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Financial Inclusion and Financial Education----Japan’s Experience and Its Lessons to Asian Countries Naoyuki Yoshino Professor of Economics, Keio University Dean, ADBI [email protected] 2014 March 20

Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

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Page 1: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Financial Inclusion and Financial

Education----Japan’s Experience and Its Lessons to Asian Countries

Naoyuki Yoshino

Professor of Economics, Keio University

Dean, ADBI

[email protected]

2014 March 20

Page 2: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Cash and Deposits:

567

Insurance and Pension Funds:

1049

Securities: 782

Stocks: 1170

Others: 147 USA

Total: 3715

Cash and Deposits:

792

Insurance and

Pension Funds: 399

Securities: 92

Stocks: 87 Others: 58

Japan

Total: 1428

dash and Deposits:

221 Insurance

and Pension Funds:

189

Securities: 103

Stocks: 44 Others: 5

Germany

Total: 562

* The size of each pie chart shows the total amount of personal-

sector financial assets

Source: Yoshino & Kaji (2013) Hometown Investment Trust Funds, Springer

[2010, Trillion yen]

February 26, 2014

Households’ Asset Allocation in Japan (1)

“In Japan, cash and deposits are nearly 60% of assets managed.

The amount of marketable securities and shares is extremely small.”

2

Page 3: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Households’ Asset Allocation in Japan

Source: Bank of Japan February 26, 2014 3 JFSA

Around 80% of households financial assets go to safe assets.

Currency and Deposits

Insurance

Pension reserves

Risky

Assets

3

Page 4: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Development of Financial Education in Japan

4

Around 50% choose financial institutions for safety, not for high rate of return.

Source: “Public Opinion Survey on Household Financial Assets and Liabilities (2013),” Bank of Japan.

Reasons behind customers’ choice of financial institution

Others

Simple Financial Products

Easy withdrawal and easy to make deposits

Easy to change to cash (Liquidity)

Expected High Rate of Return

High Rate of Return

Principal Guaranteed

Reliability and Safety of Financial Institution

4

Page 5: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Post Office Network 24500 branches Life Insurance, Sales Ladies (widows)

1884 Hisoka Maejima introduced postal savings (UK)

Widows of WWII, Sales ladies for life insurance

Nationwide network of post office (Deposit, Insurance)

Children (School savings)

High Savings rate of Japan 24% (1974)

(i) Population growth, number of children

(ii) Economic growth, income growth

(iii) to purchase housing, target wealth hypothesis 5

Page 6: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Households’ Savings Ratio

6

Page 7: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Source: Yoshino & Kaji (2013) Hometown

Investment Trust Funds, Springer

(Dividends & Interest receipt) / (Income)

Germany

UK

USA France

“Japanese are engaging in

investment, but the fact is that

their earnings as a

percentage of income are the

lowest in the OECD.”

Japan

Need for a change in the way of thinking (from saving to investment) For a long time, Japanese were taught to work harder, rather than to think about

investment. There has been education at home, schools and work places that

values hard earned money while easy money was considered unworthy.

6

Page 8: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

8 JFSA

Japan’s Aging Population (1) ~Challenges for younger generations in the future~

(Millions)

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

8 Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications.

Population structure of Japan

Page 9: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Financial Assets by Age

Deposits Insurance Securities Others Total

20years 266 26 40 10 342

30years 298 122 77 40 537

40years 355 241 85 62 743

50years 533 344 126 65 1068

60years 811 409 276 43 1539

70years 1035 333 287 52 1707

9

Page 10: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Financial Education of Japan

1, Secondary School and High School

taught in the courses of “Geography and History”

Many teachers are not graduated from economics

2, Financial education in Japan’s primary school

are taught at “Home making courses”.

3, Very few hours are allocated to financial education

4, It is regarded as a shame to make money

by financial investments.

5, Retiree from financial institutions could teach

financial economics to pupils. 10

Page 11: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

11

~Based on “Report of Study Group on Financial Education”(2013)~

Development of Financial Education in Japan

Financial literacy that should be attained (1) Emphasis on behavioral aspects (2) Common minimum level of financial literacy to be attained

4 categories with 15 items ← Shared it among related parties and implement educational activities focusing on such minimum requirements (3) Establishment of standards for systematic educational content Establish more detailed standards, formulated in a systematic

fashion, for the content of educational content by age and category

Recipients of financial education: Greater focus on working adults and senior citizens as well as

students

11

Page 12: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

(Making a habit of proper income/expenditure

management (eliminating debts and staying in the

black)

Articulating life plans and understanding the need to

secure the funds required for life plans

Making a habit of assuming a fundamentally careful

attitude toward contracts

Making a habit of confirming the reliability of

information sources and contract counterparties

Understanding that Internet transactions are

convenient but require some precautions different

from face-to-face transactions

[Common to all categories of finance]

Understanding key concepts constituting the

foundations of financial education (interest (simple

interest, compound interest), inflation, deflation,

exchange rates, risk-return, etc.), and the

selection/use of financial products suited to financial

and economic circumstances

Understanding the importance of ascertaining the

actual cost (price) of a transaction

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

Common Minimum Level of Financial Literacy to be Attained (4 categories)

1. Family budget management

2. Life planning

3. Understanding of financial knowledge and financial/economic circumstances, and selection/use of appropriate financial products

[Knowledge of the basics of financial transactions]

(8)

(9)

(10)

(11)

(12)

(13)

(14)

(15)

Understanding for which contingencies (death, illness,

fire, etc.) one should seek insurance coverage

Understanding the amount of economic security required

should a covered contingency occur

Understanding basic precautions when arranging a home

loan

① Importance of setting a reasonable loan limit and

putting together a repayment plan

② Importance of preparing for the possibility of

circumstances that could make repayment difficult

Making a habit of avoiding thoughtless/reckless use of

credit cards and credit card loans

Understanding that seeking higher returns will entail

assuming higher risks, although risk tolerance varies

from person to person

Understanding the effectiveness of diversification in

wealth building (diversifying investment assets and

investment start times)

Understanding the effectiveness of long-term

investments in building wealth

Understanding the importance of appropriately

employing outside experts when selecting/using financial

products

[Insurance products]

[Loans/credit]

[Wealth-building products]

4. Appropriate use of outside expertise

12

Page 13: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Financial intermediaries • Banks • Broker-dealers • Insurance

companies

• Asset managers • Exchanges

JFSA

Inspection Supervision

Investment

Debt Equity

Financial education

Household

Senior people Working people -junior workers -senior workers University Students Elementary, junior and high school students

SMEs, Large companies

Deposit, etc.

Direct investment

Consumer Affairs Agency

Collaboration Collaboration

① Ensure financial stability ② Protect depositors ③ Facilitate financing

Enterprises

BOJ

CCFCI Central Council for Financial Services

Information

Associations

Financial Education Scheme of Japan

Ministry of Education

Schools

“Committee for the Promotion of Financial Education” 13

Page 14: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Fees and Commissions of Distributors

1Maximize Fee and Commissions (Distributors)

2Trust Fees & Commissions= α(Principal+Dividend)

Investors

Distri- butors

Banks Securities’ companies

Asset Manage

ment Company

Trust Fees and Commissions

MAX Return

14

Page 15: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Pension Funds’ Asset Allocation in Japan Long-term Investment & Self Responsibility 1、Lack of long term asset management

rotates every 2 -3 years

Lack of corporate bond market

2, Life Insurance and Pension funds

Defined Benefits of Japanese Public Pension

few ratio of 401 K

Self Responsibility for Asset Allocation

3, Mainly Invest into Government Bonds

Safety and Principal Guaranteed 15

Page 16: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Compensation & Bonus System of Japan Conservative Asset Management

1、Even if earnings would be very high

bonus is small

2、Fail in Asset management compared with others

Criticized

3、If everybody performs poorly, no punishment

Avoid Risks

Refer to Benchmark

Does not seek for higher rate of return

4, Performance based salary US case 16

Page 17: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

17

Households’ Borrowings in Japan

Housing Loan

Auto Loan

Education Loan

Page 18: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Number of Households’ Default

18

(件数)

240,000

220,000

200,000

180,000

160,000

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

0 1990年 1992年 1994年 1996年 1998年 2000年 2002年 2004年 2006年 2008年 2010年 1986年 1988年

1991年 1993年 1995年 1997年 1999年 2001年 2003年 2005年 2007年 2009年 1985年 1987年 1989年

Page 19: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

New Law – Microcredit Regulation consumer education

1, Total Amount of Borrowing < 1/3 of Income

2, Ceiling Interest Rate = 20%

more than 100% 29% 20%

3, Borrowers Information

Aggregated total individual borrowings

4, Paper examination to be a lender

5, Minimum capital requirement

6, Consumer complaints and advices 19

Page 20: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Hometown Investment Trust Funds Regional financing to Riskier Borrowers

1, Bank Loans to relatively safer borrower

2, Hometown Investment Trust Funds to riskier SME

E-Finance, E-Fund

Banking

Account

Hometown

Trust

Funds

Riskier Borrowers

Investors

Depositors

Safer projects

Banking

Account

20

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21

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23

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Donation and Investment to community

24

Page 25: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Investors Community Type Infrastructure Wind power Generator Funds Japanese Wine Fund SME Hometown Trust Fund Local Airport Agricultural Sector

Large Projects and Professional Investors Pension Funds Insurance companies Mutual Funds

25

Page 26: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

26

Page 27: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

SMEs in China (Red Mark is SMEs’ share)

27

Page 28: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

28

Credit Guarantee and SME database

Page 29: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

SME in Japan = 4 accounts

1, Account to show Bankers

2, Account to show Tax authority

3, Account of his own

4, Account to show to his wife

29

Page 30: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

SMEs (14.4million

data)

Defaults

(1.7million

data)

Financial

Institutions

200 Regional Banks

Credit Associations

Credit Cooperatives

Government Banks

Central Bank

Credit Guarantee

Corporations (Collect Data of SMEs)

52

1, Government Support

2, Reliability

3, Security of Information

CRD

SME Data base (CRD Data base)

30

Page 31: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

CRD database for SMEs 1, Huge number of SME database

2, Nationwide balanced data

3, Default risk ratio can be computed

4, Continuous improvement of default estimates

5, CRD is a private company

6, Venture capital market is not easy to develop in Asian countries

31

Page 32: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Financial Education for SMEs

1, Keep books every day

2, cash flow of his business

3, long term perspectives

4, can compare with other region

5, Even large banks use CRD data

6, Banks can collect their own data

7, CRD data is nationwide and unbiased data

32

Page 33: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

Early Warning Macroeconomics Indicators

1, Monetary Policy

Interest rate

Growth rate of money supply

2, Bank Loans to real estate and housing sector

3, Growth rate of bank loans / Economic growth rate

4, Housing affordability (Housing Price / Income)

5, Increasing share of Unsophisticated individuals

6. Increase in turn over of stock transaction

33

Page 34: Its Lessons to Asian Countries - AFDI · 4 categories with 15 items ... Compensation & Bonus System of Japan ... Public Policy Review, January 2013. 36 Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and

NISA is an appropriate arrangement for reduction of risks associated with investment through diversification and medium to long-term holding

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 …

1 mill. JPY

1 mill. JPY

1 mil. JPY

(1) Investment of 1 million JPY every year (diversification in investment period)

sale of assets

(2) Dividends and capital gains are tax free for five years, but if assets are sold before that period ends, the tax free benefit cannot be reused again for this 5-year facility (appropriate for medium to long-term asset holding)

2014

2015

2016

NISA (Nippon Individual Savings Account)

16

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35

References

Revankar N. and Yoshino, N., (2008) “An Empirical Analysis of

Japanese Banking Behavior in a Period of Financial Instability,”

Keio Economic Studies, Vol.45 No.1. Yoshino, Naoyuki and Tomohiro Hirano (2011) “Pro-cyclicality of the Basel Capital Requirement Ratio and Its Impact on Banks ”Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, Vol.10,No.2. Yoshino, Naoyuki and Tomohiro Hirano (2013) “Counter-cyclical Buffer of the Basel Capital requirement and its empirical Analysis”, IMF, Current Development in Monetary and Financial Law, 6, Restorering Financial Stability, International Monetary Fund, Washington DC. Yoshino, N.,(2011) “Growing Budget Deficits and Sustainability: Why is Japan still sustainable ?” APEC, SME Economic Crisis Monitor, July-2011 Issue, 5-6. McNelis Paul and N. Yoshino (2012), “Macroeconomic Volatility Under High Accumulation of Government Debt: Lessons from Japan” Advances in Complex Systems 2012 Yoshino, N. and T. Mizoguchi (2013) “Changes in flow of funds of Japan and fiscal policy rule”, Public Policy Review, January 2013.

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36

Yoshino, Suzuki, Maehara and Abe (2009) Development of Corporate Credit Information Database and Credit Guarantee System, ASEAN Secretariat, Feb. 2009. Yoshino, N. (2010) “Financing Transport Infrastructure Development in Southeast Asia” OECD, Southeast Asian Economic Outlook, 2010, Nov., Chapter 6, OECD, Paris. Yoshino N. (2012) “The Global Imbalance and the Development of Capital Flows among Asian Countries”, OECD Journal: Financial Market Trends, Volume 1, 2012 Yoshino N. Kaji, S. and Asonuma T. (2012) “Choices of Optimal Monetary Policy Instruments Under the Floating and the Basket-Peg Regimes”, Singapore Economic Review, December 2012. Yoshino N. Kaji, S. (2013) Hometown Investment Trust Funds, Springer, March 2013