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International Economics. Chapter 1 Introduction. Introduction What is International Economics About? International Economics: Trade and Money. The study of international economics has never been as important as it is now. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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International Economics
Why? What?
How?
International Economics
Chapter 1 Introduction
IntroductionWhat is International Economics
About? International Economics: Trade
and Money
The study of international economics has never been as important as it is now.At the beginning of the 21st century, nations
are more closely linked through trade in goods and services, through flows of money, and through investment in each others’ economies than ever before.
Globalization
International Trade Liberation
Economic Globalization
International Production Integration
International Financial Market Integration
Better or worse?
International economics deals with economic interactions that occur between independent nations. The role of governments in regulating international trade
and investment is substantial. Analytically, international markets allow governments to
discriminate against a subgroup of companies. Governments also control the supply of currency.
There are several issues that recur throughout the study of international economics.
1-1 What is International Economics About?
Balance between liberalism and Protectionism
Exporter Importer
Government
Free Trade Protection
国际经济学的主要问题 1 、学科性质:从成本和收益角度研究国家之间经济的相互依存关系,
分析各国间要素流动的状况和原因,探讨国际经济政策的效应和作用。
2、学科内容: 1 ) International trade theory—— 研究为什么要进行国际贸易,
贸易基础和所得 (1-7 章) 2) International trade policy—— 考察贸易限制和新贸易保护
主义的原因和效果 (8-11) 3) Exchange rates and open-economy macroeconomics—— 汇率
决定,汇率制度和政策,外汇市场的运行( 12- 17 ) 4 ) International macroeconomic policy—— 国际货币体系,经
济一体化和货币一体化 ( 18 - 22 )
Its role in the systematization of Economics
EC
Microeconomics
MacroeconomicsInternational
Trade
International
Economics International Finance
Many people are skeptical about importing goods that a country could produce for itself.(P3)
When countries sell goods to one another, all countries benefit.
Trade and income distribution• International trade might hurt some groups within
nations.• Trade, technology, and wages of high and low-
skilled workers.
The gain from trade
The Pattern of Trade (who sells what to whom?)Climate and resources determine the trade patter
n of several goods.In manufacturing and services the pattern of trade
is more subtle.There are two types of trade:
• Interindustry trade depends on differences across countries.
• Intraindustry trade depends on market size and occurs among similar countries.
pattern of trade
Cloth
IT
Toy
Machine Oil
Tech
Tulip
Soybean
How Much Trade?Many governments are trying to shield certain
industries from international competition.This has created the debate dealing with the costs
and benefits of protection relative to free trade.• Advanced countries’ policies engage in industrial
targeting.• Developing countries’ policies promote
industrialization:• Import substitution versus export promotion
industrialization.
The Balance of PaymentsSome countries run large trade surpluses.
• For example, in 1998 both China and South Korea ran trade surpluses of about $40 billion each.
Is it good to run a trade surplus and bad to run a trade deficit?
Exchange Rate DeterminationThe role of changing exchange rates is at the
center of international economics.
International Policy Coordination A fundamental problem in international economics is
how to produce an acceptable degree of harmony among the international trade and monetary policies of different countries without a world government that tells countries what to do.
The International Capital Market There are risks associated with international capital
markets:• Currency depreciation• National default
1-2 International Economics: Trade and Money
International trade analysis focuses primarily on the real transactions in the international economy.• These transactions involve a physical movement of
goods or a tangible commitment of economic resources.– Example: The conflict between the United States and
Europe over Europe’s subsidized exports of agricultural products
International monetary analysis focuses on the monetary side of the international economy. • That is, financial transactions such as foreign
purchases of U.S. dollars.– Example: The dispute over whether the foreign
exchange value of the dollar should be allowed to float freely or be stabilized by government action
International trade issuesPart I: International Trade TheoryPart II: International Trade Policy
International monetary issuesPart III: Exchange Rates and Open-Economy
MacroeconomicsPart IV: International Macroeconomic Policy
五、本书的结构和学习方法
1 、 结构 2 、 学习安排 1 )主要以学习正文为主,若要得到进一步的证明,深化讨论,可看附录
2 )文中的例子和案例是为加强理解而设,需阅读,在讲授中还有中国的相关案例提供
3)关键词表中英文必须掌握,考试中概念题就在这范围内。 4)结合每章的小结做复习题,以掌握重点内容。 5)练习题的目的是提高应用能力,是考试的重点部分 6)要预习。
六、中文参考文献 本书中译本, 2006 ,中国人民大学出版社 保罗。克鲁格曼 ,2001, 克鲁格曼国际贸易新理论 ,2001, 中国社会科学出版社
赵春明 ,2003: 国际贸易学 ,石油工业出版社 蒙代尔 ,2003: 蒙代尔经济学文集(第一卷) ,中国金融出版社
杂志:经济研究,管理世界,世界经济 , 国际贸易问题,国际贸易,世界经济研究,世界经济文汇等。
主要网址: WWW.WTO.ORG. WWW.IMF.ORG. WWW.OECD.ORG. WWW.UNCTAD.ORG. WWW.BIS.ORG.
《国际经济学》教学基本要求
至少读两本书和一份专业期刊 写一篇文章 理论性文章 案例分析 文献综述 读书笔记 参加课堂讨论
Contact Me
[email protected]@zjgsu.edu.cn
Office Hours: Monday 10:00 – 12:00 in room 1849 and by appointment
Topic Financial Crisis
Low-income countries gain or lose in a globalized world?
美国摩根斯坦利银行首席经济学家史迪芬 .罗奇认为中国对世界经济增量的贡献远高于中国经济占世界 GDP 比重,原因是中国经济增长对世界经济增长有某种乘数效应,其原因是中国经济的对外开放程度非常高。他从两个方面来判断中国的经济开放度:一是中国的外贸依存度,目前已高达 70% 以上,远远超过日本 (25%) 、美国 (20%) ;二是外资利用度,除一些战略性领域外,中国基本都对外国实行开放,目前已累计利用外资 6000亿美元,成为世界上对外资最开放的国家之一。目前美国经济增量的比率为 30% ,罗奇形象地将中国和美国比喻为波音 747飞机的两个发动机。
世界贸易组织的相关研究表明,上世纪 90年代,中国贸易增长度是5.7% ,超过了日本的 5.1% ,仅低于美国的 18.5% 和欧盟扩大前的 15国总体的 12.2% 。世界银行认为,中国经济快速发展对世界的最大贡献是促进了贫困人口的大幅度下降,如果不包括中国, 1987年至1998 年全球贫困人口增加 8200万,而中国则减少 800万。
China World
China World
China gain or lose in a globalized world?
0. 000
5000. 000
10000. 000
15000. 000
20000. 000
25000. 000
30000. 000
35000. 000
GDP
年份 进出口总额(亿美元)
世界排名 GDP(人民币)
1950 11亿美元1977 148
1978 206.4 32
1997 2696.7 10
2002 6208 5 102398亿2003 8512 4 116693.6亿2004 1.15万亿 3 136515亿2005 1.42万亿 3 182321亿2006 1.76万亿 3 210871亿2007 2.17 万亿 3 246637亿
2008 2.56 亿美元 300670亿元
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
EX/GDP I M/GDP
Figure 1-1: Exports and Imports as a Percentage of U.S. National Income
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
EX/ GNI I M/ GNI
Figure 1-2: Exports and Imports as Percentages of National Income in 1994
Exports and Imports as Percentages of National Income in 2007
0
20
40
60
80
100
美国 法国 加拿大 比利时
EX/GNI I M/ GNI
International trade for World
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
货物出口额 服务贸易出口额 出口总额
World merchandise exports by major product group and region, 2006
Agricultural product
sFuels and mining
products Manufactures
Total Fuels Total
Iron and steel
Chemicals
Office and
telecom equipme
nt
Automotive
products
Textiles
Clothing
World 944.5 2277.1 1770.5 8256.8 374 1247.8 1451.4 1015.9 218.6 311.4
Share in total exports 8 19.3 15 70.1 3.2 10.6 12.3 8.6 1.9 2.6
North America 151.6 221.5 151.2 1233.2 23.2 173.7 198.1 204.3 17.2 13
Share in total exports 9 13.2 9 73.5 1.4 10.4 11.8 12.2 1 0.8
South and Central America 102.4 182.2 110.5 134.9 17.3 24.5 6.4 19.1 2.9 12.8
Share in total exports 23.8 42.4 25.7 31.4 4 5.7 1.5 4.4 0.7 3
Europe 436 534 361.6 3890.3 177.1 743.2 427.1 549.8 82.8 107.1
Share in total exports 8.8 10.8 7.3 78.4 3.6 15 8.6 11.1 1.7 2.2
Africa 32 249 225.1 71.2 7 11.3 2.4 5.4 1.6 9.8
Share in total exports 8.8 68.5 62 19.6 1.9 3.1 0.7 1.5 0.4 2.7
Middle East 13.8 480.8 468.9 138.2 4.7 37.1 14.8 8.4 8 4.3
Share in total exports 2.1 74.5 72.7 21.4 0.7 5.7 2.3 1.3 1.2 0.7
Asia 179.1 334.7 215.3 2683.2 105.8 235.8 801.4 223.5 104.4 162.8
Share in total exports 5.5 10.2 6.6 81.9 3.2 7.2 24.4 6.8 3.2 5
International trade for the world
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000
1980 1990 2000 2005 2006
亚洲
东亚
EU15
NAFTA
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
1980 1990 2000 2005 2006
亚洲
东亚
EU15
NAFTA
Export Import
EX 17%
13%
8%
5%
4%3%3%2%
2%2%
41%
美国
香港
日本
韩国
德国
荷兰
英国
印度
新加坡
俄罗斯
其它
I M
14%
10%
9%
7%
6%5%4%
3%3%
3%
36%
日本
韩国
台湾省
中华人民共和国
美国
德国
澳大利亚
马来西亚
沙特阿拉伯
巴西
其它
Appendix: A review of International Trade
Before 15 century 15 century- 16 century 16 century- 19 century 1945 -
Before 15 century
Phonenica (Mediterranean Sea )
Rome Han Dynasty Kushan Empire Crusades
15 century- 16 century
Age of Discovery Portugal Spain Netherlands France England
16 century- 19 century
Industrial Revolution the Age of Machines
Appendix:International Trade Theory before the Ricardian Model
Mercantilist: keep the state prosperous by economic regulation
David Hume Francios Quesnay Adam Smith
David Hume ( 1711-1776 )
deny the the inflow of gold specie could be sustainable——the Price-Specie-Flow Mechanism
Francios Quesnay (1694-1774)
The leader of ‘ Physiocrats’(重农学派)
ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE
Adam Smith Absolute Advantage A country has an absolute advantage in
a production of a good if it has a lower unit labor requirement than the foreign country in this good.(P15)
A Numerical Example
Assume that we are dealing with an economy (which we call Home). In this economy:Labor is the only factor of production.Only two goods (say wine and cheese) are
produced.The supply of labor is fixed in each country.The productivity of labor in each good is fixed.Perfect competition prevails in all markets.
A Numerical Example• The following table describes the technology of
the two counties:
Country Cheese Wine
A 1 hour per pound
2 hours per gallon
B 2 hours per pound
1 hour per gallon
Gain
Cheese WineP C P C
A 1 1 1 1
B 1 1 1 1
如果 cheese产品和 wine产品以 1: 1的比率交换A国 3 1 0 2
B国 0 2 3 1