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IPTV ResearchIPTV Research
James HeathJames Heath Research DirectorResearch Director
Dittberner Associates Inc.4641 Montgomery Avenue
Bethesda MD 20814 USAToll Free: 1 888 652 8382 Tel: 301 652 8350 Fax: 301 657 8084
www.dittberner.com [email protected]
Dittberner’s Associates, Inc
© 2005 Dittberner Associates, Inc.
2
Dittberner’sDittberner’s Research KnowledgeBasesResearch KnowledgeBases
One-Stop Source for Tracking Technology Innovation
In business for 40 years!
Dittberner’s Technology KnowledgeBases are the distinctive reference
source for world class, carrier grade next generation system offerings and
solutions.
Unique monitoring service comes equipped with powerful web-based tools
for instant, accurate and dependable answers.
Customers include:
Sprint, France Telecom, Deutsche Telecom, NTT, Vodacom, Saudi Arabia
Telecom
Cisco, Huawei, Siemens.
Dittberner’s Associates, Inc
© 2005 Dittberner Associates, Inc.
3
Technology Areas CoveredTechnology Areas Covered
NGN / IMS Solutions; Security Technologies (VPN, Biometrics, PKI, contingency planning)
OSS/BSS; Digital Switching; Optical Switching; xDSL; Fiber Deployments (FTTx); Multi Service Switches / HS Routers; Wireless Fixed Mobile Convergence
We also offer strategic market consulting and customized research in all of the above areas.
Dittberner’s Associates, Inc
© 2005 Dittberner Associates, Inc.
4
IPTV Research ReportIPTV Research Report
“IPTV Impact on Public Networks 2006-2013”
Technology Review
Bottom Up Forecast
Activity in 77 National Markets
Network Models described
Service Provider Case Studies
Equipment Supplier Reviews
Dittberner’s Associates, Inc
© 2005 Dittberner Associates, Inc.
5
IPTV Research ResultsIPTV Research Results
$0
$100,000$200,000
$300,000$400,000
$500,000
$600,000$700,000
$800,000
Case 1 Case 2 Case 3 Case 4 Case 5
Backbone
Aggregation
Access
Case 1: Ninety channels of SDTV, no channels of HDTV, each VoD bandwidth is 3 Mbps and VoD peak usage is 2% of TVs.
Case 2: Same as Case 1, but with assumption that peak VoD usage is double, or 4% of TVsCase 3: Same as Case 1, but with 300 SDTV channels pushed out to the DSLAMCase 4: Same as Case 1 but with an additional 100 HDTV broadcast channels being pushed out
to the DSLAM.Case 5: Same as Case 4 but with the average VoD bandwidth being 6.5Mbps instead of 3 Mbps
Effect of Bandwidth Demand on Equipment Revenue in 2013
Dittberner’s Associates, Inc
© 2005 Dittberner Associates, Inc.
6
IPTV Research ConclusionsIPTV Research Conclusions
IPTV Takeup will Be Slow 53 Million Subscribers to Telco TV by 2013.
Incremental Cost per Subscriber is Low VDSL Incremental Cost $560* FTTH Incremental Cost $383*
Service Provider Incremental Revenue is Low $14 B in 2013
* Includes network equipment upgrade, STB, Headend, Middleware, DRM, and Content