1

Digital Infrastructure for Transforming India

At Delhi

６ Dec. 2018

Yoshitaka Ishii

Kyushu Railway Company

Former President and Chairman

Messages for Railway Systems in India:

Based on 30 years’ experience of

Japanese National Railways Privatization

★

Contents 1.Result and Task of Japanese Railway Reform Outline of Reform Management Strategy and Result of JRKyushu 30 Years Experience of Reform, Result and Task 2. Future task of Railways Shinkansen Network Completion and Study for High Speed Freight Service Knowledge ： Railway Profit depends on Population Density High Safety ,High Accuracy and also High Frequency 3.Messages to the Railways in India “Railway Gauge Economic Zone” , Leap to the World Towards Success for 3 Big Projects Corridor Big Bang and “Make in India” Improvement of Conventional Lines

★

2

Relationship of passenger, Freight and Infrastructure

Freight

Passen

ger In

frastructu

re

Germany France

UK National Rail Japan

ＳＮＣＦ

Natio.Corpo. （Pass.・

Freight）

ＲＦＦ

French Natio.Corp

or.

Network Rail Natio. Corpo.

C o

m.

C o

m.

C o

m.

C o

m.

C o

m.

C o

m.

JR Freight

J

R

P

a

s

s

.

J

R

P

a

s

s

.

J

R

P

a

s

s

.

Infra. Cop.

Mainte.

Posses

New Shinkansen

DB Schenkah

DB Bahn

DB Netz

Transportation and Infra. separate Pass. Freig. separate Zone Divide

（Pass. Coms. hold Infra）.）

★ ★

3

ＪＲ旅客６社

２００７．３ 石井幸孝

ＪＲ Passenger６Coms., Equal Footing Measures at start Billion yen; Equal Footing, Interest Rate ７．３％

ＪＲ East Tokai West Hokkaido Shikoku Kyushu

Fund ーー ーー ーー ６，８２２ ２，０８２ ３，８７７

Debt ３５，９３６ ５，２１７ １２，８３２ ７４５ ２６１ ８０１

Capital ２，０００ １，１２０ １，０００ ９０ ３５ １６０

JR Kyushu

JR West

JR Hokkaido

JR Shikoku JR Tokai

JR East

★ ★

１ＪＰＹ＝０．０088Ｄ １Ｄ＝113ＪＰＹ

Stock Listing 2002

Stock Listing 2006

Stock Listing 2004

Stock Listing 2016

Usual Lines of JR Narrow Gauge 19,835 km Shinkansen Lines of JR Standard Gauge 2,765 km

4

Only JR Kyushu has a larger other business than railway The Company Brand

“Beautiful Trains and Happy Cruise

JR Kyushu”

If only Railway Business

Severe Management

6

Other Business

Diversified Business

Profits as Company

Only JR Kyushu has a larger other business than railway

Station Building Business

Retail

Tourism and Leisure

JRkyushu

Group

Business Service

and

Railway Buisness

Construction

Food and

Beverage

Station Front

Rigional Development

ＪＲ九州とＪＲ九州グループ企業の売上高推移（鉄道を凌駕した関連部門）

Sales progress of JR Kyushu and JR Kyushu group companies (related divisions surpassing railways)

１９ １８

1987 2012

ＪＲ Kyushu ＪＲ Kyushu Group

★

7

Only JR Kyushu has a larger other business than railway

1

2

1

2

1

2

Railway Other Railway Other Railway Other

Big 3 Cos. JR Kyushu

Small 2 Cos. without JRKyushu

and JR Freight

Percentage of railway in the entire group Fiscal Year 2017

Shinkansen Network approaching completion of the aorta

800 series, JR Kyushu 9

★ ★

Usual Lines of JR

Narrow Gauge 19,835 km

Shinkansen

Lines of JR

Standard Gauge

2,765 km

Planned Train Numbers/hour of Shinkansen（２０１６．３．２６）

KAGOSHIMA CHUO HAKATA

岡山

SHIN OSAKA TOKYO

福島

仙台

MORIOKA

盛岡

SAPPORO

１４６３．８ １１７４．９

７３２．９

５５２．６ ０．０ ２７２．８

３５１．８

５３５．３

８６２．５

１０７４．０

４５ （３，５）

２１４（１４）

１２９３．３

熊本

１１３

１３５

５２ ７１

５５

３７ １９（１）

DOWN Train

Numbers/day （Numbers/hour）

KM FROM TOKYO

TOKAIDO・SANYO・KYUSHU SHINKANSEN TOHOKU・HOKKAIDO SHINKANSEN 8 CARS TRAIN

１６ CARS TRAIN

１０ CARS TRAIN

Time Space for Maintenance （６ HOURS）

Train Increase Spare Space

Train Increase Spare Space

★ ★

札幌 東京

新函館北斗

新大阪 博多 鹿児島中央 SENDAI

10

Freight Transportation by Shinkansen (under plan)

11

Shinkansen Container Train Model A

Conventional Train Narrow Gauge

Shinkansen

Container Train

Standard Gauge

Container

Undersea Tunnel

Between Honshu and

Hokkaido Islands

Freight Transportation by Shinkansen (under plan)

12

Model B Transport of Roll-Jit-Box

by 700 Series Shinkansen Remodeled Car

Lift

Shinkansen Cargo Train

Platform Truck

ＪＩＴＢＯＸ

EURO CAREX Cargo Rail Express By TGV in France

RAILWAY PROFIT RATIO OF 6 COMS.

１００ ０ ２００ ３００ ４００ ５００

ＪＲ HOKAIDO

ＪＲ SHKOKU

ＪＲ KYUSHU ＪＲ WEST

ＪＲ EAST

ＪＲ TOKAI

△0.２

０

Population Density person／㎢

RAILWAY PROFIT RATIO PROFIT/INCOME

△0.４

△0.６

0.２

0.４

△０．６２７

△０．４１９

△０．０７６ ０．１４７

０．２０６

０．４２９ 0.６

△0.８ ６８．２ ２０２ ３０７ ４３２ ４４０ ５１１

Accounts 2015, Population 2016

SURPLUS

DEFICIT

★

Remark：Case of Modern Railways in Developed

Countries，Proportionality Constant is variable

★

13

将来人口の推移「高齢社会白書」（内閣府 平成２８年版）より 平成２７（２０１５）年実績１２，７１１万人、 平成６２（２０５０）年推計９，７０６万人

Population Transition in Japan

Year

Now 35 years later

ヒト・モノ移動のハード需要 将来予測

情報の伝達拡散速度（ＩＣＴの進展）

移動のハード需要

モノ移動の需要

ヒト移動の需要

現在 将来 ICT

Due to the rapid development of ICT, the demand for human transport are decreasing, but the demand for freight transport are increasing.

Demand for freight transport

Demand for human transport

Information spreading speed （progress of ITC）

ＮＯＷ ＦＵＴＵＲＥ

Tran

spo

rt d

eman

d

Hard Demand for human and freight transport, forecast

Printed Matter （Book, Newspaper）

Tourism

Education, Healthcare

Economic Activity （To Skype・・・）

Food Daily Goods

Industrial Products

Stra

tegy

fo

r Pa

sse

nge

r St

rate

gy

for

Frei

ght

Stra

tegy

fo

r H

SR

Inte

grat

ed T

ran

spo

rt S

yste

m

GDP

GDP per capita

Population Transition

Quality of Life

Culture Difference

National Strategy

Regional Strategy

Geography Economy

Related Items

東海道新幹線の２分目ダイヤ Tokaido Shinkansen Diagram

１ Hour

Tokyo 0.0

Shizuoka 180.2

Nagoya 366.0

Kyoto 513.6

Shinosaka 552.6

N700

Series

14 Trains per hour

One way, Today

16

ハインリッヒの法則 ――限りなき安全への道――

労働災害における経験則

1つの重大事故の背後には

29の軽微な事故があり

その背景には300の異常が存在

“Herbert William Heinrich`s Law” １：２９：３００

１件の重大な事故・災害

1 Serious accident

２９件の軽微な事故・災害

29 Minor incidents

３００件のヒヤリ・ハット

300 Small signs

この対策を丹念に講じないと、軽微な事故、さらに重大事故は防げない

ヒヤリ・ハットの把握

風通しの良い車内風土

17

Distribution of Railway Gauge in the world

Wide１５２４

１６７６

Standard

１４３５

Narrow１０６７

１０００

Many

★ ★

18

Start of Railways 1830 First Railway England Standard Gauge

1830-1835 England Standard Gauge

1831 US Standard Gauge

1833 France Standard Gauge

1835 Germany Standard Gauge

1837-1851 Russia Wide Gauge

1848 Spain Wide Gauge

1851- Colonies Narrow Gauge

1853 Ｉｎｄｉａ Wide Gauge

1872 Japan Narrow Gauge

★

Locomotion １８２５

車輪 Wheel

軌間

Gauge

レール

Rail

19

“One Belt One Road” 「一帯一路」

London Moskva

Duisburg Holgos

Chongqing Yiwu

Beijing

Kunming

Bangkok Ho-Chi-Minh

Dacca Karachi

Singapore

Hanoi

Marseille

Yangong

One Belt

One Road

★ ★

20

Messages to the Railways in India

“Railway Gauge Economic Zone” , Leap to the World Toward Success for 3 Big Projects Corridor Big Bang and “Made in India” Improvement of Conventional Lines

Overcome many kinds of gauges and replace strengths

ＳＧ １４３５ｍｍ（４ ′８１／２ ″） ＨＳＲ Ｐｌａｎ

ＮＧ １０００ｍｍ 39%

ＮＧ ７６２ｍｍ（２ ′６″） ６％

ＮＧ ６１０ｍｍ（２′） Darjeeling Himalayan Railway

ＷＧ １６６８ｍｍ（５ ′５ ２１／３２ ″ ） Ｉｂｅｒｉａ Ｐｅｎｉｎｓｕｌａ

ＷＧ １５２０ｍｍ（４ ′１１ ２７／３２ ″ ） Ｒｕｓｓｉａ

ＮＧ １０６７ｍｍ（３ ′6 ″） Ｊａｐａｎ

ＳＧ １４３５ｍｍ（４ ′８１／２ ″） Europe・Ｃｈｉｎａ・ＵＳ・Ｓｈｉｎｋａｎｓｅｎ

ＳＧ １４３５ｍｍ（４ ′８１／２ ″） ＨＳＲ Future Ｐｌａｎ

ＮＧ １０６７ｍｍ（３ ′6 ″） Ｓｏｕｔｈ East Asia・Africa・

South America

ＷＧ １６７６ｍｍ（5 ′6 ″） 55％

Indian Railways 61，976ｋｍ

Widest Gauge Powerful for cargo

HSR “Make in India” Export

Improvement of NG Group

インド鉄道の現況

23

幹線（電化） 幹線 その他線 ゲージ変更中 狭軌 国際線

広軌(wide)１６７６ｍｍ 狭軌(narrow) １０００ｍｍ 狭軌 ７６２ｍｍ 高速鉄道計画(HSR plan) １６７６ｍｍ １４３５ｍｍ

High Speed Rail Plan in India

ＭＬＩＴ資料

Delhi

Mumbai

Pune

Bangalore Chennai

Howrah-Kolkata

Haldia Hyderabad

Cochin-Ernakulam

Patna

Vijayawada

Amritsar Chandigarh

Ahmedabad

Mumbai Ahmedabad

Osaka Tokyo

India

Japan

HSR

Corridor Big Bang

Airport, ・・・ Passenger,

Cargo（Model B）

Station Front, Urban Develop,

Industry,

Tourism, QoL・・・

“Railway Economic Zone”

Population,

GDP per capita

Now and Future

Dedicated Freight Corridor; Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor DFC ; DMIC

DelhiI Rewari

Mumbai

Kolkata

W DFC E DFC

INDIA Vadodra

PAKISTAN

DFC

DMIC

Harbor, IT・・・

Industry, R・GDP, QoL・・・

Delhi Metro Now and Plan

Big Metro City

ＭＬＩＴ資料

Delhi Metro Now and Plan （Phase 1 and Phase 2）

Phase 1 Phase ２

世界の高速鉄道（現在） High Speed Railways, Present

ＭＬＩＴ資料 ＭＬＩＴ資料

世界の高速鉄道（将来） High Speed Railways, Future

ＭＬＩＴ資料

東南アジアの大都市鉄道計画 Metropolitan Railway Projects in South-east Asia

ＭＬＩＴ資料

ハノイ

ホーチミン バンコク

広州

マニラ

ジャカルタ

デリー

コルカタ ムンバイ

バンガロール

チェンナイ

Delhi

Kolkata Mumbai

Bangalore

Chennai

Hanoi Guanqzhou

Manila Banqkok

Ho Chi Minh

Jakarta

国鉄改革３０年の経験、今日と明日 30Years Experience of National Railway Reform, Today and Tomorrow

技術 Technology

「新幹線」 “Shinkansen”

経済 Economy

「鉄道軌間経済圏」 “Railway Gauge Economy Zone” 政治 Politics

「一帯一路」 “1Belt and 1Road”

哲学

Philosophy

「鉄道文化」 “Railway

Culture”

「土俵」 Platform

「行司」 Leader

研究・人材 Research, Human Ｒesources

軌間・改善 Gauge, Improvement 利便性（高速・頻度） Convenience （High-speed, Frequency） 安全性 Ｓａｆｅｔｙ

投資効率(人口密度） Investment Efficiency（Population density ） 企業経営（旅客・貨物） Corporate Management （Passenger, Freight ） 資金調達（ビジネス） Financing（Business ）

長期戦略Long Term Strategy 国家政策（有事対応） National Policy（Emergency Response） 環境適合性Environmental Adaptation

国民性Nationality Character

文明Civilization 歴史History

★ ★

30

Ｒａｉｌｗａｙｏｌｏｇｙ ＰＰＥＴ

Philosophy, Politics, Economy and Technology

31

“Population Decrease and the Railway” Y Ishii, on the Railway Gazette Oct. 2018

32

33

Digital Infrastructure for Transforming India

At Delhi

６ Dec. 2018

Yoshitaka Ishii

Kyushu Railway Company

Former President and Chairman

Messages for Railway Systems in India:

Based on 30 years’ experience of

Japanese National Railways Privatization

★

Thank You Very Much！