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Jeannie Wu, Planner Sep.5 2012 Slide 2 Background Model Review Model Function Model Structure Transportation System Model Interface Model Output GIS Display Slide 3 New Taipei City (29) Taipei (12) Guishan Town(1) Study Area -- Taipei Urban County: TaipeiNewTaipei & Gishan Town Town42 Area2398.45 KM 2 Population6.71million people 3 Slide 4 Taipei Mass Rapid Transit System(refers to Taipei MRT) the First & the Largest MRT System in Taiwan 108 Station Legth:116.8km Slide 5 198119871994 TRTS-I TRTS-II TRTS-III TRTS-IV DOTS-I DOTS-II 19972001year Update Data Upgrade software and display system 5 TRTSI, II Aggregate Sequential Travel Demand Model Software: Transport(Highway) & Tranplan(PT) TRTS III Aggregate Sequential Travel Demand Model Software: Transport & Tranplan Main for passenger transportation system, for the MRT planning DOTS-I,II Base on TRTS III,Data Update Software: Transport & Tranplan, Access 97 (DOTS-II Database), ArcView(for GIS Display) 2011~2012 Slide 6 6 Combined with GIS & Database Transit DataBase,GIS Display Extension Interface Economic benefitsEnergy consumption Provide meso and micro analysis software integration interface Small regional network analysis, intersection signal, centriod line Long-term transport planning Transportation Demand Analysis, Policy evaluation Friendly User Interface Development of the Windows operating interface, enhance friendly User Interface Model Function Slide 7 Four Main Model Socio-Economic Prediction modelestimated future year Socio-Economic Data Supply Model-Compute the Initial skim and parameter for Demand Model Demand Model-the main model of TRTS IV, with four transportation planning step. Sub-Demand Model AM/PM/Non-Peak Analysis Peak Sperading Model- AM/PMPeak Hour Analysis Daily Demand Model- Sum of All Sub-Demand Model Evaluation Parameter Model- compute some economic paramter like VTT, VKT 1 2 3 4 7 Slide 8 Trip Generation Trip Distribution Mode Choice Trip Assignment Four Step Model with feedback Production : category analysis Attraction : regression analysis Gravity Model Impedance FunctionGamma Function Multinomial Logit Model Nested Logit Model (Private & PT) HW:Multi-Modal Equilibrium Assignment Model PT: Best-Path 8 OutBound & Cargo Trips/PCU Convergence Check Modal Share, Average Trip Length Two-iteration Average GC Cost Two-iteration Average Mode Skim Slide 9 Node:11398 Link: 29134 Traffic Analysis Zones: Internal 571 zones External 30Zones Total number of zones 601zones Analytical Highway Modes Motorcycle Car Taxi Bus(PCU) Truck Tourbus 9 Slide 10 Base year-2009 87 MRTStatioins Legth:91.8km Year: 2012 108 MRTStatioins Legth:116.8km Year: 2015 160 MRTStatioins Legth:195.2km Year: 2021 215 MRTStatioins Legth:238.2km Year: 2031 266 MRTStatioins Legth:296km OtherMode: 40 RailStation 652 Busline(city bus & Long-distance bus) Slide 11 SociaEconomic Prediction Model Supply Model Demand Model Evaluation Model Main WindowDemand Model-2 Trip Distribution Mode Choice Outbound l Cargo Matrix trasfer Traffic Assigment Converg ence test Demand Model AMPeak Trip Generation PMPeak NonPeak AMPeakHourPMPeakHour Slide 12 Scenario 1 (S1) Base Situation Analysis Year 2009 (Y98), 2012(Y101), 2015(Y104), 2021(Y110), 025(Y114), 2030(Y119), 2031(Y120), 2041(Y130) Scenario 2 (S2) Intergrated Fare Analysis Year 2021(Y110), 2031(Y120), 2041(Y130) Scenario 3 (S3) Private Cost addition Analysis Year 2021(Y110), 2031(Y120), 2041(Y130) Slide 13 Data window MDB window Slide 14 Estimate benefit of MRT Construction MRT Scheduling MRT Route Planning Bus Route Modification Estimate benefit of Highway Construction New Road construction Increase car lane Evaluate the policy Parking fee Inceasment Output items travel demand (trips) trip lengths Modal shares travel speeds (Vehicle Kilometers traveled (VKMT)/Vehicle hours traveled (VHT)) Link Traffic Flow Peak& PeakHour MRT flow(by line) Slide 15 Traffic flow Bandwidth V/C Ratio Isochrome Analysis Speed Slide 16 ON/OFF Anlysis Passenger flow Bandwidth Slide 17 22.1%32.2% 22.5% 24.7%28.2%29.5%31.1% PT:Bus+Rail Slide 18 28.2%27.5% (-0.7%) PT:Bus+Rail 29.0% (+0.8%) 31.1%30.4% (-0.7%) 32.8% (+1.7%) 32.2%31.7% (-0.5%) 35.5% (+3.3%) 2021 2031 2041 (S2) Integrated fare will reduce the PT mode share (S3) Private Cost addition will increase the PT mode share Slide 19 Slide 20 Slide 21 Slide 22 Slide 23 The End~ Thanks for attending E-mail: cycleviki@ms1.thi.com.tw