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UBS Annual Financial Services Conference A new playing field – what is the game plan for growth
Standard Bank GroupJacko Maree
20 October 2009
2Standard Bank Group
Strategy
To build a leading emerging markets financial services organisation using all our
competitive advantages to the full
We focus on delivering superior sustainable shareholder value by serving the needs of
our customers and where appropriate connecting them globally
The key differentiator in achieving our strategy is our people
2
3Trends shaping the global economy
1. Financial markets and the world economy are globalising
We are connecting our platforms to participate in global capital and investment flows
2. Emerging markets are growing faster than the developed world
3. Trade flows increasing exponentially reflecting the impact of globalisation
Our strategy incorporates faster growing emerging markets, as apposed to the more mature developed markets
We are connecting our platforms to optimise the opportunities presented by increasing trade flows
4. High population growth and per capita increase in wealth in emerging markets
Population growth as well as the per capita increase in wealth in emerging markets, provides an
opportunity for us to leverage our Wealth Management and Personal and Business Banking business
and capture the synergistic benefits between our three business units
4
FT Global 500 – Number of companies by country - 1996
USA203
10Canada
Mexico 1
46UK
Spain 6
14
Netherlands
Belgium3
France18
Sweden5Norway1 Finland 1
20 Germany
Switzerland11
Italy6
Russia 1
Saudi Arabia 1
Japan110
Hong Kong 11
Taiwan 4
Malaysia 5Thailand 1
South Korea1
Emerging markets are growing faster than the developed world
Canada Norway 127
2 Finland
FT Global 500 – Number of companies by country – May 2009
e co
Brazil 4Argentina1
South Africa 5
Thailand 1
Singapore 5
Indonesia 2Philippines 1
Australia 8New Zealand 1
5Sweden
Japan
20USA181
Mexico
Brazil
Chile Argentina 1
Ireland 1 UK 32
Portugal 1
Spain
14
Morocco 1
Netherlands8
France
9
37Italy
South Africa
Greece 1UAE1
Saudi Arabia
2
2
Finland
RussiaPoland
Czech Republic 1Austria 1
India
27
Hong Kong
Taiwan4
Thailand 1
Singapore Indonesia1
Australia
South Korea5
49
Source: Financial Times
2
6
13
3 Belgium
23
Germany
3
2Denmark
10Switzerland
5
Israel 2
6
Kuwait1Turkey 1
10
China
16
3
5Emerging market trade with Africa
BRIC trade with Africa; share of each country's GDP - 1980
BRIC trade with Africa; share of each country's GDP - 2008
6Real - economy investment in Africa (2003-2009)
160180200
020406080
100120140160
one
ddle
as
t
rth rica
RIC
Asi
a
fric
a
ther
US
Dbn
Sources: FDI Intelligence from Financial Times Ltd.
Eur
o-zo
Mid Ea
Nor
Am
e BR A
Af
Ot
4
7
Harmonising shareholders needs over time
Strategy formulation
Return on equity (ROE) Sustainable growth
South Africa High Medium
Rest of Africa Medium / High High
Outside of Africa Low High
8Why we can compete in emerging markets
o We have a unique African footprint
o South Africa is an emerging market with well developed, leading edge and highly competitive
financial markets. We have a successful business with exportable and replicable
– Products and solutions
– Risk and capital management practices
o High service ethic in dealing with customers underscored by independent surveys
o We understand the needs of both international customers where connectivity is critical; and local
customers, where product and service offering benefit from scale advantages and local knowledge
o Our commitment to emerging markets attract quality people in the major financial centres who want
to be involved and work in emerging markets, augmenting a strong pool of skills we already have in
the various domestic markets.
o Our shareholders are emerging market investors
5
9
o Our strategic relationship with ICBC provides us with one of the strongest partners in the future global
superpower economy, with a keen desire to participate inter alia in the next phase of development on the
African continent
Why we can compete in emerging markets continued
o Life Insurance model that can be exported, and particularly relevant in growing populations and per capita
increase in wealth in most developing markets
o Track record in building some businesses on a global scale as evidenced by our Commodities and
Resources business
o Proven community relevance particularly given the complex socio-economic environment of South Africa
o Experience in taking banking to the unbanked, which is a key requirement in most emerging markets
battling with the eradication of poverty
o Successful track record in growing businesses organically in new markets and geographies
o Proven experience in making and integrating acquisitions in foreign markets as evidenced by Argentina,
Nigeria and Kenya in recent times
10Connecting the emerging markets to each other…..
CHINA / ASIA LATAM
RUSSIA / CIS TURKEY
AFRICA INDIA
MIDDLE EAST
Capital Flows
Trade Flows
6
11Business Model and Connectivity
Standard Bank Group
Personal and Business Corporate and InvestmentW lth M t
Personal and Business Banking
Corporate and Investment Banking
Wealth Management
We organise ourselves across three business units but aim to present ourselves to the market as one
Why is this important?
o Diversification of revenue and risk
o Flexibility with which to enter new marketso Flexibility with which to enter new markets
o Improve efficiency by leveraging infrastructure and skills globally with increased speed of implementation /
integration
o Capture and leverage client relationships with appropriate global connectivity
o Optimise the use of capital
12
Liquidity
Bank Capital
Systemically Important
Firms
Funding
C t l
Ringfencing
Liquid asset
buffers
Leverage Ratio
Counter Cyclical Buffer
Raising Minimum
Ratio
Quality of
Capital
Living Wills
Cross-Border
Resolution Regimes
Increased Oversight
Capital Surcharges
on Size
Simplification of Structure
OTC DerivativesSecuritization
Central Bank
Facilities
Transparency & Disclosure
Fair Value Measurement
Central Clearing Houses
Loan Loss
Financial InstitutionsCapital
Requirements
Underwriting Standards
Disclosure Requirements
Accounting
Compensation
Rating Agencies Securitization and
Off-Balance Sheet
Provisioning
Global Coordination
& Convergence
Fair Value measurement
Guidelines on Risk
Alignment & governance
Shareholder Say on Pay
Potential Link to Capital
Conservation
Deferrals & Clawbacks
Registration
Standards
Skin-in-the-
game
Source: IIF
7
Standard Bank’s current position
14Standard Bank market stats
2001 Actual
2008Actual now
CAGR (%)
Share price (Rands) 31.20 83.00 100.00 16
Market cap (Rbn) 41 127 152 18
Market cap ($m) 3 14 20 27
NAV (Rbn) 26 86 85 16
NAV ($m) 2 9 11 24
Value traded per anum (Rbn) 16 118 62 18
Position in world ( k d b $ k t )*
92 53 54(ranked by $ market cap)*
92 53 54
Foreign shareholding (%) 9 40 40
Source: Standard Bank Equity Capital Markets
8
15Market cap (US$)
45 000
50 000
55 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
0
5 000
10 000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Standard StanChart
Source: Standard Bank Equity Capital Markets
16Recognised Investment Banking skills
o Emeafinance awards 2009
– Standard Bank “Best Investment
Bank in Africa”
– Stanbic IBTC “Best Investment
Bank in Nigeria”
– Troika Dialog “Best Local
Investment Bank in Russia”
– Standard Ünlü “Best Investment
Bank of the Year - Turkey”
9
17Competitive landscape
Large local banks
o Some are now becoming regional players and
expanding footprint
Multi-national banks
o Multi-national banks
o StanChart, Barclays and Citi
o Well capitalised with significant market shares
o Provide significant competition by virtue of their
– Low cost of funds, expansive distribution
networks, good government relationships, strong
ties with top local corporates and increasing
product sophistication
o Less competitive in
o Focus on multi-national corporates, governments, top
local corporates, high end retail and business banking
o All have slightly different core capabilities but focus on
treasury, trade and transactional banking
o Increasingly concentrating on big ticket investment
banking
o Africa may not be considered to be core to their globalp
– Treasury, Debt Capital Markets, Project Finance
and Structured Trade
o Africa may not be considered to be core to their global
strategy
o Nigeria is a noteworthy exception where all have
expressed an intention to grow their presence
The game plan for growth
10
19Personal & Business Banking
o Success at scale
– Deposits
– Volume growth
– Efficiencies
– Customer satisfaction
– Lowest cost and best service
o Scale outside South Africa
o Business Banking
o Agricultureo Agriculture
o Electronic and mobile banking
o Nigeria
20Corporate & Investment Banking
o Enhance scale of local operations and cross border capabilities
o Improve payments and trade finance businesses
o Build emerging markets equities franchisesg g q
o Cross border advisory business
o Core sectors
– Oil & gas
– Telecoms
– Power & infrastructure
– Mining & metals
o Skills transfer / career development / external hires
o Link Africa, China, Russia and Brazil
o Capitalise on ICBC advantage
11
21Wealth
o South Africa
– Good track record of Bancassurance
– Global private client services capability
o Africa
– Sub-Saharan wealth market small relative to
SA
– Melville Douglas niche superior investment
performance
– Leverage Liberty distribution and Standard
Bank brand
– Address current Liberty challenges
– Access to customers through payrolls for
compulsory retirement savings
– Current low penetration of voluntary savings
– Reform driving compulsion, particularly in
pensions, life cover and motor vehicle
insurance
– Good margins - less competition
– Significant scope to increase penetration
– Health
22
1.5
3
5
2.4 21.2
0.5 0 312345
Number of customers
145
465
950
300 298180 135 70200
400600800
1000
Number of branches
Nigeria - The opportunity beyond investment banking
Mill
ion
s
0.5 0.301
GT
B
Firs
t
UB
A
Oce
anic
Inte
rcon
tinen
tal
PH
B
FC
MB
Sta
nb
ic
610
1205973
800100012001400
Number of ATMs
5 135 70
0200
GT
B
Firs
t
UB
A
Oce
anic
Inte
rcon
tinen
tal
PH
B
FC
MB
Sta
nb
ic
o Increase footprint
o Upgrade core banking system and develop lowcost infrastructure
276
610387
181 110 110
0200400600800
GT
B
Firs
t
UB
A
Oce
anic
Inte
rcon
tinen
tal
PH
B
FC
MB
Sta
nb
ic
o Increase personal client base and cross sell ratio
o Scale the business bank
o Leverage the China and emerging marketfranchise of Standard Bank to capture cross-border opportunities
12
23Conclusion
o Our strategy is proving to be sustainable
o Our African calling card and skills will deliver superior rates of growth over time
o Our ICBC business co-operation showing strong signs of significant tractionp g g g g
o Our wealth business will start showing growth in Africa
o Our reputation in emerging markets is growing
24