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efficient market theory
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Investment banking - 1
Efficient MarketsChapter 13: 6, 8, 13, 18, 23
I. Efficient Market Hypothesis
Weak form (random walk): Prices reflect past prices; chartism(technical analysis) is useless).
Semistrong form: Prices reflect all public information; most financialanalysis is useless.
Strong form: Prices reflect all that is knowable; nobody consistentlymakes superior profits.
Testing the efficient market hypothesis
Stock splits
“January Effect”
Financing Implications
Choice of accounting methodsTiming of securities salesPrice pressure from sale of securities