IT- 04- HO model international Trade

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    Resources and Trade:Resources and Trade:The Heckscher-Ohlin ModelThe Heckscher-Ohlin Model

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    Introduction

    Trade is explained by

    • differences in labor productivity,

    • differences in countries resources!

    The Heckscher-Ohlin theory:

    • "#phasi$es resource differences as the only source oftrade

    • %ho&s that co#parative advanta'e is influenced by: ( Relative factor abundance )refers to countries* ( Relative factor intensity )refers to 'oods*

    • Referred to as the factor-proportions theory

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    +ssu#ptions of the Model

    • T&o 'oods- cloth and food!

    • T&o inputs - labor ) L* and capital ) K *!

    • roduction of food is capital-intensive and

     production of cloth is labor-intensive in bothcountries!

    • erfect co#petition prevails in all #arkets!

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

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    rices and roduction

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    roduction ossibility rontier

    .ithout actor %ubstitution %uppose, the capital

    constraint is,

    The labour constraint is,

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    roduction ossibility rontier .ith

    actor %ubstitution

     The value of the

    econo#ys

     production is

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    .here does the econo#y produce/

    "0uilibriu#:

    The opportunity cost in

    ter#s of food of

     producin' another

    unit of cloth is e0ual

    to the relative priceof cloth

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    //

    Input combinations

    that produce one

    calorie of food

    Unit capital input aKF,

    in acres per calorie

    Unit labour input aLF,

    in hours per calorie

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

    Input ossibilities in ood roduction

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    • Factor Intensity ( In a &orld of  t&o 'oods )cloth and food* and t&o factors

    )labor and capital*, food production is capital-intensive, if

    at any 'iven &a'e-rental ratio the capital-labor ratio used in

    the production of food is 'reater than that used in the

     production of cloth:

      K  F 1 L F  2 K C 1 LC  ( "xa#ple: If food production uses 34 &orkers and 544

    units of capitals, &hile cloth production uses 54 &orkers

    and 54 units of capitals, then food production is capital-

    intensive and cloth production is labor-intensive!

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

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    CC 

    FF 

    Wage-rental

    ratio, w/r 

    Capital-labor 

    ratio, K/L

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

    actor rices and Input 6hoices

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    actor rices and 7oods rices

    • Stolper-Samuelson Theorem (effect): ( If the relative price of a 'ood increases, holdin' factor

    supplies constant, then the no#inal and real return )inter#s of both 'oods* to the factor used intensively in the

     production of that 'ood increases, &hile the no#inal

    and real return )in ter#s of both 'oods* to the other

    factor decreases! (  The reverse is also true!

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

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    SS 

    Relative price of 

    cloth, P C  /P 

    Wage-rental

    ratio, w/r 

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

    actor rices and 7oods rices

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    FF 

    CC 

    SS 

    Capital-

    labor

    Ratio, K/L

    Relative

    price of 

    cloth, P C  /P 

    Wage-rental

    ratio, w/r 

    (P C  /P 

    F )1 (K 

    C  /L

    C )2(K C  /LC )

    1 (K F  /L

    F )2(K F  /LF )

    1

    (w/r )2

    (w/r )1

    Increasing Increasing

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

    ro# 7oods rices to Input 6hoices

    (P C  /P 

    F )2

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    +n increase in the price of cloth relative to that of food, P C 1 P  F ,&ill:

    • Raise the inco#e of &orkers relative to that of capital-o&ners, w1r !

    • Raise the ratio of capital to labor, K 1 L, in both cloth andfood production and thus raise the marginal product oflabor in ter#s of both 'oods!

    • +s M8 9 .1, Raise the purchasin' po&er of &orkers

    and lo&er the purchasin' po&er of capital-o&ners, byraisin' real &a'es and lo&erin' real rents in ter#s of both'oods!

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

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    Resources and Output

    • Ho& is the allocation of resources deter#ined/ ( 7iven the relative price of cloth and the supplies of

    capital and labor, it is possible to deter#ine ho& #uchof each resource the econo#y devotes to the production

    of each 'ood!

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

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    LF 

    K F 

    LC 

    K C 

    Labor used in food production

    Labor used in cloth production

    O F 

    Increasing

    Increasing

    I       n      c     

    r       e     

     a      s     

    i       n     

      g            I      n

          c       r

     e       a       s 

           i      n      g   

       C  a  p   i   t  a   l  u  s  e   d

       i  n

      c   l  o   t   h

      p  r  o   d  u

      c   t   i  o  n

    Capital u

    sed

    i n

    food

    produc

    tion

    1

    O C 

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

    The +llocation of Resources

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    Ho& do the outputs of the t&o 'oods chan'e &hen

    the econo#ys resources chan'e/

    • ybc!ynski Theorem (effect):

     ( If a factor of production ) K  or L* increases, then thesupply of the 'ood that uses this factor intensively

    increases and the supply of the other 'ood decreases for

    any 'iven co##odity prices!

     (  The reverse is also true!

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

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    PP 1 PP 2

    utput of 

    food, Q F 

    utput of 

    cloth, Q C 

    !lope " -P C  /P 

    !lope " -P C  /P 

    2Q 2

    Q 2C 

    1Q 1

    Q 1C 

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

    Resources and roduction ossibilities

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    +n increase in the supply of capital )labor* leads to abiased e"pansion of production possibilities to&ardfood )cloth* production!

    +n econo#y &ill tend to be relatively effective at producin' 'oods that are intensive in the factors &ith&hich the country is relatively &ell-endo&ed!

    + Model of a T&o-actor "cono#y

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    +ssu#ptions of the Heckscher-Ohlin #odel:

    • There are t&o countries )Ho#e and orei'n* that have: ( %a#e tastes

     ( %a#e technolo'y ( ifferent resources

     ( Ho#e has a hi'her ratio of labor to capital than orei'n

    does

    • "ach country has the sa#e production structure of at&o-factor econo#y!

    "ffects of International Trade

    ;et&een T&o-actor "cono#ies

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    Relative rices and the attern of Trade

    • Factor #bundance ( Ho#e country is labor-abundant  co#pared to orei'n

    country )and orei'n is capital-abundant  co#pared toHo#e* if and only if  the ratio of the total a#ount oflabor to the total a#ount of capital available in Ho#e is'reater than that in orei'n:

     L1 K 2 L

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    • .hen Ho#e and orei'n trade &ith each other, theirrelative prices conver'e! The relative price of cloth

    rises in Ho#e and declines in orei'n!

     ( In Ho#e, the rise in the relative price of cloth leads to arise in the production of cloth and a decline in relative

    consu#ption, so Ho#e beco#es an exporter of cloth

    and an i#porter of food!

     ( 6onversely, the decline in the relative price of cloth in

    orei'n leads it to beco#e an i#porter  of cloth and an 

    exporter  of food!

    "ffects of International Trade

    ;et&een T&o-actor "cono#ies

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    RD

    RS 

    RS #

    1

    2

    $

    "ffects of International Trade

    ;et&een T&o-actor "cono#ies

    Trade 8eads to a 6onver'ence of Relative ricesRelative price

    of cloth, P C  /P 

    Relative %ualit&

    of cloth, Q C  

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    Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem:

    • + country &ill export that co##odity &hich usesintensively its abundant  factor and i#port that

    co##odity &hich uses intensively its scarce factor!

    "ffects of International Trade

    ;et&een T&o-actor "cono#ies

    ff f i l d

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    Trade and the istribution of Inco#e

    • Trade produces a conver'ence of relative prices!• 6han'es in relative prices have stron' effects on the

    relative earnin's of labor and capital in both countries:

     ( In Ho#e, &here the relative price of cloth rises:

     ( 8aborers are #ade better off and capital-o&ners are #ade &orseoff!

     ( In orei'n, &here the relative price of cloth falls, the

    opposite happens: ( 8aborers are #ade &orse off and capital-o&ners are #ade betteroff!

    • O&ners of a countrys abundant factors 'ain fro# trade, but o&ners of a countrys scarce factors lose!

    "ffects of International Trade

    ;et&een T&o-actor "cono#ies

    ff f i l d

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    ifference bet&een the specific factors #odel and theHeckscher-Ohlin #odel in ter#s of inco#edistribution effects:

    • The specificity of factors to particular industries isoften only a temporary problem! ( "xa#ple: 7ar#ent #akers cannot beco#e co#puter

    #anufactures overni'ht, but 'iven ti#e the Indianecono#y can shift its #anufacturin' e#ploy#ent fro#

    declinin' sectors to expandin' ones!• In contrast, effects of trade on the distribution of

    inco#e a#on' land, labor, and capital are #ore or less permanent !

    "ffects of International Trade

    ;et&een T&o-actor "cono#ies

    "ff f I i l T d

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    actor rice "0uali$ation

    • In the absence of trade: labor &ould earn less in Ho#ethan in orei'n, and capital &ould earn #ore!

    • Factor-$rice %&uali!ation Theorem: ( International trade leads to co#plete e0uali$ation in therelative and absolute returns to ho#o'eneous factors

    across countries!

     ( It i#plies that international trade is a substitute for theinternational #obility of factors!

    "ffects of International Trade

    ;et&een T&o-actor "cono#ies

    "ff f I i l T d

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    • Has international trade e0uali$ed the returns toho#o'eneous factors in different countries in the real

    &orld/

     ( "ven casual observation clearly indicates that it hasnot !

     (  "xa#ple: .a'es are #uch hi'her for doctors, en'ineers,

    technicians, #echanics and laborers in the =nited %tates and

    7er#any than in >orea and Mexico!

     ( =nder these circu#stances, it is #ore realistic to saythat international trade has reduced , rather than

    co#pletely eli#inated, the international difference in

    the returns to ho#o'eneous factors!

    "ffects of International Trade

    ;et&een T&o-actor "cono#ies

    "ff f I i l T d

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    • Three assu#ptions crucial to the prediction of factor price e0uali$ation are in reality untrue:

     ( ;oth countries produce both 'oods

     ( ;oth countries have the sa#e technolo'ies in production

     ( ;oth countries have the sa#e prices of 'oods due to

    trade

    • One thin' the factor-price e0uali$ation theore# doesnot say is that international trade &ill eli#inate or

    reduce international differences in per capita incomes!

    "ffects of International Trade

    ;et&een T&o-actor "cono#ies

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    31

    Relative actor "ndoents

    + country &ill have a co#parative advanta'e in

     producin' products that intensively use

    resources )factors of production* it has inabundance

    • 6hina: labor 

    • %audi +rabia: oil

    • +r'entina: &heat

    " i i l " id th

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    Testin' the Heckscher-Ohlin Model

    • Tests on 'S ata ( *eontief parado"

     (  8eontief found that =!%! exports &ere less capital-intensive than=!%! i#ports, even thou'h the =!%! is the #ost capital-abundant

    country in the &orld!

    • Tests on +lobal ata

     ( + study by ;o&en, 8ea#er, and %veikauskas tested theHeckscher-Ohlin #odel usin' data for a lar'e nu#ber of

    countries!

     (  This study confir#s the 8eontief paradox on a broader level!

    "#pirical "vidence on the

    Heckscher-Ohlin Model

    i i l id h k h

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    Indias Trade attern

    "#pirical "vidence on the Heckscher-

    Ohlin Model

    ;hard&a? )@AB5* studied IndiaCs trade pattern!

    •IndiaCs exports &ere labor-intensive! 6onsistent &ith HO theory!

    •Ho&ever, Indian trade &ith the =% &as not! Indian exports to the =% &ere capital-intensive!

    Malhotra )54@@* analysed the India--6hina trade as a case study for H-O theore#!

    •6hinaCs co#position of exports to India and i#ports fro# India sho&s that ,hina is a labor

    abundant country relatie to India! This supports H-O Theorem 'iven that 6hina and IndiaCs

    trade reflect their respective factor abundance &ith respect to their i#ports and exports!

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    " i i l " id h H k h

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    I#plications of the Tests

    • "#pirical evidence on the Heckscher-Ohlin #odel hasled to the follo&in' conclusions:

     ( It has been less successful at explainin' the actual pattern of international trade!

     ( It has been useful as a &ay to analy$e the effects of

    trade on inco#e distribution!

    "#pirical "vidence on the Heckscher-

    Ohlin Model