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Is the internet changing Russia’s public sphere?. Presentation to Gaidar Forum, Moscow, January 17, 2013 Timothy J. Colton, Harvard University. Internet users (% of population ), Russia and United States. What Russian internet users do on the net (%). Internet use by age group (%). - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Presentation to Gaidar Forum, Moscow, January 17, 2013
Timothy J . Colton, Harvard University
IS THE INTERNET CHANGING RUSSIA’S
PUBLIC SPHERE?
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
0102030405060708090
Russia U.S.
INTERNET USERS (% OF POPULATION), RUSSIA AND UNITED
STATES
Write blogs
Read blogs
Make purchases
News
Social networking
Entertainment
Search for info
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
19
36
43
68
72
74
76
90
WHAT RUSSIAN INTERNET USERS DO ON THE NET (%)
<30 30s 40s 50s 60s >690
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
INTERNET USE BY AGE GROUP (%)
<30 30s 40s 50s 60s >690
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
InfoEntertainmentSocial networkingNewsEmailPurchasesRead blogsWrite blogs
MODES OF INTERNET USE AMONG USERS, BY AGE GROUP (%)
Explanatory variable Coefficient
Age group (0-1) -48**
Education (0-1) 17**
Community size (0-1) 9**
Affluence (0-1) 20**
INFLUENCES ON INTERNET USE (OLS)
Dependent variable = total number of Internet modes – normalized to 1-100 interval
** p < .00* p < .05
Explanatory variable Coefficient
Total Internet modes -1
EFFECT OF INTERNET USE – INTEREST IN POLITICS (OLS)
Explanatory variable Coefficient
Total Internet modes 15**
Age group 34**
Education 12**
Community size -7**
Affluence 12**
EFFECT OF INTERNET USE – INTEREST IN POLITICS (OLS)
Explanatory variable Coefficient
Total Internet modes 13**
Age group 22**
Education 11**
Community size -6**
Affluence 10**
Watch TV news 40**
EFFECT OF INTERNET USE – INTEREST IN POLITICS (OLS)
Explanatory variable Coefficient
Total Internet modes -16**
EFFECT OF INTERNET USE – SOVIET LIFE WAS BETTER (OLS)
Explanatory variable Coefficient
Total Internet modes -10**
Age group 6*
Education 2
Community size 1
Affluence -21**
EFFECT OF INTERNET USE – SOVIET LIFE WAS BETTER (OLS)
Explanatory variable Coefficient
Total Internet modes -10**
Age group 5
Education 2
Community size 1
Affluence -21**
Watch TV news 2
EFFECT OF INTERNET USE – SOVIET LIFE WAS BETTER (OLS)
Explanatory variable Coefficient
Total Internet modes -8*
Age group 5
Education -9*
Community size -8**
Affluence 1
Watch TV news 6*
EFFECT OF INTERNET USE – FAVOR 6-YEAR PRESIDENTIAL TERM (OLS)
Explanatory variable Coefficient
Total Internet modes 11**
Age group -11**
Education 8*
Community size 7**
Affluence 21**
Watch TV news 1
EFFECT OF INTERNET USE – FAVOR INCOME STRATIFICATION (OLS)
Explanatory variable Coefficient
Total Internet modes 10**
Age group -5
Education 2
Community size 10**
Affluence -7
Watch TV news -8**
EFFECT OF INTERNET USE – AGREE WITH DEMANDS OF
DEMONSTRATIONS (OLS)
