INTERNATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATION UNION Telecommunication Development Bureau Telecommunication Statistics and Data Unit

18 December 2002 Original: English

3rd World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Meeting Geneva, 15 - 17 January 2003

Document: WICT-24E Source: David Cieslikowski and Anat Lewin

World Bank Title: Presentation on ICT Indicators, World Bank (PowerPoint presentation)

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World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Meeting

Presentation on ICT Indicators, World Bank

David Cieslikowski Development Data Group

Anat Lewin Global ICT Department, Policy Division

January 15-17, 2003

Development Data GroupDevelopment Data Group

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ICT: Two Perspectives fromthe World Bank

§ The World Bank's Global Information & Communication Technologies Department (GICT)brings together the the public sector advisory and funding arms of the IBRD and the private investment practice of the IFC to offer governments, private firms and community organizations capital and expertise in ICTs.

§ The World Bank’s Development Data Group (DECDG)provides high quality national and international statistics to clients within and outside the Bank and improves the capacity of member countries to produce and use statistical information.

Development Data Group

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ICT at the

World

Bank

AFR

MNA

ECA

SAR

EAP

LAC

Gateway

MIGA

LEG

WBI

DEC

ISG

Policy

infoDev

IFC

Thematic Groups

PSIVP

GDLN

DECDG

§ Departments Active in ICTs for Development

Global ICT

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Development Data Group

Development Data Group

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Why is the World Bank Involved in ICT Data, Policy, and Projects?§ ICT touches every facet of development and poverty

reduction:– Opportunity — sustainable growth and development– Empowerment — more transparent governance, better

service delivery, greater ability to communicate and participate

– Security — reduced vulnerability to ill health and natural disasters

§ ICT is cross-cutting — all sectors have the potential to be transformed by ICT. ICT changes the way the world learns, communicates, does business, and cures illnesses.

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WDI and Related Publications and Databases1. World Development Indicators

2. World Bank Atlas

3. Little Data Book

4. WDI CD-ROM

5. WDI Data on-line http://publications.worldbank.org/wdi

6. ICT At-a-Glance

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ICT indicators in the WDI

Power & communications table

nTelephone mainlines: (ITU)

n Per 1,000 people; in largest city per 1,000 people; waiting list (thousands); waiting time (years); per employee; revenue per line ($); cost of local call $ per 3 minutes

nMobile phones per 1,000 people (ITU)

nInternational communications (ITU)

n Outgoing traffic (minutes per subscriber); cost of call to U.S. ($ per 3 minutes)

Information age table

n Daily newspapers per 1,000 people (UNESCO)

n Radios per 1,000 people (UNESCO/ITU)

n Television: sets per 1,000 people; cable subscribers per 1,000 people (UNESCO/ITU)

n Personal computers: PCs per 1,000 people; PCs installed in education, total (ITU, WITSA)

n Internet (ITU): users (thousands); monthly off-peak access charges; Service provider charge ($); telephone usage charge ($)

n Secure servers (Netcraft)

n ICT expenditures (WITSA):% of GDP; Per capita ($)

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ICT At-a-glance: ICT Data On One Page§ Key ICT data on:

– Infrastructure & access– Computers & the Internet– Expenditures– Business & government environment– Plus background information

§ Several sources– ITU, UNESCO, World Economic Forum, WITSA

§ www.worldbank.org/data/countrydata/countrydata.html

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ICT

At-a-glance

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ICT & Millennium Development GoalsGoal 8: Build a global partnership for development…

includes ICT indicators:

§ Telephone lines and cellular subscribers per 100 people

§ Personal computers in use per 100 people

§ Internet users per 100 people

The Bank helps developing countries with the tools that are necessary to access information and knowledge. That in turn will offer opportunities that will clearly help to alleviate some of the problems that are standing in the way of reaching the Development Goals today.

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GenderStats…but not ICT specific

Data by gender include:§ Wage gaps

§ Life expectancy

§ Literacy & enrollment rates

§ Labor force

§ HIV prevalence

§ www.worldbank.org/data/databytopic /gender.html#ti

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Strengthening Statistics

§ Paris21 (Partnership in Statistics for the 21st

century)– Increased political support for statistics– Integrate with poverty reduction strategies– Promote statistical development strategies – Information exchange to share knowledge and foster

co-ordination

§ STATCAP — a new World Bank instrument for lending in statistics– Provide loans with easy-to-use procedures and

guidelines; supports long-term approach to statistical capacity building

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Global ICT

Department,

Policy Division

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GICT’s Policy Division§ We advise governments on ICT policy in

– Sector reform: e.g. market structure, competition, regulation and privatization.

– Internet, convergence, and e-strategies: e.g. national information infrastructure strategies (e-strategies), intellectual property rights and information security.

– Strengthening regulatory structures: e.g. independent regulatory agencies, pro-competitive rules and regulations, interconnection and tariff regimes, a level playing field for new entrants and the protection of consumers.

– Access: e.g. universal access to basic telephony, postal and other ICT services.

– ICT applications: e.g. design, implementation and procurement of ICT applications.

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What

GICT

doesü infoDev Grants

ü Sovereign Loans

ü Advisory Services

ü Partial risk guarantees

ü Direct project loans

ü Loan syndications

ü Mezzanine financing

ü Equity participation

Public Sector Loans

& Products

Private Sector Loans

& Products

Grants < 250K US$

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GICT Activities

•Policy: involvement in 75 Active Projects Worldwide•IFC: over 100 Projects Mobilized $5bn in Private Capital•infoDev: 400 Projects worth $70m

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Our Basic Research andData Stories

§ The Problem:– The Digital Dividev There are huge gaps in accessv More access to information infrastructure leads to better

development outcomes

§ What can clients do?– Regulated, private competition paysv Competition improves access to ICTsv Competition reduces prices for consumersv Competition leads to economic growth and a reduction of

poverty

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Digital Div I2000: Sophistication of Technology and the Digital Divide

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Population GDP, PPP GDP | TVs[1923]

Radio*[1907]

Telephone[1876]

PCs[1977]

Cellular[1985]

Servers[1991]

Hosts[1991]

Low income Lower middle income Upper middle income High income

Source: World Development Indicators 2002, World Bank Group. Original source for telecommunications data is the World Telecommunications Indicators database 2001, International Telecommunications Union. Dates of invention are from http://knowledgecontext.org/activities/timeline.htm. For Internet hosts and Internet servers, the date of invention for the World Wide Web was used. * Data for Radio are for 1997.

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1990-2000 Average Annual Growth Rates

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

Popu

lation GDP TV

s

Radio

s*

Telep

hone

s PCs

Cellular

Hosts

Users

Low Income Lower Middle Income Upper Middle Income High Income

Source: World Development Indicators 2002, World Bank Group. GDP is expressed in constant 1995 US$. Original source for telecommunications data is the World Telecommunications Indicators database 2001, International Telecommunications Union. * Radio growth rates are for 1990-1997.

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ICT expenditure (% GDP) in Countries that have Adopted ICT Growth Policies

0.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.0

10.0

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

ICT

expe

nditu

re (%

GD

P)

Brazil

Chile

CzechRepublic

Hungary

Poland

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020406080100120140160180

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

(per

1,0

00 inhabitants

)

Algeria Jordan Morocco Middle East and North Africa

Mobile Teledensity per 1,000 Inhabitants

Competitive Moroccan

mobile license launched

Competitive Moroccan mobile license commercialized

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Data Sets Used at GICT§ International Organizations

– World Bankv World Development

Indicators (SIMA)– ITU v World Telecommunications

Indicators Database (SIMA)

v Internet for a Mobile Generation

– Universal Postal Unionv International Postal

Statistics (SIMA)

§ Private Sector Data Providers– TeleGeography v Global Traffic Statistics

(Voice)v Global Packet Statistics

(Internet)– Tarifica (Tariffs for PSTN,

leased lines)– Pyramid, Analysys, Yankee

Group– Arab Advisors Group– Others under consideration

e.g. RHK

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Additional Data Neededfor Analysis and Research§ Foreign Direct Investment in Telecom

§ Telecom value added to GDP

§ Qualitative data– Date telecom laws were passed– Date competitive PSTN/mobile licenses were offered

and date competitive services were commercialized– Date of establishment of an independent regulator– Date of privatization of incumbent and share of private equity

§ Regional and Income-Level Aggregate Time Series

§ User-friendly presentation (time savers)

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“Don't let people talk to you about Internet being a luxury. While it is not an alternative to bread, it gives us the opportunity to bring knowledge and opportunities to people at all levels throughout the world. It is time for us … to make sure that this new age, not the agricultural revolution, not the industrial revolution, but the digital revolution, gives equity to poor people throughout the world.”

James D. WolfensohnPresident, World Bank GroupJuly 5, 2000

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§ Thank you

Development Data Group