Introduction to Short-term Liquidity Analysis

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    INTRODUCTION

    TO SHORT-TERMLIQUIDITYANALYSIS

    Chapter 8

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    CHAPTER 8 OBJECTIVES

    Define liquidity and explain its role infinancial statement analysis.

    Relate financing and investing decisionsto the elements of the balance sheet.

    Distinguish between short-term and

    long-term financing and investingactivities.

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    CHAPTER 8 OBJECTIVES(CONT.)

    Identify, calculate and interpret liquiditymeasures for working capital, current

    account activity, and inventory-relatedconversion cycles.

    Conduct a preliminary short-term

    liquidity analysis of a company orindustry.

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    THE OBJECTIVE OF SHORT-TERM LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS

    Liquidity--an entitys ability to pay itsobligations when they are due

    Short-term liquidity

    conventional meaning of liquidity

    connotes payment of short-term

    obligations with cash produced fromoperations

    does not disrupt productive capacity

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    THE OBJECTIVE OF SHORT-TERM LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS

    Objectivedetermination of an entitysability to reimburse the contributors to

    the core earning processes in a timelymanner

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    FINANCING AND INVESTINGACTIVITIES

    Balance sheet

    reports the status of financing and

    investing activities at a point in time Financing activities (liabilities and

    shareholders equity) provide capital forinvesting activities (assets)

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    FINANCING AND INVESTINGACTIVITIES (CONT.)

    Primary business model (Exhibit 8-1)

    Captures the essence of the initial funding

    of an entity Company acquires funds from investors

    and allocates them to productive resources

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    FINANCING AND INVESTINGACTIVITIES (CONT.)

    Operating business model (Exhibit 8-2)

    Captures the essence of the continual funding of

    an entity Distinguishes between long and short-term

    financing activities

    Relates long and short-term financing activities to

    long and short-term investing activities Examines the convertibility of current assets into

    cash in the near-term

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    TERMS AND CONCEPTS

    Operating cycle (Exhibit 8-3)

    Length of time required to convert a

    current asset into cash Measures inventory transfer into

    receivables and ultimately cash formanufacturers and merchants

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    TERMS AND CONCEPTS(CONT.)

    Operating cycle

    Measures length of time a service entity

    needs to collect on services rendered(absence of inventory)

    Conversion time is usually less than oneyear (this text makes this assumption)

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    TERMS AND CONCEPTS(CONT.)

    Current accounts

    Current assetscash or resources that will

    be converted into cash (or consumed inthe case of prepaid expenses) within oneyear

    Current liabilitiesobligations paid in cashor otherwise satisfied within one year

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    TERMS AND CONCEPTS(CONT.)

    Working capital

    Initial measure of short-term liquidity

    Computation: current assets currentliabilities

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    LIQUIDITY MEASURES(CONT.)

    Factors affecting current ratio

    Industry in which the firm operates

    Ability to sell inventory and collectreceivables

    Timing of cash collections and payments

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    LIQUIDITY MEASURES(CONT.)

    Quick ratio

    Computation: (average current assets less

    inventory and prepaid expenses) / averagecurrent liabilities

    General interpretationconservativemeasure of short-term liquidity

    Drawbackunrealistic assessment of thevalue of inventory

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    LIQUIDITY MEASURES(CONT.)

    Activity measures

    Activity (turnover) ratioquantifies the number of

    times a liquid account turns over in the ordinarycourse of business

    Number of days in a current accountmeasuresthe length of time needed to sell, collect, or payfor a current account

    Complementary measures: activity measures andnumber of days both report an aspect of a currentaccounts liquidity

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    LIQUIDITY MEASURES(CONT.)

    Inventory activity measures

    Inventory turnovernumber of times

    inventory is sold during a reporting period Computation: cost of goods sold / average

    inventory

    General interpretationthe greater the turnoverthe better

    Number of days in inventorylength of timeneeded to sell inventory Computation: 365 days / inventory turnover

    General interpretationthe lower the number ofdays the better

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    LIQUIDITY MEASURES(CONT.)

    Accounts receivable measures

    Accounts receivable turnovernumber

    of times accounts receivable arecollected in a reporting period

    Computation: revenues / average accounts

    receivable General interpretationthe greater the

    turnover the better

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    LIQUIDITY MEASURES(CONT.)

    Number of days in accounts receivableinventorylength of time needed to

    collect accounts receivable Computation: 365 days / accounts

    receivable turnover

    General interpretationthe lower thenumber of days the better

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    LIQUIDITY MEASURES(CONT.)

    Inventory conversion cycle

    Quantifies the operating cycle

    Computation: days in inventory + days inaccounts receivable

    General interpretationthe lower the

    number of days in the cycle the better ascurrent assets are quickly converted intocash

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    LIQUIDITY MEASURES(CONT.)

    Accounts payable turnovernumber of timesaccounts payable are paid in a reportingperiod Computation: cost of goods sold / average

    accounts payable

    General interpretationthe lower turnover thebetter

    Number of days in accounts payablelengthof time needed to pay vendors Computation: 365 days / accounts payable

    turnover

    General interpretationthe greater the number of

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    LIQUIDITY MEASURES(CONT.)

    Net cash conversion cycle Quantifies the financing period of current

    accounts Computation: days in inventory + days in

    accounts receivable days in accountspayable

    General interpretationthe lower thenumber of days in the cycle the better asless capital is invested in working capital

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    eSTUFFS SHORT-TERMLIQUIDITY RATIOS

    Liquidity Ratios 2003 2002 2001

    Working capital 481$ 442$ 257$

    Working capital ratio 4.45 5.42 2.80Quick ratio 2.21 2.74 1.17

    Inventory turnover 2.64 2.77 2.93

    Days in inventory 138.02 131.99 124.43

    Accounts receivable turnover 7.82 7.87 9.23

    Days in accounts receivable 46.67 46.36 39.54

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    eSTUFFS SHORT-TERMLIQUIDITY RATIOS (CONT.)

    Liquidity Ratios 2003 2002 2001

    Inventory conversion cycle 184.69 178.35 163.97

    Accounts payable turnover 8.42 11.06 6.29Days in accounts payable 43.34 33.00 58.07

    Net cash conversion cycle 141 34 145 35 105 91

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    LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS OF THEPC INDUSTRY

    Working capital analysis

    Working capital accounts dominate the

    industrys balance sheets (Exhibit 8-5) Current ratios decreased over the period

    examined (Exhibit 8-6)

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    LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS OF THEPC INDUSTRY (CONT.)

    Activity and cycle analysis

    Increases in inventory turnover (decreases

    in days needed to sell inventory) was theprimary reason for the decline in thecurrent ratios (Exhibits 8-7 and 8-8)

    Inventory conversion and net cashconversions cycles decreased over timeExhibits 8-12 and 8-13)

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    Exhibit 8-7

    Days in Inventory for the PC Industry

    1994-1998

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    19981997199619951994

    DaysinIn

    ventory

    Apple Computer, Inc. Compaq Computer Corp.

    Dell Computer Corp. Gateway 2000 Inc.

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    Exhibit 8-12

    Inventory Conversion Cycles for the PC Industry

    1994-1998

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    19981997199619951994

    InventoryConversionCycle(days)

    Apple Computer, Inc. Compaq Computer Corp.

    Dell Computer Corp. Gateway 2000 Inc.

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    Exhibit 8-13

    Net Cash Conversion Cycles for the PC Industry

    1994-1998

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    19981997199619951994NetCa

    sh

    ConversionCycle

    (days)

    Apple Computer, Inc. Compaq Computer Corp.

    Dell Computer Corp. Gateway 2000 Inc.

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    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    125

    150

    Conv

    ersionCycles

    (Days)

    19981997199619951994

    Exhibit 8-14

    Conversion Cycles for Apple Computer

    1994-1998

    Apple's Inventory Conversion Cycle Apple's Net Cash Conversion Cycle

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    LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS OF THEPC INDUSTRY (CONT.)

    Overall assessment

    Data suggest that all firms were able to

    meet their maturing obligations Dell and Gateway were in more favorable

    liquidity position than Apple and Compaq,according to the evidence