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International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use in Buildings Cutting down energy consumption in buildings Towards a factor 4 policy for buildings 10 October 2009 Copenhagen © OECD/IEA, 2009

International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

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Page 1: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen

Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings

From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean

Energy use in Buildings

Cutting down energy consumption in buildings Towards a factor 4 policy for buildings

10 October 2009

Copenhagen

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Page 2: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Key messages

Energy efficiency is a critical part of a sustainable energy future

Buildings energy use can be reduced dramatically alone with existing solutions

A reduction to ¼ of BAU in 2050 is rational and economic reasonable (Factor 4)

IEA 25 recommendations provide direction – high emphasis on buildings

W.I.N = World-wide Implementation Now

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Page 3: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Energy efficiency – critical part of Energy efficiency – critical part of sustainable energy futuresustainable energy future

Buildings:

Can deliver larges reductions in CO2

emissions at low costs

Page 4: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

© OECD/IEA - 2008

Reductions in energy-related COReductions in energy-related CO22 emissions in the climate-policy scenariosemissions in the climate-policy scenariosReductions in energy-related COReductions in energy-related CO22 emissions in the climate-policy scenariosemissions in the climate-policy scenarios

While technological progress is needed to achieve some emissions reductions, efficiency gains and deployment of existing low-carbon energy account for most of the savings.

20

25

30

35

40

45

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Gig

aton

nes

Reference Scenario 550 Policy Scenario 450 Policy Scenario

CCS Renewables & biofuels

Nuclear

Energy efficiency

550 Policy

Scenario

450 Policy

Scenario

54%

23%

14% 9%

77 % of the solution !

Energy Efficiency in buildings is a central part of this

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Page 5: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Energy efficiency in buildings is climate change abatement at low costs

• Why ? - They are feasible on long term !

Many recent studies shows exactly the same trends ! But maybe we don’t take these initiatives far enough !• How far can we take energy efficiency in buildings at rational

costs ?• Examples from ongoing IEA study !

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Buildings

IEA: Energy technology perspective 2008 McKenzie institute: Climate reports 2007 - 2009

Buildings

Renewable Energy

Page 6: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Energy use in BuildingsEnergy use in Buildings

From Waste of Energy to Clean Energy

Page 7: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Frankfurt/M Germany SophienhofFAAG/ABG Frankfurt Architect Fuessler

Blocks of Flats160 dwellings14 767 m²Passive House Technology15 kwh / m² per year

Extra costs= 3-5% of the total costs

Payback = 9 – 10 years Can we afford this ?

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Page 8: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Zero Carbon / Zero Energy

Is this possible ?

BedZet, London, UK

Solar Siedlung Vauban Freiburg, Germany

The way to Zero Energy Buildings in US, DOE

Development of UK Buildings Codes

2019

Zero Carbon Plus Energy

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Page 9: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Building Codes Towards Zero

kW

h pe

r m

² pe

r ye

ar

Zero

ener

gy in

203

0 ?

Plus e

nerg

y 204

0 ?

How does this become mainstream ?

Decisi

on in

Par

liam

ent 2

008

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Setting zero targets 2025 / 30California Energy Commission

Page 10: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Package for existing Buildings Frankfurt Refurbishment using Passive House Technology

87%

All existing buildings need to be refurbished in next 40 - 50 years

Fac

tor

10

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Source: Passivehouse Institute / DENA

Page 11: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Better than new !Energy standard refurbishment

0

50

100

150

200

250

300k

Wh

7(m

²a)

Primary losses

Losses in system

Hot sanitory water

Energy demand

Source: DENA Besser als ein Neubau

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Very Best practice Renovationin Germany

Germany

Demands refurbishment

Demands new

Minus 30 %

Minus 50 %

Fact

or

10

Page 12: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Very Best practice Renovationin GermanyFactor 10

Better than new !Energy standard refurbishment

0

50

100

150

200

250

300k

Wh

7(m

²a)

Primary losses

Losses in system

Hot sanitory water

Energy demand

Source: DENA Besser als ein Neubau

High-rise: Changing the ViewIEA / EuroAce 2006

St. Petersburg, Russia

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Very Best practice Renovationin Germany

Germany

Demands refurbishment

Demands new

Minus 30 %

Minus 50 %

Fact

or

10

28 kWh/m²

- 91 %

28 kWh/m²

- 88 %

22 kWh/m²

- 89 %

21 kWh/m²

- 96 %

44 kWh/m²

- 83 %

35 kWh/m²

- 90 %

Examples a

lso in

Austria, S

weden,

Hungary, Switz

erland,

……

Page 13: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Demands for products • Mandatory solar systems

– Israel, Spain, Portugal

• Minimum efficiency for products - labelling

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Florida Solar initiative

Page 14: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Cut Energy WasteCut Energy Waste

Going new ways – or finding old solutions

Page 15: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Cut energy waste in buildings !

© OECD/IEA, 2009

There is a large potential: • We have to go new ways• Use control systems and new solutions• But we also need to look at history / tradition

Training of architects, engineers, installers, constructors is essential

Energy efficiency needs to be at the front page !

An example !

Page 16: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Generic Architecture

Misr University for Science and Technology, Cairo

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Old solutions – generic architecture used in new ways

Source Proffessor Ahmed Abdin, Cairo Technical University

No windows !

No windows !

Windows

Windows

Page 17: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Generic Architecture

Misr University for Science and Technology, Cairo

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Old solutions – generic architecture used in new ways

Source Proffessor Ahmed Abdin, Cairo Technical University

Page 18: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

But using sunlight !

Generic Architecture

Misr University for Science and Technology, Cairo

Old solutions – generic architecture used in new ways

Source Proffessor Ahmed Abdin, Cairo Technical University

Protected against the sun !

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Page 19: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

What if we do all this at the same time ?What if we do all this at the same time ?

IEA study in progress

Page 20: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Modelling on energy efficient buildingsDevelopment in the 9 regions

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Page 21: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Study on Energy Efficient Buildings

If very best practice examples and policies were implementedglobally and fast: Energy use for buildings (heating, cooling, ventilation and hot water)

could be reduced far beyond 50 %. 75 % reduction compared to business as usual would probably both be

possible and rational. Book to document this will be out early 2010. Such and implementation of energy efficiency in buildings would have

massive impact on: • Security of supply, • CO2 emissions,• Global health,• Investments in supply sector,• Would crate millions of new jobs.

Increased research and deployment can increase this potential.

© OECD/IEA, 2009

Page 22: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

25 energy efficiency policy recommendations across 7 priority areas

1. Across sectors1.1 Measures for increasing investment in

energy efficiency;1.2 National energy efficiency strategies and

goals;1.3 Compliance, monitoring, enforcement

and evaluation of energy efficiency measures;

1.4 Energy efficiency indicators;1.5 Monitoring and reporting progress with

the IEA energy efficiency recommendations themselves.

2. Buildings2.1 Building codes for new buildings;2.2 Passive Energy Houses and Zero Energy

Buildings;2.3 Policy packages to promote energy

efficiency in existing buildings;2.4 Building certification schemes;2.5 Energy efficiency improvements in

glazed areas.

3. Appliances3.1 Mandatory energy performance

requirements or labels;3.2 Low-power modes, including standby

power, for electronic and networked equipment;

3.3 Televisions and “set-top” boxes; 3.4 Energy performance test standards and

measurement protocols.

4. Lighting4.1 Best practice lighting and the

phase-out of incandescent bulbs;4.2 Ensuring least-cost lighting in

non-residential buildings and the phase-out of inefficient fuel-based lighting.

5. Transport5.1 Fuel-efficient tyres;5.2 Mandatory fuel efficiency

standards for light-duty vehicles;5.3 Fuel economy of heavy-duty

vehicles;5.4 Eco-driving.

6. Industry6.1 Collection of high quality energy

efficiency data for industry;6.2 Energy performance of electric

motors;6.3 Assistance in developing energy

management capability;6.4 Policy packages to promote

energy efficiency in small and medium-sized enterprises.

7. Utilities7.1 Utility end-use energy efficiency

schemes. © OECD/IEA, 2009© OECD/IEA, 2009

Page 23: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Conclusions• Energy efficiency in buildings is

www: • Consumers win because they get

lower fuel cost and lower total costs over time, increased comfort.

• Business win because it creates activity and new jobs locally.

• Governments win because it implements climate policy goals, improves security of supply, improves economy and health.

• Potential is enormous.• Can contribute substantial to

climate abatement policies.• A reduction with factor 3 or 4 is

possible alone with known solutions.

• Policies exist but need larger scope and global implementation.

• Many barriers to overcome.• EE in buildings is cost efficient and

it will save large investments and costs in supply.

• EE in buildings will have many additional benefits: health, security of supply, creation of employment.

• Start with the 25 existing IEA recommendations - already endorsed by the G8 and large developing countries.

• We need W.I.N

© OECD/IEA, 2009© OECD/IEA, 2009

Much more can be done – both in new and existing buildings

Page 24: International Energy Agency IEA Jens Laustsen Policy Analyst for Efficiency in Buildings From Kyoto to Copenhagen – From Energy Waste to Clean Energy use

Thank you

For more information buildings and recommendations:

www.iea.orgwww.iea.org/G8/2008/G8_EE_recommendations.pdf

Contact:[email protected]@iea.org