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Potential Interest rate inflection/reversal point Conditions at (1)….Right Shoulder of a bullish inverse head & shoulders patterns. Sentiment - Many were bearish yields. Suggested plan of action ….Shared that interest Rates were ready to blast off (see post here) Results…Bonds got creamed in the following 7 months, end results, larges t 18-month rally in yields in the past 30-years. This rally was 70% greater than the 7 largest 18 months rallies over past 30-years. Conditions at (2) …Resistance was in play. Largest 18-month rally in yields in 30-years had just taken place. 100% of economist were calling for higher rates. Suggested Plan of action …Short yields/Buy bonds Share this on 12/9/13 with members (see post here) Results… TLT rallies 23% in 2014, beats S&P’s return by 10%. When suggesting these interest rate trades I NEVER mentioned ONCE, that these ideas were due to QE moves to come or Inflation/Deflation. I believe I left BIAS at the door on these ideas. Due me a BIG favor when looking at current conditions ….Take of your bias hat if you have one!

Interest Rate Extremes Jan 8 2015

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