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Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh Overview of Navigational Aids & Precision Agriculture Investment

Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

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Page 1: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh

Overview of Navigational Aids & Precision Agriculture Investment

Page 2: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability
Page 3: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

LightbarsLosing PopularitySavings of 2-10%Upgradeability

Page 4: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Auto-Steer

Page 5: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

GPS Classifications

Low-Cost Sub-Meter Decimeter RTK

$50-300 $1k – 4k $5k-10k+$1500/yr >$25k

8-25 ft. <3 ft. <1 ft. < 1 in.

Page 6: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability
Page 7: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Auto-Steer AccuracyHardwareGPSMachine qualityCalibrationImplement drift

A-B Line

Page 8: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Passive: Over-steer tractorActive: Steer implement

Solutions

Page 9: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Less expensiveTractor running over rowLimited response speedDifficult to predict implement performance

Passive Steering

Page 10: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Implement Steering

Page 11: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Reduces skips and overlapsReduces fatigueAccurate placement of inputsLengthening of operator’s workdayIncrease in machinery field capacity

Reduced machinery costsPermits more land area to be planted during

optimal timeReduce riskLand investment implications

Benefits of Auto-Steer

Page 12: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Is Auto-steer Profitable?Should I Adopt?

Page 13: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Answers “Should I make a change?”Estimate of changes in income, expenses and

profits associated with a proposed modification in the whole farm plan

Examples of possible changes?

Partial Budgets

Page 14: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Allows managers to make adjustments“Fine-tuning”Consider interactions consciouslyFocus on marginal - things that actually

change from implementing the new planIf it doesn’t change, don’t include it

Partial Budget Aspects

Page 15: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Additional RevenueReduced RevenueAdditional CostsReduced Costs

Additional revenue and reduced costs raise profits

Reduced revenue and additional costs lowers profits

Four Things Can Happen as a Part of a Change:

Page 16: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Simplifies task involving complex decisionsForces consideration of marginal economicsEncourages considering change -simple tool

Advantages of Partial Budgets

Page 17: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Can still be cumbersome with complex changes

Economic evaluation not always a physically feasible evaluation

Many small changes are possible but not enough time to evaluate them all with partial budgeting

Disadvantages of Partial Budgets

Page 18: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Partial Budget Framework

Additional Costs (AC): AC – Fixed AC – Variable (per acre)*A

Additional Revenue (AR): AR – Fixed AR – Variable (per acre)*A

Reduced Revenue (RR): RR – Fixed RR – Variable (per acre)*A

Reduced Costs (RC): RC – Fixed RC – Variable (per acre)*A

Total1 = ACF + ACV *A+ RRF + RRV *A

Total2= ARF + ARV *A+ RCF + RCV*A

Net Change In Profit = Total2 - Total1 + or - ???If + , then implement the changeIf - , then don’t implement the change

Page 19: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Break-Even Acreage

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RCARRRAC

RRACRCARA

The amount of acres required for which you would be indifferent to making the change. (i.e. the net change in profit = 0)

Page 20: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Opportunity cost (e.g. learning curve)Risks (up/down)Feasibility (physically possible, resource

requirements)Desirability (noneconomic goals)

Considerations

Page 21: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

800 acres$35,000 investment outlay, $5,000 ownership costIncrease yields from 150 bu/ac to 151 bu/acCorn price = $4.40/bu

Fertilizer = $111 Savings = 3%Seed = $76 Savings = 2%Herbicide = $30 Savings = 7%Fuel = $17 Savings = 10%Labor = $20 Savings = 10%

Auto-Steer Example

Page 22: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Partial Budget – Auto-Steer ExampleAdditional Costs:Auto-steer Ownership $5,000

Additional Revenue:Corn Sales (151-150 bu/ac)*$4.40/bu*800 ac = $3,520

Reduced Revenue: Reduced Costs:Fertilizer $111*800*.03 = $2,664Seed $76*800*.02 = $1,216Herbicide $30*800*.07 = $1,680Fuel $17*800*.10 = $1,360Labor $20*800*.10 = $1,600

Total: $5,000 Total: $12,040

Net Change In Profit: $7,040

Should you purchase auto-steer to increase profits?

YES – Profits are expected to increase $7,040 for the farm

Page 23: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability

Break-Even Acreage: Auto-Steer Example

)1.*20()1.*17()07.*30()02.*76()03.*111(40.400

0500000

A

acres 2.332A

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RCARRRAC

RRACRCARA