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Investment banking - 1 Efficient Markets Chapter 13: 6, 8, 13, 18, 23 I. Efficient Market Hypothesis Weak form (random walk): Prices reflect past prices; chartism (technical analysis) is useless). Semistrong form: Prices reflect all public information; most financial analysis is useless. Strong form: Prices reflect all that is knowable; nobody consistently makes superior profits. Testing the efficient market hypothesis Stock splits “January Effect” Financing Implications Choice of accounting methods Timing of securities sales Price pressure from sale of securities

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Investment banking - 1

Efficient MarketsChapter 13: 6, 8, 13, 18, 23

I. Efficient Market Hypothesis

Weak form (random walk): Prices reflect past prices; chartism(technical analysis) is useless).

Semistrong form: Prices reflect all public information; most financialanalysis is useless.

Strong form: Prices reflect all that is knowable; nobody consistentlymakes superior profits.

Testing the efficient market hypothesis

Stock splits

“January Effect”

Financing Implications

Choice of accounting methodsTiming of securities salesPrice pressure from sale of securities