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Iowa Democratic Caucus Poll
Prepared for Monmouth College and KBUR-AM
January, 2016
Democratic Caucus Voters Dates of Poll: January 18-19, 2016 N = 570 Margin of error: + 4.1 1. Which candidate do you plan to support in the Iowa Democratic Caucus?
Count Percentage
Hillary Clinton 272 47.7% Martin O'Malley 42 7.4% Bernie Sanders 224 39.3% undecided 32 5.6% 2. What is your gender?
Count Percentage
Women 308 54.0% Men 262 46.0%
3. What type of vehicle is your primary method of transportation?
Count Percentage
Coupe, Convert 23 4.0% Sedan 186 32.6% H’back, wagon 47 8.2% Electric 32 5.6% SUV 123 21.6% Minivan 51 8.9% Truck 47 8.2% Motorcycle 8 1.4% Other 28 4.9% none 14 2.5%
4. In which of the following age brackets do you belong?
Count Percentage
18-24 20 3.5% 25-34 73 12.8% 35-44 68 11.9% 45-54 86 15.1% 55-64 139 24.4% 65 or older 184 32.3% 5. Region (Derived)
Count Percentage
Region 1 39 6.80% Region 2 137 24.00% Region 3 78 13.70% Region 4 28 4.90% Region 5 190 33.30% Region 6 14 2.50% Region 7 26 4.60% Region 8 38 6.70% Region 9 20 3.50%
By Gender Cross-Tabulations between Question #1 and Question #2
Clinton O'Malley Sanders undecided
Women 59.1% 5.5% 32.5% 2.9% Men 34.4% 9.5% 47.3% 8.8%
By Vehicle Cross-Tabulations between Question #1 and Question #3
Clinton O'Malley Sanders undecided Coupe/Convert. 43.5% 13.0% 43.5% 0.0% Sedan 51.6% 8.6% 37.1% 3.2% H'back Station wagon 40.4% 2.1% 51.1% 6.4% Electric 31.3% 6.3% 56.3% 6.3% SUV 57.7% 7.3% 30.1% 4.9% Minivan 39.2% 9.8% 47.1% 3.9% Truck 34.0% 6.4% 42.6% 17.0% Motorcycle 12.5% 12.5% 50.0% 25.0% Other 64.3% 3.5% 25.0% 7.1% None 57.1% 7.1% 28.6% 7.1%
By Age Cross-Tabulations between Question #1 and Question #4
Clinton O'Malley Sanders undecided
18-24 30.0% 5.0% 45.0% 20.0% 25-34 31.5% 6.8% 56.2% 5.5% 35-44 47.1% 7.4% 44.1% 4.4% 45-54 46.5% 16.3% 33.7% 3.5% 55-64 56.8% 2.9% 35.3% 5.0% 65 or older 59.0% 8.2% 35.8% 6.0%
By Region of State Cross-Tabulations between Question #1 and Question #5
Clinton O'Malley Sanders undecided
Region 1 48.7% 5.1% 41.0% 5.1% Region 2 48.2% 5.1% 41.6% 5.1% Region 3 41.0% 9.0% 47.4% 2.6% Region 4 60.7% 7.1% 32.1% 0.0% Region 5 47.9% 8.9% 35.3% 7.9% Region 6 21.4% 7.1% 64.3% 7.1% Region 7 38.5% 11.5% 46.2% 3.8% Region 8 60.5% 5.3% 26.3% 7.9% Region 9 55.0% 5.0% 35.0% 5.0%
Regions of State
1. Southeast 2. East Central 3. Northeast 4. South Central 5. Central 6. North Central 7. Southwest 8. Central 9. Northwest