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IPv6- Wiring the cities
BonusTechnology Forecasting
Ethernet everywhere
lasse lindblad
Dissident
[email protected] + 46 8 7131857
- The Dissident´s view
T elco guy
T r a dit iona listI S P
5
Revolution
I n lab
High E nd
St andard
L ow E ndN ow
T echnology G ener a t ion
Price/Performanceratio
F ind t he M oore´s law eqv for relevant t echnologiesC onst ruct t he enabling fabric
Draw t he “Technology M ap” - forwards
A wa y t o under st a nd, a nd ma ke use of t het echnology development
M pa/sKpa/s G pa/s
A cess C UL A N ´s 10 M E 10 0 M E 10 0 0 M E
28 ,8 56
9 ,6 1 - 3 M bs
2-10 M bs
2-10 M bs 40 M bs
10 0 M bs
10 0 M bs
E n a b l i n g F a b r i c
C ableR adioFiber
Network PowerDW DM & F iber
E t c . .
E t c . .
Pol it ics M arket
Technology
3 0 % 50 %50 %6 0 %
>2
“M ono-Cult ure” - Win9 8
12-18 % 40 %
1
P lat forms
Household penet rat ion: P CI nternet
C ommunicat ing C P U ´s
S ca ndina via n per spect ive
90 94 98
2000
Year0
50010001500
Gbps
Bandwith ExplosionChapter 1. Transatlantic capacity
19 9 7 19 9 8 19 9 9 2 0 0 0
I n L ab
H igh E nd
Standard
L ow E nd
1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0
I n L ab
H i g h E n d
S t an da rd
L o w E n d
NC
19 9 7 19 9 8 19 9 9 2 0 0 0
I n L ab
High End
St andard
L ow E nd
F i n d i n g m i s s i n gp a r t s
F inding t he dirt in t he pipes,what went wrong, where, . . .
Ipv6
Are we ( Telco´s) using the opportunity - facing the technology and bandwith explosion ?
Not really!
Stuck with to ambitious plans, creating servicesthinking for the customer ( stupid customers - dont know what they want). Thinking out ways to enhance the legacy, instead of using the new opportunities.
RFI,Requirements,Standards, RFP,
Platforms,Meetings…….
• Signalling Protocol, Management platforms Quality of service, User Interface, Service platforms,Equal access, Intelligent Network Multiservice architecture, Service Level agrements, More Meetings and papers
Bandwith?On-line?
Q oSSomet hing t o negot iat eand choose
Why do everyone do the same thing ?
Disruptive Vs. Sustaining
Why all great Firms - Fail!
ATM Experiences
THE - ”Stuff” between services and infrastructure
IP closer to the media
Some network layers are not mandatory.Less equipment, management and people
TCP/UDP
IP
ATM
SONET
Fiber Fiber
TCP/UDP
IP
Ethernet
Redundancy & overhead !!
Every layer is partly redundantEvery layer adds overheadEvery layer need expertiseEvery layer needs management
Move a 100 mbyte user data file!Amount of data on the fiber ????
TCP/UDP
IP
ATM
SONET
Fiber
Ethernet
“Keep it simple”
An infrastructure providershould just produce
”IP-power” asefficient as possible
Reduce cost by up to a factor 10for each reduced layer
We (Telco) are not in control !
> 50 milion Ethernet
< 200 thousand ATM
1997
We don’t provide the services -
Services are provided everywhere
Market have chosen EthernetEthernet
What do you want?(Same Price)
100Mbit/s IP-Plug 56Kbit Modem
Access Network
Last Mile problem
First mile opportunity
Building the World´s Fastest Metropolitan IP Network
1997
2000
Condominium Bågen, Stockholm
IP-Plug
261 apptsca 40-60% ‘takerate’
App 200$ entrance fee25$/month ´flat rate
And now EverywhereRest of sweden during year 2000
100Mbit Switched Ethernet
Inet42
XR
XR
XR
XR
XR
XR
XR
XR
XR
XR
XR
XRXR
XR
XR
XR XR
.. Just off the shelf technology . .
So .. Anyone can repeat it !
IP-Plug
IP Addresser•IPv4 will not be enough•The Solution is NOT - NAT•The solution is IPv6
PunchlinesComplicated networks dont work for massmarketsUse the Technology ExplosionDont bundle services with network connectivityAnyone can do it .
Thank You for Your attention