24
Intersubjective Consistency of Knowledge and Belief Grecolro Boleivxo eruo Kr,eus l\IpuRrlc Common belief, in contrast to common knowledqe, m ic alrv cou nr eri nr u itive or* ""r i"r tn u r"s u t or;; ;;i:Jj ""Jrr*t r;l;:ff :; H:X,_.Xffi:l B:ll:i:i:i"micommon berier and rhe rerarionship be_ d i v i d u a,s #:,,*::: J ;;i;"-il;i;l :!i?-i :ifl! ii"" d :lt: :? i;t,,i: iI i,:,;:t.".ti,lirlo, ,r, i_p'..it",* for intersub3ecrive consistency con,li_ I fntroduction we consider intersubjective epistemic moders where individuals are de_ scribed by both iheir "knowledge" and th.i, ib"liefs,,. Knowledge is distinguished from belief rrv lt, higlr.. d"g.". of subjective certainty (whatever is known is also believed, but iot uxceuersa) and by the truth axiom (whatever is known is true). rrr. i-plications of the truth axiom in an intersubjective .o.rt.*t are strong: not only are individuals never mistaken in what they know, but this"fact is moreover common knowledge among them; this implies, in ourri.urur, that agent f must know event E whenever he r.r-*, that some other agent 7 knows E. such "common knowledg" otro "rror of knowledge,, is a prominent ex_ ample of an intersubjective consistency condition on epistemic states, and plays a role in thl foundations of game theory. while this assump_ tion might be considered ptuuriut* for beliefs with the highest epistemic commitment (knowl-edge), the distinguishing r"utur" of the notio' of be_ iief proper is precis.tv ir,.'o.$irrility.of error. In particular, individuals may come to believe other individuars to have ,'irtut "n beiiefs. while common knowredge always obeys the formar logic of agents, I'XJfi:"" I I ?y"::T ll :f *41..: 1o* " ind ivi d u ars b er ie ve ot h er in di_ viduals tobe mistaken intheir,r"rl"rr:."ffi;ffffiiil:;Hii", :ti; ,,r. 3ffi:11.* rr" lJil ,o-,hree anonvmous referees for herpfur and construc_ ff:x::::' lz, i j.: ?{:;-' c-s o{ r n ro rm a t io n copyrishr @) 2 0 0 0, iJ"f FTfr::t,*.t'"" Paurv (eds. ) 27

Intersubjective Consistency of Knowledge and Belieffaculty.econ.ucdavis.edu/faculty/bonanno/PDF/csli_2000.pdf · 2019. 7. 10. · truth axiom (whatever believed, but iot uxce uersa)

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Page 1: Intersubjective Consistency of Knowledge and Belieffaculty.econ.ucdavis.edu/faculty/bonanno/PDF/csli_2000.pdf · 2019. 7. 10. · truth axiom (whatever believed, but iot uxce uersa)

.n nonmonotontc

Intersubjective Consistency ofKnowledge and BeliefGrecolro Boleivxo eruo Kr,eus l\IpuRrlc

Common bel ief, in contrast to common knowledqe, mic alrv cou nr eri nr u i t i ve or* ""r i"r t n u r"s u t or;; ;;i:Jj ""Jrr*t r;l;:ff :;H:X,_.Xffi:l B:ll:i:i:i"micommon berier and rhe rerarionship be_d i v i d u a,s #:,,*::: J ;;i;"-il;i;l :!i?-i :ifl! ii"" d :lt: :? i;t,,i: iIi,:,;:t.".ti,lirlo,

,r, i_p'..it",* for intersub3ecrive consistency con,li_

I fntroduct ion

we consider intersubjective epistemic moders where individuals are de_scribed by both iheir "knowledge" and th.i, ib"l iefs,,.

Knowledge isdistinguished from belief rrv lt, higlr.. d"g.". of subjective certainty(whatever is known is also believed, but iot uxce uersa) and by thetruth axiom (whatever is known is true). rrr. i-plications of the truthaxiom in an intersubjective .o.rt.*t are strong: not only are individualsnever mistaken in what they know, but this"fact is moreover commonknowledge among them; this implies, in ourri.urur, that agent f mustknow event E whenever he r.r-*, that some other agent 7 knows E.such "common knowledg" otro "rror of knowledge,, is a prominent ex_ample of an intersubjective consistency condition on epistemic states,and plays a role in thl foundations of game theory. while this assump_tion might be considered ptuuriut* for beliefs with the highest epistemiccommitment (knowl-edge), the distinguishing r"utur" of the notio' of be_iief proper is precis.tv ir,.'o.$irrility.of error. In particular, individualsmay come to believe other individuars to have ,'irtut "n beiiefs.while common knowredge always obeys the formar logic of agents,

I'XJfi:"" I I ?y"::T ll :f *41..: 1o* " ind i vi d u ars b er i e ve ot h er in di_viduals to be mistaken in their,r"rl"rr:."ffi;ffffiiil:;Hii", :ti;,,r. 3ffi:11.*

rr" lJil ,o-,hree anonvmous referees for herpfur and construc_

ff:x::::' lz, i j.: ?{:;-' c-s o{ r n ro rm a t i o n

copyrishr @) 2 0 0 0, iJ"f FTfr::t,*.t'"" Paurv (eds. )

27

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28 f Gta,corro BoNANNo axo Kr,aus NnuRrl+c

the formal logic of individual beliefs (KD45). In particular, the eventthat E is not commonly believed need not be itself commonly believed.Even more strikingly, whereas individuals always know what they be-lieve, this is not necessarily so at the "common" level: it may well bethat the agents fail to commonly know what they commonly believe.Call an intersubjective system of knowledge and belief regular when thelogic of common belief and the relationship between common belief andcommon knowledge are the same as for the individuals. In this paperwe characterize regularity in terms of properties of individual beliefsand study its implications for intersubjective consistency conditions onbeliefs.

Integrated epistemic systems that jointly consider knowledge andbelief have been studied in philosophy (Hintikka, 1962; Lenzen, 1978),artif icial intell igence and computer science (Halpern, 1991; van derHoek, 1993; van der Hoek and Meyer, 1995; Kraus and Lehmann, 1988;Lamarre and Shoham, 1994), economics and game theory (Battigall iand Bonanno, 1997; Dekel and Gul, L997; Geanakoplos, 1994). Thephilosophy and artificial intelligence literature has dealt mainly withsingle-agent systems and the focus has been on the possibility of beliefcollapsing into knowledge as the result of plausible-looking axioms. Ingame theory a study of systems of knowledge and belief arises naturallyin the context of extensive-form games from the attempt to model aplayer's beliefs after she observes an unexpected move of an opponent.Our work ties in with both l iteratures: as in the former, there is thepossibility of a somewhat surprising collapse of belief into knowledge;the link to the latter is established by the analysis of the assumptionof common belief in no error (of beliefs) which plays a crucial role inthe justification of backward induction for interesting classes of perfectinformation games (cf. Ben-Porath 1997; Stalnaker 1996; Stuart 1997),and in the interpretation of the Common Prior Assumption under in-complete information (Bonanno and Nehring, 1998c).

The next section provides a road map of the paper by describingthe specific questions that are asked and the results obtained (a vi-sual summary is given in Figure 3).BV focusing on very simple yetqualitatively contrasting examples, it is hoped that this section servesalso the purpose of fleshing out the notions of common belief and com-mon knowledge to readers only minimally acquainted with the growingliterature on interactive epistemology.

INrpnsu

2 Overvie

The following e:in the sense thbeliefs.

Example l_ In,vidual 2, on thechild. He even Lbeliefs are repl.:trepresent the ktlief accessibilityformally in Sectsition "individui

state a, althougbelieves herself tnot commonly b,belief ). Thus th<lief, denoted bybelief operator),commonly believbelieved (becaus,where E is not c,of Common Belirthe common knor

How can one uncproperties of indimain result (Theccalled Caution at,about common b,E to be commonllieved, that is, he ,mistaken in his brExample 1, indivstate. Theorem b.spection of Comnness of Common Eabout Common B,

Example 2 In that state a individtIegitimate child, b

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articular, the event:ommonly believed.rnow what they be-:vel: it may well becommonly believe.

ref regular when thecommon belief and

luals. In this paper>f individual beliefstency conditions on

Lder knowledge and962; Lenzen, 1978),'ern, 1991; van derrnd Lehmann, 1988;e theory (Battigallirkoplos, 1994). Ther dealt mainly withpossibility of belief

rlooking axioms. In:lief arises naturallyrttempt to model aove of an opponent.flormer, there is thelief into knowledge;s of the assumptionrys a crucial role inng classes of perfect1996; Stuart 1997),

rsumption under in-i c l .

)aper by describingrlts obtained (a vi-on very simple yett this section servesnon belief and com-ed with the growing

INTSRsUBJECTTvE coNsrslBNcy oF KlowlnocE AND Baur;p / zg

Overview

The following example shows that common belief may be ,,ill-behaved,,

in the sense that it may fail to satisfy the same logic as indiviclualbeliefs.

Example L Individual 7 knows that she is an illegitimate child. lndi-vidual 2, on the other hand, mistakenly believes that I is a |egitimatechild. He even believes this to be common belief between them. Thesebeliefs arc rcpresented by state a in Figure 7, where the rectanglesrepresent the knowledge partitions and the amows represent the be-lief accessibility relations (common belief and knowledge are definedformally in Section 3). Let E be the event that represents the propo-sition "individual 1 is a legitimate child', , that is, E _ {p}. Then, atstate a, although E is not commonly believed (because individuat Ibelieves herself to be illegitimate), it is not common belief that E isnot commonly believed (due to individual 2,s belief that E is commonbelief). Tlius the property of Negative Introspection of Common Be-lief, denoted by lrllcB FB*E -+ B*-B*8, where B* is the commonbelief operator), fails to hold at a. Furthermore, at state p, while E iscommonly believed, it is not common knowledge that it is commoilybelieved (because individual 2's knowledge set at 13 contains state awhere E is not commonly believed). Thus the property of Awarenessof common Belief, denoted by AWB (B.E -+ /{* B*8, where 1{* jsthe common knowledge operator), fails to hold at 13.

How can one understand the properties of common belief in terms ofproperties of individual beliefs? This question is answered by the firstmain result (Theorem 5.1) in terms of a condition on individual beliefscalled Caution about Common Belief (CAUCB). An agent is cautiousabout common belief at a state if, for any event E,he only believesE to be commonly believed if he in facl knows E to be commonly be-lieved, that is, he does not open himself to the "epistemic risk,, of beingmistaken in his belief about what is commonly believed. Note that inExample 1, individual 2 fails to be cautious in this sense at eitherstate. Theorem 5.1 shows that common knowledge of Negative Intro-spection of Common Belief (1{-NICB), common knowledge of Aware-ness of Common Belief (1{-AwcB) and common knowledge of Cautionabout Common Belief fK-CAUcB) are pairwise equivaleirt.

Example 2 In the modification of Example 1 illustrated in Figure 2,at state a individual 2 still mistakenly believes that individual I is aIegitimate child, but no longer believes this to be commonlv believed:

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u".;T3;#ll'o'01,",, IQl p|

individual 2's

knowledge and beliefs

common

knowledge and belief

Figure 1

at state a he consid.ers it possible (accord.ing to his beliefs) that the

true state is B where individual 7 believes herself to be illegitimate'

Here both agents ate cautious about common belief at every state; as

imptied by Theorem 5.7, both l{egative Introspection of commonBelief

and. Awareness of Common Belief are satisfied at every state. (Indeed,

the only event that is commonly believed' at any state is the universal

event so that common belief and common knowledge coincide.)

Example 2 shows that common belief may be well-behaved even in

the case where some individuals believe that others' beliefs are (or

may be) wrong. Theorem 5.2 shows that, gr_ven common knowledge

of caution about common Belief rK-cAUcB), whenever individuals

fail to have common belief in the correctness of each others' beliefs,

this failure must in fact be commonly believed' We refer to this as

Disagreement and. to its complement as Agreemenf. Disagreement is

a severe form of intersubjective inconsistency; in particular, it can be

shown to characterize situations in which agents can make infinitely

profitable bets with each other (see Bonanno and Nehring 1998a')

In Example 2, common belief is not only well-behaved, it even coin-

cides with common knowledge. when does this happen? The answer to

this question is provided in iheorem 5.3 as follows . Let Tc B (for Truth

of Ci,*mon B"ii"y) denote the property that' while some individuals

may have in.orr""t'beliefs, the group is never wrong collect'iuely in the

30 / Grecovto BoNANNo AND Kl.q.us NPnnnc

1 i si/legitimate

INroRsue.rECTIVE

1 i slegitimate

13

ille

1's knowledge

and beliefs

2's knowledgeand beliefs

common

knowledge

and belief

sense that whatever is codenote the Equiualence cTheorem 5.3 asserts theEQgcr and common krT C B .

If one adds Agreemencollapses into knowledge Iencounters an intersubjecfrom the single-agent literHoek, 1993; van der Hoereading Theorem 5.4 as f lviduais are cautious aboucorrect (whatever is comrbetween belief and knowlsuggests that the assumpcommon bel ief is the least

In view of the degeneridit ions of Theorem 5.2 (A1about Common Belief) de

Lo?9

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ts

nate

II

) lF I

q

-\ l

) l) < l

n

-1\ t

l lt l

i F l

-t

INTBRsUnJECTTvE CoNsrsrnNcy oF KxowlnocE AND Bnr,ron / 31

l i slegitimate

^t

lFlt ( ) l|

-.'F I

^/

Figure 2

l i sr/legitimate

a

1 i sIegitimate

{3

1's knowledgeand beliefs

2's knowledgeand beliefs

commonknowledgeand belief

rcliefs) that the

be illegitimate.t everY state; as' Common Beliefy state. (Indeed,

is the universa-l:oincide.)

behaved even in' beliefs are (or

rmon knowledge

rever individualsh others' beiiefs,

refer to this as

Disagreement is

ticular, it can be

n make infinitelY

hr ing 1998a.)lved, it even coin-

n? The answer to

=t,TcB (for Truth

some indiv idualscollectiuelg in the

sense that whatever is commonly believed is in fact true. Let EQUCBdenote the Equiualence of Common Belief and Common Kno'*^ledge.Theorem 5.3 asserts the equivalence between common knowledge oftrQu"t and common knowledge of the conjunction of CAUCB andT C B .

If one adds Agreement to the assumptions of Theorem 5.3, beliefcollapses into knowledge for every individual (Theorem 5.4). One thusencounters an intersubjective version of the "collapse problem" knownfrom the single-agent l i terature (Hintikka, Ig62; Lenzen, 1978; van derHoek, 1993; van der Hoek and Meyer, 1995). Here, i t is resolved byreading Theorem 5.4 as follows: if i t is common knowledge that indi-viduals are cautious about common belief, and if the group is alwayscorrect (whatever is commonly believed is in fact true), then any gapbetween belief and knowledge results in disagreement. (This readingsuggests that the assumption of common knowledge of the truth ofcommon belief is the least plausible.)

In view of the degeneracy uncovered by Theorem 5.4, the two con-ditions of Theorem 5.2 (Agreement and common knowledge of Cautionabout Common Belief) define the strongest plausible integrated inter-

o?9 L?9

il,oa<w

" ,,. f*

, / t r ,

]

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32 I Gttcouo BoNANNo lmo Klaus NnnRrNc

subjective logic of knowledge and belief.Figure 3 contains a summary of the results proved in this paper.l

INronsus;ncuvp Cc

i e I,{ we postulate a belielthe set of subsets of O) an,

(Ax.2) Monotonicit '

(Ax.3) Conjunction

Common

knowledge

of Awareness of

Common Belief

\ , \ E g 9 , B ; E ( r e s p e c t i v e l y ,

i I commonknowledge i (resp. knows) t. These opr',- . l ofNegative i3 - - - ->'

,.::,":-^,,^- ̂ " properties (- denotes com[j Introspection of

I Common Belief' - - - 7

(Ax.1) I{ecessity:

Theorem 5.3

(Ax.a) Truth Axiom for kn

(Ax.S) Consistency of b

(Ax.6) Positive Introspe

(Ax.7) Negative Introsp<

(Ax.8) Priority of know

(Ax.9) Awareness of own

We call a tuple (Q,1tr, {(Ax.9) a KB-sysfern. Thusbelief is KD45 and (Ax.S)tween knowledge and belief

We shall denote by & ',

possibility correspondence a:the knowledge operator K;' -B;- , {u}} and Kt(") - {u

zNote that posi t ive and negatcan be deduced from the other p

3In th" phi losophy and AI l i tesemantics in terms of accessibil irelation and possibil ity correspority relation R on O, one definesfollows: P(ut) = {r' € {l : uRaP one obtains the associated acu ' e P ( w ) .It is well-known that, Vcu € Q, \

B , ( r ) ! t ( r e s p . K ; ( . ) q E ) . Ris ser ia l (Vc, , , € Q, B;(w) * A), K; t(Vcu € Q, a € K;(r ) ) , B; sat is f ier( Y o , 0 € Q , i f 0 e s ; ( o ) t h e n 6 ;if and only if 6; is euclidean (V

Theorem 5.4

The following section defines the formal systems of knowledge andbelief in the event-based framework which is common in game theoryand economics. Section 4 clarif ies the relationship between the event-based and the axiomatic (syntactic) approach. section b contains theresults, while section 6 concludes by providing an assessment of thethree fundamental conditions on individual beliefs as conditions of in-tersubj ective rationality.

3 fnteractive systems of knowledg" andbel ief

Let Q be a (possibly infinite) non-empty set of states. The subsets ofQ are called euents. Let l/ be a set of individuals. For each individual

e a r r o w s i n F i g u r e 3 p o i n t o n l y i n o n e d i r e c t i o n .However, all the results proved are full characterizations.

o?t L?I

.,.4.."' ,,

il,e<w

,i-., t

Common knowledge

of Caution about

Common Belief

Common knowledge

that only true facts are

commonly believed

Common belief

that no individual

has any false beliefs

Equivalence of

common knowledge

and common belief

Equivalence of

knowledge and belief

for every individual

Figure 3

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in th is paper. l

\e

I knowledge andin game theory

ween the event-r 5 contains thesessment of the:onditions of in-

The subsets ofeach individual

y in one d i rec t ion .

INrnnsueJECTrvE CoNsrsrnNcy oF KNowr-oocE AND Bnr,ron / 33

i e IV we postulate a belief operator 86 :24 -+ 2a (where 2a denotesthe set of subsets of Cl) and a knowledge operator K6:24 -+ 2o. ForE g Q, B;E (respectively, hE) is the event that individual i believes(resp. knows) ,U. These operators are assumed to satisfy the followingpropert ies (- denotes complement) : Vi g l { ,VE,F €24,

(Ax .1 )

(Ax .2 )

(Ax.3)

(Ax.a) Truth Axiom for knowledge:

(Ax.s) Consistency of bel iefs:

(Ax.6) Posit ive Introspection:

(Ax.7) Negative Introspection:

(Ax.8) Priority of knowledge:

(Ax.9) Awareness of own beliefs:

B ; { l : Q and 1 ( ; 0 : f l .

if E g F thenK;E e 1 f ;F and B;E e B;F

I i ; ( E n F ) : I i t E a I i t Fand B; (E n F. ) : B;E o B;F

I{tE e E

B';E e -Bi-E

I{;E e I{,K;E and B,E g B,BtE

-l{. iE e I{,-6oBand -B;E e B;-B:E

I(rE I B;E

B;E C I(tB.,E

Necessity:

Monotonicity:

Conjunction:

,3

We cal l a tuple (Q, N, {Bn}o.ro, { / { lhe .n ' ) that sat isf ies (Ax.1)-(Ax.9) a l{B-system. Thts the logic of knowledge is S5, the logic ofbelief is KD45 and (Ax.8) and (Ax.9) establish the relationship be-tween knowledge and belief.2

We shall denote by & : O -+ 2a (respectively, Kt : Q -+ 20) thepossi,bil i ty correspondence associated with the belief operator B; (resp.the knowledge opera tor K1) . Thus , Va € Q, &( " ) - {u € Q:o €'-86'-{w}} and Kt(a) - {u € O : a Q --lai '-{r}} t

zNote that posi t ive and negat ive introspect ion of bel ief are redundant, s ince theycan be deduced from the other properties (cf. Kraus and Lehmann 1988.)

3In the philosophy and AI l iterature it is more common to express the (Kripkean)semantics in terms of accessibil ity relations. However, the notions of accessibil ityrelation and possibil ity correspondence are entirely equivalent. Given an accessibil-ity relation R on Q, one defines the corresponding possibil ity correspondence P asfol lows: P(o) - { . t € Q: oRwt} . Conversely, g iven a possib i l i ty correspondenceP one obtains the associated accessibil ity relation as follows: wRu' if and only if, " t ' e P(w).I t is wel l -known that , Vo € Q, VE g Q, @ € B, ,E (resp. t ' t e K;E) i f and only i fBt(r ) e E (resp. K;( . ) g E ) .Furthermore, B; sat is f ies consistency i f and only i f B,i sse r ia l (V r , , , € Q ,B6 fu t ) *A ) ,K t sa t i s f i es the t ru thax iomi f andon ly i f K ; i s re f l ex i ve(Vcu € Q, a e Kr(r) ) , B; sat is f ies posi t ive int rospect ion i f and only i f B; is t ransi t ive(Yo,0 € O , i f 0 e S;(o) then S;(0) 9 Bt(") ) and i t sat is f ies negat ive introspect ioni f and only i f B; is eucl idean (Vcr,0 e Q, i f 0 e Bt . (" ) then B;( . ) e Bi@)). The

o?9 L?I

il,oa1w

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34 f Gtl.conno BoNANNo lxo Kr.Rus NpnRrNc

The common belief operator B* :24 -+ 20 and the comrnon knoul-edge operator 1t* :20 -+ 2o are defined as follows. First, VE eO letB"E: f l ,e.nr BiE and K"E: [^ l ,er KtE, that is , B. ,U (resp. I {"8) isthe event that everybody believes (resp. knows) E. Let B:E : B"E(resp. K:E - K"E) and for r ) l let B:E - B"B:- t f ( resp. I \ :E -I{"1{:-1E). Then the event that E is commonly believed (resp. corn-monly known) is defined by:

B*E - ) u:n

r = l

Let B* : Q -+ 2a and K* : fl -+ 20 be the corresponding possibilityc o r r e s p o n d e n c e s : V c r € Q , 6 - ( a ) = { a € 0 : a € - B * - { a , , } } a n d,t-(o) - {a € f ) :a € - f i * ' - { r } } . I t is wel l knownathat 6* coincideswith the transitive closure of Ule .nr 6;, that is,

Ya,0 € Q, P e B.(a) i f and only i f there is a sequence( i r , . . . , i * ) i n , l / a n d a s e q u e n c e ( n 1 . , n t , . . . , \ * ) i n C I s u c htha t : ( i ) ryo : d , ( i i ) ry -

- p and ( i i i ) Vk - 0 , . . . , f f i - I ,t l t +r € Bt.r*r(r ln) .

Similarly, rC* is the transitive closure of Un., Kn.

Example 3 In a KB-system not all the properties of individual beliefs

/ knowledge are inherited by common belief / knowledge. In partic-u]ar, l{egative Introspection of Common Belief (-B*E C B*-B*E)and Awareness of Common Belief (the counterpart to (Ax.9): B.E 9I\*B*E) are not satisfied in general, as the following example shows;l / : { I , 2 } , Q - { a , ! 3 } , K t ( o ) - B t ( " ) - { o } , K t ( f i ) - B t ( f l = { g } ,Kr(* ) - rcz@) : { " ,0} , Br (o) = Br (13) = {p} Thus, ( - (o) -K.(P) - {a,0}, B*(r) - {" ,p} and B*(0) = {B}. This is i l lustratedin Figure I according to the following convention which will be usedthroughout the paper. States are denoted by points and a (individ-ual or common) knowledge possibility correspondence K : O -+ 20 isrepresented by rectangles which partition the set of states, while a (in-dividual or common) belief possibility coruespondence B : Q -+ 2a is

same is t rue of 1{ ; and Kr. I t is a, lso wel l -known (cf . van derHoek 1993) that (Ax.8)is equivalent to I3;( r ) ! K;(q) , Vc, , , ( O, and (Ax.9) is equivalent to the fo l lowing:V a , 0 , ? € O , i f t 3 e K , ( " ) a n d l e B , ( 0 ) t h e n l € B ; ( a ) .

4See, for example, Bonanno (1996); Fagin et a l . ( toos); Halpern and Moses(1992); L ismont and Mongin ( tSS+). These authors a lso show that the commonbelief (knowledge) operator can be alternatively defined by means of a finite l ist ofaxioms, rather than as an inf in i te conjunct ion.

(',"o K*E: n

I{:E)

INrBRsuB.rpctrvB Cc

represented by arrows as f'

aruow from u to u'. Let I

and B*-B*E - 0 . Thus M' -B*E g B.-B*E' Furtheof Clommon Belief fails: B*

Given two events E and Fevent

E

Thus a € (E -+ F) if andis equivalent to (E -+ F) =

E < + F

Thus a e (E ++ f,) is equivE - F is equivalent to (E

4 Event-based ver l

In this paper we have ercornmon in game theory anophy and computer sciencrsyntactic approach. In thisthe two.

The axiomatic approacmented with (individual ar:With abuse of notation, w(and Ii*. Furthermore, we sas E and F and use the sy'if and only if ' operators cof notation we denote by "where the K; operators saative Introspection), the Itency, Positive and Negatiand belief are connected tand (Ax.9), namely KtEthe usual axioms for comsumed.5

5See, for example, Bonann,(1992)1 van de r Hoek (1993) ; ve(1988); L ismont and Mongin (1

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comnlon knoul-r s t , V E ! Q l e tI ( resp. K"E) ise t B lE - B .E7 (resp. I{:E -ved (resp. com-

\E l

/

ding possibil i ty-B*-{u. , } } andrat, B* coincides

r sequencein Q such" ' r f f i - I ,

dividual beliefsedge. In partic-E g B. -B*E)(4x.9): B.E ;example sfiows:- Br( t3) - { t3},Thus K- (o) =ris is i]/ustratedich will be usedand a (individ-K : O - + 2 a i s

,tes, while a (in-B : Q - + 2 0 i s

r 1e93) that (Ax.s)rt to the following:

alpern and Mosesthat the common

ns of a finite l ist of

INrnRsueJECTrvtr CoNstsrnNcy oF KNowlBncE AND BoLror / 35

represented by arrows as follows: ut e B(r) if and only if there is anamow from u to ut . Let E = U3]1. Then B*E - {13}, -B*E - {a}and B*-B*E : A. Thus -l{egative Introspection of common belief fails:-B*E g B.--B*8. Furthermore, K*B*E - f i. Hence also Awa-renessof Common Belief fails: B* E g K. B"E.

Given two events E and -F, we denote bV @ -+ F) ! f2 the followingevent

E -+ h 'dg -E Lj F.

T h u s a e ( E - + F ) i f a n d o n l y i f a € E i m p l i e s a € F ( h e n c e E g Fis equivalent to (E -+ F) = 0). Furthermore, let

E < + F d g @ - + F ) n ( F - + E ) .

Thus a e (E ++ F) is equivalent to "a e E if and onlyif d € F" (henceE - F is equivalent to (E <+ f ) - CI)

4 Event-based versus syntactic approach

In this paper we have employed the event-based approach which iscommon in game theory and economics. On the other hand, the philos-ophy and computer science literature usually relies on the axiomatic-syntactic approach. In this section we clarify the relationship betweenthe two.

The axiomatic approach starts with a propositional language aug-mented with (individual and common) belief and knowledge operators.With abuse of notation, we shall denote these operators by Bt., B*, Kiand fi*. Furthermore, we shall denote formulae by capital letters, sucha s E a n d F a n d u s e t h e s y m b o l s ' - + ' a n d ' + + ' f o r t h e ' i f . . . t h e n . . . ' a n d'if and only if ' operators on formulae, respectively. Again with abuseof notation we denote by K B the system of multimodal normal logicwhere the 1{,; operators satisfy the 55 logic (Truth, Positive and Neg-ative Introspection) , Lhe 86 operators satisfy the KD45 logic (Consis-tency, Positive and Negative Introspection) and individual knowledgeand belief are connected by the two axioms corresponding to (Ax.8)and (Ax.9), namely K;E -+ BiE and BiE -+ I{,;B;8. Furthermore,the usual axioms for common belief and common knowledqe are as-sumed.5

5See, fo r example , Bonanno (1996) ; Fag in

(1992) ; van der Hoek (1993) ; t r r - t der Hoek and

( 1 9 8 8 ) ; L i s m o n t a n d M o n g i n ( t O O + ) .

e t a l . (1995) ; Ha lpern and Moses

Meyer ( tS0S) ; Kraus and Lehmann

o"9

l J dL?f i ,

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I

36 / Gracorro BoNANNo ,q.No Klaus NpHRrNc

Our characterization results are typically in the form of equality be-tween two common knowledge events, say I{*E - 1{*F. Now, equalityof the events K*E and 1{*F is equivaient to validity of the formulaK*E ++ K*F, that is, its truth set is the universal set Cl. (How-ever, in general, the formula E ++ F rs not valid.) Thus, by com-pleteness of the system IiB 6, a result of the form I{*E - 1{*F inthe event-based approach corresponds to the following syntactic result:KB I K*E ++ 1{*F (that is, the formula K*E ++ 1{*F is a theorem ofsystem K B). In turn, this is equivalent to saying that F is a theorem ofKB+E (the system obtained by adding E to kB) and E is a theoremo f K B + F .

5 Results

The following events capture important intersubjective properties ofbeliefs / knowledge (throughout the paper, events that represent prop-erties of beliefs / knowledge are denoted by bold-face capital letters).Let

Negative Introspectiono f Cornmon Be l ie f N ICB = ,3 , ( -B ,E -+ B , -B*E)

Awareness of Cornrnon Bel ief AW'CB =r3r (B,E -+ K*B,E)

Cau t ion abou t Corn rnon Be l ie f CAUCE- , ! ,u "J " (B "B ,E -+ K ,B ,E)

Thus c,; € NICB if and only if, for every event E , if u e -B*E thenu € B*--,B*E;c,r € AWCB if and only if, for every event E,if u e B*Ethen o € ,1{* B*E; c,r € CAUCB if and only if, for every individual iand every event E, if u € BIB*,U then u € KtB*8.

NICB is the analogue, for comrnon belief, of (Ax.7) for individualbeliefs, while AWCB is the analogue, for common belief and knowl-edge, of property (Ax.9) of individual beliefs / knowledge. CAUCB,on the other hand, captures the notion of intersubjective caution ofindividual beliefs: individuals are cautious in what they believe to becommon belief, in the sense that, while - in general - they allow forthe possibil i ty that they have incorrect beliefs, such mistakes are ruledout for common belief events.

The following proposition gives the properties of the possibil i ty cor-respondences that characterize these three events. For example, in Fig-ure 1 , NI " " - {p } , AwcB - {o } , cAUcB - 0 . That cAUcB = A

6See Kraus and Lehmann

M e y e r ( 1 9 9 5 , T h e o r e m 2 . 1 3 . 5 ,

(1988, Theorem 2.6, p. 160) and van der Hoek andp . e 3 ) .

INrnRsusJEcrrvE CoNsr

can be seen directly by notingthat t - {,6} is common beliethis, since K2(u) = fl, for ever

All the proofs are given in

Proposition 1 The followins,(i) a € NIc B if and onIJ

B . ( o ) , 1 € B . ( 1 3 ) .(ii) a € AWCB if and ot

^ t € B * ( p ) t h e n l € 8 . ( a ) .(iii) a € CAUC B if a,nd on

1 e B*(13) then there exists a I

Althoug_h, typically, NICB 7 ACAIJCB, the three propertiesBeiief, Awareness of Common Icoincide when commonly know

Theorem 5.1 Ii*NICB - K*

Definition 1 A state o is retAWcBor CAUCB ur" comm(similarly, a K B-system is regu.the universal set (e.g. if CAU(

Example 4 l{one of the abov,body agreement-type restrictioing example, illustrated in Fig,Lr (r) - Kz(a) = {a, l i } V"Bz$) = { lJ l r Thus K*(a) _Aw( 'B - cAUcB - e 'und; , "disagree" in the sense that, at ecommon belief that individualbelieves --8.

We now introduce two more prr

Thuth of individual bel iefs

Disagreement

'Al l the results are proved for wethe truth axiom for knowledge is not ,exposit ion we have adopted in the tel i te ra tu re .

il,e1w

'

,"t ).

L?I

' : ' : .-*'

/r 'j

I

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: form of equality be-

I{*F . Now, equalitYlidity of the formulaversal set O. (How-

r,l id.) Thus, by com->rm .I{* E - Ii*F in

wing syntactic result:1{*F is a theorem of

hat F is a theorem ofl) and E is a theorem

>jective properties of

r that represent ProP-lface capital letters).

, E - + B * - B * E )

, E - + K , B * E )

( B ; B . E - + K " B . E )rf)

, , i f u e - B * E t h e n

g event E,r f u €. B*E

for every individual i

E .(Ax.7) for individual

ron belief and knowl-knowledge. CAUCB,:subjective caution of

rat they believe to be

reral - they allow for

rch mistakes are ruled

r of the possibil i ty cor-

i. For example, in Fig-

O. That CLTJCB - A

0) and van der Hoek and

INrnRsusJECTrvE CoNsrsrnNcy oF KxowlnocE AND Bnr,ron / 37

can be seen directly by noting that at every state individual 2 believesthat E - {P} is common belief (BzB.E - Cl), but she does not knowthis, s ince K2(u) - f ) , for every u, , , whi le B*E - {P}

All the proofs are given in the appendix. 7

Proposition 1 The following holds for every a € f);(, a € NICB if and only if B* is euclidean at a, that is,Yp,l €

B . ( o ) , 1 € B . ( 1 3 ) .( i i ) a € A\MCB i f and only i f , Va,p,^1 € Q, i f 0 e K.(a) and

j € B - ( B ) t h e n t € B - ( o ) .( i i i ) a € CAUCB i f and only i f Vi € N, Y13, l €Q, i f P e K6(a) ancl

1 € B*(p) then there exisfs a 6 € &(*) such that 1 e 8.(6).

Although, typically, NIt ' + Aw'", AW"" + CAUCB and NI"t ICAUCB, the three properties of Negative Introspection of CommonBelief, Awareness of Common Belief and Caution about Common Beliefcoincide when commonlu known.

Theorem b.1 1{.NICB - K*AwcB - I {*cAUcB.

Definition 1 A state o is regular if at a any of the evenfs NI ,AWCBor CAUCB ur" common knowleclge (e.g. if a € I{.CLrJcB );similarly, a K B-system is regular if any of those events coincides withthe universal set (e g. if CAUCB - 0).

Example 4 l{one of the above properties of beliefs / knowledge em-body agreement-type restrictions on individual beliefs, as the follow-ing example, i l lustrated in Figure 4, shows:,4/ -

{ I ,2} , f ) = {o,0},Kr ( r ) - Kz( r ) - {o ,p } Va. , € {2 , B t (o ) - Br (C) - {o } , B2(cu) -

Bz(0 = {P} Thus K.(r) - B.(r) = Q Vc,., € Q. f{ere NICB =AWCB - CAUCB - CI and yet the two individuals "agree to stronglydisagree" in the sense that, at every state, it is common knowledge andcommon belief that individual 1 believes E - {al while individual 2believes --8.

We now introduce two more properties of beliefs:

1}uth of indiv idual bel iefs TI B = . [ , , ' , ,1"( t ,E

-+ E)

D isagreement D IS - B* -B*T IB

TAll the results are proved for weaker systems than KB-systems, in part icular

the truth axiom for knowledge is not required for any of the results. To simpli fy the

expos i t ion we have adopted in the tex t the s tandard KB-sys tems d iscussed in the

l i te ra tu re .

o?9 LII

il,e1w

' a . ' t -,' ',

si i'0 . .

Lt. " -'

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38 / Grecouo BowANNo AND KLAUs NBnnINc INrnRsug.rBc:rrvp Cot

Tc B captures the property(u € TcB if and only if, 1E) whi le EQU"B is the pknowledge coincide (u,, € E{u e B*E then u € I{*E anc

If one adds to reguiarity tthat only true facts are comcommon belief into commor

Theorem 5.3 1{.CAUCB

Rernark L In all the theoreconsideration is crucial. For tis common knowledge of thtthere is only Caution aboutedge of it (p € CAUC B bu,theorems, Awareness of Comand thus common knowledgEQU"") . Simi lar counterex

Our last theorem shows thaAgreement, common knowlecommon knowledge that onl5the coliapse of belief into knrrnoreover states that such ccis also equivalent to the hypindividual has correct beliefs

Equivalence of bel ief andknowledge for every indivi

Thus a e EQUtU i f and onat a individual i believes E(a € I i i t r ) .

Theorem 5.4 -DISn 1{-CK * T I B ,

In view of the degeneracy urtions of Theorem 5.2 (Agreerabout Common Belief) defin,subjective logic of knowledge

1's knowledgeand beliefs

2's knowledgeand beliefs

common

knowledge and belief

Figure 4

Thus a e TIB if no individual has any false beliefs al a, that is, forevery i e l,{ and every E QQ, if a € B6E then cv € E.It is well-knownthat a € TIB i f and only i f , Vi e 1/ , o € &(") . The event B*TIBcaptures a property known in the game theoretic l i terature as commonbel ief in no error (cf . Ben-Porath 1997, Stalnaker 1996, Stuart 1997.)Disagreement is defined as common belief in the lack of common beliefin no error. We refer to its negation, -DIS, as Agreement. Thus at statea there is Agreement if and only if for some p e B.(o) , 13 e 8*118.8

Theorern 5.2 --DIS r l I {*CAUC" - B*T1B n K*AwcB .

Thus regularity and Agreement ensure strong intersubjective consis-tency properties; arguably the strongest plausible (see remark afterTheorem 5.4).

For the next result we need to introduce two more properties:

Truth of Cornrnon Belief TcB - n (B .E -+ E )

zezaEquivalence of Cornrnon Belief

and Cornrnon Knowledge EQU"t - a ^ (B .E

++ K*E)E E 2 t z

8 Bon..rt to and Nehring (f OSAa) motivate the notion of Agreement as -DIS in two

d is t inc t bu t equ iva len t ways : (1 ) the absence o f "agree ing to d isagree" about "un ion

consistent" qual i tat ive bel ief indices (a general izat ion of the Agreement property

in t roduced by Aumann (1976) , and (2 ) the absence o f unbounded ga ins f rom bet t ing

(assuming moderately r isk-averse preferences).

eIt is straightforward that a €i f and on ly i f B . (o ) = K* (a ) . I n th

{cr} . In the example of Figure 4, 1

o?9 L?I

il,e<w

t o . " ,

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p-lI- { |

13

/-\ |-So/ |

13

r - ) l--;.< |

INroRsueJECTrvE coNsrsrnNcy oF KNow'oocE AND Bnr,rnn / 39

TcB cap-tures the property that only true facts are commonly believed(u € TcB if al{ only if, for every event E, if u e B*E then u €E') while EQU"t is the prope^rly that common belief and commonknowledge coincide (a,' e EeTJcB if and^only if, for every event E, ifu e B*E then u € I{*E and uice uersa). e

If one adds to regularity the hypothesis that it is common knowledgethat only true facts are commonly believed, one obtains the coliapse ofcommon belief into common knowledge.

Theorem 5.3 I {*CAUCB n f i* TcB - K*EeU"t .

Remark L In all the theorems common knowleclge of'the events underconsideration is crucial. For instance, in Figure 7, at state {), while thereis common knowledge of the Truth of common Berief (0 e x.r"d),there is only caution about common Betief but not common knowl_edge of it (P € cAUcB but p # K.cArJcB); in rine with the abovetheorems, Awareness of common Belief fail, ui thut state (p # Aw" "jand thus common knowledge and common belief fail to coincide ([J (EQU"',) . similar counterexampres can be constructecr in each case.our last theorem shows that putting together the three conditions of.Agreement, common knowledge of cautiln about common Belief andcommon knowledge that only true facts are commonly believed leads tothe collapse of belief into knowledge for euery ind,iuiclual. The theoremmoreover states that such collapse of individual belief into knowledgeis also equivalent to the hypothesis of comrnon knowledge that everyindividual has correct beliefs. Let

Equivalence of bel ief andknowledge for every individual E e u t t - n n ( B " E + + K , E )

r € l J p . c r f l

for every individual i and event _8,&E) i f and only i f she knows y'

( o e I { 6E ) .

Theorem 5.4I i * T r a .

In view of the degeneracy uncovered by Theorem b.4, the two condi_tions of Theorem 5.2 (Agreement and common knowledge of cautionabout Common Belief) define the strongest plausible intigrated inter-subjective logic of knowledge and belief.

elt is straightforward that a e TcB i f and on ly i f a € B* (a lr ! ! r o u r a r b r r u r u r w d l ' L r L n i i f , c V e I - " r l a n d o n l y i I ' a e B * ( a ) a n d o € E e U C B

tf *q onlv if 6* (rr ) - ,f - (a). In the example of Figure 1,

-T, o = .f) anct FIOT rcB _. \ _ ' "

- - - + \ - / - ' * f \ s / . r r r u t t c t r r l < l l l r p l e o I l ] l g u r e l

{o } . ln the example of Figure 4, Tc B = EeUcF = e.O and Eq5rca -

fs at a, that is, torE. It is well-knownThe even l B*TIB

berature as comrnon1996' Stuart f997 .):k of common beliefment. Thus at state

- ( o ) , I e 8 . 1 ' 1 4 . 8

K*AWCB.

ersubjective consis-: (see remark after

ore properties:

,E -+ E )

( B " E + + K * E )

'eement as -DIS in twodisagree" about "union

re Agreement propertyiled gains from betting

Thus n € EeUIB if andat a individual i believes

only if,E ( a €

- 'D ISn 1{ * CAIJCB n I { *TcB - K*EeUt"O-DIS =

o?t LII

u,&1w' . . i

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4O / Gtl.conao Bo\rANNo aNo Klaus NnuRrNc

6 Conclus ion

The analysis of this paper has spanned the intersubjective gap betweenbelief and knowledge by three intersubjective consistency ctnditions:Agreement (-DIS), common knowledge of caution abut common Be_lief (1{,* cArlcB ), ur4 common knowledge that only true facts are com-monly believed (It*T'" ). How prausible are these conditions? can theyperhaps even be viewed as "intersubjectiue

rationality,, conditions?As a reference point, it is instructive to consider the condition of"common belief in no error" (B*Ttt). prima facie, a case for it as a

requirement of "intersubjective rationality" can be made by viewing

it as an intersubjective generalization of secondary reflexivityl0: everyagent is willing to underwrite epistemically every other ug"rri,, beliefsto the extent that he is certain of them.

However, a reinterpretation of Example 1 shows that this conditioncannot be always applicable, which casts some doubt on the intersub-jective rationality interpretation. Consider the following augmentationof the story underlying Example 1. At date zero, both individuals tookit for granted that individual 1 was a legitimate child; however, afterhaving a private look at her birth certif icate, individual 1 discovers toher great surprise that she is an i l legitimate child. Formally, this canbe described in a two-state universe augmenting Figure 1. The originalFigure 1 now describes the individuals, beliefs it dotr,l, after the (one_sided) inspection of the birth certif icate. We now augment Figure 1 byadding two new "epistemic agents" describing the individuals, beliefsat date 0; the beliefs of each of these two new agents are a replica ofindividual 2's beliefs in the original Figure 1 (thus of 2's beliefs at date1)' At date 0, both individuals'beliefs coincide and therefore satisfyany meaningful intersubjective rationality condition. The individuals,beliefs at date I , in particular individual 1's certainty of the falsity ofher counterparts' beliefs, are a necessary result of the information re-ceived in the interim; thus neither individual,s beliefs at date 1 canbe crit icized for lack of intersubjective rationality.

. Agreement (-B*--B*TIB ) can be viewed as an appropriate weaken-

ing of common belief in no error (B*Tr") not subject tt an objectionof this kind: if the epistemic assessments of an event E (that i i . b"-l ieved or that E is not believed, and more generally of a ,,qualitativebelief index" ) of both agents are common belief, they -r,ri coincide

INltoRSUe.IECTIVE

(cf. Bonanno and Nehr

can stake a claim on r i

equivalence to the abse

nanno and Nehring 199t

i t is not subject to the

beliefs only when they a

instance, only tr ivial be

even make perfect sense

observes an unexpected

Common knowledge

by contrast, is exposed t

plague common belief i

vidual 1 who at date 0

chi ld (and bel ieved tha

recognizing the possibi l

to change her mind. On

about Common Belief s

individuals " init ial ly" c

the receipt of specific p

of each other's bel iefs),

This would be sufficient

cation of non-cooperatir

(Sta lnaker , 1996; Stuar t

Final ly, common kn<

has the flavor of an em1

the latter, i t seems im1

group of one, it coinci<12 In view of Theorem

both -DIS and . I { *CA

assumption, in spite of

i t ion that a group's bel i

individual 's bel iefs.

Appendix

For the sake of generalsystems obtained by repthe following weaker ax

l0secondary reflexivity of individual beliefs is the property that eachbelieves not to be mistaken in his own beliefs (ttre inaividual believesbel ieves t then E is t rue: B;(B;E -+ E) - o) . S".o. ,drry ref lex iv i ty isNegat ive Introspect ion.

indiv idualthat i f he

impl ied by

l t N o t e t h a t . w h i l e i n d i v i r

I ' s be l ie fs about {B} a re nc1 2 B v c o n t r a s t . b o t h - D I i

,.-!. - - ./ ,1, '-'._.

)

o?t

il,e1w

I i'hli

L?Ii-r, l#

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ective gap betweenistency conditions:abut Common Be-true facts are com-

rnditions? Can theyity" condrtions?er the condition of3, a case for it as ae made by viewingreflexivitylo: every

rther agent's beliefs

that this conditionbt on the intersub-rwing augmentation>th individuals tookhild; however, afteridual 1 discovers to. Formally, this cangure 1. The originalfte 1, afler the (one-ugment Figure 1 bYindividuals' beliefs

:nts are a replica ofcf 2's beliefs at date

nd therefore satisfyrn. The individuals'Lnty of the falsity ofthe information re-

,eliefs at date 1 can

appropriate weaken-ject to an objection>nt E (that E is be-lly of a "qualitative

they must coincide

rty that each individual

dual believes that if he

reflexivity is implied bY

INTBRsunJECTIVE CoNstsrBNCy oF KNowlnocE AND Bu,rnn / 41

(cf. Bonanno and Nehring 1998a.) If any intersubjective consistencycan stake a claim on rationality, it would seem to be Agreement: itsequivalence to the absence of unbounded gains form betting (cf. Bo-nanno and Nehring 1998a) Iends it strong normative appeal. Moreover,it is not subject to the contingencies of history, as it restricts agents'beliefs only when they are jointly commonly believed. In Example 1, forinstance, only trivial beliefs are jointly commonly believed.llIt wouldeven make perfect sense to require Agreement in a game after a playerobserves an unexpected move by an opponent!

Common knowledge of Caution about Common Belief K*CAIJOB ,by contrast, is exposed to the same problems in a dynamic setting thatplague common belief in no error; note that it fails even within indi-vidual 1 who at date 0 took it for granted that she was a legitimatechild (and believed that she would continue to take it for granted),recognizing the possibil i ty (in terms of knowledge) that she might l iveto change her mind. On the other hand, while not categorical, Cautionabout Common Belief seems highly reasonable as a constraint on howindividuals "init ially" construct their intersubjective beliefs, prior tothe receipt of specific private information (but incompletely informedof each other's beliefs), for example prior to the actual play of a game.This would be sufficient to justify the striking Stalnaker-Stuart justif i-

cation of non-cooperative play in the repeated prisoners' dilemma game(Sta lnaker , 1996; S tuar t , 1997) .

Finally, common knowledge of the truth of common belief (.K.T" u)

has the flavor of an empirical rather than a rationality assumption. Asthe latter, it seems implausible; note, for example, that applied to agroup of one, it coincides with Equivalence of knowledge and belief.12 In vierv of Theorem 5.2, and taking into account the plausibil i ty ofboth --DIS and 1{*CAUCB, it seems implausible even as an empiricalassumption, in spite of the appeal to the prima facie reasonable intu-it ion that a group's beliefs may enjoy higher epistemic dignity than anyindividual's beliefs.

Appendix

For the sake of generality, all the proofs will be given for the weakersystems obtained by replacing (Ax.4) (truth axiom for knowledge) withthe following weaker axiom: Vi € l/, VE C Q,

11Not" that , whi le indiv idual 2 's bel iefs about the event {B} are common bel ief ,1 's bel iefs about {P} are not .

12By contrast , both -DIS and CAUcB u, ." automat ical ly sat is f ied in th is case.

aztt Jd

L?e#,

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42 I Gttcouo BomANNo RNo Klaus NnsRrNc

( A n . 4 ' ) I \ ;K*E g K.E

Indeed, as pointed out below, some results hold even without assuming(Ax.4'). Throughout this appendix, the systems considered are thoseobtained from KB-systems by weakening (Ax.a) to (Ax.4/). BV weakKB-systems) on the other hand, we shall mean systems obtained fromKB-systems by dropping (Ax.a) (without replacing it with another ax-iom, in part icular, wi thout assuming (Ax.a ' ) ) .

Proof of Proposition 1.

(i) is well-known (see Chellas 1984) and (i i) follorn's from Theorema.3 (c) in van der Hoek (1993, p. 183). Thus we shal l only prove ( i i i ) . LetP be the property stated there. First we show that if P is not satisfiedat a then a ( CAU"B. Sr,ppose P does not hold at a. Then there existi e -n / and p ,7 € C, such tha t 0 e K t (o ) ,1 € B . (13) and, Vd e B6(a) ,

1 4 B . ( d ) . L e t E - { u € C I : u e B * ( u ' ) f o r s o m e w ' e B t ( " ) } T h e n

1e E, and, by cons t ruc t ion , a € 868*8 . S ince ̂ l €B* (p) and 1 f E ,B . ( p ) f E , t h a t i s , P e B . E . H e n c e , s i n c e 0 e K t ( * ) , o f I { 1 B * E .Thus, s ince o € B1B*E, a e (B iB*E -+ K1B*E) . I t fo l lows tha tci f i CAUCB. Next we show that if a ( CAUCB th*n P is not sat-isfied at a. Suppose that a f CAUCB. Th.n there exist E C f) andf g 1/ such that a € BiB*EO--I{ , iB*,E. Since a e -K;B*E, there exist

0 ,1 e f ) such tha t 13 €K6(a) and 7 e B . (P) ) ' -8 . S ince a € B ,1B*E,V d € & ( " ) , d € B * 8 , t h a t i s , 6 - ( d ) C E . H e n c e 1 e B . ( d ) . T h u s Pdoes not hold at a. n

Proof of Theorem 5.1.

The proof of Theorem 5.1 u'i l l be carried out in three steps. The flrststep is given by Lemma 1, which is true in weak systems (that is, with-out assuming (Ax.4')). The second step is given by Lemma 2, which is arestatement of Theorem 5.1 for weak systems that satisfy an additionalproperty. The third and flnal step is given by Lemma 4 which showsthat this additional property is equivalent to (Ax.4').

Let (VBi* stands for "Veridicality of individual belief about com-mon belief" )

VB ' * - n n (B1B .E -+B .E ) .i € N E € 2 a

INrnnsueJECTrvE CoNs

Thus ,, € VB,. if arrd only ifBt B*t then u € B*8, that i iabout what is commonly belir

Rernark 2 For every cv € e,B.(*) , ld € Br(*) such thatBonanno and l{ehrj ng (lggga,

Lenrma L In a weak systemIowing holds: I {*NICB g f i_\

Proof. (1i*NrcB c I{.VB,*)rl € NICB. Fix an arbitrary ir r € (B ;B*E -+ B-E) , o r , equ.S i n c e 0 € N I C B , a € I - B - EThen a € B* -B*E. By de f in i t isistency of i 's beliefs (cf. Ax.5)- B i B * E . H e n c e o € - - B , i B * 8 .of I i*, it follows that 1{.NICB(1{*vB,* g 1(_ cLrJcB). Let, ( . (o ) . We want to show thaa n d E C Q s u c h t h a t 0 e B tneed to show that r € B*8.13 e t i6BuB*E hence J € B;B*tand 7 e Kt(0), ^ / e K*(cv). Thus i n c e 1 e B I B * E , 1 e B * 8 .( h ' - CAUCB q I{- AWCB ). LC e K- (o) . We want ro show tsuch that {} e B*8. We need t<sequences ( i r , . . .e_) in i / anda n d , f o r e v e r y k _ I , . . . , f f i , T J kTm € B*8. First of all, note that l n € K * ( a ) f o r a l l A - 0 , . . . . m .

v k - 0 , . . . , rSince Uo - l] e B.E and, bv dB:,B*,U. Hence, by ( b I ) , io <0r € B*8. Since B*E C Bi2ITt e I{1"B*E. Thus, since 42 targument rn times we get that 11

' J T h e r e t h e e v e n t V B , * i s d e n o t e d

6* (resp. 6; ) is denoted by /* (resp. I

029 LII

il,e1w

t ,'-' l,, , \

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without assumingsidered are those(Ax.4'). By weakns obtained fromwith another ax-

s from Theoremly prove (i i i). LetP is not satisfiedThen there exist

and, Vd e B6(a),' e Br ( " ) ] . Thenr-(p) and 1 f E,d ) , a f K 1 B * E .. It follows thatren P is not sat-: x i s t E ! f J a n dB*E, there existnce cY € BiB*8,t 8 . (6 ) . Thus P

steps. The firstrs (that is, with-ma2, which is afy an additionalr 4 which shows

lief about com-

IUTBNSUBJECTIVE CONSTSTBNCY OF KNOWT,OOGE AND BOr,rON / 43T h u s c , € v B ' * i f a n d o n l y i f f o r e v e r y i n d i v i d u a l i a n d e v e n t E , i f u 6BtB*E then u e B*E' that is, at u noindividual has mistaken beliefsabout what is commonly believed.

Remark 2 For."r:r, o € e, o € vBr* if and only if,Vz e lr, v7 €B.(o) , ld € &(a) such thatBonanno and Nehring (iossullrr€

8.(6)' For a proof see rernm a 2 in

Lemma 1 In a weak system (thus without assuming (Ax.at)) the for_lowing hotds: , { i -NICB s 1i .vn, l q ; : ; ; ;?o C,rr .*A\ry( ,a.Proof ' (1 i*NI 'B q

{{ , -vB'-) . First we show that NI 'B c vBo*. Leta € NIca. Fix an irbitr ury i€ .A/ and E e A We want to show thatu € (BtB*E -un*tl,:.,^.1:ivalently, il" _ a (_B* E _+ __,BtB*E).S i n c e a e N I c , a € ( - B * b - B : : B . E ) . S u p p o s e t h a t a € _ B * 8 .Then d € B*--- ,8*E. By'def in i t ion of B*, B*__f i .b c Bt_B*E.ByCon_sistenc.y of i 's bel iefs (cf . Ax.5) , B- i -B*U

S_,nn-n_g.Thus B*_B*E C-BtB*'. Hence a e ._BrB.i. Thus Ni"; si;;. ;;;;oti'i.rtyof 1{*, i t fo l lows that { .NI"r C l i *V; , - . =

( f f .vBo* q 1(-cAUcB). Let o= a^ir* ig i -_and f ix an arbi t r ary iJ €K.(*). We want to show that p € CAUC;. Fix arbitrary i 6 ,A/and E C 0 such that B € BiB*'. Fix an arbitrary 1 Q Kr(c) w"need to show that 7 € B*8. s ince B.B*E a I joBoB*E (cf . Ax.g),0 e xnBrB*t hence 1e BiB*E. ev a"fi" i i-, irr5*, since /3 e K.1a1and 7 e h@), 1 Q K.(o). Thus, since a e I{*VB,*, j eVdl-1H",r..,s i n c e l e Q . B . E , l € B * ' 8 .(K.cAtJcs c l {*awcB). Let a € I {*cAUcB. Fix an arbi t rary0 e l1.(a). We want to show that p € AWCB. Fix arbitrary E C C)such that t e B.E. We need to show that B € 1{* B*E.Fix arbitrarys e q u e n c e s ( i t , . . . i ^ ) i n 1 / a n d ( T o , r l r , . ; . , r 1 ^ ) i n e s u c h t h a t U o : C ,a n d , f o r e v e r y A

- 1 . , , . . . 1 m ) U n ' ' € . K 6 r ( n * _ r ) . W " n e e d t o s h o w t h a tTm € B*8. First of a l l , note that ,s inc"t a 'n.(o\ by def in i t ion of rC*,\ x € K * ( a ) f o r a l l & - 0 , . . . , m . H e n c e , s i n c e a € K * C A U C B .

Vk - 0 , . . . ,w , , on € CAIJ ]B ( 5 . 1 )Since To = g e B*E and., by definition ofB t r B * E . H e n c e , b y ( 5 1 ) , r y o e h i r B * E .Tr € B*E. Since B*E C Bt,B*g, Tl t €\ t € I {d. ,B*8. Thus, s ince ry i e tCr,( i ) ,argument m times we get that q^ e B* E.

!:, B.E C B,;,B*E, ryo €Thuj, since r71 e Kt,(ry0),Br,B*8. Hence, uv is.r j ,

Tz € B*8. Repeat ine th is!

o t e d b y T 6 : 6 a n d t h e p o s s i b i l i t y c o r r e s p o n d e n c e6* ( resp . B ; ) i s denoted by T* ( r " "p , . - t ;1 .

o?t L?Ii '

il,e1wv" $;

{ . , ' '*uti." . -' ...t.

y ' t ,

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44 I Gttcorr,lo BonANNo ano Klaus NBnRrnc

Remark 3 A possibility corcespondence P : e -+ 2a is secondaryreflexive ifYa,0 e Q, {l e n6.t implies g e n1B1 . secondary reflexivityis implied by euclideanness. Hence, for every i e l{, Bt and K; aresecondary rcflexive. It follows from the definition of B* and K* thatboth B* and K* are secondary reflexive.

Let (NIK* stands for "Negative Introspection of common knowledge,,)

NIK* - n (-/{* E -+ I{*-.I i*E).E e 2 a

Rernark 4 Analogously to (i) of Proposition 1, it can be shown that,Y0 e Q, {3 e NIK* if and only if K* is euclidean at p, that is,Vt,d €lc . ( i l , d € K.( t ) .

Lemma 2 In a weak system that satisfies I{*NIK* - e the followingholds:

I {*NIca = I {*VB'* - K*CAUCB - K*AWca

Lemma 2 follows directly from Lemma 1 and the following lemmawhich can be viewed as a generalization of Lemma2.2 in Kraus andLehmann (1988) to the case where individual knowledge satisfies theKD45 (rather than the 55) Iogic.

Lemma 3 ln a weak system (thus without assuming (Ax.a,l the fol-lowing holds:1{*NIK* n 1i*AWCB q 1{.NIca.

Proof. Let a € I{*NIK* n,a{*AWcB and fix an arbitrary 13 e K.(o).We need to show that B € NICB, that is (cf. (i) of proposition 1), foral l d, 1 € B*(13), 6 e B*(7). Fix arbi t rary 6,1 e B.(p). By secondaryreflexivity of B* (cf. Remark 3),

INrnRsueJECTrvE CoNs

Let (V K'* stands for ,,Vecommon knowledge,,)

VK'* _ N

?€f f

Thus L,, € VKi* if and onlv .u € K1I{.E then c.., € 1{* E, tIher knowledge of what is comr

L e m m a 4 N I K . - O .

Proof. First note that (Ax.4,)show that, in turn, VKi* = Othis to be true in general, for a

ln l ,g* be any col lect ion'of ofity, Conjunction, Consistencv. .(Ax. l ) - (A*. B) and (a*.r)_1lng cornmon operator. We wari f N I c t ' = 0 . L e t B i : O - +associated with B;. For every lrespondence K,; : e -+ 2a as {only i f B,(r , ) _ &(u). Then KYu,,.,t' € Q, a,, € Ki(",,) and if u,,economics and game_theory litrpartztion of individual i) . Let K(V, g Q,V E C Q, c.,r € A-;6 if anward to verify that the system s(resp. K-) be the associated conspondence). Then K* also giveseuclidean, that is (cf. propositicLemma 2 and conclude thatd e B.(d) (5 2)

Since, for a l l u € {1, B. ( r ) g K.( r ) , d ,1 € K*(B) . S ince p € K.(o)and a € K*NIK. , 0 e NIK*. Hence (cf. Remark 4),

6 e K . (1 ) (b B)Since 13 e K.(a) and L= rc .@), bV t ransi t iv i ty of K* , 1€ K_(a) .Thus, since o € K*A'WCB,

1(*NIc

Since K* is reflexive, 1{* satisfierK*E Q E. Hence

V E e 2 4 , I \ * E = A

Suppose low that VBt* = e. Thby (5.5), I {*NfcB = e and. bv ,ment, i f NICB = Q then VBi*"-

'y € A.wca (5 .4 )It follows from (5.2)-(5.4) and (i i) of Proposition 1 rhat 6 e B.(t). r

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O -+ 2a is secondarY

) . Second ary reflexivitY

i €. I'{, Bt and Ki ate

:ion of f i* and K* that

rf common knowledge" )

K-E).

7, it can be shown that,

an at 13, that, is, V7, d €

\ I K * - Q t h e f o l l o w i n g

_ K*AWCB

rd the foilowing lemma

emma 2.2 rn Kraus and

. knowledge satisfies the

;suming (Ax.a'l the fol': 8 ,

an arbitrary P € K.(o).(i) of Proposition 1), fore B.(p). BY secondarY

(5 2)

C.(p) . S ince { i e K.(u1mark 4),

(5 3)

; iv i ty of K* , J € K-(o) .

(5 .4 )

;ion 1 that d € 6- (7). n

INrnnsueJEcrrvE CoNsrsroNcy oF KNowr,BocE AND Bu.rcr / 45

Let (V Kr* stands for "Veridicality of individual knowledge aboutcommon knowledge" )

VK'*= n n (K ; ,K .U-+K.E)i . - N E e 2 a

Thus u., € VKi* if and only if for every individual i and event E, ifu € K;K*E then c,. ' € K*E,that is, at ur every individual is correct inher knowledge of what is commonly known.

L e m m a 4 N I K - - 0 .

Proof. First note that (Ax.4') is equivalent to VKi* - O. We want toshow that, in turn, VK'* - Q is equivalent to NIK* - f) . We showthis to be true in general, for any "common" operator. Let {86: 2a -+

2tl,;.r be any collection of operators satisfying Necessity, Monotonic-ity, Conjunction, Consistency, Positive and Negative Introspection (cf.(Ax. l ) - (A*. 3) and (Ax.5)-(A".7)) , and let B* be the correspond-ing common operator. We want to show that VB'* = f) if and onlyif NICB : Q. Let Br : f) -+ 2a be the possibility correspondenceassociated with .B,. For every i g .V construct a new possibility cor-respondence K6: Q -+ 20 as fo l lows: Vu,u' € Q, ut € K{r) i f andonly i f &(r ' ) - Bt(u). Then Ka gives r ise to a part i t ion of Q, that is ,Yu,u t € {2 ,u € K t (c , , , ) and i f u ' € K t (u ) then [ ; ( r ' ) : &( r ) ( in theeconomics and game-theory literature this partition is called lhe typepartit ion of individual i). Let K; :24 -+ 2a be the associated operator(Vu., € Q,VE q CI, u € I{,;E if and only if Kt(u) g E). It is straightfor-ward to verify that the system so constructed is a KB-system. Let 1{*(resp. K.) be the associated common operator (resp. possibil i ty corre-spondence). Then K* also gives rise to a partit ion of Q and therefore iseuclidean, that is (cf. Proposition 1), NIK* - 0. Thus we can invokeLemma 2 and conclude that

1{- NICB - -I i*vBi* ( 5 5 )

Since rC* is reflexive, 1{* satisfies the Truth Axiom, that is, Y E e 20,K*E g E. Hence

YE e2a, K*E - Q i f and, on ly i f E - Q (5 6 )

Suppose now that VBi* - CI. Then, by Necessity, /r*VBi* - 0. Thus,by (5.5), I {*NICB - O and, by (5.6), NI"" - 0. By the same argu-ment. if NICB - CI then VB'* - f). tr

o?, L?I

il ,oa1w

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46 I GttcoMo BoNANNo aNo Klaus NnuRnc

Completion of proof of Theorem 5.1-:by Lemma4, NIK* - Q; thus , by Monoton ic i tyo f K* ,1 i *NIK* - f , ) .Hence Theorem 5.1 follows from Lemma 2. tr

Remark 5 By transitivity and secondary reflexivity of B* and K*, forevery event E, B*E - B*B*E and I{*E - I{*I{*8.

Proof of Theorem 5.2.

The proof of Theorem 5.2 makes use of the following lemma.

Lemrna 5 ln a weak KB-system^(thus without assuming (A.4')), thefollowing holds: --DIS n 1{* CAUcBn NIK* C B*TI B .

Proo f . Le t a € - .D ISn1{*CAUcBnNIK* . S ince o € -DIS, thereex is ts a 13 € B . (o ) such tha t 0 e B .T IB. Suppose tha t n 4 B .T IB.Then there exists a 7 € B.(o) such that

1 # B . T I B . ( b 7 )

S i n c e B . ( o ) g l c . ( o ) , 0 , 1 € K * ( a ) . S i n c e o € N I K * , K * i s e u c l i d e a nat o, hence

1 € re.@). (5 8)Since d F_K*CAl lcB ? \d 13 € K* (a) and, by Lemma 1 ,1{ *CAUCB CK * A w c B , p € A w c B . T h u s , s i n c e p € B * T I B , 0 € I \ * B * T I 9 .Hence, by (5 .8 ) ,1 e B*TIB, cont rad ic t ing (S .Z) . I

Completion of proof of Theorem 5.2:( ' -DIs n 1{*cAU"^" g B*TIB n / {*Aw"t) By Lemmas 4 and 5,--DIS n f i *cAUcB g B.TIB . By Lemma 1' , 1{* c 'ArJcB g 1{-AwcB'(B*Ttu n I { *AwcB C-DIS n K* Cy ' * IJ?B. ) By Remark b , B*TIB -

B*B*T1B and by ser ia l i t y o f B* , B*B*TIB 'g

-B* -B*TIB : - -DIS.

T h u s B * T I B e - D I S . B y T h e o r e m 5 . 1 , I i * A W c a C K * C A U c B . l

Remark 6 Although -DIS o K* CATJCB q B*TIB n AWCB , theconverse is not true as the following example shows. lr/ - {1,2}, f) :

{ o , 0 , 1 } , K r ( * ) - K t ( t ) : { a , 1 } , K t ( f r ) = B r ( g ) - { p } , B y ( a ) -h(t) - { r} , Kz(o) - Kz(p) = {" ,p}, Kr( i - Bz(r) - { t } , Br(*) -Bz(13) - {P} . Thus ,Yu € Q, B* ( r ) - {0 , t } and K* ( r ) - Q. Herewe have tha t T IB - UJ ,1 j , B*TIB - e and AwcB - {o i . ThusB*TIB nAwcB - {cr} . an the other hand, CAUCB - I \* iA.U"t -

a.

INronsueJEcrIVE Cowstsru

Proof of Theorem 5.3.

The proof of Theorem 5.3 is basedare essentially one-agent results.

Lemma 6 In a weak KB-svstenAwcB rt K* TcB g Eeutb.

Proof. Let a € AWCE aK*TcB. (o) . F ix an arb i t ra ry p e K- ( " )Thus (cf. Proposition I) g e B.(Fand P e B.(p), by Proposition 1 i '

Corollary L In a weak KB-systeI{* Awc B n r{* Tc B g 1{- Eeuc

Proof. By Lemma 6 and monotorq K-EQU"8. By Remark 5, 1{* l

Lemma 7 In a weak KB-system (iQ, Vi € .ny', (i) BoKtE C It;E and

Proof. (i) From -KtE C I{i--Ki((Ax.8) applied to the event --I{, i)

is equivalent --8,--KtE g I { iE.1-"'B,i-KrE ((Ax.5) applied to the(ii) Since (by definit ion of K*) K*tBtK*E C B,; I { , ;K*E and, by ( i ) , BI{iK*8. On the other hand, bV (A

Corollary_ 2 In a weak KB-systeI{*EeucB g cAtJcB .

Proof. Let a € 1{*EQU"". Fix ara Q BtB*8. We want to show thara € B, iK*E.Fix an arbi t rary 1 € BKr(") g E/") , 13 e K*(o) andf , e PQUGB. H.rr .e, s ince g e B*I( i i ) of Lemma 7, a € KtK*9. Now <1 € K*.E. Furthermore, since h@? € EQUCB. Thr r , s ince 1 € h -E

Completion of proof of Theore(1 i -cAUcu a I { *TcB g / { -Eet

029 LII

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. : \

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' *NIK* - 0 .

* ancl K*, for

i^ n',,, ro"

-DIS, therea ( B*TIB .

(5 7)

is euclidean

(5 8 )

i *cAUcB g€ 1{* B*TIB .

mas 4 and 5,q K*AWCB.

k 5 , B * T I B -

I I B - - D I S .

, c A U c B . I

I AwcB , the= { 1 , 2 } , Q -

{0}, Br(') -{ t } , Br(o) -u) = fl. Here= {a } . ThusK-CAUCB _

Ii\rnnsueJEcTrvE CoxsrsrnNcy oF KNowl-oocE AND Bor:nr.' I 47

Proof of Theorem 5.3.

The proof of Theorem 5.3 is based on the following two lemmas, whichare essentially one-agent results.

Lemma 6 In a weak KB-system (thus without assuming (Ax.4')),l |wcB n ,I{*TcB q Eeu"".

Proof. Let o € A.WCB n I{*T1B. We want to show that K-(cv) qB. (o ) . F ix an arb i t ra ry 13 € K- (o) . Then, s ince d € K , ,TcB,0 eTcB.Thus (cf. Proposition t) 0 e B.(P). Since a € AWca and g e K.1a1and p eB. (B) , by Propos i t ion 1 i t fo l lows tha t p e B . (o ) .n

Corollary L In a weak KB-system (thus without assumrng (A.4')),I { * / |wcB n 1{ * TcB g K.EeucB.

Proof. By Lemma 6 and monotonicity of K*, K*AWCB a I{*I{*T]Bc 1{ *EQU"B. By Remark 5 , K*K*TcB - K*TcB. n

Lemma 7 ln a weak KB-system (thus without assuming (A.4' )) ,V E gCI, Vi € N, ( i ) B,&E 9K6E and ( i i ) BiK*E - KiK*E.

Proof. (i) From -KtE I Kt-KtE (Ax.7) and 1{1-K,iE I Bt--I{tE((Ax.S) applied to the event --KiE) we get *,I{tE

9 Bt--KtE, whichis equivalent =8,-KtE e I{rE. This, in conjunction with ,86 I\ iE g--Bt-KtE ((Ax.5) applied to the event KtE), yields &I{,iE g I{iE.(i i) Since (by definit ion of I\*) K*E g KiK*8, by monotonicity of B,;,BtK*E e goKtI{*E and, bV ( i ) , BtKtK*E e I { iK*,8. Thus B, i ,K*E CKtK* E. On the other hand, by (Ax.8) KtI{*E I goI{*8. n

Corollary_2 In a w9?k KB-system (thus without assuming (A.4')),K * E Q U C B g c A t J c B .

Proof. LeL a€ I{*EQU"". Fix arbitrary i € N and E ! Q such thata € BIB*E. We want to show that o € K:B*E. First we show that aa e BtK*E.Fix an arbi t rary ̂ / € &(o). Then 0 e 8. ,U. Since &(") 9K;(a) g K.(o), g € K.(a) and therefore (s ince a € I { -EQUCB)

0 e n Q U c B . H " n . e , s i n c e 0 e B . E , 1 3 e I { * E . T h u s a a € B 1 K * E . B y(ii) of Lemma 7, a € I{tI{*8. Now choose an arbitrary 7 € Kt("). Then

1 € K*t . Furthermore, s ince Ko(") I K.(o),1 € K*(o) and therefore

7 € EQU"" . Thr r r , s ince ̂ f € K*8 , ' y e B*8 . Hence a e K . iB*E. I

Completion of proof of Theorem 5.3:( I { -CAUCB aK*T]B g 1{ -EQUC' ) gy Lemma l , K*CAUCB n

o?9 LII

i ' : - {

.

i l ,o41

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48 / Gu,couo BowANNo AND KLAUs NBuRrNc

I{*TcB g K*AwcBn I{*TcB and by Corol lary I , K*AwcB aI{*TcBc l{*ndv"".(1 i .EQU'" g 1{.CAUct) gy Corol lary 2 and Monotonic i ty of / {* ,1i* 1i* EQ-Ut'r g I{* CAUCB. By Remark b, I i* 1i* EeiI"u =1 i - EQUcB.(I{ .EQUCB g K*TCB). Let d € I {*EQU"' and f ix an arbi t rary13 e K.(a). We want to show thaL p e TcB. Since d e K*EQUCB,0 e pQUcB. Thr l r , by Propos i t ion I , B . (13) - rc * (B) . S ince g e K . (a ) ,by secondary reflexivity of K* (cf. Remark 3) , {J e K.(P). Thus p €B.(P). Hence, by Proposi t ion I , 13 e TcB. a

Proof of Theorem 5.4.

First we prove that

K*TIB -C -DIS n 1{* cAUcB n 1{* TcB

INrBnsusJECTrvE CoNs

r*TrB g lFrom (5.11) we get (by intersec1 ( * C A U C u a K * T ] B = - DI { * T I B ! - D I S n E q u l B n ,I{*T]B C --.,DIS n nQurB n

We conclude the proof by slq K*TIB . Let a € -DIS t 'N I K . - O . S i n c e a € E Q U 'a e NICB n--DIS. By def in i1Thus cv e B*TIB. S ince a € Eonly if a € 1{* TIB . n

The following propositionAWCB and EQUCB (recallnof assumed the Truth Axiomand Nehri"g (1998b).

Proposition 2 In a weak KB-1{* AWCB c AWCB and K*E

References

Aumann, R. 1976. Agreeing to d

Battigalli, P. and G. Bonanno. lnom,ics and Philosophy, 13:39-

Ben-Porath, E. 7997. Rationalityin perfect information games.

Bonanno, G. 1996. On the logiQuarterly, 42:305*31 1.

Bonanno, G. and K. Nehring. 1incomplete information. Matht

Bonanno, G. and K. Nehring. 19edge and belief. Technical repoment of Economics Working Pr

Bonanno, G. and K. Nehring. ltassumption under incomplete irTheory. forthcoming.

Bonanno, G. and K. Nehring. 1introspection of common belief

First note that K*TIB g B*T/B and, as shown in the proof of Theorem5.2,, B*Ttu g --DIS. Thus K*TIB e -DIS. Furthermore, s ince TIB cTcB, by Monotonic i ty of 1{* , K*TIB C.I(*TcB. Final ly, s ince TIB -VBi*, by.Monotonic i ty_of 1{* , I {*TIB g K*VB'*.By Lemmas 2 and4, I{*VB'* - K*CArJcB. Next *" p.o* thut

--DIS n r{* cAtJcB n r{* TcB c K*TIB

( 5 e )

( 5 . 1 0 )

( 5 . 1 1 )

( 5 . 1 2 )

( 5 . 1 3 )

Let n € --DIS n fi* CAIJCB n -I{* TcB. By Theorems b.2 and 5.8,a € B*T/B n EQU" t . Hence a € K*TIB. Thus , by (b .g ) and (b .10) ,

. -DIS n I {*CAUCB n 1{* TCB _ I{*TIB

Next we prove that

I { *TIB g Eeut"

Let a € / {*TIB. Fix arbi t rary i € l / and E gA and suppose thata € B,;t. We need to show that a e KtE. Fix an arbitrary P e K,;(a).we have to prove that B € E. since cv € &E 9 KrBtE and g e K;(a),

0 e & s .Since a € K*TIB and g e Kr ( " ) ! K . (o ) , {3 €TIB.Hence, by (b .13) ,0 e E. Bv (5.12) and Monotonic i ty of K*, I {* I {*TIB g I { -EeU/B.By Remark 5 , K*K*TIB - K*TIB. Thus K*TIB g I { -EqUrB. I tfollows from this and (5.12) that

o?9 LII

il,e1w

, . , t .

\

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B n K * T c B

icity of 1(*,}QU"" :

n arbitrary(* EQUCB ,B e K . ( a ) ,. T h u s 0 €

(5 e)

of Theoremsince T1B q

rince TrB q

mmas 2 and

( 5 . 1 0 )

5 .2 and 5 .3 ,r a n d ( 5 . 1 0 ) ,

( 5 . 1 1 )

( 5 . 1 2 )

suppose that

v p e K r ( a ) .Ld f € K r@) ,

The following proposition highlights anAWCB and EQUCB 1.".ull that throughoutnof assumed the Truth Axiom for knowledge).and Nehri"S (1998b).

Bolrnn / 49

(5 .14)

interesting property ofthis appendix we have

For a proofsee Bonanno

INronsusJEcrrvE CoNstsrBNCy oF KNowLpocE AND

I { *T IB g Eeur" )K*EeuIB

From (5.11) we get (by intersect ing both s ides with -DIS) that -DISn

1{*CAUC" ) K*TCB = --DIS f) K*TIB and from (5.14) --DIS . lI{*TI B c -DIS n EQUIB n 1{* EQUt1, Thus -DIS n r{* cAUcB nI { *T ]B C -DIS n Eeu/B n I { *EeuIB.

We conclude the proof by showing that -DISlEqUlBnK*EQUt"q K*TIB. Le t o € - -DIS n EQU/B a K*EQUt t . By Leqma 4 ,Ntx - - C I . S ince o € EQUIB a / { -EQUIB, NIK* - N ICB. Thuso € NICB n- -DIS. By de f in i t ion o f - -DIS, NICB o- - ,DIS e B.T IB.T h u s a € B * T I B . S i n c e a € E Q U I " a I { * E Q U I B , a € B * T ' " i f a n donly i f a € K*T18. I

Proposition 2 In a weak KB-system (thus without assuming (Ax.4' )),I { *AwcB c AwcB and K*EQUt t q EQU"" .

( 5 . 1 3 )

c e , b y ( 5 . 1 3 ) ,

: K * E Q U I B .: *EQUIB. I t

References

Aumann, R. 1976. Agreeing to disagree. Annals of Stat ist ics,4:1236-1239.

Battigalli, P. and G. Bonanno. 1997. The logic of belief persistence. Eco-nomics and Philosophy, 13:39-59.

Ben-Porath, E. 1997. Rationality, nash equilibrium and backward induction

in perfect information games. Reuiew of Economic Studies,64:23*46.

Bonanno, G. 1996. On the logic of common belief. Mathematical Logi'c

Q uarterly, 42 :305-3 1 1.

Bonanno, G. and K. Nehring. 1998a. Assessing the Truth Axiom under

incomplete information. Mathemati,cal Social Sciences, 36:3-29.

Bonanno, G. and K. Nehring. 1998b. Intersubjective consistency of knowl-

edge and belief. Technical report, University of California, Davis. Depart-

ment of Economics Working Paper #98-03.

Bonanno, G. and K. Nehring. 1998c. Making sense of the common prior

assumption under incomplete information. International Journal of GameTheory. forthcoming.

Bonanno, G. and K. Nehring. 1998d. On the logic and role of negativeintrospection of common belief. Mathematical Social Sciences, 35:17-36.

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Cheilas, B. 1984. Moda,l Logic: an Introduction. Cambridge University Press.

Colombetti, M. 1993. Formal semantics for mutual beliefs. Arti,ficial intelli.-gencej 62:341*353.

Dekel, E. and F. Gul. 1997. Rationality and knowledge in game theory. InKreps, D. M. and K. F. Wall is, editors, Aduances in Economi,c Theory,Seuenth World Congress. Cambridge University Press.

Fagin, R., J.Halpern, Y. Moses, and M. Vardi. 1995. Reasoning About l{nowl-edge. MIT Press.

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Formalizing PotentThe KARO framework revi

W. vnN DER HoEK, J . - J .CH. Mpyp

We revisit the (KARO) framework thabout Knowledge, Ab i l i t ies , Resu l ts anoriginal proposal, the treatment of abi ltha t o f oppor tun i ty , wh i le they seem reproposa l a lso y ie lded a ra ther non_s tainc lud ing so-ca l led t l - ru les , i .e . ru les vnal ly, the approach suflered from someabil i ty of the agent to perform sequerchapter , we recons ider these ma[ le rs atreats opportunity and abi l i ty orr a pardard comple te p roo f sys tem (3) does rregarding sequential ly composed actiorpropert ies from the original framework

1 Intro duct ion

In recent years the study of intell igerparadigm has been much in the limeliployed for all sorts of different tasks uomy rs required. For example, softwa.to search the Web for specific inforalso robots can be viewed as obvious(cf. Johnson 1997). Moreover, there isto furnish agents with a theoreticalmethods from (philosophicai) logic (VWooldr idge et a l . , 1996, 1gg7; Rao eics used for this highlight certain mvant for describing such autonomous, iedge, beiief, desire, intention, etc. (Ra<Levesque, 1990; Singh, Igg4;Wooldr id lposed such a basic modal logic in whicknowledge, abilities, results, and oppor(199aa) ; van L inder e t a l . (1998) . In s

Formalizing the Dynamics of InformationMart ina Fal ler , Stefan Kaufmann & Marc paulv

C o p y r i g h t € ) 2 0 0 0 , C S L I p u b l i c a t i o n s

5 1

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i