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IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research www.creativeinvest.com

IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 · IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research

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Page 1: IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 · IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research

IRS Hearing on Opportunity ZonesJuly 9, 2019

William Michael Cunningham

Creative Investment Research

www.creativeinvest.com

Page 2: IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 · IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research

Opportunity Zone ProgramAllows persons with significant capital gains a way to escape

their responsibility for the payment of taxes. Allows mainly white

and wealthy taxpayers to avoid societal responsibility in

exchange for investments, via Qualified Opportunity Funds, in

8,700 poor communities. Fundamentally unfair, fiscally unsound. Copyright, 2019, WMC and CIR.

Not for reproduction or distribution.

Page 3: IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 · IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research

Does the Opportunity Zone Program

44.74%

5.26%

50.00%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Favor the wealthy

Favor the poor

Is neutral

Copyright, 2019, WMC and CIR. Not for reproduction or distribution.

Survey conducted by Creative Investment Research, January, 2019.

Page 4: IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 · IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research

Will the Opportunity Zone Program

68.42%

10.53%

21.05%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Increase gentrification

Decrease gentrification

Have no effect on gentrification

Copyright, 2019, WMC and CIR. Not for reproduction or distribution.

Survey conducted by Creative Investment Research, January, 2019.

Page 5: IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 · IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research

This approach to development uses

market-oriented processes to damage

communities of color, who are paying,

In essence, to be dislocated.

Stages of Gentrification

1Real estate investment,

prices, rents rise

2Residents of color

pushed out

3Entry ramp for

gentrification

Copyright, 2019, WMC and CIR. Not for reproduction or distribution.

Page 6: IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 · IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Real Estate

Value Index

Index of

tenured

African

American

residents

Wage Index Jobs Index Rent Index

OZ Community Development Assumptions

Pre OZ Intermediate Long Term

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Real Estate

Value Index

Index of

tenured

African

American

residents

Wage Index Jobs Index Rent Index

OZ Community Development Reality

Pre OZ Intermediate Long Term

OZ Assumptions vs. Reality

Page 7: IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 · IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research

CALIFORNIA

NEW YORK

TEXAS

ILLINOIS

Infrastructure and social needs, especially in light of

the Amazon reversal.

New York

Need to integrate new populations into the state.

Texas

Need for police, community development in

minority communities.

Illinois

Massive need for infrastructure, wildfire fighting

investment.

California

OZ program diverts needed tax revenue from the public

Copyright, 2019, WMC and CIR. Not for reproduction or distribution.

Page 8: IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 · IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research

Our Suggestions

BlockchainNo BenefitUse the Ethereum

blockchain to track and report Opportunity Zone investment social impact.

Prohibit the President, senators, congressmen,

and state governors from personally

benefiting.

Copyright, 2019, WMC and CIR. Not for reproduction or distribution.

Page 9: IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 · IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research

Create toolsImplementMeasurementStrategy

Impact ties to level of credit

Review & improve measures

Impact Analysisplan

Requirements & evaluation criteria

Impact credit negotiation

Implement Tax StrategyEvaluate & Select Collect and Analyze Impact Data

Impact Measurement Process

Copyright, 2019, WMC and CIR. Not for reproduction or distribution.

Page 10: IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 · IRS Hearing on Opportunity Zones July 9, 2019 William Michael Cunningham Creative Investment Research

Education $20,434

Defense $32,665

Safety $24,676

Benefits $12,525

Health $23,676

Seniors $20,575

$10

$10

$10

$5

$10

$45

Education - $10

Safety - $10

Seniors -$10

Benefits - $5

Defense - $10

Health -$45

Revenue Impacts

Seniors

Health

Benefits

Defense

Educ

Safety

0 10 20 30 40

Sa

vin

gs

Banks

Individuals

Funds

VCs

Hedge

Mutual

0 20 40 60 80 100

Av

oid

an

ce

Tax Savings & Tax AvoidanceCost of Food

5 Year Trend This Year

$ 11.15

Seniors

5 Year Trend This Year

$ 12.14

Health

5 Year Trend This Year

$ 19.20

Education

5 Year Trend This Year

$ 17.10

Rental Costs

5 Year Trend This Year

$ 10.140

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Benefits Safety Seniors Defense Health Education

ROI Benchmark

Social ROI

(Cost of Tax Credit: $6,414)Top 5 Social Cost Increases

Social Cost Calculation

Copyright, 2019, WMC and CIR. Not for reproduction or distribution.