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IR
Using our financial expertise to do good
Interim
Results ’17
for the six months ended 30 June 2017
2NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Creating value in a challenging
political & economic
environment
OVERVIEW
MIKE BROWN
3NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Political & policy uncertainty leading to sovereign-credit-ratings down-
grades, lower levels of confidence & recessionary economic conditions
Nedbank & client business impacts
Clients
– Delayed investment & strong repayment behaviours
– Increased savings with focus on lower risk assets/cash
– Liquidations & insolvencies down
– Slower transactional activity & increasing levels of in-bundle behaviour
Balance sheet
– Wholesale pipelines strong, but conversion slower & early repayments
increased, leading to slower wholesale advances growth
– Muted retail advances growth
– Strong deposit growth & excellent liquidity metrics
– Strong organic capital generation
Income statement
– Slower revenue & expense growth
– Improvement in impairments – particularly wholesale
– Currently no material impact of sovereign-credit downgrades on
funding costs
Assets under management
– Good growth, particularly in cash & offshore
Reduced confidence
As at Jul 16 Feb 17 Jul 17
SA GDP 1.0% 0.7% 0.6%
Ave prime rate 10.3% 10.4% 10.3%
Ave inflation (CPI) 6.5% 5.7% 5.3%
Pvt sector credit growth 8.0% 6.2% 5.2%
Key indicators – 2017 forecasts
Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17
SACCI BCI1 95.1 93.8 94.9
RMB/BER BCI2 32 38 29
FNB/BER CCI3 -9 -10 -9
1 SACCI Business Confidence Index.2 RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (50 indicates neutral position, 100 extremely positive).3 FNB/BER Consumer Confidence Index (+10 very positive | -10 very negative).
4NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Delivering value to shareholders
NAV per share1 (cents)
12
18
0
13
59
6
14
42
8
15
82
6
16
20
0
13 14 15 16 17
390
460
537
570
610
13 14 15 16 17
16.1 16.5
17.3
15.715.1
13.013.5
13.0
14.4 13.9
18.418.9
13 14 15 16 17
ROE (excl GW)COEROE (excl GW & ETI)
ROE & cost of equity (%) Dividend per share (cents)
NAV ROE > COE Dividends
+2.4% +7.0%CAGR: +7.4% CAGR: +11.8%
H1 H1 H1
1 NAV per share excluding ETI: CAGR +8.8% & +6.6% yoy.
5NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Our role in society – contributing by delivering value to all our stakeholders
STAFF
CLIENTS
SHAREHOLDERS
REGULATORS
COMMUNITIES
Paid R7.8bn in salaries & benefits to support our 32 349 staffmembers & their families
Facilitated transfer of R2.4bn payroll taxes on behalf of staff to government
Leadership & culture change programme supporting strategy
Transforming our workforce towards SA demographics (> 77% black employees)
R76bn new loan payouts to enable clients to finance their homes, vehicles, education & grow their businesses
Enhance client convenience – 74 new Intelligent Depositors, reformatted 303 digitally focused branches to date & added 234 video-banking stations
Infrastructure financing – over R50bn drawn & committed
Safeguarded R763bn deposits at competitive interest rates
Top 3 SA asset manager for nine consecutive years –managing our clients’ investments
Increased NAV per share to 162 00 cents
Paid R3.1bn dividends to shareholders who represent pension funds & investments of all South Africans (incl GEPF, a 6.5% shareholder in Nedbank)
Supportive outcomes at 50th AGM – all resolutions passed with > 90% votes of approval
Maintained a strong balance sheet to support a safe & stable banking system
Paid R5.5bn direct, indirect & other taxes
Invested more than R100bn in government & public sector bonds to support the funding needs of government
Procured 75% of our goods & services locally
Contributed R66m to socioeconomic development (50% spent on education)
Maintained level 2 BBBEE status for eight consecutive years
Paid out R14.9bn in renewable-energy financing to date
TO BE THE MOST ADMIRED
FINANCIAL SERVICES PROVIDER IN AFRICA
BY OUR STAKEHOLDERS
Our purpose - to use our financial expertise to do good for individuals, families, businesses & society
6NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Solid performance from managed
operations underpinned by good
cost management & high-quality
advances book
FINANCIAL
OVERVIEW
RAISIBE MORATHI
7NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Key performance indicators – solid performance from managed
operations
H1
2017
H1
2016
H1
2017¹
H1
2016¹
Headline earnings (Rm) (2.9%) 5 271 5 427 6.7% 6 433 6 030
ROE (excl goodwill) 15.1% 15.7% 18.9% 18.4%
Diluted HEPS growth (3.7%) 1.6% 5.9% 19.7%
Preprovisioning operating profit growth (5.7%) 1.5% (0.1%) 11.6%
Net interest margin2 3.58% 3.52%
CLR 0.47% 0.67%
NIR-to-expenses ratio 81.6% 83.0%
CET1 CAR 12.3% 11.6%
Assets under management (Rbn) 15.2% 295 256
Dividend per share (cents) 7.0% 610 5701 Excluding associate income/losses, as well as funding costs. | 2 H1 2016 rebased.
Managed operations
8NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Headline earnings – solid performance from managed operations
Headline earnings (Rm)
5 427 5 427 5 947
6 320 6 254 5 632
5 271 5 271
520
373
617 (683)
(622)
(361)
H12016
NII NIR Impairments Expenses Associateincome
Direct tax& other
H12017
+4.0% (27.9%)+3.3% +5.0% (>100.0%)
(2.9)
6.7
Group Managedoperations
HE growth (%)
15.118.9
Group Managedoperations
ROE excl GW (%)
9NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Net interest margin – driven by endowment & asset mix
Net interest margin (bps)
1 Rebased NIM for six months ended 30 June 2016 would have been 352 bps & AIEA of R745m, had HQLA been removed from the banking book & included in the trading book from 1 January 2016.2 HQLA -1 bps included in Other.
2
Average interest-earning banking assets1 +2.4%
337
352358
15
96
(5)(1) (4)
1
H12016
TradingLAP
RebasedH1 2016
Endowmentimpact
Assetmix
Assetpricing
Liabilitypricing& mix
Net prime -JIBARimpact
Other H120171 1
10NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
H1 2016 H1 2017
Net interest margin – narrowing of prime - JIBAR spread in H2 2016
Prime – 3-month average JIBAR spread (bps)
H2 2016
Ave: 345 bps Ave: 320 bps Ave: 320 bps
3.00
3.10
3.20
3.30
3.40
3.50
3.60
Jan 16 Mar 16 May 16 Jul 16 Sep 16 Nov 16 Jan 17 Mar 17 May 17
Narrowing of the prime - JIBAR spread H1 2017 vs
H1 2016 as short end JIBAR rates priced in prime
interest rate hikes that have not materialised in
H2 2016 & H1 2017
11NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
142
158
127
144
101 1
8
15
154
156
122
148
107 1
9
16
Commercialproperty
Termloans
Otherloans
Homeloans
Vehiclefinance
Personalloans
Card
H1 2016 H1 2017
21
Share3 Trend
Commercial
property40.3
Core corporate4 21.2
Home loans 14.5
Vehicle finance 27.6
Personal loans 10.8
Card 14.1
Selective origination
& unique positioning
Gross advances (Rbn)
Mostly
ST &
volatile
Wholesale
Advances up 2.4% – solid growth across retail portfolios driving mix benefit
in NIM
BA900 market share
+8.3% +2.8%(1.1%)
(4.0%)
+6.0%
+5.1% +6.9%
Leveraging
relationships &
pipeline
Retail
1 Terms loans & other longer-dated loans in CIB.2 Other loans include overdrafts, overnight loans, preference shares, deposits placed under reverse repurchase agreements & other smaller corporate loans. 3 BA900 – May 2017 (Compared to June 2016).4 Core corporate loans comprise commercial mortgages, corporate overdrafts, corporate credit cards, corporate instalment credit, foreign sector loans, public sector loans, preference shares, factoring accounts &
. other corporate loans (other loans and advances excluding household personal loans). | Negative impact of ~R4bn on CIB loan book as a result of ZAR strength.
12NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
BA900 market share
Share3 Trend
Wholesale 22.0
Commercial 17.1
Household 19.1
Foreign
currency 13.9
Deposits (Rbn)
Deposits up 2.8% – good transactional & Basel III deposit growth,
particularly in RBB, up 8.8%, evident in ongoing market share gains
1 Nedbank’s market share of medium- & long-term wholesale funding is 25% and 26% respectively (May 2017). The favourable Basel III treatment of longer-term funding reduces the need to hold HQLA, thereby
. positively impacting the all-in marginal cost of longer-term wholesale funding vs short-term wholesale funds. Including NCDs with tenure of > 30 days.2 Includes foreign currency liabilities, deposits received under repurchase agreements & other.3 BA900 – May 2017 (Compared to June 2016).
10
2
64
89 52
50
27
7
16
0
10
8
67
81
56
55
29
4
15
7
Current &savings acc
CashMgmt
NCDs L/Tdebt
Fixeddeposits
Call &term
Other
H1 2016 H1 2017
Driven by client
behaviour in the
cycle
Increasing
contractual
tenure
(+ for Basel III)
Transactional
franchise
+6.1%
+8.0%+5.4%(8.6%)
+9.2%
+6.3%
(1.9%)
Increasing
behavioural tenure
(+ for Basel III)
Lengthen funding
profile
Linked to
trading
activities
2
1
13NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
4 1
(2) (6)(1)
13 14 15 16 17
Endowment (bps)
HQLA (bps)Total liability mix change & pricing (bps)
(4)
6 5
15
9
(6) (2) (1)
13 14 15 16 17
1
(17)
(11)(13)
6
Net interest margin – driven by endowment, asset mix
change & enhancing the funding profile
Asset mix change (bps)
BOOKLET SLIDE
H1 H1
14NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Funding
sources
Funding
base mix
Foreign currency
downgrade
(what we expected1)
Foreign currency
downgrade
(what actually happened2)
Local currency
downgrade
(what we expect3)
Mild stress Mild stress High stress
Households 20%Limited impact – closed
domestic market
Limited impact – closed
domestic market
Limited impact – closed
domestic market
Commercial 25%Cost of new term funding:
+ 5 bps
Wholesale 40% Reprice marginallyCost of new term funding:
+ 5−8 bps
Cost of new term funding:
+ 10 bps
Capital markets 8% Reprice on new issuances
Down 25−35 bps
(having overshot events of
Nenegate)
Cost of new capital markets
funding: + 25 bps
Foreign – asset matched 6%Matched to US$ lending – no
material impact
Matched to US$ lending – no
material impact
Matched to US$ lending – no
material impact
Foreign – general funding
pool1%
Reprice on contractual
repricing date
Cost of new foreign funding:
+ 15−25 bps (1 year)
Cost of new foreign funding:
+ 25−50 bps (1 year)
Volume-weighted total 100% circa 0 bps circa +5 bps
Net interest margin – impact of sovereign-credit-ratings
downgrades on funding costs not materialBOOKLET SLIDE
Total funding (deposits + long-term debt) at 30 June 2017: R819bn.1 From Dec 2016 year-end presentation | 2 Post sovereign-credit-ratings downgrades in April 2017 (S&P & Fitch to subinvestment grade) | Volume-weighted increase would have been an additional +4 bps if capital
markets increased by + 25 bps | 3 Downgrade to subinvestment grade by Moody’s and S&P (impact over & above initial foreign currency downgrade). Overall impact remains immaterial at + 5 bps for scenarios.
15NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Sovereign
downgradesNenegateABIL
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Feb12
Aug12
Jul13
Nov13
Mar14
Apr14
Jun14
Oct14
Nov14
Feb15
Apr15
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Nov15
Feb16
May16
Jul16
Sep16
Feb17
Mar17
May17
Jun17
3-year SUD 5-year SUD 7-year SUD 10- to 12-year SUD Tier 2
Net interest margin – evolution of Tier 2 & SUD pricing BOOKLET SLIDE
Pricing (bps above JIBAR)
16NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
8 436
2 006
776
203
309
Commission& fees
Tradingincome
Insuranceincome
Privateequity
Other¹
Non-interest revenue up 3.3% – resilient performance in a challenging environment
NIR growth per cluster (%)Non-interest revenue (Rm)
+3.1%
+13.3%
(15.7%)
(52.8%)
1 Represents sundry income, investment income & fair-value adjustments. | 2 C&F 72% of NIR. Growth > 5% ▲ Decline (> 5%) ▼
CIB RBB Wealth RoA
H1 16 H1 17 H1 16 H1 17 H1 16 H1 17 H1 16 H1 17
14.1 (3.9) 7.4 5.6 9.1 (7.9) (12.9) 30.9
▲72.8
▼(53.0)
▼(11.6)
▼(8.0)
▲12.7
▼(16.8)
▲5.5
▲11.6
▲25.3
▼(6.6)
▲7.7
▲5.2
▼(9.5)
▲9.22
17NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
131
8377
67
47
13 14 15 16 17
Credit loss ratio – decrease underpinned by a quality portfolio across all
clusters
Group CLR1 (bps) Cluster CLR (bps)
Banking
advances1 Nedbank through-the-cycle target range: 60–100 bps.
H1
48.7% 44.2% 4.3% 3.0%
31
123
16
76
(3)
114
9
80
CIB RBB Wealth RoA
H1 2016 H1 2017
18NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
564 578
16 17
701 409
350
350
16 17
RBB Centre
Specific coverage (%) Portfolio coverage (%)
Overlays & central
provision (Rm)
Defaulted advances – maintained prudent levels of coverage & overlays
Defaulted advances (Rbn, %)
36.2 37.2
16 17
0.71 0.65
16 17
18.4 20.2 16.6 16.6
2.62.8
2.3 2.3
0
1
2
3
0
10
20
30
16 17 16 17
Defaulted advances Defaulted advances as % of book
+9.5%
+0.3%
H1
H1 H1
H1
Postwriteoff
recoveries (Rm)
H1
Defaulted advances Defaulted advances
(excl performing
defaults)1
1 Defaulted advances, excluding performing defaults, is defined as Retail advances held in default due to regulatory requirements but are otherwise performing.
19NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
86%76%
14%24%
Specificimpairment
NPLs
10 largest exposures Other
CPF12%
Other88%
CIB – CLR improvement underpinned by resolution of stressed counters &
resultant provision reversals
Top 10 client contribution (%)
CLR driven by large recoveries & underpinned by
quality book (bps)
4
10 31
(3)20
4
5
(3)
June 2017Performing
portfolio
(1)
Resolutions
(11)
New
defaults
Existing
defaults
Dec 2016 to June 2017
Dec 2015 to June 2016
June 2016Performing
portfolioResolutionsNew
defaults
Existing
defaults
20NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
RBB – CLR underpinned by quality origination
HL new business – low-risk clients proportion1 (%) Vehicle finance 3- months+ arrears benchmarking3
HL new business – low-risk properties proportion² (%) PL market share of new business by risk band4 (%)
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Nedbank Competitors
11 12 13 14 15 16 170.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.006%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
1 Source: Experian Delphi Score.2 Source: Lightstone Risk Quality Grade.
3 Source: TransUnion.4 Source: Experian.
**Nedbank Tier 1 Tier 2
High riskMedium riskLow to medium riskLow risk *
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
14 171615
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
17161514
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
17161514
* Low risk (Bureau score >= 658); low-medium risk (Bureau score 644-657); medium risk (Bureau score 626-643); high risk (Bureau score <= 625).
** Tier 1 refers to big 4 banks, excluding Nedbank, while Tier 2 refers to remaining material providers of unsecured personal loans.
21NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Group CIB Home loans Vehicle finance Personal loans Card
Nedbank (Jun 17) Nedbank (Dec 16) Bank A Bank B Bank C
Specific coverage – reflecting wholesale & retail asset mix profile
Big 4 banks’ specific coverage ratios1 (%)
1 Peer information from last reported financials (Dec 2016).
Wholesale advances contribution
Selective origination
since 2010 & high-
quality book
CPF 37% of CIB book (higher levels of
security) & coverage in CIB less relevant as
provisions individually determined
Total retail coverage 41.8 42.9 36.3 ND
61% 47% 49% 47%
22NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Expenses – focus on discretionary costs in a slowing revenue growth
environment
Expense growth (%)
8.0
8.9
7.4
8.8
5.0
6.5
8.4
3.4
5.76.2
4.4
6.4 5.4
13 14 15 16 17
Expense growth Excl RoA Inflation
H1
Expenses by cluster (Rm, % growth)
2 911 9 374 1 404 1 092
CIB RBB Wealth RoA
+8.1%
+4.7%
+28.5%+0.4%
2
1 Excluding the consolidation of Banco Único, RoA increased 13%. | 2 Rest of Africa cluster disclosures from 2015.
1
23NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Expenses – focus on discretionary costs in a slowing revenue growth
environment
Expenses (Rm) Key drivers
1 Investments, including IT projects, branch reformatting costs, etc.
13
68
6
13 9
10
14
36
9
566 342 265 66 128
H12016
BAUgrowth
Efficiencies BAUgrowth
Investments Regulatory BancoÚnico
H12017
+1.6% +3.4% Headcount reduction since
Dec ̓16
Discretionary spend well
controlled
Focus on cost-efficiencies
Investment in IT systems/
digital innovation & outlets to
grow the franchise
Additional cost of regulatory
compliance
Consolidation impact of Banco
Único
24NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
11.2
8.1
6.1
18.8
1.7
8.8
12.7
5.4
8.5
6.9
(7.6)
5.9
Fees &insurances
Occupation& accommodation
Marketing
Computerprocessing
Incentives
Staff costs
H1 2017 H1 2016
Expense growth – slower growth driven by discretionary spend
Key initiatives driving positive jaws
into the futureExpense growth drivers (%)
Contribution
to total (%)
46.0
8.5
14.8
6.1
8.1
10.8
Headcount optimisation primarily
through natural attrition (~ 10% pa)
Digitisation & integrated channels –
lower cost to serve & revenue
benefits
Target operating model synergies of
R1bn by 2019
Managed evolution IT core systems
replacement
Automation, robotics & artificial
intelligence
Shared services model, including
procurement & property strategy
25NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Expense growth – Target operating model implementation on track to
contribute to meeting medium-to-long-term efficiency target of 50–53%
Target operating model
2019
Shared services
cost optimisation
RBB cost
optimisation
Revenue
opportunities
R1bn pretax
synergies
Removing duplication across
shared services functions (eg
finance, HR, risk, compliance)
Automation & robotics
Marketing spend
optimisation
RoA headoffice cost
optimisation
221 initiatives across 5 broad areas
Credit
Evolved distribution
Operational excellence
Organisational simplification
Procurement
New digital technologies/products/services through partnerships
with accelerators/incubators/Fintechs
Innovation integration & delivery, eg Digital Fast Lane
Data-driven intelligence
± 30%
± 40%
± 30%
26NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
0.91.0 1.0
1.2
1.7
12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Expenses – replacing core systems in a cost-efficient manner
to create a more agile & digital IT architecture
Nedbank IT cashflow spend1 (Rbn)
1 Costs including software & development costs, as well as computer equipment | Note: Increased amortisation costs more than offset by reduction in licence fees, maintenance costs & process benefits ensuring all
IT projects are NPV positive, apart from a few regulatory driven IT implementations.
Projected to reduce by
2018/19 as regulatory
projects complete
Illustrative only
Core systems (#)
Target
211194
176166
145138
60
12 13 14 15 16 H117
20
BOOKLET SLIDE
27NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Associate income – ETI performance reflective of tough environment,
particularly in Nigeria
Associate income from ETI1 (Rm)
148 278 292 152
(676)
230 171 150
(1 203)
142
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
870 (125)
15 16 17
(1 061)
ETI FY 2016 results (announced
on 18 April 2017)
More difficult operating
environment in Nigeria &
adverse currency movements
Full impairment charge against
legacy loan portfolio
ETI H1 ̓17
expected
around
24 Aug ̓17
1 ETI accounted for one quarter in arrear
28NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
ETI carrying value – closed gap to market value as macro conditions in
Nigeria gradually improved in H1 2017
7 808
3 978 3 083 3 045
4 586
(2 830)
(895)
(1 000)
Carrying valueDec 2015
Carrying valueDec 2016
Carrying valueJun 2017
Market valueJun 2017
Share of ETINAV Mar 2017
Associate income/(loss), FCTR, OCI & dividends
Carrying value drivers vs market value (Rm)
Impairment provision
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Dec 16 Feb 17 Apr 17 Jun 17
ETI share price Nigerian Bank Index
ETI share price vs Nigerian bank index398
14274
10
FY16
results: 7
Note: R895m negative adjustment made up of R1 061m associate loss & R166m positive FCTR and OCI movements.
29NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
12.1 12.3
13.0
1.0 (0.6)(0.2) 13.2
Dec2016
Organicprofits
Dividendspaid
RWAincrease
Jun2017
RWA growth vs yoy change in CET1 (excl ETI) (%)
Capital – strong capital generation given slower RWA growth enabling
sustainable dividend payments
CET1 & Tier 1 capital ratio (%)
CET1: 10.5–12.5%
SARB minimum CET1: 7.25%
CET1
Tier 1
Note: Capital adequacy ratios are underpinned by ongoing organic profit generation & RWA optimisation opportunities. IFRS 9 is not anticipated to have a significant impact on capital adequacy.
CAR enhancing
RWA < Capital growth
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
H113
H213
H114
H214
H115
H215
H116
H216
H117
CET1 ratio (LHS) CET1 ratio, excl ETI (LHS)
RWA growth (RHS)
30NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Capital – fully loss-absorbent capital adequacy BOOKLET SLIDE
Fully loss-absorbent capital adequacy ratios1 (%)
13.9
11.8
13.6 13.0 12.8
Bank A Bank B Bank C Nedbank Nedbank
Tier 1 Tier 2
15.6
13.0
14.415.3
Mar 2017 Jun 2017
1 Nedbank analysis based on peer disclosures. Fully loss-absorbent capital excludes old-style capital instruments & therefore represents fully loss-absorbent capacity before gone concern.
AT 1 issuances (Rbn, bps above JIBAR)
1 500 500 600
700625
565
May 16 Nov 16 Jun 17
Value issued Pricing above JIBAR
15.2
Dec 2016
31NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Dividend – targeting dividend cover at the midpoint of our target range
given strong capital generation
Dividend cover (x times) Dividend yield1 (%)
1.93
2.162.20
2.18 2.162.10
1.99
1.80
13 14 15 16 17
Dividend cover excluding ETI associate income
Dividend cover
Board-approved target range:
1.75–2.25x
5.8
2.9
13 14 15 16 17
NED JSE All-share index
1 Source: I-Net
H1
32NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Earnings contribution (Rm)Headline earnings (Rm)
61%
48%
10%
1%
(22%)2%
CIB RBB Wealth Rest of Africa ETI Centre
3 0
04
2 3
71
61
4
53
(12)
3 2
11
2 5
44
519
70 89
CIB RBB Wealth Rest ofAfrica
(SADC)
Centre
H1 2016 H1 2017
Solid performance from managed operations
+6.9%
+7.3%
(15.5%)
+32.1%
33NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Good headline earnings growth
supported by impairment
recoveries
NEDBANK CORPORATE
& INVESTMENT
BANKING
BRIAN KENNEDY
34NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Growth in headline earnings despite challenging economic
environment
Despite NII & NIR pressures, HE increased 7%
Enabling greater client flow & increased product
penetration
Proactive risk management resulting in lower
impairments
ROE maintained above 20%
Renewed focus on cost management, including
investment in disruptive technologies
Key drivers1 8
70
2 2
12
2 4
85
3 0
04
3 2
11
26.9 26.3
22.921.3 20.8
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
-
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
13 14 15 16 17
Headline earnings (Rm) ROE (%)
Headline earnings, ROE
+7%
H1
4.3% 4.5% 5.4% 6.1% 6.4%
Capitalisation rates:
35NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
60.9%39.1%
Headline earnings
49.6%50.4%
Assets
Nedbank CIB Other clustersSix months ended % change H1 2017 H1 2016
Headline earnings (Rm) 6.9 3 211 3 004
Operating income (Rm) 5.3 7 041 6 688
PPOP (Rm) (8.4) 4 059 4 431
Net interest margin (%) 2.13 1.97
NIR-to-expense ratio (%) 115.8 130.1
Efficiency ratio (%) 41.6 37.5
CLR (%) (0.03) 0.31
Average banking advances (Rm) 2.2 331 599 324 519
Average deposits (Rm) (0.1) 339 930 340 140
Headline economic profit (Rm) 11.1 1 065 959
Allocated capital (Rm)1 9.7 31 071 28 329
ROE (%) 20.8 21.3
Corporate & Investment Banking – financial highlights BOOKLET SLIDE
1 Cost of equity H1 2016: 14.4%. | H1 2017: 13.9%.
36NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
13 14 15 16 17
Total Banking Total Property Finance Other
Despite muted average advances growth, quality of book pays
off, while future pipeline remains steady
Average loans & advances (Rbn)
2%
1 Total banking defined as Investment Banking & Client Coverage combined.
1
Investment grade & NIM
H1
(1%) 71% 72% 70% 70% 74%
1.92% 1.92%1.99% 1.97%
2.13%
1.91%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
13 14 15 16 17
Investment Grade (LHS) NIM (RHS)2 H1 2017 NIM would have been 1.91% if adjusted for liquid asset portfolio (like-for-like to H1 16).
2
H1
10%
37NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
42
15
38 31
(3)
13 14 15 16 17
CIB sector exposures
22.3 21.618.1
14.8
24.6
13 14 15 16 17
Proactive risk management yielding results
Specific coverage (%)
CLR (bps)
Target range (15−45 bps)
Migration
risk
Down-
side
risk
Change
H1
33.2%
1.8%
1.1%
3.3%
3.5%
1.9%
7.4%
32.5%
2.1%
1.0%
3.5%
4.0%
1.3%
7.7%
Property Finance
Oil & Gas
Construction
Equity
Mining
Retailers
State OwnedEntities
2016 2017
Change in risk profile on the prior period:
▼[ ] Risk decrease [ ] No change [ ] Risk increase- ▲
H
H
M
L
M
L
L L ▼
H -
-
-
-
H M -
M M -
L
H1 16 H1 17
38NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
-
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
13 14 15 16 17
Trading Income Fees & Comms Private Equity & Other
H1
NIR impacted by subdued client activity, down 3,8%
Key drivers
Good trading income growth as the Market’s
business continues to focus on providing
solutions to all our clients
Commission & fees decreased as a result of
lower corporate activity
Private-equity valuations impacted by the current
economic conditions & high base in prior years
Embedded client intelligence platforms to
enhance our value proposition to clients
Successful primary transactional account wins &
retention of top-tier clients to contribute to
commission & fee growth in H2 2017 & expand
our deposit base
NIR (Rm)
(7%)
11%
(60%)
Comm & fees
39NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Client solutions leading to significant wins
2017 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017
Co-mandated lead arranger, underwriter &
lender of a R3.3bn debt facilityConcluded innovative R2bn debt facility
R1.5bn preference share facility
Co-mandated lead arranger, underwriter &
lender of US$43m in senior debt &
US$10m fuel L/C facility
Mandated lead arranger of R1.6bn funding
package & maintained its position as
primary banker
TBC
Maintained its position as the primary
banker to & funder of Growthpoint
Properties Ltd by concluding an innovative
R2.4bn debt refinancing facility
Preferred supplier of cash-handling
solutions to Tsogo Sun Group, maintained
current primary banker status as well as
addition of Sun 1 Hotels Group
Reappointed as the primary banker to the
Western Cape Government (WCG) for a
third consecutive five-year term
2017
20172017
Concluded successful leveraged
Management buy-out (MBO)
40NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Prospects for Corporate & Investment Banking
A powerful wholesale business focused on its clients
Continued revenue pressure given subdued economy in SA, and corporate & government
investment slowdown to persist in H2 2017
Ongoing commitment to expanding our African focus
Proactive risk management & supporting our clients during difficult periods
Investment in disruptive technologies that deliver enhanced client experiences, revenue growth
& efficiencies over the long term
Proactively acquiring & building top talent at all levels
Continue to create unique client solutions by synergistically combining the strong platforms in
Investment Banking, Markets, Property, Coverage & Transactional
41NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Improving ROE & good
earnings growth in a difficult
environment
NEDBANK RETAIL
& BUSINESS
BANKING
CIKO THOMAS
42NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
1 4
03
1 8
31
2 1
32
2 3
71
2 5
44
11.0
13.915.9
18.3 18.7
-2.0
3.0
8.0
13.0
18.0
23.0
28.0
-
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
13 14 15 16 17
Headline earnings (Rm) ROE (%)
Improving ROE & good earnings growth in a difficult
environment
Key drivers
PPOP + 3.1%
− NII: Solid advances & strong deposit growth, offset
by NIM compression
− NIR growth robust despite weak economic growth
impacting transactional volumes
− Ongoing active cost management, balancing
investments in digital & distribution
CLR benefitting from quality book & collections, &
release of overlays no longer required
RWA reductions reflective of selective origination
Headline earnings, ROE
7.3%
H1
43NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
48.3%51.7%
Headline earnings
32.3%
67.7%
Assets
Nedbank RBB Other clustersSix months ended % change H1 2017 H1 2016
Headline earnings (Rm) 7.3 2 544 2 371
Operating income (Rm) 4.9 13 086 12 477
PPOP (Rm) 3.1 5 248 5 088
Net interest margin (%) 5.93 6.12
NIR-to-expense ratio (%) 64.0 63.5
Efficiency ratio (%) 63.4 62.8
CLR (%) 1.14 1.23
Average banking advances (Rm) 3.7 291 400 280 914
Average deposits (Rm) 9.1 274 012 251 187
Headline economic profit (Rm) 32.4 650 491
Allocated capital (Rm)1 5.3 27 415 26 040
ROE (%) 18.7 18.3
Retail & Business Banking – financial highlights BOOKLET SLIDE
1 Cost of equity H1 2016: 14.4%. | H1 2017: 13.9%.
44NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
1 542 1 702 1 781
916 942
1 064
2 049 2 230
2 306
15 16 17
Retail transactional NIR growth ahead of client growth
Total retail client base (000s) Retail NIR (Rm)
4 512 4 617 4 829
2 526 2 712 2 702
15 16 17
Retail excl
main-
banked
Total7 531
7 3297 038
+4.1%
+7.3%
(0.3%)
Main-
banked
+2.8%
Transactional
Other
Total
4 874
4 507
+5.7%
+8.2%
+6.2%
+7.0%
5 151
H1 H1
Consumer
Card Issuing
45NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Client-centred strategy intact but measure impacted
by macro environment
Main-banked (000s)K
ids &
yo
uth
En
try le
ve
lM
idd
le
Pro
fessio
na
lS
ma
ll b
usin
ess
Bu
sin
ess
bankin
gNote: Non-resident, non-individual segment not shown.
Jun 17
761
Jun 16
757
Jun 15
714
10910397
696764376 409 383
(6%)
Jun 17Jun 15 Jun 16
21.7 21.922.0
1 267 1 3741 369
+9%
+0%+8%
+1%+6%
+3%+5%
+6%+6%
(0%)+1%
46NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Accelerated digitisation of technology & operations
Change in 2017
Devices
Intelligent Depositors (ID)
ATMs
Video bankers
Self service kiosks
Interactive tellers
Volumes
Internet usage
App Suite usage
ATM & ID withdrawals
ID deposits
Teller activity
Digital clients1 (000s) Deposit volumes (000s)
>100%
1 Digitally enabled & active clients have been restated to include all digital channels & to allow for only last 90 days of recent activity.2 Growth largely as a result of the Digital Activation programme run in Q4 2016.
+39%
Enabled
3 861
2 936
5 6802
Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17
829748
Active
+8%
869
(3%)
38%
48%
Launched 2016
12%
(6%)
3%
32%
33%
20%
H1 2015
13 460
H1 2017
+5%
42%
14 79314 691
H1 2016
32%
Self Service DepositsTraditional Deposits
47NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Non-performing defaulted advances & specific coverage stable
ProductsJun
2017
Jun
2016
Dec
2016
Home loans 25.0 25.5 25.7
Vehicle asset finance2 60.2 63.4 61.4
Personal loans 71.5 70.4 72.4
Card 92.8 94.6 95.6
Other loans 96.2 95.9 96.2
Total Retail 52.7 52.7 52.9
Business Banking 37.1 38.7 37.6
Total RBB 49.6 49.7 49.9
0%
5%
10%
15%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Home loans Personal loans
Vehicle asset finance Card
Retail total Business Banking
Non-performing default % of total advances1 Non-performing specific coverage (%)
1 Excludes performing defaulted advances2 Vehicle asset finance includes MFC & vehicle loans in RRB.
2
48NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Floor space saved
(m2)
639 593
453391
324
171
255304
303
2010 2014 2015 2016 2017H1
Traditional New image
Integrated channels – efficient use of space & staff, optimising
branch footprint
2010 2014 2015 2016 2017H1
Outlets format mix
(#)
Total & new-image outlets
(#)
Floor space
saved since
2014
13 695
18 743
764708 695
7 273
Target > 30 000 m2 by 2020
639
452 500 504 507 512
4371 55 40 0
144
193149 148
115
2010 2014 2015 2016 2017H1
Branches Personal loans
Inretailers
764708 695
63924 819627 627
49NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Cost initiatives – contributor to ongoing efficiencies & savings
221 initiatives in five areas
Credit
Evolved distribution
Organisation simplification
Procurement
Operational excellence
Distribution slowdown of branch rollouts & refurbishments
Servicing programme – branch headcount reduction
Sales & service integration & reducing layers of management
Inretailer outlet strategy optimisation
Automation of middle office & onboarding in personal loans
Self-service websites
Video banker
Electronic communication optimisation
Credit function simplification in Business Banking
Operational improvements in recoveries & debt collections
Robotic automation
Support function optimisation
Guarding & armed response
Marketing
Telephony & mobile costs
Real estate management: Turnkey supplier model
RBB initiatives
50NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Prospects for Retail & Business Banking
Building sustainable, profitable businesses through the cycle
Grow transactional clients faster than the market through focus on acquisition, retention & cross-sell,
enabled by:
− Digital First, First in Digital
− Disruptive CVPs
− Sales & service excellence
− Loyalty & rewards
Continued quality origination to drive relative CLR outperformance through the cycle
Ongoing focus on expenses with optimisation initiatives
Acceleration of the digital journey to drive improved client experience & operational efficiency
H2 2017 to remain challenging, but benefit from H1 2017 momentum
51NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Challenging first half of the year
NEDBANK
WEALTH
IOLANDA RUGGIERO
52NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
42
1
46
4
51
9
61
4
51
9
35.933.9
38.935.9
27.8
-3.0
2.0
7.0
12.0
17.0
22.0
27.0
32.0
37.0
42.0
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
13 14 15 16 17
Headline Earnings ROE (%)
Growth impacted by tough economic conditions
Key drivers
Steady growth in Wealth & Asset Management, offset
by weaker Insurance earnings & currency impact
NII supported by good balance sheet growth both
locally & internationally
Decline in impairments driving low CLR
NIR impacted by increase in weather-related claims in
Insurance & subdued market activity
Expense growth well contained
Decline in ROE impacted by prevailing economic
conditions as well as an increase in allocated capital
Headline earnings, ROE
(15.5%)
H1
Headline earnings
53NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
9.8%
90.2%
Headline earnings
Wealth Other clustersSix months ended % change H1 2017 H1 2016
Headline earnings (Rm) (15.5) 519 614
Operating income (Rm) (4.9) 2 137 2 247
PPOP (Rm) (16.1) 685 816
Net interest margin (%) 2.15 2.07
NIR-to-expense ratio (%) 118.2 129.1
Efficiency ratio (%) 65.3 61.5
CLR (%) 0.09 0.16
Assets under management (Rbn) 15.2 295 323 256 325
Life embedded value (Rm) (9.8) 2 805 3 110
Life value of new business (Rm) (14.0) 148 172
Headline economic profit (Rm) (29.2) 259 366
Allocated capital (Rm)1 9.3 3 764 3 445
ROE (%) 27.8 35.9
Nedbank Wealth – financial highlights
Net inflows R15.6bn
Life APE (11.2%)
Non-life GWP +4,1%
BOOKLET SLIDE
1 Cost of equity H1 2016: 14.4% | H1 2017: 13.9%
54NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Wealth Management – steady growth
Key drivers
Integrated international proposition attracting new
clients & NCCF
Portfolio management & brokerage fees impacted
by subdued investor sentiment
Recognised as a top wealth manager
Nedbank Private Wealth app rated top mobile
banking app
Liabilities & advances (Rbn)
Wealth Management Intl
H1
H1
+4
.2%
(0.7%)
13 14 15 16 17
Liabilities Advances
+34
.1%
27%
13 14 15 16 17
SA client flows SA clients %
1 December numbers, all other periods at June
1
55NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Asset management – excellent investment performance
Key drivers
Best of Breed™ rated top 3 SA manager for 9th
consecutive year & top offshore manager for 3rd year
5th largest unit trust manager & 4th largest offshore
manager in SA
Overall AUM growth of 15.2%
Industry-leading net flows driven by international,
income, passive & cash solutions, resulting in market
share growth
Leading provider of low-cost unitised multi-asset
solutions
Assets under management (Rbn)
167.2 209.5233.5 256.3
295.3
-
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
13 14 15 16 17
Local International
H1
15.2%
8%
12%
0%
5%
10%
15%
09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
SA unit trust
FSB approved offshore unit trust
Market share1 (%)
Quarterly 1 Source: ASISA
17
56NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
172
148
-
50
100
150
200
250
13 14 15 16 17
58
3
60
7
400
450
500
550
600
13 14 15 16 17
Insurance – building a client-centred business
Key drivers
Insurance earnings impacted by increased claims
partially offset by a release of reserves
Life VNB decrease driven by lower credit life volumes
& an increase in lapses in credit life & funeral policies
Marginal non-life gross written premium growth
impacted by lower-than-expected homeowner’s cover
volumes
Life value of new business (Rm)
Non-life gross written premiums (Rm)
H1
H1
(14.0%)
4.1%
57NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Prospects for Nedbank Wealth
Continued focus on driving sustainable growth
Client-centred focus through value propositions, brand positioning, systems & accelerated digital
innovation
Continued top investment performance & market share growth
Explore new opportunities for growth & deepen group collaboration
Improved performance expected during H2 2017
58NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
SADC – investing for growth
ETI – risks remain, but outlook
improving
REST OF AFRICA
MFUNDO NKUHLU
59NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Rest of Africa – growth in SADC subsidiaries off a low base, offset
by ETI Q4 2016 loss
Key drivers
ETI
Rest of Africa results impacted by ETI Q4 2016 loss
previously reported on 18 April 2017
ETI Q1 2017 profits in line with expectation – driven
by treasury, fixed income & cash management
SADC
SADC subsidiaries grew profits by 32% off a low
base
Allocated capital up 20%
ROE of 3,0% well below the cost of equity
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
-1400.0
-1200.0
-1000.0
-800.0
-600.0
-400.0
-200.0
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
16 17
HE SADC HE ETI
Headline earnings
+32.1%
(550)
(1 092)
H1
(92.7%)
(98.5%)
60NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
(20.7%)
120.7%
Headline earnings
3.7%
96.3%
Assets
Rest of Africa Other clustersSix months ended % change H1 2017 H1 2016
SADC
Headline earnings (Rm) 32.1 70 53
Operating income (Rm) 35.5 1 260 930
PPOP (Rm) 46.8 182 124
Net interest margin (%) 7.09 6.36
NIR-to-expense ratio (%) 44.6 43.8
Efficiency ratio (%) 81.4 83.3
CLR (%) 0.80 0.76
Average banking advances (Rm) 19.8 19 828 16 544
Average deposits (Rm) 22.9 27 462 22 345
Economic profit (Rm)1 (10.4) (254) (230)
Allocated capital (Rm) 20.3 4 691 3 901
ROE (%) 3.0 2.7
ETI investment
Headline earnings (Rm)(92.7) (1 162) (603)
Total headline earnings (98.5) (1 092) (550)
Total ROE (%) (32.4) (15.2)
Rest of Africa – financial highlights BOOKLET SLIDE
1 Cost of equity H1 2016: 14.4%. | H1 2017: 13.9%.
61NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
NamibiaMozambique
Malawi
Zimbabwe
Swaziland
Lesotho
SADC – growth in clients as we invest in infrastructure
+28%
Clients (# 000) Digital activation (# 000)
+33%
Branches (#)
+25%
ATMs (#)Core system & product rollout
Flexcube/Core banking system
Mobile
Card
Rolled out to date
Note: Banco Único operates on its own new core banking system.
>100 %
69
20
H1 17
89
H1 16
67
Other SubsidiariesBanco Único
162
30
H1 16
154
H1 17
192
246
292
H1 17
314
22
H1 16
6 20
11
H1 16 H1 17
31
62NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
SADC – investing in core banking, digital & risk management to offer
clients enhanced value
Leading to improved client
value propositions
Deployment of new core
banking system
Enabling mobile & value-added
services
Investment in improved risk management with a focus on financial crime, market conduct & other regulatory risks
63NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
ETI strategic investment – turning the tide
Challenging but improving environment
− Commodity exporters under pressure but promising recovery in GDP growth off a low base
− Foreign currency liquidity improving in Nigeria
ETI board-led strategic turnaround underway
− $400m convertible bond approved by shareholders & expected to be fully subscribed
− Funding of resolution vehicle for legacy assets in Nigeria & the restructuring of the profile of maturing debt
obligations
− Strategic turnaround focusing on:
• Client expectations, competitor dynamics and shifts in regulation
• Digitisation to drive client experience & operational efficiencies
• Enhanced risk & compliance culture
Nedbank a supportive & engaged shareholder
− Good progress in strengthening governance & shareholder representation on the ETI board
− Brian Kennedy (CIB) to join Mfundo Nkuhlu (nominated Chair: Risk Committee) on ETI board1
1 Subject to regulatory approval
64NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Prospects for Rest of Africa
SADC
Drive business benefits from enhanced client value propositions from investments made in core
banking, card, digital, distribution & people
Leverage SA capabilities
Review operating model to drive revenue growth & reduction in headoffice costs
Enhance risk management to respond effectively to increased regulation
ETI investment
Economic conditions in West Africa recovering & foreign currency liquidity in Nigeria improving
ETI is an important strategic investment
Risks remain, but the outlook for ETI is improving
For the full year, Rest of Africa is expected to show a significant improvement in H2 2017
compared to H1 2017 (reducing the effect of the Q4 2016 ETI associate loss)
65NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Remaining focused on long-
term strategic delivery to build
the franchise while navigating
the current environment
STRATEGY & 2017
GUIDANCE
MIKE BROWN
66NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Old Mutual managed separation – 25 May 2017 update
Listing of a new South African holding company – ‘Old Mutual Limited’ (OML)
− Initially consist of OMEM, the Group’s Nedbank shareholding & Old Mutual plc
− Subsequent distribution of a significant proportion of the shareholding in Nedbank from OML
− OML will retain an appropriate strategic minority shareholding in Nedbank to underpin the ongoing
commercial relationship
Timing
− Managed Separation materially complete by the end of 2018
− Anticipate the listing of the SA holding company (OML) – at the earliest opportunity in 2018 after Old
Mutual plc’s 2017 full-year results
Business as usual for Nedbank
− No impact on strategy, day-to-day management or operations, nor on staff or clients
− Technology, brand & businesses have not been integrated
− Engagements have been at arm’s length – overseen by independent board structures
− R1,0bn joint synergies will continue
67NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Old Mutual managed separation BOOKLET SLIDE
Old Mutual plc(listed on the LSE & JSE)
Old Mutual Life AssuranceCompany (SA) Ltd
Nedbank Group Ltd(listed on the JSE)
~ 16%
Old Mutual Group Holdings (SA) (Pty) Ltd
OM Portfolio Holdings(SA) (Pty) Ltd
~ 37%
Old Mutual Emerging Markets (SA) Ltd
Strategic minority: % shareholding
to be determined
Old Mutual Ltd*(listed on the JSE & LSE)
Nedbank Group Ltd(listed on the JSE)
Current shareholding structure Envisaged shareholding structure
To be finalised
~ 53%**
Old Mutual Life AssuranceCompany (SA) Ltd
Old Mutual Group Holdings (SA) (Pty) Ltd
OM Portfolio Holdings(SA) (Pty) Ltd
Old Mutual Emerging Markets (SA) Ltd
Distribution of Nedbank shares to shareholders of new SA holding company
in an orderly manner, at an appropriate time
* Shareholders of this company will
receive Nedbank shares to be
distributed
** Additional < 1% included from
managing third party funds
68NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Managing in a difficult political & economic environment – balancing
the short term & the long term
Rigorous management of all discretionary expenditure
− Initiatives in place to drive positive JAWS
High-quality advances book
− Selective origination & strong collections expected to result in ongoing relative
outperformance on credit losses
− Appropriately conservative provisioning (R578m recoveries in H1 2017)
Strong balance sheet
− Capital: well above regulatory requirements & at the top end of board-approved target ranges
− Liquidity: surplus liquidity, low foreign currency reliance, extended tenure & Basel III compliant
Stress testing & managing the economic tail risk
− Well positioned to manage the impact of a local currency downgrade (high-stress event)
Short-to-medium-term focus
69NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
2017 guidance (revised)
Growth in DHEPS for full-year 2017 to be positive,
but less than or equal to growth in nominal GDP
Average interest-earning banking asset1 growth below nominal GDP growth
NIM to be slightly above the rebased 2016 level of 3.54%NII
Increase from June 2017 level of 47 bps towards the bottom end of our target
range of 60–100 bps
Mid-single-digit growth (excluding fair-value adjustments)
Mid-single-digit growth
CLR
NIR
Expenses
Full-year associate loss lower than H1 2017 lossAssociate income2
1 To align with industry practice from November 2016 average balances of R6bn in the CIB liquid-asset portfolio were included in our trading book and removed from average interest-earning banking assets used as the denominator in the NIM
calculation. A like-for-like H1 2016 AIEBA base would have been R745bn. 2 Based on ETI FY 2017 guidance.
Note: 2017 guidance based on current economic forecasts.
70NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Managing in a difficult political & economic environment – balancing
the short term & the long term
Ongoing investment in IT to create an agile, competitive & more digital bank to drive
revenue growth & unlock efficiencies
Launched Digital Fast Lane capability to fast-track delivery of new digital products
Focus on growing clients & main-banked market share across all businesses,
enabling NIR growth & market share gains in key deposit categories
Reduce efficiency ratios in RBB & Rest of Africa
Managed evolution benefits & R1bn pre-tax target operating model synergies
Excellent risk management & selective origination should lead to relative impairment
outperformance
Strong balance sheet & capital generative to support dividend growth
SADC – building scale & optimise costs to drive ROE > COE
ETI – remains an important long-term strategic investment | Increased Nedbank
board representation & involvement | Risks remain, but the outlook is improving
Delivering innovative
market-leading client
experiences
Growing transactional
banking franchise
faster than the market
Being operationally
excellent in all we do
Providing our clients
access to the best
financial services
network in Africa
Managing scarce
resources to optimise
economic outcomes
Medium-to-long-term focus
71NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Strategies in place to support meeting our medium-to-long-term
targets
Metric
H1
2017
Medium-to-long-term
target1
Anticipated trajectory over
the medium-to-long-term
ROE (excl goodwill) 15.1% 5% above COE
Diluted HEPS growth (3.7%) ≥ CPI + GDP growth + 5%
CLR 47 bps 60–100 bps
NIR-to-expenses ratio 81.6% > 85%
Efficiency ratio 59.3% 50–53%
CET1 CAR
Tier 1 CAR
Total CAR
12.3%
13.2%
15.7%
Basel III basis:
10.5–12.5%
> 12%
> 14%
Dividend cover 1.80x 1.75 to 2.25 times
An update on our strategy & timing of targets to be provided at FY 2017 year end
Note: Guidance & targets based on current economic forecasts.
72NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Medium-to-long-term targets
Metric H1 2017 vs MLT
Medium-to-long-term
target 2017 outlook1
ROE (excl goodwill) 15.1% ▼ 5% above COE Below target
Diluted HEPS growth (3.7%) ▼ ≥ CPI + GDP growth + 5% Below target
CLR 47 bps ▼ 60–100 bpsAround lower end
of target range
NIR-to-expenses ratio 81.6% ▼ > 85% Below target
Efficiency ratio2 59.3% ▲ 50–53% Above target
CET1 CAR
Tier 1 CAR
Total CAR
12.3%
13.2%
15.7%
▲
▲
▲
Basel III basis3:
10.5–12.5%
> 12%
> 14%
Within
target
Dividend cover 1.80x ▼ 1.75 to 2.25 timesWithin
target range
1 2017 outlook based on current economic forecasts. 2 Efficiency ratio includes associate income.3 Tier 1 & total CAR targets were revised in 2016 from 11.5–13.0% & 14.0–15.0% respectively.
BOOKLET SLIDE
73NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
5 9
21
5 7
65
4 2
77
10
83
1
11 4
65
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Nedbank Group in a strong position
16.3
6.3
20.1
4.8
06–08 13–H1 17
Wholesale Retail
0.50.6
1.4
08 09 H1 17
(28%)
Global
financial
crisis
Headline earnings (Rm) Loan growth (CAGR %)
Endowment benefit for 1% change
in interest rates (Rbn)
BOOKLET SLIDE
74NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
1 Core equity tier 1.
Nedbank Group in a strong position
Number of clients (m) NIR income contribution (%) Defaulted advances (%)
CET1 ratio (%) Funding tenor (%) Coverage (%)
4.4 4.2
7.8
08 09 H1 17
39.8%
42.2%
46.4%
08 09 H1 17
3.9
5.9
2.8
08 09 H1 17
8.21
9.91
12.3
08 09 H1 17
60.9 57.9 51.2
19.9 21.015.7
19.2 21.133.1
08 09 Q2 17
32.0 33.9 37.2
08 09 H1 17
86%
ST
MT
LT
4.2%(53%)
BOOKLET SLIDE
24% 0.45 0.470.65
08 09 H1 17
Sp
ecific
Po
rtfo
lio
75NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
33
(19)
23
(2) (1)
Nedbank Retail & Business BankingNet interest margin – mainly due to the compressed spread between
prime and the JIBAR-linked cost of funding
Funding cost impact (bps) Liability (bps)Endowment impact (bps)
Mix & volume change
impact (bps)
Asset pricing impact (bps)Net interest margin (bps)
557 557 578 612 593
5
(2)
615
(25)
(11)
13 10
29 6
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(5) (6)
(1) 7 1
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(2)
13
(22)(15) (0)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
BOOKLET SLIDE
H1 H1 H1
76NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
158
104
22138 (131)
48
(8) (12)
320
Trans-actional
Card Securedlending
Priceincreases
Mix &activity
Other Cardmargin
Personalloans
Yoy NIRgrowth
1
Nedbank Retail & Business BankingNIR growth support by good volume growth, but muted by strategic choices & other factors
NIR growth (Rm)
2016 NIR growth (Rm)
2
Volume-related
+105 +182 +18 +111 +28 +35 (72) (13) +394
BOOKLET SLIDE
1 Includes average price increase of 4.6% implemented on 1 January 2017.2 Includes R23m fees received on the MTN Zakhele Futhi shares, R23m unclaimed balances recognised in income in HL & BB non-transactional banking offset by fair-value swaps in MFC of -R16m.3 Includes interchange impact of R88m in 2016 and R261m in 20154 Includes average price increase of 4.3% implemented on 1 January 2016 and 5.6% in January 2015
3 4
77NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Nedbank Retail & Business BankingBuilding more enduring client relationships through transactional product cross-sell
+1.0
Card1
Personal loans
MFC (vehicle
finance)
Home loans
Total retail clients
Investments
Transactional
products
1.5
8.1
2.5
(5.8)
(2.8)
3.6
% YOY growth000s
Transactional clients with product line
74%74%
55% 59%
50% 52%
24% 24%
38% 39%
27%27%
Number of product line clients
with transactional products
1 Prior-year card client numbers restated to align with a definition change implemented in 2016.
917
1 406
1 521
940
486
458
310
553
562
302
5 847
6 055
% YOY growth
Jun ̓̓17Jun ̓16
Jun ̓16 Jun ̓17
+0.2
(0.7)
+4.0
+2.6
+0.5
BOOKLET SLIDE
78NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Nedbank Retail & Business BankingClient-centred strategy intact, but measure impacted by macro with
less client activity
More entrenched
Jun 16 Jun 17
Clients (000s)
78k fewer clients active than prior year
87k fewer clients falling out of definition due to debit activity
+4.7% growth in consistent main banked clients
285
Active < 3 months
266603
3,591
Credits fine, debits
not qualifying
3,669
(2.1%)
1,760
(0.3%)
(12.6%)
Consistent
main-banked
=12 months
1,681
2,7022,712
Main-banked
+4.7%
+7.0%
No credits,
debits fine
690
BOOKLET SLIDE
79NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
4.64.8 4.6 4.8 4.7
1.9 2.12.4 3.0 3.2
0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8
7.07.5 7.7
8.6 8.8
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
LendingFundingNotionalTotal
25.8
26.727.0
26.0
27.4
189.7
212.2228.9
256.7
279.3
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
27.0 27.630.1
35.5
43.0
97.9
115.1124.6
141.9153.4
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
56.059.0
63.667.3
70.2
Fixed deposits (Rbn) Average capital allocation (Rbn)
Total client deposits (Rbn) Interest income (Rbn)Call & term (Rbn)
Current & savings (Rbn)
Nedbank Retail & Business BankingDeposit growth driving increases in NII & market share
5.8%
CAGR 2013 to 2017
12.4% 1.5%
11.9% 10.2% 5.7%
%
BOOKLET SLIDE
H1 H1 H1
80NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
15
8
14
7
15
4
26
9
2014 2015 2016 2017
7 7
56
8 2
50
8 9
56
9 3
74
2014 2015 2016 2017
Nedbank Retail & Business BankingRBB historic expense growth – efficiencies offsetting investment
Efficiencies (Rm)Expenses (Rm)
64% of total RBB capital spend related to technology investments.
Integration of Retail &
Business Banking
backoffice
CAGR 6,5%
CAGR 4,6% (core expenses)
Distribution & sales-related
cost growth (Rm)
60
71
95
56
44
13
7
88
42
2014 2015 2016 2017
Sales-related Distribution
BOOKLET SLIDE
81NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED – Interim Results '17IR
Disclaimer
Nedbank Group has acted in good faith and has made every reasonable effort to ensure the accuracy and
completeness of the information contained in this document, including all information that may be defined as
'forward-looking statements' within the meaning of United States securities legislation.
Forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as 'believe', 'anticipate', 'expect', 'plan',
'estimate', 'intend', 'project', 'target', 'predict' and 'hope'.
Forward-looking statements are not statements of fact, but statements by the management of Nedbank
Group based on its current estimates, projections, expectations, beliefs and assumptions regarding the
group's future performance.
No assurance can be given that forward-looking statements will prove to be correct and undue reliance
should not be placed on such statements.
The risks and uncertainties inherent in the forward-looking statements contained in this document include,
but are not limited to: changes to IFRS and the interpretations, applications and practices subject thereto as
they apply to past, present and future periods; domestic and international business and market conditions
such as exchange rate and interest rate movements; changes in the domestic and international regulatory
and legislative environments; changes to domestic and international operational, social, economic and
political risks; and the effects of both current and future litigation.
Nedbank Group does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements contained in this document
and does not assume responsibility for any loss or damage whatsoever and howsoever arising as a result of
the reliance by any party thereon, including, but not limited to, loss of earnings, profits, or consequential loss
or damage.