Italy, nato and the riga summit

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    Italy, NATOItaly, NATO

    and the Riga Summitand the Riga Summit

    Giovanni BrauzziGiovanni BrauzziUniversity of EdinburghUniversity of Edinburgh

    Transatlantic SeminarTransatlantic Seminar

    29 September 200629 September 2006

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    In brief...In brief...

    Italian Foreign Policy in a nutshellItalian Foreign Policy in a nutshell

    The role of NATO in a changed worldThe role of NATO in a changed world

    Expectations for the Riga SummitExpectations for the Riga Summit

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    Italy - Facts and FiguresItaly - Facts and Figures Area: 301,336 sq kmArea: 301,336 sq km Land boundaries: 1,932 kmLand boundaries: 1,932 km Coastline: 7,600 kmCoastline: 7,600 km Population (2005): 58.462.375Population (2005): 58.462.375

    Population Growth Rate : 1,1%Population Growth Rate : 1,1% birth rate: -18,396birth rate: -18,396 immigration rate: +181,080immigration rate: +181,080

    Life Expectancy at Birth: 79,25 yearsLife Expectancy at Birth: 79,25 years

    GDP Composition by Sector:GDP Composition by Sector: agriculture 2%agriculture 2% industry 30%industry 30%

    services 68%services 68%

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    The compass ofThe compass of

    Italian foreign policyItalian foreign policy North, towards Europe;North, towards Europe;

    South, towards theSouth, towards the

    Mediterranean, theMediterranean, the

    Middle East and Africa;Middle East and Africa;

    East, towards theEast, towards the

    Balkans and Russia;Balkans and Russia;

    West, towards AmericaWest, towards Americaand globalisation.and globalisation.

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    THE NATIONAL INTEREST

    Few commodities and energy sourcesAging and shrinking population We cannot keep our gates closed

    Cultural and institutional pluralism Universal vision Lessons learnt from the past

    Thus: Neither able, nor willing to act alone The only way is to pursue the national interest

    through multilateral fora

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    THE CONSTITUTIONALTHE CONSTITUTIONAL

    FRAMEWORKFRAMEWORKArt. 11 of Italian Constitution:Art. 11 of Italian Constitution: Italy rejects warItaly rejects war

    as an instrument of aggression against theas an instrument of aggression against the

    liberties of other people and as a means forliberties of other people and as a means for

    settling international controversiessettling international controversies;; it agrees,it agrees,on conditions of equality with other States, toon conditions of equality with other States, to

    such limitations of sovereignty as may besuch limitations of sovereignty as may be

    necessary for an international order aimed atnecessary for an international order aimed atensuring peace and justice among Nations; itensuring peace and justice among Nations; it

    promotes and encourages internationalpromotes and encourages international

    organizations having such ends in view.organizations having such ends in view.

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    The limitation of sovereigntyThe limitation of sovereigntywhich is, for every country, thewhich is, for every country, the

    price of the participation in anprice of the participation in an

    integrated international system,integrated international system,

    becomes less onerousbecomes less onerous

    the more a country is able tothe more a country is able to

    contribute genuinely to thecontribute genuinely to the

    definition of the policies ofdefinition of the policies of

    international forainternational fora

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    We the peoples of the United Nations,We the peoples of the United Nations,

    determined to save succeedingdetermined to save succeedinggenerations from the scourge of war.generations from the scourge of war.

    .determined to safeguard the.determined to safeguard the

    freedom, common heritage andfreedom, common heritage andcivilisations of their peoples, foundedcivilisations of their peoples, foundedon the principles of democracy,on the principles of democracy,individual freedom and the rule ofindividual freedom and the rule oflawlaw

    ..

    an ever closer union amongan ever closer union among

    the peoples of Europethe peoples of Europe

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    National Interest inNational Interest in

    International ForaInternational Fora

    Italian prioritiesItalian priorities Being part of the leading group in theBeing part of the leading group in the

    European integration processEuropean integration process

    Strengthening transatlantic relationsStrengthening transatlantic relations

    Avoiding marginalisation at the UNAvoiding marginalisation at the UN

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    Defining moments in theDefining moments in the

    participation of Italy to NATOparticipation of Italy to NATO1956 Three Wise Men Report1956 Three Wise Men Report1979 Double Track Decision1979 Double Track Decision1988 Redeployment of 4011988 Redeployment of 401stst Air WingAir Wing

    1990 AMF (A) to Turkey1990 AMF (A) to Turkey1991 Rome Summit1991 Rome Summit1994 NATO Med Dialogue1994 NATO Med Dialogue

    1999 Kossovo1999 Kossovo 2002 NATO-Russia Council2002 NATO-Russia Council 2005 Afghanistan2005 Afghanistan

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    The role of NATO

    in a changing world

    A Russian ship under NATO flag

    in the Mediterranean Sea

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    NATO and 9/11NATO and 9/11

    Immediate reactionImmediate reaction

    Art. 5Art. 5

    AWACS in the USAAWACS in the USA Maritime surveillanceMaritime surveillance

    in the Mediterraneanin the Mediterranean

    Awaiting US requestsAwaiting US requests

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    Reykjavik, May 2002Reykjavik, May 2002

    To carry out the full range of itsTo carry out the full range of its

    missions, NATO must be able tomissions, NATO must be able to

    field forces that can move quickly tofield forces that can move quickly to

    wherever they are neededwherever they are needed, sustain, sustainoperations over distance and time,operations over distance and time,

    and achieve their objectives.and achieve their objectives.

    Non c pi out of area !!!Non c pi out of area !!!

    to field forces,

    wherever they are needed

    The out of area

    debate is over

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    Prague Summit, November 2002Prague Summit, November 2002

    New members.New members.

    New capabilities.New capabilities.

    New partners.New partners. Deep transformationDeep transformation

    of the military tools.of the military tools.

    And Iraq ?And Iraq ?

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    IraqIraq

    Role and limits of prehemptionRole and limits of prehemption Worst than with De GaulleWorst than with De Gaulle

    Old and New EuropeOld and New Europe

    The unsuccessful attempts ofThe unsuccessful attempts ofGeorge RobertsonGeorge Robertson

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    Istanbul Summit, June 2004Istanbul Summit, June 2004

    Improvement of theImprovement of the

    transatlantic climatetransatlantic climate

    Priority to AfghanistanPriority to Afghanistan Training in IraqTraining in Iraq

    Opening towards theOpening towards the

    Greater Middle EastGreater Middle East

    Handover in Bosnia fromHandover in Bosnia from

    NATO to EUNATO to EU

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    Complex challenges of international securityComplex challenges of international security

    WMDs

    Proliferation

    Terrorism

    Failed, rogue states

    Illegal immigration

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    THE ARC OF CRISISTHE ARC OF CRISIS

    Mediterranean

    Middle East

    WesternBalkans

    Black Sea Caucasus

    Central Asia

    AFGHANISTAN

    St th i

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    Strengthening

    the transatlantic link

    From Cold War

    to new threats Coalitions

    of the willing

    are not enough

    From the Balkans

    to Afghanistan:

    the arc of crisis

    It is better to relaunch

    NATOs

    Political Dimension

    New approach

    Enduring commitment

    GlobalNATO ?

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    Italian expectations for Riga and beyondItalian expectations for Riga and beyond

    Further transformation to cope with new security challengesFurther transformation to cope with new security challenges NATO enlargement within an Euro-Atlantic perspectiveNATO enlargement within an Euro-Atlantic perspective Western Balkans and Mediterranean remain key areasWestern Balkans and Mediterranean remain key areas An expanded network of partnershipsAn expanded network of partnerships

    NATO should not become a global copNATO should not become a global cop NATO operations for effective multilateralismNATO operations for effective multilateralism Enduring centrality of the transatlantic link.Enduring centrality of the transatlantic link.

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    Beyond Riga: 5 ScenariosBeyond Riga: 5 Scenarios

    Old Boys Lounge;Old Boys Lounge;

    Strong Toolbox;Strong Toolbox;

    Dispersed Toolbox;Dispersed Toolbox;

    Return to ESDI;Return to ESDI;

    Shared Partnership.Shared Partnership.

    ADDRESS BY GENERAL DWIGHT D EISENHOWER SUPREMEADDRESS BY GENERAL DWIGHT D EISENHOWER SUPREME

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    ADDRESS BY GENERAL DWIGHT D. EISENHOWER, SUPREMEADDRESS BY GENERAL DWIGHT D. EISENHOWER, SUPREME

    ALLIED COMMANDER, EUROPE, AT THE ENGLISH SPEAKINGALLIED COMMANDER, EUROPE, AT THE ENGLISH SPEAKING

    UNION DINNER, LONDON, 3 JULY 1951UNION DINNER, LONDON, 3 JULY 1951

    We the people of the British Commonwealth and of theWe the people of the British Commonwealth and of theUnited States have profited by unity at home. If, with ourUnited States have profited by unity at home. If, with ourmoral and material assistance, the free European nationsmoral and material assistance, the free European nationscould attain a similar integration, our friends could becould attain a similar integration, our friends could be

    strengthened, our own economies improved and thestrengthened, our own economies improved and thelaborious NATO machinery of mutual defense vastlylaborious NATO machinery of mutual defense vastlysimplified.simplified.A solid, healthy, confident Europe would beA solid, healthy, confident Europe would bethe greatest possible boon to the functioning of thethe greatest possible boon to the functioning of theAtlantic Pact.Atlantic Pact.

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    President John F. Kennedy, Philadelphia, July 4, 1962President John F. Kennedy, Philadelphia, July 4, 1962

    We do not regard a strong and united Europe as a rival but as

    a partner. I will say here and now, on this Day of

    Independence, that the United States will be ready for a

    Declaration of Interdependence, that we will be preparedto discuss with a united Europe the ways and means of

    forming a concrete Atlantic partnership, a mutually

    beneficial partnership.

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    GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006GB Edinburgh 29.9.2006

    To sum it up ...To sum it up ...

    NATO is successful when its political strategyNATO is successful when its political strategy

    combines in an effective way the diplomaticcombines in an effective way the diplomatic

    actions and the military tools.actions and the military tools.

    NATO is successful when Americans andNATO is successful when Americans andEuropeans acknowledge that they have commonEuropeans acknowledge that they have common

    values and interests.values and interests.

    We do not need less America, we need moreWe do not need less America, we need more

    Europe.Europe.

    The transatlantic link should be strenghtened,The transatlantic link should be strenghtened,

    increasing European responsibilities.increasing European responsibilities.