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InternationalTelecommunicationUnion
HIPSSA ProjectHIPSSA Project
Support for Harmonization of the ICT Policies Support for Harmonization of the ICT Policies in Sub-Sahara Africa in Sub-Sahara Africa
Measurement of the impacts of the arrival of submarine
cables in Africa
Isabelle Gross – Balancing Act
2
Table of contentsTable of contents
Introduction
Abundance of capacity
Falling wholesale prices of international capacity
Redundancy
What’s the picture at the retail level?
3
Introduction:Safaricom’s data subscribers and penetration rate
4
Abundance of capacity
- several countries with access to 3 and up 5 submarine cables
- Nigeria, Kenya, Ghana, SA
- overcapacity??? Maybe
- next challenge for many African countries is to bring the capacity inland (e.g.Liberia, Sierra Leone, etc..) = dense and redundant national backbones
5
Abundance of capacity
… … and reinforce cross-border terrestrial connections
Examples on next 2 slides:
* Phase 3 Telecom in West Africa (network that is planned to span through Nigeria, Benin, Niger and Togo
* Liquid Telecom: Owned by Econet in Zimbabwe, its network currently covers Zimbabwe and reaches into South Africa, into Botswana and into Zambia.
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7
Liquid Telecom’s cross border terrestrial fibre network
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Falling wholesale prices of international capacity
- in particular in countries where there are now 2/3 submarine cables (but not necessarily the case in countries where there will be only 1 cable = need for regulation)
- prices are as low as US$100 per Mb at STM1 level or even lower (3 years ago in Nigeria 1MB was US$2000/3000 while today it is US$100)
- prices will fall further (ACE+WACS)
- Ask participants what has happen in their country?
9
Falling wholesale prices of international capacity
► the next challenge… …
- bring international capacity at an affordable price to landlocked countries
- transit costs too high in comparison to international capacity: 3 to 4 times more and sometimes up to 10 times more
10
Redundancy
► more and more African countries have now more than 1 exit route but still some African countries left with one single exit route (Sierra Leone, Liberia, etc)
► improved quality of services with less downtime (in theory 100% uptime but they have still been long outage on the East as well as on the West Coast – the case of Benin and its impact on neighbouring countries)
11
Redundancy
► more and more African countries have now more than 1 exit route but still some African countries left with one single exit route (Sierra Leone, Liberia, etc)
► improved quality of services with less downtime (a theory but they still have long outage on the East as well on the West Coast – the base of Benin and its impact for neighbouring countries)
12
What’s the picture at the retail level?
► retail prices have come down but less than expected: more bandwidth offered to customers but not necessarily cheaper but prices are coming down
► encourage the development of wider range of data offerings: take up of mobile data services (South Africa, Kenya, etc…)
► encourage the development of content, value added services, e-government applications and services
13
What’s the picture at the retail level?
► The challenge is
to get data services in less populated and rural areas
- not necessarily a profitable business and - will need some sort of public funding
14
What possible market dynamic for data services?
What’s the picture at the retail level?
15
Thanks a lot for your Thanks a lot for your attentionattention
Union Internationale des Télécommunications International Telecommunication Union