Internet: Past, Present and Future

2014.6.9Kilnam Chon

INET Colombo rev/5.20+.5.30

What can we do for 3~4 billion new Internet users in

the coming decades (2015~2030)?

Question

Table of Contents

1940s1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s Internet as Global Social Infrastructure

1940s: Birth of Computer

ENIAC,.....

Remark: MEMEX in 1945

One computer per organization

1950s: Mainframe Computer

Mainframe Computer

RemoteStation

RemoteStation

1960s: Computer Network Research

UK, USA, France,...

USA: Defense Advanced Research Project Agency – Well

Funded

UCLA: Project Management

BBN: Node Processor (IMP)

Testbed: UCLA, UCSB, SRI, Utah

1970s: First Computer Networks

USA: ARPANET

UK: Coloured Book

France: Cyclades

1980s: Global Proliferation of Research & Education Networks

30~40 countries with the Internet

1990s: WWW, Commercialization and P2P

WWW - HTML and HTTP - Mosaic Browser

Commercialization

P2P

2000s: Internet as Social Infrastructure

Internet Users (in million)

Asia Pacific Europe

North America

Latin America

Africa

Total

1,525582

310320298

3,036

50%19%

10%11%10%

100%

(2014.6, www.internetworldstats.com)

Mobile Phone

Mobile phones : 6.8 billion (Smartphones: 2.1 billion)

Internet Users : 3 billion

(ITU 2014) Remark: Smartphone as a primary Internet access device by 2020.

Social Media

Asia: WeChat, LINE, Weibo, Facebook, Twitter,…….

China: WeChat, Weibo,…

Japan: LINE, Mixi,…

Korea: KakaoTalk,…

USA: Facebook/WhatsApp, YouTube, Twitter,…

Europe: Facebook, Viber,…

Africa: Facebook,…

Convergence

Internet (Data)

Telephone (Voice)

Television (Video)

Movie

Printed Materials

Future of Internet Population (2020~2030)

- 3 billion Internet users in 2015.

- 3~4 billion more users by 2020s.

- 0.1~1 trillion devices (Internet of Things) by 2020s.

Issues

Security

Proliferation

Human Rights

Governance

Internet as Global Social Infrastructure

How do we facilitate new 4~5 billion Internet users by 2020s?

How do we develop the Internet harmonized to our society and environment?

Reference

Kilnam Chon, et al., Asia Internet History – Book 1 (1980s), Book 2 (1990s), and Book 3 (2000s)

http://InternetHistory.asia

Computer History Museum, Internet History, 2015. http://ComputerHistory.org

Mary Meeker, Internet Trends 2015, KPCB, 2015. http://KPCB.com

Thank you

Asia Internet History Project, http://InternetHistory.asia