1
T he end of the cold war may not have produced a peace dividend, but it could still produce a trea- sure trove of data. A high-level commit- tee of scientists is pioneering an eort to extract vital environmental measure- ments from classied information cur- rently being gathered by spy satellites and other sensors. The potential utility of this information far exceeds that of the spy satellite pictures from the 1960s that President Bill Clinton ordered de- classied this past February. Such ac- cess could permit precise assessments of deforestation and of possible indica- tors of global warming. The committee studying the secret data is called Medea, after the sorceress of Colchis in Greek mythology. Medea helped Jason of the Argonauts steal the Golden Fleece and became his wife. Ja- son is, in turn, the name taken by an- other group of scientists that has for many years provided secret advice to the government on national security is- sues. (Medea and Jason are united in the person of a shared representative from the Central Intelligence Agency, Linda Zall.) Medea, established in 1993, is the de- scendant of an environmental task force set up by the CIA in 1992. The initiative came about in response to a request from then Senator Al Gore of Tennes- see that the agency assess what data it could make available to researchers without undermining secrecy. The task force played a key role in persuading the CIA and other agencies to declassi- fy the 800,000 photographs taken by reconnaissance satellites between 1960 and 1972. But although the former So- viet Union was well covered, many ar- eas of scientic interest were not pho- tographed at high resolution. The best images from these early sets have a resolution of about two meters, better than the 15-meter resolution of Landsat. The present generation of spy satellites, however, is widely believed to resolve objects less than 15 centime- ters across. Medea was founded when it became clear to the task force that environmental science and intelligence gathering could each gain from the oth- ers expertise in the design of sensors and the interpretation of data. Medea is now wrestling with how to share with scientists measurements ex- tracted from contemporary as well as archived intelligence. The main sticking point is the sensitivity of information about when and where images were ob- tained, says Jerey Dozier of the Uni- versity of California at Santa Barbara. Such knowledge might allow an adver- sary to calculate the orbits of satellites, which would then make it possible to hide sensitive equipment by conceal- 28 SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN July 1995 TECHNOLOGY AND BUSINESS Environmental Secrets Medea brings intelligence in from the cold A ntarctica is heating up, and the evidence is in the ice— or at least in its melt. One satellite image from this past January ( left ) shows the spidery-looking James Ross Island surrounded by water ( top right ): ever since the first maps were made 100 years ago, it has been connected to the Antarctic peninsula by an ice shelf. The image also shows the peninsula, composed of a chain of mountains ( lower left to upper right ), surrounded by dark patches of sea; the gargantuan Larsen ice shelf appears at the lower left. A satellite image taken shortly after, in February (right ), documented further changes. The ice shelf has retreated; a 50-mile-long iceberg has calved; and the northernmost part of the shelf, just above the center of the picture, has disappeared, creating a plume of ice rubble. Other Antarctic ice shelves are also retreating, and “they are all ones we said would be sensitive to climatic change,” notes David G. Vaughan of the British Antarctic Survey. Vaughan says the west side of Antarctica has warmed 2.5 degrees Celsius over the past 50 years. But any link with global warming is unproved, he cautions. —Tim Beardsley Its Melting, Its Melting BRITISH ANTARCTIC SURVEY Copyright 1995 Scientific American, Inc.

It's Melting, It's Melting

  • Upload
    tim

  • View
    229

  • Download
    5

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: It's Melting, It's Melting

The end of the cold war may nothave produced a peace dividend,but it could still produce a trea-

sure trove of data. A high-level commit-tee of scientists is pioneering an eÝortto extract vital environmental measure-ments from classiÞed information cur-rently being gathered by spy satellitesand other sensors. The potential utilityof this information far exceeds that ofthe spy satellite pictures from the 1960sthat President Bill Clinton ordered de-classiÞed this past February. Such ac-cess could permit precise assessmentsof deforestation and of possible indica-tors of global warming.

The committee studying the secretdata is called Medea, after the sorceressof Colchis in Greek mythology. Medeahelped Jason of the Argonauts steal the

Golden Fleece and became his wife. Ja-son is, in turn, the name taken by an-other group of scientists that has formany years provided secret advice tothe government on national security is-sues. (Medea and Jason are united inthe person of a shared representativefrom the Central Intelligence Agency,Linda Zall.)

Medea, established in 1993, is the de-scendant of an environmental task forceset up by the CIA in 1992. The initiativecame about in response to a requestfrom then Senator Al Gore of Tennes-see that the agency assess what data itcould make available to researcherswithout undermining secrecy. The taskforce played a key role in persuadingthe CIA and other agencies to declassi-fy the 800,000 photographs taken by

reconnaissance satellites between 1960and 1972. But although the former So-viet Union was well covered, many ar-eas of scientiÞc interest were not pho-tographed at high resolution.

The best images from these early setshave a resolution of about two meters,better than the 15-meter resolution ofLandsat. The present generation of spysatellites, however, is widely believedto resolve objects less than 15 centime-ters across. Medea was founded whenit became clear to the task force thatenvironmental science and intelligencegathering could each gain from the oth-erÕs expertise in the design of sensorsand the interpretation of data.

Medea is now wrestling with how toshare with scientists measurements ex-tracted from contemporary as well asarchived intelligence. The main stickingpoint is the sensitivity of informationabout when and where images were ob-tained, says JeÝrey Dozier of the Uni-versity of California at Santa Barbara.Such knowledge might allow an adver-sary to calculate the orbits of satellites,which would then make it possible tohide sensitive equipment by conceal-

28 SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN July 1995

TECHNOLOGY AND BUSINESS

Environmental SecretsMedea brings intelligence in from the cold

Antarctica is heating up, and the evidence is in the ice—or at least in its melt. One satellite image from this

past January (left ) shows the spidery-looking James RossIsland surrounded by water (top right ): ever since the firstmaps were made 100 years ago, it has been connected tothe Antarctic peninsula by an ice shelf. The image alsoshows the peninsula, composed of a chain of mountains(lower left to upper right ), surrounded by dark patches ofsea; the gargantuan Larsen ice shelf appears at the lowerleft. A satellite image taken shortly after, in February (right ),

documented further changes. The ice shelf has retreated;a 50-mile-long iceberg has calved; and the northernmostpart of the shelf, just above the center of the picture, hasdisappeared, creating a plume of ice rubble.

Other Antarctic ice shelves are also retreating, and “theyare all ones we said would be sensitive to climatic change,”notes David G. Vaughan of the British Antarctic Survey.Vaughan says the west side of Antarctica has warmed 2.5degrees Celsius over the past 50 years. But any link withglobal warming is unproved, he cautions. —Tim Beardsley

ItÕs Melting, ItÕs Melting

BR

ITIS

H A

NTA

RC

TIC

SU

RV

EY

Copyright 1995 Scientific American, Inc.