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4/28/2017 1 Evaluating the Economic Development Impacts of Arterial Signal Coordination Strategies Davis Chacon-Hurtado Ruiman Yang Laura Nino Dr. Nadia Gkritza Dr. Jon D. Fricker Lyles School of Civil Engineering Purdue University April 19th, 2017 Ann Harbor, Michigan Session 3C 1 OUTLINE Introduction and Background SR 37 Case Study Tool Framework TOPS-EIA 2 MECHANISM OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IMPACTS Adapted from: Office of Planning, Environment, & Realty (2014), Manheim (1979), Litman (2010) , SHRP 2 Report S2-C11-RW-1 (2014) Activity System Trans. System Flows Early Stage Planning “Broad brush” TPICS C03 Middle Stage Planning C11 Later Stage Planning EIA BCA Trans. Models Report S2-C11-RW-1 # Alt. Level of detail Early Stage Planning Middle Stage Planning Later Stage Planning 3 ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PERFORMANCE MEASURES Overall Area Economy • Number of Jobs Created • Increase in Per Capita Income • Gross Regional Product Employment Rate Specific Aspects of Economy • Business Sales • Productivity • Property Values (Appreciation) • Capital Investment and Public Expenditure • Quality of Life 4 TOOLS FOR MEASURING ECONOMIC IMPACTS 5 Benefit/Cost analysis Corridor inventories Expert interviews Business surveys TOPS - BC RIMS-II IMPLAN I-O model PC Input-Output TREDIS REMI Shopper surveys Windshield surveys MCIBAS HEAT linear regression /Logistic regression Hedonic price modeling Integrated traffic and economic simulations models Market studies Survey and interviews Economic forecasting and simulation models Economic multiplier / I - O tables Statistical analysis tools TSM&O STRATEGIES Source: FHWA Operations Benefit / Cost Analysis Desk Reference, 2012 Definition: “Transportation System Management & Operations (TSM&O) is a group of strategies to optimize the performance of existing infrastructure through the implementation of specific systems and services that preserve capacity and improve reliability and safety.” Commonly Used Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs) a. User travel time savings (mobility) b. User vehicle operating costs (VOC) c. Crashes (safety) d. Emissions e. Travel time reliability (reliability) Source: Managing Traffic Flow Through Signal Timing https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/publications/publicroads/02j anfeb/timing.cfm 6

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4/28/2017

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Evaluating the Economic Development Impacts of Arterial Signal Coordination Strategies

Davis Chacon-HurtadoRuiman YangLaura Nino Dr. Nadia GkritzaDr. Jon D. Fricker

Lyles School of Civil EngineeringPurdue University

April 19th, 2017Ann Harbor, Michigan

Session 3C

1

OUTLINE

Introduction and Background

SR 37 Case Study

Tool Framework TOPS-EIA

2

MECHANISM OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IMPACTS

Adapted from: Office of Planning, Environment, & Realty (2014), Manheim (1979), Litman (2010) , SHRP 2 Report S2-C11-RW-1 (2014)

Activity System

Trans. System

Flows

• Early Stage Planning

“Broad brush”TPICS C03

• Middle Stage Planning

C11

• Later Stage Planning

EIABCA Trans. Models

Report S2-C11-RW-1

# Alt. Level of detail

Early Stage Planning

Middle Stage Planning

Later Stage Planning

3

ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PERFORMANCE MEASURES

Overall Area Economy • Number of Jobs Created• Increase in Per Capita Income• Gross Regional Product• Employment Rate

Specific Aspects of Economy• Business Sales• Productivity• Property Values (Appreciation)• Capital Investment and Public Expenditure• Quality of Life

4

TOOLS FOR MEASURING ECONOMIC IMPACTS

5

Benefit/Cost analysis

Corridor inventories Expert interviews Business surveys TOPS - BC

RIMS-II IMPLAN I-O model PC Input-Output

TREDIS REMI Shopper surveys   Windshield surveys

MCIBAS HEAT linear regression /Logistic regression Hedonic price modeling

Integrated traffic and economic simulations models

Market studies

Survey and interviews

Economic forecasting and simulation models

Economic multiplier / I - O tables

Statistical analysis tools

TSM&O STRATEGIES

Source: FHWA Operations Benefit / Cost Analysis Desk Reference, 2012

Definition: “Transportation System Management & Operations (TSM&O) is a group of strategies to optimize the performance of existing infrastructure through the implementation of specific systems and services that preserve capacity and improve reliability and safety.”

Commonly Used Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs)a. User travel time savings (mobility)b. User vehicle operating costs (VOC)c. Crashes (safety)d. Emissions e. Travel time reliability (reliability)

Source: Managing Traffic Flow Through Signal Timinghttps://www.fhwa.dot.gov/publications/publicroads/02janfeb/timing.cfm

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ARTERIAL SIGNAL COORDINATION (ASC) IN TOPS-EIA

Preset Timing

Traffic Actuated

Central Control

These signals have a preset cycle length for specified times of the day or for the entire day.

These signals can vary their cycle length to the traffic flow that uses the intersection.

These signals are controlled and directed by a central computer. Each intersection requires a standard controller and communication link to the central computer.

Source: Traffic Control Signal Features, Engineering Policy Guide, http://epg.modot.mo.gov/index.php?title=902.5_Traffic_Control_Signal_Features_(MUTCD_Chapter_4D)#902.5.2.1_Pre-timed_Control

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TOOL DEVELOPMENT

Impacts of selected TSM&O

TOPS-BC

Tool

Sel

ectio

n

TOPS-EIAAdaptation process

Data processing to set default impacts of different strategies on facility performance

• Addition/modification of formulas and VBA coding

• Compatibility with MCIBAS-EIA

TOOL DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK

Tool for OperationsBenefit/Cost

Tool for OperationsEconomic Impact Analysis

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TOOL DEVELOPMENT PERFORMANCE MEASURES

TOPS-BC

Travel TimeTRUCKS

AUTO-BUSINESS

SafetyTRUCKS

AUTO-BUSINESS

VOCTRUCKS

AUTO-BUSINESS

TT ReliabilityTRUCKS

AUTO-BUSINESS

BUSINESS SAVINGS

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TOOL DEVELOPMENT PERFORMANCE MEASURES

• ASC-Capacity -Speed -Number of Lanes -Crash Rate -Crash Duration-Fuel Use

- Travel Time- Safety- VOC- Travel Time Reliability

Business Savings

• Trucks• Autos

SIMPLIFIED TOOL FRAMEWORK

Economic Multipliers EDI

TSM&O Strategy

Impacts on Facility

Performance

Performance Measures Output

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TOOL INTERFACEOUTPUTS

Business Cost SavingsYear Auto Work Truck

200520062007200820092010 $28,436 $11,0332011 $28,911 $11,2182012 $29,386 $11,4022013 $29,862 $11,5862014 $30,337 $11,7712015 $30,813 $11,9552016201720182019

Performance Measure Auto Work Truck TOTAL

Gross Regional Product (in mil lion $) $0.2677 $0.1224 $0.390Personal Income (in mil lion $) $0.3275 $0.1164 $0.444Employment (in job-years) - 2015 3.9 1.2 5.0

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CASE STUDYSR 37

Source: Lavrenz et al. (2015)

N

Source: IndianaMap.org

INPUTSLink Length (Miles) 5.2Total Number of Lanes 2Link Capacity 7200 veh/per 2 Lanes - 2 HoursFree Flow Speed 55Link Volume 4418 veh/period

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CASE STUDYINPUTS

Project Information

Facility Characteristics

Impacts Due ASC strategy

Modal Split and Volumes

Speed Change Fuel Consumption

Preset Timing - Corridor - Expected reduction between 2% and 8%

Central Control - Corridor Expected increase between 9% and 16% Expected reduction between 5% and 10%

Source: FHWA (2012), USDOT (ITS Database)

MODAL AND TRIP PURPOSE SPLITTrip Purpose PercentagesCommuting 0.3232

Trucks % 0.02 Auto (A ll) 0.98 Personal 0.6308

1% = 0.01 Business 0.046

0.02

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RESULTSOUTPUTS

Performance Measure Auto Work Truck TOTAL

Gross Regional Product (in million $) $0.2677 $0.1224 $0.390

Personal Income (in million $) $0.3275 $0.1164 $0.444

Employment (in job-years) - 2015 3.9 1.2 5.0

ESTIMATED “STATEWIDE” EFFECTS

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TOOL DEMONSTRATION TOPS-EIA Arterial Signal Coordination Strategies

FUTURE STRATEGIES

• Work Zone Management

• Access Management • Road Diets

https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/planning/processes/land_use/land_use_tools/page04.cfm#toc376774610

http://safety.fhwa.dot.gov/road_diets/case_studies/

http://ops.fhwa.dot.gov/wz/its/wz_comp_analysis/index.htm

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

This work is supported by JTRP administered by INDOT and Purdue University. The authors would like to thank Frank Baukert and Korey Chu from INDOT for their assistance with data collection. The authors also acknowledge Roy Nunnally, Samy Noureldin, Emmanuel Nsonwu, Indraneel Kumar as well as the other members of the Study Advisory Committee for their guidance.

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Thank you.

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