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INVESTOR UPDATEFEBRUARY 2016
TSX-V: PNE
A LOW COST NATURAL GAS CONSOLIDATOR
-1-
Certain statements contained in this presentation include statements which contain words such as “anticipate”, “could”, “should”, “expect”, “seek”, “may”, “intend”, “likely”, “will”, “believe” andsimilar expressions, statements relating to matters that are not historical facts, and such statements of our beliefs, intentions and expectations about development, results and events whichwill or may occur in the future, constitute “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation and are based on certain assumptions and analysismade by us derived from our experience and perceptions. In particular, this presentation contains statements regarding: the potential growth opportunities and benefits on Pine Cliff EnergyLtd.’s (“Pine Cliff” of the “Company”) assets; information regarding Pine Cliff on a pro forma basis; the amount drawn on Pine Cliff's syndicated credit facility; net debt levels; current and proforma production values; expected decline rates; the strategy of the Company and the ability of the Company to execute on this strategy; expected cash provided by operations; futurereturns on share price; future capital expenditures, including the amount, timing and nature thereof; oil and natural gas prices and demand; Pine Cliff’s share price multiple and the correlationto natural gas pricing; net debt to funds flow from operations; cash flow / funds flow leverage to natural gas prices; corporate netbacks and break even prices; expected operating expenses,royalty rates, general and administrative expenses and interest expenses; expected cash / funds provided by operations; free cash flow; expansion and other development trends of the oiland gas industry; reserve and resource volumes; business strategy and outlook; expansion and growth of the business and operations; maintenance of existing customer, supplier andpartner relationships; future acquisition opportunities including the amount, timing, success and nature thereof; the ability of the Company to raise capital; supply channels; accountingpolicies; credit risks; availability of drilling or recompletion locations, including the timing and success thereof; the operational, economic and financial impacts of the acquisition of assets inPine Cliff’s core areas that closed on May 29, 2015 (the “May 2015 Acquisition”) to Pine Cliff; the potential growth opportunities on the assets; the operational, economic and financialimpacts of the acquisition that closed on December 11, 2015 (the “December 2015 Acquisition”) on Pine Cliff; ability to reduce operating costs on the Ghost Pine and Viking assets; changein Pine Cliff’s LLR; future consolidation opportunities around the Ghost Pine and Viking assets, including the timing and nature thereof; reserve life index; other anticipated benefits to PineCliff of the December 2015 Acquisition; guarantee that it will be listed on the TSX or, if listed, how long the application process will be; and other such matters. As such, many factors couldcause the performance or achievement of Pine Cliff to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-lookingstatements. Because of the risks, uncertainties and assumptions contained herein, readers should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Any data, graphs orinformation in this presentation that have been compiled by a third party has been credited to that third party and Pine Cliff does not take responsibility for the accuracy of such information.
In addition, statements relating to "reserves" are by their nature forward-looking information, as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions that thereserves described can be profitably produced in the future. The recovery and reserves estimates provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserveswill be recovered. Pine Cliff cautions that its future oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids production, revenues, cash flows, liquidity, plans for future operations, expenses, outlook for oil andnatural gas prices, timing and amount of future capital expenditures, and other forward-looking information is subject to all of the risks and uncertainties normally incident to the exploration forand development and production and sale of oil and gas.
All such forward-looking information is based on certain assumptions and analyses made by us in light of our experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expectedfuture developments, as well as other factors we believe are appropriate in the circumstances. The risks, uncertainties, and assumptions are difficult to predict and may affect operations, andmay include, without limitation: foreign exchange fluctuations; equipment and labour shortages and inflationary costs; general economic conditions; industry conditions; changes in applicableenvironmental, taxation and other laws and regulations as well as how such laws and regulations are interpreted and enforced; the ability of oil and natural gas companies to raise capital; theeffect of weather conditions on operations and facilities; the existence of operating risks; volatility of oil and natural gas prices; oil and gas product supply and demand; risks inherent in theability to generate sufficient cash flow from operations to meet current and future obligations; increased competition; stock market volatility; opportunities available to or pursued by us; andother factors, many of which are beyond our control. The foregoing factors are not exhaustive.
Actual results, performance or achievements could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, this forward-looking information and, accordingly, no assurance can be given thatany of the events anticipated by the forward-looking information will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits will be derived therefrom. Except as required by law, Pine Cliffdisclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The annual audit of ourconsolidated financial statements is not yet complete and accordingly all financial and production amounts represent management's estimates which are unaudited and subject to revision.
The forward-looking information contained herein is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
This presentation contains the term barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) which has been calculated on the basis of six thousand cubic feet equivalent (“mcfe”) of gas to one barrel of oil. Thisconversion ratio is based on energy equivalence primarily at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. The term boe may be misleading, particularly if usedin isolation.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS
-2-
POSITIONED FOR PROFITABLE AND SUSTAINABLELOW RISK NATURAL GAS GROWTHListing (1) TSX-V: PNE
Market Capitalization(2) $257 MM
Average Daily Volume(3) 0.7 MM
52-Week Trading Range $0.73 to $1.65
Shares Issued(4) 305.5 MM
Directors and Officer’s Ownership(5) 13.9%
2015 Production Guidance 11,800-12,300 boe/d
2016 Production Guidance 22,500-23,000 boe/d
2016 Natural Gas Weighting ~92%
Corporate Base Production Decline <12%
2016 Capital Guidance $10.0 MM
2015 Year-end Net debt ~$146 MM
Bank Line (6) $185 MM
Tax Pools(7) >$480 MM
CORPORATE PROFILE
(1) Applied to be listed on the TSX in December 2015(2) Reflects January 27, 2016 closing price of $0.84 per share(3) Average daily trading volumes for July 1, 2015 to January 27, 2016 (includes subscription receipts volumes)(4) As of January 27, 2016. In addition, as of January 27, 2016 there were 17.5 MM stock options issued (5.7% of outstanding shares) (5) Fully diluted(6) $165 MM revolving syndicated credit facility and $20 MM operating facility, interest at prime plus1.0% to 2.5% or the bankers’ acceptance rate plus 2.0% to 3.5% based on the trailing 12 months debt to EBITDA(7) As of September 30, 2015 and after taking into effect the December 2015 Acquisition
INCREASING VALUE PER
SHARE
FINANCIAL FLEXIBILITY
PRUDENT GROWTH
EXPERIENCED MANAGEMENT
TEAM
CAPITAL DISCIPLINE
-3-
SUSTAINABLE SHAREHOLDER VALUE CREATION
Acquisition Priorities Focused on ValueAccretive acquisitions of high-quality natural gas assets offering low operating costs, low decline production, and increasing drilling inventories; nine acquisitions completed since 2012
Free Cash Flow Continued debt reduction, supports balance sheet and allows flexibility for future transactions
Exceptional Track RecordConsistent delivery of superior long-term results supported by decades of transaction execution experience
High Insider Ownership Interests aligned with shareholders
Access to CapitalFive financings completed since Nov. 2012
-4-
CAPITALIZING ON A LOW COMMODITY PRICE ENVIRONMENT
• PNE uniquely focused on a low-risk, natural gas asset consolidation strategy in WesternCanada
• Weak commodity prices have reduced industry cash flow and stimulated non-core assetsales to fund debt repayment, capital expenditures and dividends
• Market is rewarding companies for strong balance sheets and focused asset portfolios;sales of “non-core properties” expected to continue
• Cash flow positive gas properties + conservative capital program enable PNE to useexcess cash flow for debt repayment, strengthening balance sheet for future potentialacquisitions
A UNIQUE, COUNTER-CYCLICAL STRATEGY
Pine Cliff is well-positioned to capitalize on its growth strategy and is poised to
provide shareholders with increased long-term value and returns
$0.17
$0.67
$1.17
$1.67
$2.17
$2.67
$8,000,000
$48,000,000
$88,000,000
$128,000,000
$168,000,000
$208,000,000
$248,000,000
$288,000,000
$328,000,000
$368,000,000
$408,000,000
$448,000,000
$488,000,000 Market Cap Share Price
Closed $185M acquisition of new
Core Area in Central AB and $72M share
offering at $1.08/share
TRACK RECORD SINCE JANUARY 2012
SUCCESSFUL EXECUTION
$23.5M Carrot Creek acquisition
$2.9M rights offering and private placement
Closed acquisition of Geomark Exploration Ltd.
Phil Hodge appointed President and CEO; George Fink appointed Executive Chairman
Purchased debt & security of Skope Energy
$5.4M private placement at $0.70
/share
Realized security - became sole shareholder of
Skope Energy
$34MAcquisition of
additional 52% WI in the Monogram unit
$25.1M common share offering at
$0.88 /sh
$13.3M acquisition of additional Southern AB
assets and operatorship
$20.0M common share offering at $1.10/sh
-5-
Oct 1: $100M Shallow Gas asset acquisitionSept 23: $60.1M equity offering at $2.05/shAug 7: $33.3M Carrot Creek / Edson asset acquisition
$14.1M acquisition of additional assets in Carrot
Creek / Edson & S. AB
THREE MAJOR OPERATED CORE AREAS
• Base Production of ~142,800 mcfe/d or23,800 boe/d
• Weighted ~92% towards natural gas
• Low Decline Rate• Corporate decline rate on base production of
<12%
• High Working Interest and Operatorship• Production is ~85% operated
• 80% average working interest on land
• Extensive Land Position• ~2,200,000 gross acres (1,800,000 net acres)
• Significant Undrilled or RecompletionLocations
• Internally estimated at over 1,500 grosslocations
• Significant Operated Infrastructure• Includes U.S. export pipeline to the Pacific
Northwest-6-
WHAT WE HAVE BUILT
Recent Acquisition
-7-
HISTORY OF ACCRETIVE ACQUISITIONS
ACQUISITION METRICS REFLECT VALUE FOCUSED STRATEGY
Transaction Metrics
Announcement Transaction Value Production P+P Reserves Flowing Barrel P+P Reserves P+P Reserves
Transaction Date ($million) (boe/d) (mmboe) ($/boe/d) ($/boe) ($/mcfe)
Central AB Assets Acquisition 9-Nov-15 $185.0 11,730 78.6 $15,772 $2.35 $0.39
Carrot Creek/Edson and Southern AB Asset Acquisition 20-Apr-15 $14.1 1,030 4.8 $13,699 $2.93 $0.49
Carrot Creek/Edson Asset Acquisition 29-Jul-14 $33.3 970 4.0 $34,278 $8.31 $1.39
Southern AB & SK Asset Acquisition 17-Jul-14 $100.0 5,300 15.5 $18,868 $6.45 $1.08
Southern AB & SK Asset Acquisition 17-Jul-13 $13.3 850 2.4 $15,588 $5.62 $0.94
Monogram Unit WI Acquisition 27-May-13 $33.7 1,600 7.7 $21,063 $4.39 $0.73
Skope Energy Inc. Acquisition 20-Nov-12 $28.0 3,500 9.4 $8,000 $2.98 $0.50
Carrot Creek Asset Acquisition 10-Feb-12 $23.5 950 3.1 $24,737 $7.58 $1.26
$16,614 $3.43 $0.57
3.523,800100Boe/d Boe/dto
yearsin
-8-
ACQUISITION OF NEW CORE AREA (DEC 11’15)
GROWS PRODUCTION BY 90% AND RESERVES LIFE INDEX BY 55%
• $185 million accretive acquisition of natural gas weighted, low decline assets in the Viking and GhostPine areas of Central Alberta
• Adds new core area and creates opportunities for further consolidation across PNE’s focal areas tosupport long-term growth
• Increases reserve life index by 55% to ~13 years from ~9 years by offering long-term, attractiveinventory for drilling, recompletions and optimization of existing production
• Significantly accretive per share on cash flow and reserves
• Decreases corporate break-even point to less than $2.00/mcf
• Significantly increases Pine Cliff’s limited liability ratio (“LLR”) from 1.04 to 1.29(1)
• Ownership in key strategic infrastructure, including four gas plants with third party revenue
• Opportunities to reduce operating costs
(1) Based in internal estimates on August 1, 2015
-9-
STRONG ACQUISITION METRICS (1)
ACCRETIVE ACQUISITION WITH STRONG EXPOSURE TO NATURAL GAS PRICES
Production (July 2015 average) (1) 11,730 boe/d
Natural gas weighting 89%
Operating costs $11.20 per boe
Royalty rate(2) 11% of revenue
Low decline rate 12%
Booked drilling and recompletion locations(3) ~520 gross (~420 net)
Proved producing reserves(3) 37.5 MMboe
Proved reserves(3) 47.5 MMboe
Proved and probable reserves(3) 78.6 MMboe
TRANSACTION METRICS
Production $15,772 per flowing boe
Proved Reserves(3) $3.90 per boe or $0.65 per mcfe
Proved and Probable Reserves(3) $2.35 per boe or $0.39 per mcfe
(1) Certain information herein is provided to Pine Cliff by the vendor, and has not been verified by any independent sources. Pine Cliff believes such information to be accurate & reliable but does not make any representations as to the accuracy of any estimates
(2) Prior to gas cost allowance adjustments(3) Based on reserves evaluated by an independent third party with an effective date of July 1, 2015. The proved producing, proved and proved and probable reserves as presented, include 1.2
MMBoe, 1.2 Mmboe and 1.5 MMboe of royalty interest reserves, respectively. The booked drilling and recompletion locations, as presented, are based on the proved and probable reserves
-10-
NEW CORE AREA ASSET OVERVIEW
Ghost Pine VikingProduction (July Average) 5,400 boe/d 6,330 boe/d
Natural gas weighting 92% 85%
Annual decline rate 9% 14%
Net working interest acres 244,699 583,722
Fee title acres 10,699 89,231
% Operated 65% 85%
Gross (net) booked locations(2) 369 (247) 107 (107)
(1) Certain information herein is provided to Pine Cliff by the vendor, and has not been verified by any independent sources. Pine Cliff believes such information to be accurate & reliable but does not make any representations as to the accuracy of any estimates
(2) Based on reserves evaluated by an independent third party with an effective date of July 1, 2015. Pine Cliff does not guarantee that it will be booking all of these locations in the December 31, 2015 reserve report
LOW RISK, LOW DECLINE ASSETS WITHSIGNIFICANT UPSIDE(1)
12%Blended decline rate
Very low
-11-
SIGNIFICANT LOW RISK DEVELOPMENT
(1) Certain information herein is provided to Pine Cliff by the vendor, and has not been verified by any independent sources. Pine Cliff believes such information to be accurate & reliable but does not make any representations as to the accuracy of any estimates
(2) Based on reserves evaluated by an independent third party with an effective date of July 1, 2015. Pine Cliff does not guarantee that it will be booking all of these locations in the December 31, 2015 reserve report
• Attractive and predictable low-cost production with long reserve life
• Over 1,000 gross upside opportunities identified
• ~490 gross (272 net) have been identified as Tier 1 locations that return 25-30% at $3.50/GJ AECO
• CBM infill drilling opportunities plus potential for conventional drilling
• 369 gross (247 net) booked locations(2)
• Infrastructure is operated, segregated from conventional production, and has low operating cost requirements
SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE POTENTIAL GHOST PINE HORSESHOE CANYON COAL BEDMETHANE (1)
-12-
EMERGING COLORADO SHALE PLAY(1)
(1) Certain information herein is provided to Pine Cliff by the vendor, and has not been verified by any independent sources. Pine Cliff believes such information to be accurate & reliable but does not make any representations as to the accuracy of any estimates
(2) Based on Pine Cliff internal estimates(3) Based on reserves evaluated by an independent third party with an effective date of July 1, 2015. Pine Cliff does not guarantee that it will be booking all of these locations in the December 31, 2015
reserve report
• Industry was drilling this area using horizontal drilling technology in 2014
• 144 Tier 1 locations with over 4m of net pay with a 25-30% rate of return at $3.50/GJ AECO (2)
• ~70% recovery factor at 3 horizontal wells/section = 700 MMcf/well (2)
• Typical EURs on vertical wells range from 200 – 300 MMcf (2)
• 107 wells booked at 2 wells/section (3)
SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE POTENTIAL COLORADO SHALE(1)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
BXE
RM
PC
QE
TOU
POU
RR
XPP
Y VII
PMT
DEE
PEY
KEL CR
NVA
LEG
TET
BTE
VET
ECA
CPG TB
EB
IRB
NP
AA
VW
CP
BN
ELR
ESP
ELT
SA
RX
PWT
ATH
TOG
ERF
AET
HSE
CN
QSG
YPX
XSG
LPG
FN
BZ
OIL
EGL
ZAR CJ
PNE
CVE PL
T
Cor
pora
te D
eclin
e R
ate
Average: 29%
-13-
SUSTAINABILITY OUR KEY FOCUS
STRONG EMPHASIS ON GROWTH OF SUSTAINABLE NATURAL GAS ASSETS
Decline
Source: Scotiabank Statsbook May 2015Note: CNQ, CVE and HSE are Canadian production only and exclude oil sands production
• With one of the lowest production declines in the industry, low operating expenses and low overhead, Pine Cliff is positioned to withstand & exploit low commodity price environment
CFPS Growth Debt-Adj 2016E vs. Debt-Adj PPS Growth 2016E
Source: Desjardins Capital Markets, December 2015
• PNE continues to grow production per share through accretive acquisitions while maintaining balance sheet strength
$4.60
$1.83$1.67
$1.35
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
$5.00
2012 2013 2014 First Nine Months2015
per b
oe
$9.42 $9.39$9.18
$8.75
$6.00
$6.50
$7.00
$7.50
$8.00
$8.50
$9.00
$9.50
$10.00
2012 2013 2014 First Nine Months2015
per b
oe
COMMITTED TO COST REDUCTIONS AND INCREASING EFFICIENCIES IN THE FIELD
• Realized a 7% decrease in operating expenses per boe since 2012 and a 5% decreasein operating expenses per boe since 2014 alone
• In addition to reducing costs in the field, a strong focus is put on minimizing head officecosts and eliminating discretionary spending
SUCCESSFUL COST REDUCTIONS IN 2015
-14-
7%Operating Expenses per Boe G&A Expenses per Boe
71%
Note: G&A expenses excludes transaction costs and overhead recoveries
UPDATE: SHALLOW GAS ACQUISITION
-15-
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
01-Oct-14 01-Dec-14 01-Feb-15 01-Apr-15 01-Jun-15 01-Aug-15
CBMHatton EastHattonMany IslandsLong Valley
Sale
sVo
lum
es (b
oe/d
)
Reactivated75 Wells
Curtailment Ends
Acquisition ClosedOct. 1 Pipeline
Curtailment
DEMONSTRATING SUCCESS BY ARRESTING DECLINE + REDUCING OPERATING COSTS
• Shallow gas asset package acquired October 2014
• At acquisition, production was ~5,000 boe/d (30,000 mcfe/d) and operating expenses averaged ~$8.54 / boe (~$1.42 / mcfe)
• Less than one year after assets transferred, production maintained at ~5,000 boe/d while operating expenses were reduced by ~13% to ~$7.40 / boe (~$1.23 / mcfe)
• During 2015 to September 30, ~80 wells were reactivated for capex of $0.41 MM, adding ~450 boe/d – resulting in a capital efficiency of $900 per flowing boe
Offsetting Production Declines Through Reactivation
-16-
HIGHLY LEVERAGED TO NAT GAS PRICING
Source: December 1, 2015 Canaccord Genuity Corp.
2016E Funds Flow per Share Sensitivity to Natural Gas Pricing
Source: September 7, 2015 CIBC World Markets Inc.
2016E Free Cash Flow YieldSensitivity to Natural Gas Pricing
-125%
-100%
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
Varia
nce f
rom
base
Sc
enar
io (%
)
AAV BXE BIR PPY PNE SRX CQE
ONE OF THE HIGHEST FREE FUNDS FLOWS PER SHARE IN THE INDUSTRY
• Offers one of the highest exposures to movements in natural gas pricing given lowoperating expenses and overhead, low decline, no hedging and minimal capital spending
• $0.10 / mcf increase in AECO adds approximately $4.4 million of funds flow annually(or ~$0.015 per share)(1)
(1) Using the production on closing of the December 2015 Acquisition and estimated royalty rates
-17-
2016 FOCUS ON FREE FUNDS FLOW
ONE OF THE HIGHEST FREE FUNDS FLOWS PER SHARE IN THE INDUSTRY
• Pine Cliff generates some of the highest free cash flow yield in the industry
Source: Dundee Capital Markets, November 2015
Source: Canaccord Genuity Corp, November 2015
-50.0%-40.0%-30.0%-20.0%-10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0%
LXEPPYATHQECMEI
RMPBIR
NVAKCKRRXBXE
MQLJOYLREBTETBE
TOGVETSGYSKXCPG
REPXXPNE
FCF/EV (%)
2016 Free Cash Yield % to Debt to Cash Flow 2016 Free Cash flow as a % of Enterprise Value Excluding Dividend Obligations
-18-
FOCUS ON PER SHARE VALUE INCREASES
47% increase in daily production per basic share(1)
50% increase in funds flow from operations per basic share(2)
(1) Mid point of 2016 guidance as compared to the mid point of 2015 guidance(2) For the quarter ended September 30, 2015 as compared to June 30, 2015
Production (boe/d)Mid-point of
2016 Guidance
775
4,77
5 7,88
8
12,0
50
22,7
50
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (est)
Mid-point of2015 Guidance
$(35
)
$520
$442
$775
$2,4
01
$3,7
21
$3,0
14 $5
,564
$10,
089
$9,1
80
$8,1
04
$11,
615
$6,1
82
$5,5
55
$7,5
07
$-
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$(2,000)
$-
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
Funds Flow From Operations (000s)
-19-
CAPITAL BUDGET IS SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER THAN PROJECTED FUNDS FLOW
• 2016 capital budget of $10 million, before acquisitions (2015 - $7.5 million, beforeacquisitions)
• 2016 production volumes of 22,500 to 23,000 boe/d (2015 – 11,800 to 12,300 boe/d)
• Use monthly funds flow to repay debt drawn for acquisitions
• Ongoing focus on optimizing production, minimizing overhead and reducing operatingexpenses
• Sustainable cost structure and corporate break even (before capital spending) of lessthan $2.00/Mcf
SUSTAINABLE COST STRUCTURE
-20-
WHY INVEST IN PINE CLIFF
• High-quality assets with low operating costs and one of the lowest decline rates in the industry
• Free cash flow allows for debt repayment in depressed commodity environment• Entirely unhedged production allows for high leverage to increases in natural gas prices• Current depressed commodity price environment is anticipated to provide additional
accretive acquisition opportunities (sales processes have been announced by Bellatrix,Centrica, Encana, Enerplus, Pengrowth, Pennwest, Quicksilver, Husky, Cequence, LongRun, Spyglass etc…)
• Proven track record of delivering superior long-term results for shareholders• Proven access to capital to take advantage of opportunities in a depressed commodity
price environment• Management team and the board stock ownership creates high alignment with shareholder
interests
-21-
APPENDIX
Note: Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. was recognized on Alberta Venture magazine’s 2015 Fast Growth 50 List. Pine Cliff was recognized in June 2015 as one of The 200 companies by Alberta Oil magazine. Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. was recognized as a TSX Venture 50® company in 2015. TSX Venture 50 is a trade-mark of TSX Inc. and is used under license.
-22-
A CLEAR VISION FOR LONG-TERM GROWTH WITH PROVEN EXPERIENCE
• Pine Cliff management has a long-term view of value creation, with a counter-cyclical focus to acquire natural gas assets that are non-core to their owners at good valuations
• Similar to Bonterra’s origin with oil assets in 1998• Despite natural gas pricing fluctuations in the past four years, our approach to acquiring assets has remained
disciplined
• Pine Cliff’s Chairman and largest shareholder, George Fink, served the same roles with both Bonterra Energy and Comaplex Minerals
• Four out of five of Pine Cliff’s board of directors also served on the boards and management teams of Bonterra and Comaplex
• Bonterra (TSX: BNE) has gone from $0.20 per share in 1998 to $15.46 per share on January 27, 2016, while paying over $35.00 of dividends per share. A $20,000 investment in 1998 would equate to almost $5.1 million today (including dividends and share appreciation)
• Comaplex went from $0.60 per share in 1994 to $10.32 per share in 2010 when it was sold
BUILDING A FAMILIAR MODEL
(1) Pine Cliff return is presented since the change in strategic focus of the company and management appointment on December 21, 2011Note: The Pine Cliff and Bonterra share prices are to closing on January 27, 2016.
$0.60
$10.32
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Comaplex ReturnShare Price
$50.84
$15.46
$35.38
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Jan-16
Bonterra ReturnCombinedShare PriceCum Dividend
$0.17
$0.84
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Pine Cliff Return(1)
Share Price
-23-
NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK - DEMAND
U.S. Natural Gas Demand Growth in Electric Power Sector
U.S. Net Exports of Natural Gas to Mexico
U.S. Annual LNG Exports
(3.0)
(2.0)
(1.0)
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
bcf/d
Source: FirstEnergy Capital Corp., US DOE/EIA (January 2016).
Forecast
U.S. Gas Demand Growth + Exports
0.8 0.81.4
1.7 1.8 2.0
2.9
3.6 3.74.1
4.44.8
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
bcf/d
Source: FirstEnergy Capital Corp., U.S. DOE/EIA (January 2016).
Forecast
0.11.0
1.8
3.8
6.5
8.2
0.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.0
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
bcf/d
Source: FirstEnergy Capital Corp., U.S. DOE/EIA (January 2016).
Forecast
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
bcf/d
Source: FirstEnergy Capital Corp., US DOE/EIA (January 2016).
Mexico Exports
LNG Exports
Domestic Demand
Forecast
-24-
NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK - SUPPLY
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
100
200
300
400
500
Jan-2 Mar-27 Jun-19 Sep-11 Dec-4
Rigs
Source: FirstEnergy Capital Corp., Baker-Hughes (January 2016).
2013 2014
2015 2016
U.S. Natural Gas Rig Count
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2015
1931
2011
1939
1979
1933
1952
1967
1973
1951
1966
1947
1978
1943
1955
1958
1985
HDDs
Source: FirstEnergy Capital Corp., U.S. NOAA (January 2016).
2015
U.S. December HDDs 1931-2015Monthly Dry Shale Gas Production
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
bcf/d
Marcellus (PA,WV,OH & NY)Haynesville (LA & TX)Eagle Ford (TX)Fayetteville (AR)Barnett (TX)Woodford (OK)Bakken (ND)Antrim (MI, IN, & OH)Utica (OH, PA & WV)Rest of US 'shale
Source: EIA Natural Gas Weekly Update (January 20, 2016)
13565.7 66.3 70.5 70.5 74.4 75.4 78.5 83.0 87.3
3.9 1.1 3.1 4.44.4
4.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
bcf/d
Supply Growth
Supply
U.S. Natural Gas Supply Growth
Source: FirstEnergy Capital Corp., U.S. DOE/EIA (January 2016).
Forecast
COMPANY ANALYST
AltaCorp Capital Patrick O’Rourke
Canaccord Genuity Anthony Petrucci
CIBC World Markets Dave Popowich
Clarus Securities Inc. Robert Paré
Desjardins Capital Markets Jamie Kubik
FirstEnergy Capital Michael Hearn
GMP Securities Aaron Swanson
Haywood Securities Inc. Darrell Bishop
Industrial Alliance Securities Inc. Michael Charlton
National Bank Financial Inc. Dan Payne
Paradigm Capital Ken Lin
Scotia Capital Inc. Cameron Bean
TD Securities Inc. Aaron Bilkoski
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The following analysts provide research report coverage on Pine Cliff:
By posting this list, Pine Cliff does not imply endorsement of or agreement with the information, conclusions or recommendations provided in the reports. Pine Cliff does not distribute electronic copies of analyst reports.
ANALYST COVERAGE
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CORPORATE INFORMATION
BOARD OF DIRECTORSGary J. Drummond George F. Fink Philip B. Hodge Randy M. JarockCarl R. Jonsson
OFFICERSGeorge F. FinkExecutive Chairman of the Board
Philip B. HodgePresident and Chief Executive Officer
Kristi L. KunecChief Financial Officer and Secretary
Cheryne A. LoweInterim Chief Financial Officer
Terry L. McNeillChief Operating Officer
HEAD OFFICE850, 1015 – 4th Street SWCalgary, Alberta T2R 1J4Phone: (403) 269-2289Fax: (403) 265-7488
REGISTRAR AND TRANSFER AGENTComputershare Trust Company of Canada
AUDITORSDeloitte LLP
BANKERSToronto-Dominion BankAlberta Treasury BranchesNational Bank of Canada
STOCK EXCHANGE LISTINGTSX Venture Exchange Trading Symbol: PNE
WEBSITEwww.pinecliffenergy.com
INVESTOR [email protected]