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IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Credit Arbitrage Swap  SWAP debt payments to get from the market in which you can borrow at the lowest rate to the market in which you want to pay interest. Need to borrow $10m Rating 10 Year Bond Rate 6 month Commercial Paper Rate Bank of AmericaAAA10.00%T-Bill % Hypothetical ResourcesBBB11.90%T-Bill %

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Page 1: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

IX: Market Innovations

27: Swap AgreementsCredit Arbitrage SwapCurrency Swap

Page 2: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements

Credit Arbitrage Swap

© Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Page 3: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Credit Arbitrage Swap

SWAP debt payments to get from the market in which you can borrow at the lowest rate to the market in which you want to pay interest.

Need to borrow $10mRating

10 YearBond Rate

6 month Commercial Paper Rate

Bank of America AAA 10.00% T-Bill + 0.30%Hypothetical Resources BBB 11.90% T-Bill + 0.80%

Page 4: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Credit Arbitrage Swap

Need to borrow $10mRating

10 YearBond Rate

6 month Commercial Paper Rate

Bank of America AAA 10.00% T-Bill + 0.30%Hypothetical Resources BBB 11.90% T-Bill + 0.80%

190 bp 50 bp

Market in which we would rather pay interest

Market in which we would rather pay interest

Market in which BofA has an absolute advantage

Market in which we have a comparative advantage

Page 5: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Credit Arbitrage Swap

Need to borrow $10mRating

10 YearBond Rate

6 month Commercial Paper Rate

Bank of America AAA 10.00% T-Bill + 0.30%Hypothetical Resources BBB 11.90% T-Bill + 0.80%

190 bp 50 bp

… and swap into a fixed interest payment

… and swap into a variable interest payment

BofA will borrow in the 10yr fixed market …

HR will borrow in the 6 month fixed market …

Page 6: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Borrow

Each company borrows in the market in which it has a comparative advantage.

Bank of America Hypothetical ResourcesBorrow $10m in 10 year bonds

-10.00% Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper

- (TB + 0.80)%

Page 7: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Swap a fixed payment

Bank of America Hypothetical ResourcesBorrow $10m in 10 year bonds

-10.00 % Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper

- (TB + 0.80)%

Swap: fixed payment +11.00 % Swap: fixed payment -11.00 %

Page 8: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Swap a variable payment

Bank of America Hypothetical ResourcesBorrow $10m in 10 year bonds

-10.00 % Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper

- (TB + 0.80)%

Swap: fixed payment

+11.00 % Swap: fixed payment

-11.00 %

Swap: variable payment

- (TB +0.70)% Swap: variable payment

+(TB + 0.50)%

0.20% to intermediary

Page 9: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Net debt payment

Bank of America Hypothetical ResourcesBorrow $10m in 10 year bonds

- 10.00 % Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper

- (TB + 0.80)%

Swap: fixed payment

+ 11.00 % Swap: fixed payment

- 11.00 %

Swap: variable payment

- (TB + 0.70)% Swap: variable payment

+(TB + 0.50)%

NET: - (TB - 0.30)% NET: - 11.30 %

-10.00 + 11.00 – TB - 0.70=- TB + 0.30

= - (TB - 0.30)- TB - 0.80 - 11.00 + TB + 0.50

=- 11.30

Page 10: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Credit Arbitrage Swap

Need to borrow $10mRating

10 YearBond Rate

6 month Commercial Paper Rate

Bank of America AAA 10.00% T-Bill + 0.30%Hypothetical Resources BBB 11.90% T-Bill + 0.80%

190 bp 50 bp

Net Payment is 11.30%

Net payment is T-Bill – 0.30%

Gain of 0.60%

Gain of 0.60%

Intermediary gets 0.20%

Total Gains from Swap: 140 basis points

Page 11: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Credit Arbitrage SwapNeed to borrow $10m

Rating10 Year

Bond Rate6 month

Commercial Paper RateBank of America AAA 10.00% T-Bill + 0.30%

Hypothetical Resources BBB 11.90% T-Bill + 0.80%Difference: 190 50

Total Gain = 1.40% = 140 basis points

Page 12: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Engineering the Swap Calculate the advantage

140 basis points Distribute the advantage

60 basis points to Bank of America 60 basis points to Hypothetical Resources 20 basis points to the Intermediary

Calculate the swap backwards from the bottom line

Page 13: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Engineering the Swap

Bank of America Hypothetical ResourcesBorrow $10m in 10 year bonds

- 10.00 % Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper

- (TB + 0.80)%

NET: - (TB - 0.30)% NET: - 11.30 %

-(TB + 0.30) + 0.60 = - (TB - 0.30) -11.90 + 0.60 = - 11.30

Page 14: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Engineering the Swap

Bank of America Hypothetical ResourcesBorrow $10m in 10 year bonds

- 10.00 % Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper

- (TB + 0.80)%

Swap: fixed payment

+ 11.00 % Swap: fixed payment

- 11.00 %

NET: - (TB - 0.30)% NET: - 11.30 %

Set the fixed payment

Page 15: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Engineering the Swap

Bank of America Hypothetical ResourcesBorrow $10m in 10 year bonds

- 10.00 % Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper

- (TB + 0.80)%

Swap: fixed payment

+ 11.00 % Swap: fixed payment

- 11.00 %

Swap: variable payment

- (TB + 0.70)% Swap: variable payment

+(TB + 0.50)%

NET: - (TB - 0.30)% NET: - 11.30 %

Calculate the variable payment

Page 16: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Swap: Payment Flow

Bank ofAmerica

T-Bill – 0.30

Long Term Debt M

arketCo

mm

ercia

l Pap

er M

arke

t

HypotheticalResources

11.30%

Intermediary

10.00%

T-Bill + 0.80 %

.20%

T-Bill + 0.50 %

11.00%

$10,000,000 Notional Principal Amount

Page 17: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Swap Payments Suppose the T-Bill rate is

9.0% at the end of 12 months 10.5% at the end of 6 months 12.0% at the end of 18 months

Page 18: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

T-Bill Rate: 9.0%

$75,000

Bank ofAmerica

T-Bill – 0.308.7%

Long Term Debt M

arketCo

mm

ercia

l Pap

er M

arke

t

HypotheticalResources

11.30%

Intermediary

10.00%

T-Bill +0.809.80%

.20%

11.00%

$10,000,000 Notional Principal Amount

T-Bill +0.509.50 %

1.50%

Page 19: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

T-Bill Rate: 10.5%

$0

Bank ofAmerica

T-Bill – 0.30

10.2%

Long Term Debt M

arketCo

mm

ercia

l Pap

er M

arke

t

HypotheticalResources

11.30%

Intermediary

10.00%

T-Bill +0.8011.30%

.20%

11.00%

$10,000,000 Notional Principal Amount

T-Bill +0.5011.00 %

Page 20: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

T-Bill Rate: 12.0%

$75,000

Bank ofAmerica

T-Bill – 0.30

11.7%

Long Term Debt M

arketCo

mm

ercia

l Pap

er M

arke

t

HypotheticalResources

11.30%

Intermediary

10.00%

T-Bill +0.8012.80%

.20%

11.00%

$10,000,000 Notional Principal Amount

T-Bill +0.5012.50 %

1.50%

Page 21: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements

Currency Swap

© Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Page 22: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Currency Swap

RatingRate in the

USAEuro Rate

BoeingNeeds to borrow €10m

AAA 5.00% 12.60%

AirleaseNeeds to borrow $9m

BBB 7.00% 13.00%

Difference 200 bp 40 bp

Each company has a comparative advantage in the “wrong” currency so we use a swap to put each company in the target currency at a lower rate.

Page 23: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Borrow

Each company borrows in the market in which it has a comparative advantage.

Boeing Airlease

Borrow $9m -5.00% Borrow €10m -13.00%

Page 24: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Swap Principal

Boeing (€10m) Airlease ($9m)

Borrow $9m -5.00% Borrow €10m -13.00%

Page 25: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Neutralize Currency Risk

Boeing (€10m) Airlease ($9m)

Borrow $9m -5.00% Borrow €10m -13.00%

Swap: Dollars + $9m * 5.00% Swap: Euros + €10m * 13.00%

Page 26: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Calculate the advantage

Total Advantage: 160 basis pointsBoeing (€10m) Airlease ($9m)

Borrow $9m -5.00% Borrow €10m -13.00%

Take 20 basis points for the Intermediary and distribute the remaining 140 basis points equallyOriginal Euro Rate - 12.60% Original Dollar Rate - 7.00%

Swap advantage + .70% Swap advantage + .70%

Net: - 11.90% Net: - 6.30%

Page 27: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Distribute the advantage

Boeing (€10m) Airlease ($9m)

Borrow $9m -5.00% Borrow €10m -13.00%

Swap: Dollars + $9m * 5.00% Swap: Euros + €10m * 13.00%

Net: - €10m * 11.90% Net: - $9m * 6.30%

Page 28: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Calculate the Swap

Boeing (€10m) Airlease ($9m)

Borrow $9m -5.00% Borrow €10m -13.00%

Swap: Dollars + $9m * 5.00% Swap: Euros + €10m * 13.00%

Swap: Euros - €10m * 11.90% Swap: Dollars - $9m * 6.30%

Net: - €10m * 11.90% Net: - $9m * 6.30%

Page 29: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Currency Swap We have completely eliminated the foreign

exchange risk for both counterparties by transferring exchange risk completely to the Intermediary

Page 30: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Payment Flow

With no swap

Airlease Euro Debt Market

US D

olla

r Deb

t Mar

ket Boeing Intermediar

y

€10m @13.00%

$9m * 5.00 %$9m * 6.30 %

€10m * 13.00%€10m * 11.90%

$9m * 5.00 %$9m * 7.00 %

€10m @12.60%

Page 31: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Payment Flow

AirleaseBoeing Intermediary

+ 1.3% of $9m

- 1.1% of €10m

Net: 0.20%+ All the exchange risk

$9m * 6.30 %

€10m * 13.00%€10m * 11.90%

$9m * 5.00 %

Page 32: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Intermediary’s Foreign Exchange Risk Every six months the Intermediary

Takes in ½(1.3% of $9m) = $58,500. Pays out ½(1.1% of €10m) = €55,000. Profit:

Π = $58,500 - €55,000 * $ exchange€ .

Page 33: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Intermediary’s ForEx Risk

-$30,000

-$25,000

-$20,000

-$15,000

-$10,000

-$5,000

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$0.80 $0.90 $1.00 $1.10 $1.20 $1.30 $1.40 $1.50 $1.60

$1.0636

$1.40

-$24,000

Page 34: IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap

Swap Agreements