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Investor Awareness Programme 26 th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan. R Contact No: +91 9923032570 Speaker 2: Ashwin Kumar Contact No: +91 7259775555

Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

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Page 1: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Investor Awareness Programme26th December 2014

Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan. R

Contact No: +91 9923032570

Speaker 2: Ashwin Kumar

Contact No: +91 7259775555

Page 2: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Focus

Concept of Financial Planning

Constituents of Financial Planning

Investment Avenues

Road ahead for the Indian Stock Market

Stock Selection – The Technical Way

Importance & Simplicity of Technical Analysis in making investment decisions

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Page 3: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

What is Financial Planning?

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Page 4: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Concept of Financial Planning

Evolved because of two major factors

Inflation

Taxes

Requirements to formulate a Financial Plan

Financial Goal

Time Frame

Investment Vehicle

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Page 5: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Constituents of Financial Planning

Risk Management

Retirement Planning

Goals Planning

Estate Planning

Tax Planning

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Page 6: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Risk Management

Contingency Fund

Life Insurance

Health Insurance

Critical illness Insurance

Personal Accident Insurance

Householders Insurance

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Page 7: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Retirement Planning

Plan your retirement by having a tax & inflation adjusted retirement corpus

Gap Analysis

Have a suitable asset allocation for retirement

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Page 8: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Goals Planning

Child’s Education & Marriage

House Purchase

Car Purchase

International Vacation

Other Specific Goals

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Page 9: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Tax & Estate Planning

Availing suitable deductions & exemptions

Taxability of various financial instruments

“WILL” drafting & registration

POA drafting & registration

Estate Consolidation

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Page 10: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Financial Planning Process

o Data Collection

o Analyze existing cash flows & investments

o Map financial assets to financial goal

o Gap Analysis

o Decide on investment vehicle

o Implement the plan

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Page 11: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

How to formulate a Financial Plan?

o Data Collection Form

o Sample Financial Plan

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Page 12: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Fixed Income Securities

Mutual Funds Real Estate Insurance Equity

Asset Class

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Page 13: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Small Savings

Bonds

Debentures

Fixed Income Securities

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Page 14: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Mutual Funds

Equity Funds

Debt Funds

Hybrid Funds

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Page 15: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Equity, Commodities & Currency

Cash Market

Equity Futures & Options

Commodity Futures

Currency Futures

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Page 16: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Real Estate

Site/Land

House/Flat

Commercial Property

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Page 17: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Insurance

Life insurance

Non – Life insurance

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Page 18: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Life Insurance

Term

Whole – Life

Endowment

ULIP

Pension Plans

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Page 19: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Non - Life Insurance

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Page 20: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Calculation of Return on Investment (XIRR)

Essentials

Cash Flow

Time Period

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Page 21: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Road ahead for the Indian Stock Market

Stock Selection – The Technical Way and

The importance of Technical Analysis

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Page 22: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Indian Markets so far…

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Page 23: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

What Next for the Indian

Markets?The Big Question

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Page 24: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Interesting fact about Sensex – Historical Statistics

Year Growth (Approx) Sensex (Approx)

1979 - 100

1988 (9 yrs) 6 x 600

1998 (10 yrs) 6 x 3,600

2008 (10 yrs) 6 x 21,200

2018 (10 yrs) 6 x? 127,200 and beyond?

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Page 25: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

What next for the Indian Stock Market?

Multi-year Bull Market is in formation and will hold good if supported by earning growth, economic revival and reforms

Bull markets usually have a lot of time to go in terms of price and time

Smart money is buying the market

It is never too late to buy high quality companies but do not expect them to be priced cheap

Good news and good prices rarely come together

Second best time to invest is NOW

Investment in the Stock Market is only as risky as we make it to be

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Page 26: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Investment Methodology – End to End Process

Stock selection or watchlist

Choosing an investment time frame or horizon

Scanning the market for opportunities

Define a strategy and investment plan

Execution and follow up

Money management © Copyright, Kings & Prince Training Academy Private Limited & Intelliplan Investment Advisors

Page 27: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Stock Selection – How do we do it?

Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis

Value Picks© Copyright, Kings & Prince Training Academy Private Limited & Intelliplan Investment Advisors

Page 28: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Stock Selection – Technical Analysis

ATR Based

Techno – Funda approach – Invest/trade in fundamentally strong companies using technical indicators for

entry and exit signals

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Page 29: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Value Picks

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Page 30: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Buy the Stock not just the Product – Hero MotoCorp

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Page 31: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Buy the Stock not just the Product

Sl. No Scrip As on Dec 31, 2012 As on Dec 24, 2014 ROI

1 Maruti Suzuki 149,000 @ 1,490 per share 336,500 @ 3,365 per share 125.84 %

2 Havells (I) 127,000 @ 127 per share 265,000 @ 265 per share 108.66 %

3 Hindustan Unilever 52,500 @ 525 per share 75,700 @ 757 per share 44.19 %

4 Supreme Industries 29,500 @ 295 per share 59,800 @ 598 per share 102.71 %

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Page 32: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Technical Analysis

• A study of historical price movements to predict future direction/movement of a stock/index/commodity.

• The analysis is almost entirely based on price and volume data

• Helps understand the psychology of the overall market

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Page 33: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

News on Nov 21, 2014 – Business Line - Any conclusion?

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Page 34: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

A Picture speaks a thousand words

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Page 35: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

A Picture speaks a thousand words

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Page 36: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Making Sense of emotions studying Price & Vol. Data

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Page 37: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

What to Buy/Sell vs When to Buy/Sell

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Page 38: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Tries to make sense of market emotions by studying price and volume actions compared to

hard to interpret fundamental data

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Page 39: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Technical Analysis and its importance

A picture speaks a thousand words

Tries to make sense of market emotions by studying price and volume actions compared to hard to interpret

fundamental data

Fundamental Analysis is WHAT to Buy/Sell and Technical Analysis is WHEN to Buy/Sell

Serves as an investment roadmap – emphases on the EFFECT and not the REASON for the effect

Yet only 14% of the trading population use Technical Analysis in India as compared to 40% + in developed

markets

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Page 40: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Key Highlights

Plan your financial goal

Implement as planned

Follow it up with strict monitoring

Focus on stock selection and money management

Make use of Technical Analysis whilst planning your entries and exits in Stocks for better results© Copyright, Kings & Prince Training Academy Private Limited & Intelliplan Investment Advisors

Page 41: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Interactive Session

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Page 42: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Thank you© Copyright, Kings & Prince Training Academy Private Limited & Intelliplan Investment Advisors

Page 43: Investor Awareness Programme - PuneICAIpuneicai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ICAI-PPT-Pune-26122014.pdf · Investor Awareness Programme 26th December 2014 Speaker 1: CA Lakshminarayanan

Presented by

Lakshminarayanan. R

[email protected]

www.i2a.in

Ashwin Kumar

[email protected]

www.kingsandprinceacademy.com

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