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© 2009 IBM Corporation
®
Predictive Analytics - Driving Smarter Business Outcomes
Martin YoungChannel Manager C&EE, SPSSRiga, 27 May 2010
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
22
Variety of Information 80% of new data growth is unstructured content Emails, images, audio, video..
Volume of Digital Data 57% CAGR for enterprise data through 2010 Machine generated data : Sensors, RFID, GPS..
Velocity of Decision Making Rapidly changing business climate Need to get ahead of the curve : predict issues
and fix them
An Information Explosion … and Faster Decisions Required
Business Imperative:Accelerate innovation, business optimization, and sustained competitive differentiation
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Challenges facing Decision Makers Today
1 in 3business leaders frequently make critical decisions without the information they need
1 in 2don’t have access to the information across their organization needed to do their jobs
19+ hoursSpent by knowledge workers each week just searching for and understanding information
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Analytics Critical for Driving Competitive Advantage
“At a time when companies in many industries offer similar products and use comparable technology, high-performance business processes are among the last remaining points of differentiation.” Tom Davenport, “Competing on Analytics”
57%
55%
61%
62%
63%
64%
66%
70%
76%
80%
63%
68%
70%
67%
71%
73%
71%
73%
77%
86%
Unified Communication
SOA/Web Services
Business Process Management
Application Harmonization
Self-Service Portals
Customer and Partner Collaboration
Mobility Solutions
Risk Management and Compliance
Virtualization
Business Intelligence and Analytics
Ten Most Important Visionary Plan ElementsInterviewed CIOs could select as many as they wanted
Source: IBM Global CIO Study 2009; n = 2345
Highgrowth
Low growth
BI/Analytics #1investment to
improve competitiveness
IBM Global CIO Study 2009
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Sense and respond Predict and act
Back office Point of impact
Instinct and intuition Real-time, fact-driven
Foundational Breakaway
Skilled analytics experts Everyone
Automated Optimized
Next Generation Efficiencies come from Optimizing Every Decision, Transaction or Process at the Point of Impact…
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Imagine If Your Decision Makers Could…
Physician Telco Call Center RepLoan Officer Retail Sales
Associate
…predict and treat infection in
premature newborns 24 hours earlier?
…apply inferred social relationships of
customers to prevent churn?
…adjust credit lines as transactions are
occurring to account for risk fluctuations?
…determine who is most likely to buy if offered discounts at
time of sale?
…optimize every transaction, process and decision at the point of impact, based on the current situation,
without requiring that everyone be an analytical expert
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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How can I capture and analyze information about
how my customers, prospects or employees are
feeling?
How can I capture and analyze information about
how my customers, prospects or employees are
feeling?
How can I predict behaviors and preferences so I can reduce
churn, prevent fraud, maximize campaign results and more?
How can I predict behaviors and preferences so I can reduce
churn, prevent fraud, maximize campaign results and more?
How can I make decisions in real-time or ahead of a potential issue, instead of making decisions when it is too late?
How can I make decisions in real-time or ahead of a potential issue, instead of making decisions when it is too late?
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
8
Predictive Analytics is a transformational technology that enables more proactive decision making, driving new forms of competitive advantage
Analyzes patterns found in historical and current transaction data as well as attitudinal survey data to predict potential future outcomes
Predictive Analytics offers Unique Insights to Answer those Tough Business Questions
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Introducing SPSS, an IBM Company
A leading provider of predictive analytic software, services and solutions– Software – data collection, text and data mining, advanced statistical
analysis and deployment technologies– Services – implementation, training, consulting, and customization
– Solutions – combine software and services to deliver high-value line-of-business solutions; used for optimizing marketing campaigns, call center effectiveness, identification of fraudulent activity and more
40 years of experience and a broad customer base– 250,000 customers: 100 countries, 50 states, 100% of top universities
Enables decision makers to predict future events and proactively act upon that insight to drive better business
outcomes
Enables decision makers to predict future events and proactively act upon that insight to drive better business
outcomes
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Capture Predict Act
…
…
DataCollection
DeploymentTechnologiesPlatform
Pre-built Content
Statistics
Attract Up-sell Retain
TextMining
DataMining
Data Collection delivers an accurate view of customer
attitudes and opinions
Predictive capabilities bring repeatability to ongoing decision
making, and drive confidence in your results and decisions
Unique deployment technologies and methodologies maximize the
impact of analytics in your operation
Enabling the Predictive Analytics Process
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
11
SPSS Predictive Analytics Software 4 Key Categories
11
Data CollectionDelivers accurate view of customer attitudes & opinions
• IBM SPSS Data Collection
StatisticsDrives confidence in your results & decisions
• IBM SPSS Statistics
ModelingBrings repeatability to ongoing decision making
• IBM SPSS Modeler• IBM SPSS Text Analytics
DeploymentMaximizes the impact of analytics in your operation
• IBM SPSS Decision Management• IBM SPSS Collaboration & Deployment Services
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Capture: SPSS Data Collection
Data collection capabilities to capture attributes, interactions, behaviors, and attitudes for customers, employees or constituents
Augments internally captured data with sentiment and opinion data and use this combination as part of the analytic process
Delivers an accurate view of customer attitudes and opinionsDelivers an accurate view of customer attitudes and opinions
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
13
Predict: SPSS Statistics
Advanced statistics and data management for analysts researching business problems
Collection, preparation, analysis, interpretation, explanation and presentation of data
Provides insight into a sample of data and tools for prediction and forecasting based on the data
Drives confidence in your results and decisionsDrives confidence in your results and decisions
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Predict: SPSS Modeler
Workbench with data preparation functions to build analytic streams or jobs and a run time environment for job execution
Set of mining algorithms that provide insight and prediction
Enables the discovery of key insights, patterns and trends in data that can be used to optimize business decisions
Brings repeatability to ongoing decision makingBrings repeatability to ongoing decision making
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Predict: SPSS Text Analytics
Uses natural language processing heuristic rules and statistical techniques to reveal conceptual meaning in text
Extracts concepts from text and categorizes them
Makes unstructured qualitative data more quantifiable, enabling the discovery of key insights from sources such as survey responses, documents, emails, call center notes, web pages, blogs, forums and more
Brings repeatability to ongoing decision makingBrings repeatability to ongoing decision making
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Act: SPSS Decision Management
Set of tools to automate high-volume decision making enterprise-wide
Injects powerful predictive analytics into core business processes
Extends predictive insights to the business user at the point of decision– E.g. Should a claim be ‘fast
tracked’ or evaluated more closely based on a calculated risk score?
Maximizes the impact of analytics in your operationMaximizes the impact of analytics in your operation
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
17
Act: SPSS Collaboration and Deployment Services
Flexible enterprise foundation for managing and deploying analytics throughout the organization
Automates analytical processes
Enables collaboration by securely sharing and reusing analytic assets
Streamlines deployment of analytical information on a scheduled or real-time basis
Maximizes the impact of analytics in your operationMaximizes the impact of analytics in your operation
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
18
SPSS, an IBM Company Uniquely Offers You…
Value of analytics across your organization
– Highly productive, business-friendly predictive modeling, collaboration and deployment services
– Based on the convergence of analytics, architecture and business processes
Open SOA that seamlessly fits your existing environment
– Componentized, enabling it to easily fit within your existing environment, immediately adding value without the need for a “rip and replace” of information infrastructure
– Natural part of a user’s normal activity versus a separate, disconnected application
Deep domain expertise with 40 years experience analyzing data about people
– Ability to dynamically capture attitudes, attributes and behaviors and improve people interactions
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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IBM BI and Performance Management Capabilities Help Decision Makers Find the Answers
Why are we on/off track?
How are we doing?
What should we do next?
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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SPSS Enables New Solution Value for IBM Cognos Customers
Why are we on/off track?
How are we doing?
What should we do next?
New customer insight through Data Collection
New customer insight through Data Collection
Time series forecasting
Time series forecasting
Predictive analytics for deeper understanding
of the data
Predictive analytics for deeper understanding
of the data
Addition of KPPs (Key Performance
Predictors)
Addition of KPPs (Key Performance
Predictors)
Broad distribution of statistical
results
Broad distribution of statistical
results
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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SPSS’ Modeler is Complementary to InfoSphere Warehouse
PMML
SQLTables
PASW ModelerServer
InfoSphere Warehouse
Business Analysts
SPSS Modeler adds business-oriented
predictive modeling and model management
SPSS Modeler adds business-oriented
predictive modeling and model management
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
22
Applying SPSS Portfolio to Accelerate Your Success Example: Customer Intimacy
• Reduces customer defection, increases uplift from cross-sell/up-sell targeting, and improves acquisition of the “right” customers, by enabling decision makers to:• Understand unstructured data that is found in everything from
e-mails, call center notes, blogs, and open ended survey questions• Identify drivers of customer behavior via survey analysis• Identify key performance predictors (KPPs) including customer
defection and outcome of particular customer interactions• Prioritize customer programs as part of real-time decision processes • View customer insights alongside key performance information
through standard IBM reports, analyses and dashboards
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Sample Case Studies: Customer IntimacyGrow and Retain
“The power and ease of use of PASW Statistics enables the AMR Consumer Research department to perform more research than ever before and deliver timely reports while maintaining a small, dedicated staff.”
Grow
“With SPSS, HSBC Bank USA effectively mines an ever-growing file of customer data, creating predictive models to uncover cross-selling and “roll over” sales opportunities.”
Attract, Grow and Retain
“SPSS solutions add intelligence to our business ensuring efficiencies in pricing, marketing and reporting – something no company can afford to ignore in today’s business environment”Hong Juan Liu, R&D AnalystPremierline Direct
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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“This is one of the highest ROI scores Nucleus has ever seen in its Real ROI series of research reports” Rebecca Wettemann, VP of Research, Nucleus Research
Customers Experience a Measurable ROI
94% of customers achieved a positive ROI, average payback in 10.7 months
Over 90% of users attributed an increase in productivity to SPSS
81% of projects were deployed on time, 75% on or under budget
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Delivering Customer Value
•Quickly capture and filter in real-time vast amounts of data on critical public health issues found through interviews, email and the Internet
•Now able to better characterize diseases, identify risk factors and quickly assess medical needs of specific populations
•Plot the expected course of outbreaks and plan responses for improved public safety
Center for Disease ControlImprove Health Care and Patient Outcomes
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Delivering Customer Value
• Identify early indicators of customer churn using data collection surveys and data and text mining, tailoring direct marketing efforts as a result
•100% improvement in churn detection and an initial reduction in actual churn from 19% to 2%
•53% of its unsatisfied customers became company promoters
Cablecom GmbHReducing Customer Churn
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Delivering Customer Value
• Identify and predict crime patterns through timely analysis of incident reports, tips and service calls
•Can now pinpoint “hot spots” and place tactical units where they are needed most
•20-30 % decrease in violent crime and homicides in a 12-month period
Richmond Police DepartmentPredict and Prevent Criminal Activity
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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Delivering Customer Value
•Real-time claims scoring solution to determine whether claims are legitimate and qualify for immediate approval or are potentially fraudulent and should be further investigated
•Cut referral time from 14 days to less than 24 hours on Special Investigation claims
• Identified and addressed subrogation claims at twice the speed – from 26 to 10 days
Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation Reducing Fraud
IBM Software Group | Information Management software
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SPSS, an IBM Company Enables Next-Generation Decision Making
A leading provider of predictive analytic software, services and solutions with 40 years of experience and a broad customer base
Enables decision makers across the organization to predict future events and proactively act upon that insight to drive better business outcomes
From sense and respond…From sense and respond………to predict and act!to predict and act!