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International negotiations on post 2012 regime: general

framework and the key questions

Ruta Bubniene, Programme officer

Reporting, Data and Analysis Programme Support of Shaping the Post Kyoto Climate Regime, March 5-6,

Szentendre

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Overview

• The Bali Action Plan• AWG-LCA progress and outlook• AWG-KP progress and outlook• Outlook to Copenhagen

conference

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Bali Action Plan: 5 elements

Enhanced action on the provisions of financial

resources and investment to support action on M&A and T

cooperation

Enhanced action on technology

development and transfer to support

action on M&A

Enhanced action on adaptation

Enhanced national and international action on mitigation of climate

change

A shared vision for long-term cooperative

action

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AWG-LCA progress and outlook

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Overview• At COP 13 in Bali, by decision 1/CP.13 (the Bali Action Plan),

Parties launched a comprehensive process to enable the full, effective and sustained implementation of the Convention through long-term cooperative action, now, up to and beyond 2012, in order to reach an agreed outcome and adopt a decision at COP 15.

• COP decided that the process shall be conducted under a subsidiary body under the Convention, the Ad Hoc Working Group on Long-term Cooperative Action under the Convention (AWG-LCA), that shall complete its work in 2009 and present the outcome of its work to the COP 15 .

• 4 sessions: – AWG LCA 1, Bangkok, March 2008– AWG LCA 2, Bonn, June 2008– AWG LCA 3, Accra, August 2008– AWG LCA 4, Poznan, December 2008

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Shared vision• A shared vision for long-term cooperative action,

including a long-term global goal for emission reductions, to achieve the ultimate objective of the Convention, … the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities…

• Scientific message (emissions to peak by 2015 and decline thereafter (60-70% reductions by 2050)) and political aspect

• Shared vision - a central issue for the discussion in Poznan Conference (workshop, high level segment)

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Adaptation• Ongoing work under the Buenos Aires and Nairobi programmes

on adaptation• Key discussion points: national planning for adaptation;

streamlining and scaling up financial and technological support; enhancing knowledge sharing; institutional frameworks

• In Poznan Adaptation Fund was fully operationalised:– Adoption of:

• Rules of procedure for the Adaptation Fund Board• Legal & administrative arrangements

with GEF and WB• Strategic priorities, policies and guidelines

– Agreement on conferring legal capacity to the AFB to enable direct access of eligible Parties to the AF

– Pending: A Kyoto Party to grant legal capacity to AFB• Discussion on possibility to collect proceeds from other flexible

mechanisms to AF

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Mitigation• Further discussion on targets and comparability

of effort for developed countries, and the role of the developing countries in the mitigation effort, including major economies

• Differences in the requirements of measurable/reportable/verifiable (MRV) for commitments and/or actions

• Advancing the understanding in key areas, e.g.: • Nationally appropriate mitigation actions (NAMAs)

supported and enabled by technology, financing and capacity building

• Cooperative sectoral approaches and sector specific actions on mitigation (national and international action)

• Policy approaches and positive incentives on mitigation in forestry sector (REDD)

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Technology and finance• Technology and finance are essential to enable effective

action on mitigation and adaptation• Key discussion points:

– barriers for technology transfer, – provision of financing and other incentives,– scaling up and optimizing financing, – appropriate institutional arrangements, governance,

• Identifying the necessary finance and investment sources: – new public sector finance; r– role of private sector and carbon market;– role of the GEF strategic programme

• ‘Poznan strategic programme on technology transfer’- a step towards scaling up the level of investment in technology transfer

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Outcome of Poznan conference: AWG-LCA4

• Considered ideas and proposals presented by the Parties (revised the “assembly” document)

• Three focused in-session workshops:– Shared vision for long-term cooperative action– Risk management and risk reduction strategies,

including risk sharing and transfer mechanisms such as insurance

– Cooperation on R&D of current, new and innovative technology

• LCA resolved to ‘shift into full negotiating mode in 2009’. Work programme for 2009 adopted

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AWG-LCA work program for 2009

‘Focus’ document

29 March - 8 April 2009

Bonn

1 - 12 June 2009

Bonn

28 September - 9 October Bangkok

7 - 18 December 2009

Copenhagen

3 workshops

Negotiating text Negotiating text Agreed text

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AWG-KP progress and outlook

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Overview• Ad Hoc Working Group on Further Commitments

for AI Parties under the KP (AWG-KP) established in December 2005 (Montreal)

• 6 sessions: – AWG-KP1, Bonn, May 2006– AWG-KP2, Nairobi, November 2006– AWG-KP3, Bonn, May 2007– AWG-KP4.1, Vienna, August 2007– AWG-KP4.2, Bali, December 2007– AWG-KP5.1, Bangkok, March 2008– AWG-KP5.2, Bonn, June 2008– AWG-KP6.1. Accra, August 2008– AWG-KP6.2 Poznan, December 2008

–The AWG-KP is set to complete its work by the end of 2009

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Outcomes of Poznan conference: AWG-KP 6.2

• Agreed that future commitments for AI Parties under KP should, principally take the form of QELROs;

• Initiated consideration of the scale of emission reductions to be achieved by AI Parties in aggregate;

• Established a clear link between possible individual or joint targets; and mitigation potentials, effectiveness, efficiency, cost and benefits of current and future policies, measures and technologies, and national circumstances;

• Advanced work on means to achieve these targets (mechanisms, LULUCF, sectors, gasses);

• Expressed resolve to switch to ‘full negotiation mode in 2009’

• Agreed work program for 2009 that aims at facilitating Parties agreement on future commitments for AI Parties

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AWG-KPwork program for 2009

4 notes of the chair (on mechanisms,on LULUCF, on elements for amendments, on other issues)WS on scale of emission reductions WS on potential consequences

29 March - 8 April 2009

Bonn

1 - 12 June 2009

Bonn

28 September - 9 October Bangkok

7 - 18 December 2009

Copenhagen

Text on proposed amendments and issues

Negotiating text [?] Agreed text Focus on

agreeing on further

commitments

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Outlook to Copenhagen conference

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The need for clarity on 4 essentials: • Targets and actions for developed Parties • Nationally appropriate mitigation actions • Financial and technological support for

adaptation and mitigation • Institutional framework

Outlook to Copenhagen conference

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