few arguments (Wanke, Bless, and Biller 1996).

As expected, the readers who received 10 reasons ex-pressed greater confidence than did readers who receivedonly two reasons (M10R vs. M2R p 86.8% vs. 77.5%; F(1,86) p 12.97, p ! .001; see fig. 2). Very importantly, readers’choice confidence did not differ by writer’s construal level(F ! 1), suggesting that our construal level manipulationdid not alter the persuasiveness of writers’ thought content.This is further supported by the explicit measure of per-suasiveness: readers rated the content of 10 reasons as morepersuasive than the content of two reasons (M10R vs. M2R p5.59 vs. 4.29; F(1,86) p 9.16, p p .003), but they did notrate the LCL reasons as more or less persuasive than theHCL reasons (F ! 1). The findings obtained in the maintest of study 1 can therefore hardly be explained by assumingthat the HCL reasons are more persuasive than the LCLreasons.

We further addressed the persuasiveness issue in study 2by controlling participants’ thought content and manipulat-ing processing fluency by varying the typeface in which theproduct information was presented (standard font vs. blurryfont). This method provides direct assessments of the extentto which choice confidence is subject to the interpretationof metacognitive experiences. Furthermore, we addressedanother alternative explanation, processing motivation. Al-though there is no empirical evidence that shows construallevel can change processing motivation, it is possible thatprocessing motivation may play a role in our findings.

Notice that prior research is inconclusive on the inter-action of processing motivation and retrieval fluency. Onthe one hand, it has been posited that the retrieval fluencyeffects can disappear or even reverse when people’s process-ing motivation is high (Rothman and Schwarz 1998). In con-trast with this view, however, Tormala and Petty (2004) haveshown that the retrieval fluency effects occurred for partic-ipants with high processing motivation, and the effects werereversed for participants with low processing motivation,suggesting a complex relationship between metacognitiveexperiences and processing motivation. Nonetheless, we ex-plored the role of processing motivation in study 2. Wemeasured participants’ motivation using explicit measures,and we expected (and confirmed in manipulation checksdiscussed later) that the construal level manipulation doesnot alter processing motivation in the domains we studied.

Page 8: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE 813

FIGURE 2

STUDY 1: CONFIDENCE RATINGS (%) FOR WRITERSVERSUS READERS

STUDY 2: CHOOSING A CAMERA(PROCESSING FLUENCY)

Method

Participants, Design, and Procedure. Participantswere 127 undergraduate and graduate students from the Uni-versity of Toronto. As in study 1, participants were paid $5to complete a 30-minute questionnaire that included the pre-sent study. Study 2 employed a 2 (construal level: high vs.

low) # 2 (processing fluency: standard vs. blurry typeface)between-subjects design. Study 2 was similar to study 1,with two modifications. First, we manipulated processingfluency by varying the typeface of the product descriptions;half of the participants were given the descriptions of twocameras in a standard font, and the other half were presentedthe descriptions in a blurry font (see app. B). This latterfont has been shown to be fairly difficult to read, though itcan be read accurately with some effort (Epley and Norwick2009). Second, we replaced the cameras used in study 1with a pair of waterproof digital cameras to further gener-alize our findings.

As in study 1, participants read that they were taking partin two unrelated studies. In the first task, we primed par-ticipants with higher or lower construal levels, using thesame procedure as the one used in study 1. Next, participantsmoved on to a second, supposedly unrelated task in whichthey reviewed two cameras, chose a camera, indicated theirconfidence in their choice, and rated the difficulty of viewingthe product information using the same items as in study 1.Finally, using 7-point scales (1 p not at all, 7 p very),participants rated their processing motivation by reportinghow important it was to think about the choice problemcarefully and how relevant the choice problem was to them.Using the same 7-point scales, they also rated their level ofinvolvement by reporting how absorbed, stimulated, andinvolved they felt during the decision-making process. Theseitems were pretested (n p 62) to ensure their sensitivity incapturing differences in processing motivation in this pop-ulation of respondents.

Results and Discussion

Manipulation Checks and Processing Motivation.The manipulation of fluency was successful, as shown byparticipants’ ratings of difficulty. As expected, the materialsshown in appendix B were rated significantly more difficultto read than were the same materials presented in a standardfont (M p 4.78 vs. 2.37; F(1, 123) p 2.81, p ! .001). Theratings for processing motivation and involvement werecombined to form a measure of motivation (a p .84). A 2# 2 ANOVA revealed that motivation was high and didnot differ across conditions (MLCL-blurry p 6.00, MLCL-standard

p 6.20, MHCL-blurry p 6.09, and MHCL-standard p 6.07; F ! 1,NS), suggesting that our construal level manipulation alteredneither processing motivation nor involvement.

Choice Confidence. A 2 # 2 ANOVA showed thatthere was a significant interaction on confidence betweenconstrual level and processing fluency (F(1, 123) p 4.85, pp .008), confirming our hypotheses. In the LCL conditions,confidence increased when processing was easy (Mstandard vs.Mblurry p 87.6% vs. 81.1%; F(1, 123) p 4.58, p p .03),whereas in HCL conditions, confidence increased when pro-cessing was hard (Mstandard vs. Mblurry p 81.1% vs. 87.9%;F(1, 123) p 3.92, p p .04). Again, choice did not differacross conditions (p 1 .10).

Page 9: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

814 JOURNAL OF CONSUMER RESEARCH

Mediation Analyses. Following the Muller et al.(2005) outline, we conducted a mediated moderation anal-ysis using ease (of processing) as the mediator. As in study1, we found that the mediating role of ease on choice con-fidence was qualified by construal level (Sobel z p 1.90,p p .05), confirming hypothesis 1. Furthermore, whenBaron and Kenny (1986) mediations were run for each con-strual level, ease increased choice confidence at lower-levelconstruals (Sobel z p 2.29, p p .02) but decreased con-fidence at higher-level construals (Sobel z p 1.93, p p .04).

Results of study 2 replicated results of study 1 whilecontrolling for the amount of thinking by manipulating pro-cessing fluency. We again observed that fluency increasedconfidence for LCL participants but decreased confidencefor HCL participants. Our manipulation checks ruled outprocessing motivation as an alternative explanation.

STUDY 3: CHOOSING A MOVIE(MISATTRIBUTION)

The objective of study 3 was to obtain direct evidence forthe underlying mechanism by testing hypothesis 2, whichstates that when fluency is perceived as nondiagnostic, ithas no effect on confidence, and the moderating effect ofconstrual level is attenuated. To accomplish this goal, weused a misattribution paradigm that has been used success-fully in prior research to demonstrate the mechanism offluency on judgment (Rothman and Hardin 1997, study 2;Schwarz et al. 1991, study 3).

Further, study 3 addressed another alternative explanation,an affect-based account. One may raise the possibility thatthe construal level manipulation might be accompanied bya change in people’s mood, which might interact with flu-ency to affect their confidence judgments. This could be avalid concern, and thus we measured participants’ mood inthe present study to address this potential issue.

Method

Participants, Design, and Procedure. Undergraduateand graduate students (n p 124) at the University of Torontowere paid to complete a long questionnaire that includedthe present study. Study 3 employed a 2 (construal level:high vs. low) # 2 (retrieval fluency: two vs. 10 reasons)# 2 (diagnosticity of accessibility experiences: diagnosticvs. nondiagnostic) between-subjects design. Study 3 wassimilar to study 1 with two modifications: (1) the contextof the priming task (an exam) was replaced with one focusedon health, and (2) participants were asked to evaluate ex-periential products rather than functional products. We useda different priming task and a different type of product(experiential products) to further increase the generality ofour findings.

Participants first completed the construal level primingtask. Depending on the experimental condition, participantswere asked to describe how or why to improve and maintaingood physical health. HCL participants connected this ac-

tivity to increasingly abstract goals by answering a seriesof why questions, whereas LCL participants connected thisactivity to increasingly concrete activities by answering aseries of how questions, a procedure adapted from Freitas,Gollwitzer, and Trope (2004).

Next, participants moved on to the second task, and therewas music playing in the background during this task. De-pending on the experimental condition, participants weremisinformed that past research has revealed that listeningto classical music either facilitates or inhibits informationprocessing, and they were told that they would be asked tocomplete a task while listening to a selection of classicalmusic. After reading this information, the music was started,and participants proceeded with the task.

Learning that the music would facilitate processing shouldreduce the perceived diagnosticity associated with feelingsof ease. Similarly, learning that the music would inhibitprocessing should render feelings of difficulty less diag-nostic. The remaining combinations of these variables (mu-sic inhibits processing, yet generating two reasons felt easy;music facilitates processing, yet generating 10 reasons feltdifficult) should lead participants to perceive the accessi-bility experiences to be highly diagnostic.

During the second task, participants read informationabout two new movie releases, such as the cast, director,and screenplay. None of the participants had seen the moviesprior to the study. After reading this information, partici-pants generated either two or 10 reasons for preferring onemovie over the other. They then made a choice and indicatedtheir confidence. Finally, using 7-point scales, they rated thedifficulty of generating two or 10 reasons and reported theircurrent mood (feel bad/feel good, feel sad/feel happy). Aswith the motivation measures in study 2, the sensitivity ofthe mood items was pretested (n p 40) to ensure that theycan capture differences in mood in this population of re-spondents.

Results and Discussion

Manipulation Checks and Mood. As expected, par-ticipants reported that generating 10 reasons was more dif-ficult and more effortful than generating two reasons (M p5.52 vs. 3.58 for the difficulty rating; M p 5.29 vs. 3.52for the effort rating; both p ! .001). For the current moodmeasures, the two items were combined to form a measureof mood (a p .77). A two-way ANOVA confirmed thatour construal level manipulation did not affect mood (MHCL

vs. MLCL p 4.82 vs. 4.56; F ! 1, NS).

Choice Confidence. We performed an ANOVA withretrieval fluency, construal level, and diagnosticity as be-tween-subjects variables. This analysis revealed a significantthree-way interaction on choice confidence (F(1, 118) p4.86, p p .02), suggesting that the effect of retrieval fluencywas further affected by the diagnosticity of metacognitiveexperiences. A two-way ANOVA for the diagnostic con-ditions revealed only a significant interaction of construallevel and fluency (F(1, 55) p 8.32, p p .006), replicating

Page 10: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE 815

FIGURE 3

STUDY 3: CONFIDENCE RATINGS (%)

study 1. The simple effects within each construal level werealso significant: fluency increased confidence for LCL par-ticipants (M2R vs. M10R p 81.3% vs. 72.7%; F(1, 55) p3.89, p p .05), whereas HCL participants reversed the pat-tern of the results (M2R vs. M10R p 76.2% vs. 85.6%; F(1,55) p 4.44, p p .04). However, a two-way ANOVA forthe nondiagnostic conditions revealed that neither fluencynor construal level had any effect on confidence (M p76.3%, 78.9%, 78% vs. 78%; F ! 1), confirming hypothesis2 (see fig. 3). Again, choice did not differ across conditions(p 1 .10).

GENERAL DISCUSSIONThe present studies are part of a larger, ongoing effort to un-derstand the processes that underlie confidence judgments(Alba and Hutchinson 2000; Gigerenzer, Hoffrage, and Klein-bolting 1991; Griffin and Tversky 1992; Juslin and Olsson1997; Klayman et al. 2006). Although we investigated, inparticular, the effect of fluency on choice confidence, webelieve our findings shed light on other forms of confidencejudgments. Our central findings indicate that metacognitiveexperiences are important determinants of choice confidenceand, more important, that construal level moderates the ef-fect of metacognitive experiences. Studies 1–3 demonstratedthat fluency increases confidence for people at lower con-strual levels. Conversely, fluency renders confidence low forpeople at higher construal levels. The results of study 1demonstrated this principle by manipulating ease of gen-erating thoughts. Study 2 replicated study 1 with a differentmanipulation of fluency, focusing on the ease of processingexternal information rather than the ease of generating in-formation internally. Study 3 showed that our findings wereindeed mediated by subjective experiences in processing andintegrating information and that when metacognitive ex-periences were rendered less diagnostic, the effects of flu-ency were eliminated. Further, we presented evidence forthe underlying mechanisms and ruled out alternative expla-nations, including thought content, motivation, and mood,by using mediation analyses in studies 1 and 2, a poststudywith a yoked design in study 1, and a misattribution ma-nipulation in study 3.

Although the moderating effect of construal level mayseem counterintuitive at first, it is actually consistent withsome other observations in the fluency literature. That is,feelings of ease can be interpreted as positive or negativedepending on the applicable naive theory that serves as aninference rule, and the judgment task itself is one key de-terminant of naive theories (Schwarz 2004). For example,Schwarz and Xu (2008) showed that the difficulty of listinga greater number of restaurants could be interpreted in dif-ferent ways depending on the question at the forefront ofparticipants’ minds. These researchers asked students to listtwo or six “fine Italian restaurants” in town. After this task,the students were to indicate how much they know aboutthe town and how many fine Italian restaurants are in thetown, with the order of these questions counterbalanced.When first asked how many fine Italian restaurants the town

has, they inferred from the difficulty of listing six that thereprobably were not many. However, when first asked howmuch they know about the town, they inferred from thesame difficulty that they are quite unfamiliar with their col-lege town, and so being able to come up with at least amoderate number suggests there must be many fine Italianrestaurants. Consistent with this paradigm, we demonstratethat to the extent that the construal of a judgment task varies,the applicable inference rule for judgment also changes. Thisvariation will induce changes in choice confidence and mayhave important downstream consequences.

Page 11: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

816 JOURNAL OF CONSUMER RESEARCH

FIGURE 4

PAINTING STUDY: CONFIDENCE RATINGS (%)

In fact, in a follow-up study, we extended our findingsfrom choice confidence to actual behavior (charitable giving).This poststudy was similar to study 1 except that participantsexpressed their confidence by indicating the amount of do-nation to a charity, an indirect behavioral measure of confi-dence that is tied to monetary consequences (Heath and Tver-sky 1991). Specifically, participants were informed that agreater donation amount indicates greater confidence in theirattitude toward the cause. Consistent with previous studies,fluency interacted with construal level to affect donation(F(1, 99) p 4.03, p p .03). Specifically, generating manyreasons increased confidence and the amount of donationfor LCL participants (Measy vs. Mhard p $5.59 vs. $3.78),whereas HCL participants reversed the pattern of the results(Measy vs. Mhard p $4.00 vs. $4.92; both p ! .10). Hence,this poststudy showed that the interaction of construal leveland fluency can manifest in actual behavior.

Alternative Explanations and Future Directions

The present findings lead to a number of further questionsabout causes and generality. For example, it is possible thatour findings are contingent on the ambiguity of choice. Thatis, when it is unclear which option dominates, as in studies1–3, choice is ambiguous and consumers may infer con-fidence from metacognitive experiences. However, whenchoices are transparent, information conveyed by the pri-mary, cognitive decision input (e.g., product information)is a more important determinant of confidence, and theadditional information provided by metacognitive experi-ences probably plays a smaller role in the formation ofconfidence. We explored this boundary condition in a fol-low-up study. We predicted that when there is no dominantoption, we would replicate the interactive effect of con-strual level and fluency, but when there is a clearly dom-inant option, people would choose based on its desirabi-lity—the primary cognitive input—and therefore would beless likely to infer confidence from secondary metacog-nitive experiences because the direct cognitive inputs tellthe whole story.

This poststudy used a 2 (construal level) # 2 (retrievalfluency) # 2 (ambiguity in choice) between-subjects de-sign. Participants evaluated two paintings, which eitherwere equally attractive (ambiguous condition) or differedgreatly in their attractiveness (transparent condition). Wemanipulated choice ambiguity by simply changing the hueof one painting to an ugly bright green in the transparentcondition while holding everything else constant acrossconditions. The green painting was much less appealingthan the other painting, making choice easy and unambig-uous. As predicted, a 2 # 2 # 2 ANOVA revealed asignificant three-way interaction (F(1, 140) p 3.74, p p.05) and showed that the interaction of construal level andfluency was further qualified by choice ambiguity. Whenit was ambiguous which painting was more desirable, wereplicated the construal level # fluency interaction as inprevious studies (F(1, 67) p 8.66, p p .004). However,when choice was obvious, retrieval fluency had no effect

on confidence (F ! 1), suggesting that participants inferredconfidence from desirability, rather than from their me-tacognitive experiences (see fig. 4).

Further, in addition to levels of construal, we suspect thatthere might be more factors that can moderate the fluencyeffects. Deliberative and implementation mind-sets may playa role (Gollwitzer 1990; Gollwitzer and Bayer 1999; Goll-witzer, Heckhausen, and Steller 1990). Despite their simi-larity (i.e., mind-set oriented), the implementation-delib-eration mind-set effects and construal level effects are

Page 12: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE 817

probably governed by different psychological mechanisms.Construal level effects involve the switch in the focus ofattention between how and why aspects, evoking differentinterpretations of metacognitive experiences. The imple-mentation-deliberation mind-set effects, however, involvethe phases of a course of action—that is, goal setting versusgoal pursuit—whereas construal level theory predicts dif-ferences in construal that is varied within the same stage,pre- or postdecisional, and it does not require a decision ongoals.

The present research also has elements in common withrecent research by Labroo and Kim (2009) on goal pursuitand fluency. These authors demonstrated that when primedwith an indulgence goal, people interpreted lower fluencyto reflect greater instrumentality and hence greater value ofchocolate. However, this effect was only observed when therelevant goal was primed. In our studies, we demonstrateda more general effect that operates at the level of mind-sets,independent of goal pursuit, and is tied more specifically toconfidence as opposed to desirability per se. More specifi-cally, we demonstrated a process to reverse the effects offluency, one in which construal-level orientations activatedvia procedural priming influence later, unrelated decisions(Sagristano, Trope, and Liberman 2002; Wakslak and Trope2009). In other words, rather than priming a goal relevantto the processing effort, simply varying the processing mind-set changed the interpretation of metacognitive experiences.

Other mechanisms—self-perception, dissonance, sunkcost, and effort heuristic—may also play a role in reversingthe fluency effect on confidence for outcome-focused in-dividuals. Our findings for a high-construal, why-focusedconsumer aligns with work on self-perception, which hasfound that people come to know their own attitudes andother internal states partially by inferring them from obser-vations of their own overt behavior (e.g., effort, facial ex-pressions, postures, or compliance to a request) and the cir-cumstances in which it occurs (Bem 1965, 1972; Dodson,Tybout, and Sternthal 1978; Tybout and Scott 1983). Thatis, our work suggests that high-construal consumers whoare asking themselves, “Do I feel confident that I found away to take good pictures?” answer in the affirmative when

they can say, “Yes, because I put a lot of work into it.” Onthe other hand, cognitive dissonance is a negative affectivestate caused by sufficient cognitive inconsistency, a statethat one seeks to improve by inflating one’s evaluation forthe target item, which typically involves motivational pro-cessing (for a review, see Harmon-Jones, Amodio, andHarmon-Jones [2009]). For instance, “I am an honest personand I just told someone that I found a mundane task inter-esting so I must like that task” (Festinger and Carlsmith1959). Sunk-cost fallacy involves the overapplication of theheuristic “waste not” (Arkes and Blumer 1985), a decisionrule that often enhances the value of a negative future eventdue to past investment (e.g., skiing in bad weather). Eveneffort generated by others, rather than the self, is often usedas a cue to quality (Kruger et al. 2004). Our studies do notpermit a clear picture for how these mechanisms may workto reverse the fluency effect. While the motivational disso-nance reduction process and the cognitive self-perceptionframework make identical predictions about effort and value,only dissonance theory predicts the presence of unpleasanttension or arousal during judgment. Given that our studydesigns are unlikely to evoke inconsistency in attitude andthat participants’ mood did not differ between the low- andhigh-fluency conditions, it is unclear how a motivationalaccount works to explain our findings. Nonetheless, disso-nance, sunk cost, and effort heuristic are potentially im-portant processes that deserve further investigation.

Finally, we wish to note that we did not directly measurethe interpretation of metacognitive experiences in our studies(e.g., “Gosh this is really easy. I must have chosen the rightoption” vs. “Gosh this is too easy. I must not have doneenough work before I chose the product”). It would be fruit-ful to delve more deeply into the underlying mechanism andmore directly explore the judgment process in future research.A deeper investigation of how construal level changes thenaive theory that consumers choose to apply in interpretingtheir metacognitive experiences not only helps us better un-derstand the interplay between construal level and fluencyas shown in the present research but also sheds light on theunderlying mechanism for the general fluency effects.

Page 13: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

818

APPENDIX A

FIGURE A1

NOTE.—Color version available as an online enhancement.

FIGURE A2

NOTE.—Color version available as an online enhancement.

Page 14: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

819

APPENDIX B

FIGURE B1

NOTE.—Color version available as an online enhancement.

FIGURE B2

NOTE.—Color version available as an online enhancement.

Page 15: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

820 JOURNAL OF CONSUMER RESEARCH

REFERENCES

Alba, Joseph W. and John W. Hutchinson (2000), “KnowledgeCalibration: What Consumers Know and What They ThinkThey Know,” Journal of Consumer Research, 27 (September),123–56.

Alter, Adam L. and Daniel M. Oppenheimer (2009), “Uniting theTribes of Fluency to Form a Metacognitive Nation,” Person-ality and Social Psychology Review, 13 (September), 219–35.

Arkes, Hal R. and Catherine Blumer (1985), “The Psychology ofSunk Cost,” Organizational Behavior and Human DecisionProcesses, 35 (February), 124–40.

Aronson, Elliot and Judson Mills (1959), “The Effect of Severityof Initiation on Liking for a Group,” Journal of Abnormaland Social Psychology, 59 (September), 177–81.

Baron, Reuben M. and David A. Kenny (1986), “The Moderator-Mediator Variable Distinction in Social Psychological Re-search: Conceptual, Strategic, and Statistical Considerations,”Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 51 (Decem-ber), 1173–82.

Bassili, Jack N. (1996a), “The How and Why of Response LatencyMeasurement in Telephone Surveys,” in Answering Ques-tions: Methodology for Determining Cognitive and Commu-nicative Processes in Survey Research, ed. Norbert Schwarzand Seymour Sudman, San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 319–46.

——— (1996b), “Meta-judgmental versus Operative Indexes ofPsychological Attributes: The Case of Measures of AttitudeStrength,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 71,(October), 637–53.

Bem, Daryl J. (1965), “An Experimental Analysis of Self-Persua-sion,” Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 1 (August),199–218.

——— (1972), “Self-Perception Theory,” in Advances in Exper-imental Social Psychology, Vol. 6, ed. Leonard Berkowitz,New York: Academic Press, 1–62.

Bizer, George Y., Zakary L. Tormala, Derek D. Rucker, and RichardE. Petty (2006), “Memory-Based versus On-Line Processing:Implications for Attitude Strength,” Journal of ExperimentalSocial Psychology, 42 (September), 646–53.

Brinol, Pablo, Richard E. Petty, and Zakary L. Tormala (2004),“The Self-Validation of Cognitive Responses to Advertise-ments,” Journal of Consumer Research, 30 (March), 559–73.

——— (2006), “The Malleable Meaning of Subjective Ease,” Psy-chological Science, 17, 200–206.

Busey, Thomas A., Jennifer Tunnicliff, Geoffrey R. Loftus, andElizabeth F. Loftus (2000), “Accounts of the Confidence-Accuracy Relation in Recognition Memory,” PsychonomicBulletin and Review, 7 (January), 26–48.

Chen, Serena and Shelly Chaiken (1999), “The Heuristic-System-atic Model in Its Broader Context,” in Dual-Process Theoriesin Social Psychology, ed. Shelly Chaiken and Yaacov Trope,New York: Guilford, 41–72.

Dodson, Joe A., Alice M. Tybout, and Brian Sternthal (1978), “TheImpact of Deals and Deal Retraction on Brand Switching,”Journal of Marketing Research, 15 (February), 72–81.

Epley, Nicholas and Rebecca Norwick (2009), “Confidence as In-ference from Incidental Experience,” unpublished manuscript,University of Chicago.

Festinger, Leon (1957), A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance, Stan-ford, CA: Stanford University Press.

Festinger, Leon and James M. Carlsmith (1959), “Cognitive Con-sequences of Forced Compliance,” Journal of Abnormal andSocial Psychology, 58 (March), 203–11.

Freitas, Antonio L., Peter Gollwitzer, and Yaacov Trope (2004),“The Influence of Abstract and Concrete Mindsets on Antic-ipating and Guiding Others’ Self-Regulatory Efforts,” Journalof Experimental Social Psychology, 40 (November), 739–52.

Gerrard, Harold B. and Grover C. Mathewson (1966), “The Effectsof Severity of Initiation on Liking for a Group: A Replica-tion,” Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 2 (July),278–87.

Gigerenzer, Gerd, Ulrich Hoffrage, and Heinz Kleinbolting (1991),“Probabilistic Mental Models: A Brunswikian Theory of Con-fidence,” Psychological Review, 98 (October), 506–28.

Gill, Michael J., William B. Swann Jr., and David H. Silvera(1998), “On the Genesis of Confidence,” Journal of Person-ality and Social Psychology, 75 (November), 1101–14.

Gollwitzer, Peter M. (1990), “Action Phases and Mind-Sets,” inThe Handbook of Motivation and Cognition: Foundations ofSocial Behavior, Vol 2, ed. Edward T. Higgins and RichardM. Sorrentino, New York: Guilford, 53–92.

Gollwitzer, Peter M. and Ute Bayer (1999), “Deliberative versusImplemental Mindsets in the Control of Action,” in Dual-Process Theories in Social Psychology, ed. Shelly Chaikenand Yaacov Trope, New York: Guilford, 403–22.

Gollwitzer, Peter M., Heinz Heckhausen, and Birgit Steller (1990),“Deliberative vs. Implemental Mind-Sets: Cognitive Tuningtoward Congruous Thoughts and Information,” Journal ofPersonality and Social Psychology, 59 (December), 1119–27.

Greenleaf, Eric A. and Donald R. Lehmann (1995), “A Typologyof Reasons for Substantial Delay in Consumer Decision Mak-ing,” Journal of Consumer Research, 22 (September), 186–99.

Griffin, Dale W. and Amos Tversky (1992), “The Weighing ofEvidence and the Determinants of Confidence,” CognitivePsychology, 24 (July), 411–35.

Haddock, Geoffrey, Alexander J. Rothman, Rolf Reber, and Nor-bert Schwarz (1999), “Forming Judgments of Attitude Cer-tainty, Importance, and Intensity: The Role of Subjective Ex-periences,” Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 25(July), 771–82.

Harmon-Jones, Eddie, David M. Amodio, and Cindy Harmon-Jones(2009), “Action-Based Model of Dissonance,” Advances in Ex-perimental Social Psychology, 41, 119–66.

Heath, Chip and Amos Tversky (1991), “Preference and Belief:Ambiguity and Competence in Choice under Uncertainty,”Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 4 (January), 5–28.

Jacoby, Lawrence L., Colleen M. Kelley, and Jane Dywan (1989),“Memory Attributions,” in Varieties of Memory and Con-sciousness: Essays in Honour of Endel Tulving, ed. Henry L.Roediger and Fergus I. M. Craik, Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum,391–422.

Juslin, Peter and Henrik Olsson (1997), “Thurstonian and Brun-swikian Origins of Uncertainty in Judgment: A SamplingModel of Confidence in Sensory Discrimination,” Psycho-logical Review, 104 (April), 344–66.

Kelley, Colleen M. and Mathew G. Rhodes (2002), “Making Senseand Nonsense of Experience: Attributions in Memory andJudgment,” Psychology of Learning and Motivation, 41,293–320.

Klayman, Joshua, Jack B. Soll, Peter Juslin, and Anders Winman(2006), “Subjective Confidence and the Sampling of Knowl-edge,” in Information Sampling and Adaptive Cognition, ed.Klaus Fiedler and Peter Juslin, Cambridge: University ofCambridge Press, 153–82.

Kruger, Justin, Derrick Wirtz, Leaf Van Boven, and T. William

Page 16: Journal of Consumer Research Inc. - University of Toronto and mcgill... · 2014. 3. 13. · Claire I. Tsai is assistant professor of marketing, Rotman School of Management, University

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE 821

Altermatt (2004), “The Effort Heuristic,” Journal of Exper-imental Social Psychology, 40 (January), 91–98.

Labroo, Aparna A. and Sara Kim (2009), “The ‘Instrumentality’Heuristic: Why Metacognitive Difficulty Is Desirable duringGoal Pursuit,” Psychological Science, 20 (January), 127–34.

Luce, Mary Frances, Jianmin Jia, and Gregory W. Fischer (2003),“Do I Know Whether I Like It? Extending Work on Within-Alternative Conflict to Measures of Confidence in ConsumerJudgments,” Journal of Consumer Research, 30 (December),464–72.

Mazumdar, Tridib and Sung Youl Jun (1993), “Consumer Evalu-ations of Multiple versus Single Price Change,” Journal ofConsumer Research, 20 (December), 441–50.

Muller, Dominique, Charles M. Judd, and Vincent Y. Yzerbyt(2005), “When Moderation Is Mediated and Mediation IsModerated,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,89 (December), 852–63.

Novemsky, Nathan, Ravi Dhar, Norbert Schwarz, and Itamar Si-monson (2007), “Preference Fluency in Choice,” Journal ofMarketing Research, 44 (August), 347–56.

Petty, Richard E., Pablo Brinol, and Zakary L. Tormala (2002),“Thought Confidence as a Determinant of Persuasion: TheSelf-Validation Hypothesis,” Journal of Personality and So-cial Psychology, 82 (May), 722–41.

Rothman, Alexander J. and Curtis D. Hardin (1997), “DifferentialUse of the Availability Heuristic in Social Judgment,” Person-ality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 23 (February), 123–38.

Rothman, Alexander J. and Norbert Schwarz (1998), “ConstructingPerceptions of Vulnerability: Personal Relevance and the Useof Experiential Information in Health Judgments,” Personalityand Social Psychology Bulletin, 24 (October), 1053–64.

Rucker, Derek D. and Richard E. Petty (2004), “When ResistanceIs Futile: Consequences of Failed Counterarguing for AttitudeCertainty,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 86(February), 219–35.

Sagristano, Michael D., Yaacov Trope, and Nira Liberman (2002),“Time-Dependent Gambling: Odds Now, Money Later,” Jour-nal of Experimental Psychology: General, 131 (September),364–76.

Schwarz, Norbert (2004), “Meta-cognitive Experiences in Con-sumer Judgment and Decision Making,” Journal of ConsumerPsychology, 14 (September), 332–48.

Schwarz, Norbert, Herbert Bless, Fritz Strack, Gisela Klumpp,Helga Rittenauer-Schatka, and Anette Simons (1991), “Easeof Retrieval as Information: Another Look at the AvailabilityHeuristic,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 61(August), 195–202.

Schwarz, Norbert and Jing Xu (2008), “Constructing Heuristicson the Spot: Divergent Inferences from Ease of Recall,” un-published manuscript, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.

Simmons, Joseph P. and Leif D. Nelson (2006), “Intuitive Con-fidence: Choosing between Intuitive and Nonintuitive Alter-natives,” Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 135(August), 409–28.

Taylor, Shelley E., Lien B. Pham, Inna D. Rivkin, and David A.

Armor (1998), “Harnessing the Imagination: Mental Simu-lation, Self-Regulation and Coping,” American Psychologist,53 (April), 429–39.

Thomas, Manoj and Geeta Menon (2007), “When Internal Ref-erence Prices and Price Expectations Diverge: The Role ofConfidence,” Journal of Marketing Research, 44 (August),401–9.

Tormala, Zakary L. and Richard E. Petty (2002), “What Doesn’tKill Me Makes Me Stronger: The Effects of Resisting Per-suasion on Attitude Certainty,” Journal of Personality andSocial Psychology, 83 (December), 1298–1313.

——— (2004), “Resistance to Persuasion and Attitude Certainty:The Moderating Role of Elaboration,” Personality and SocialPsychology Bulletin, 30 (November), 1446–57.

Trope, Yaacov and Nira Liberman (2003), “Temporal Construal,”Psychological Review, 110 (July), 403–21.

Tsai, Claire I., Joshua Klayman, and Reid Hastie (2008), “Effectsof Amount of Information on Judgment Accuracy and Con-fidence,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Pro-cesses, 107 (November), 97–105.

Tybout, Alice M. and Carol A. Scott (1983), “Availability of Well-Defined Internal Knowledge and the Attitude Formation Pro-cess: Information Aggregation versus Self-Perception,” Jour-nal of Personality and Social Psychology, 44 (March),474–91.

Ulkumen, Gulden, Manoj Thomas, and Vicki G. Morwitz (2008),“Will I Spend More in 12 Months or a Year? The Effect ofEase of Estimation and Confidence on Budget Estimates,”Journal of Consumer Research, 35 (August), 245–56.

Urbany, Joel E. and Peter R. Dickson (1991), “Consumer NormalPrice Estimation: Market versus Personal Standards,” Journalof Consumer Research, 18 (June), 45–51.

Vallacher, Robin R. and Daniel M. Wegner (1989), “Levels ofPersonal Agency: Individual Variation in Action Identifica-tion,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 57 (Oc-tober), 660–71.

Wakslak, Cheryl and Yaacov Trope (2009), “The Effect of Con-strual Level on Subjective Probability Estimates,” Psycho-logical Science, 20 (January), 52–58.

Wanke, Michaela, Herbert Bless, and Barbara Biller (1996), “Sub-jective Experience versus Content of Information in the Con-struction of Attitude Judgments,” Personality and Social Psy-chology Bulletin, 22 (November), 1105–15.

Whittlesea, Bruce W. A. (1993), “Illusions of Familiarity,” Journalof Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cog-nition, 19 (November), 1235–53.

Wicklund, Robert A. and Jack Brehm (1976), Perspectives on Cog-nitive Dissonance, Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.

Winkielman, Piotr, Norbert Schwarz, Tetra Fazendeiro, and RolfReber (2003), “The Hedonic Marking of Processing Fluency:Implications for Evaluative Judgment,” in The Psychology ofEvaluation: Affective Processes in Cognition and Emotion,ed. Jochen Musch and Karl C. Klauer, Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum,189–217.